1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,460 The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:02,460 --> 00:00:03,870 Commons license. 3 00:00:03,870 --> 00:00:06,910 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare continue to 4 00:00:06,910 --> 00:00:10,560 offer high quality educational resources for free. 5 00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:13,460 To make a donation or view additional materials from 6 00:00:13,460 --> 00:00:17,390 hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare at 7 00:00:17,390 --> 00:00:18,640 ocw.mit.edu. 8 00:00:22,550 --> 00:00:26,100 PROFESSOR: All right, so what we're going to do for the next 9 00:00:26,100 --> 00:00:31,490 few lectures, really through the end of the course, is turn 10 00:00:31,490 --> 00:00:34,280 away from what we focused on for most of this course, which 11 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,710 is efficiency, and start talking about equity. 12 00:00:37,710 --> 00:00:42,620 So most of this course, we've talked about efficiency and 13 00:00:42,620 --> 00:00:45,750 the principles that lead to efficient outcomes. 14 00:00:45,750 --> 00:00:48,700 We haven't talked a whole lot about fairness and equity. 15 00:00:48,700 --> 00:00:51,160 We've mentioned it in passing for things like why you want a 16 00:00:51,160 --> 00:00:54,980 minimum wage, et cetera, but we haven't really focused on 17 00:00:54,980 --> 00:00:58,710 how society should consider efficiency and equity as two 18 00:00:58,710 --> 00:01:02,130 different goals, because clearly it does. 19 00:01:02,130 --> 00:01:05,850 So for example, a classic example of the fact that 20 00:01:05,850 --> 00:01:09,530 efficient outcomes may not be equally equitable is the 21 00:01:09,530 --> 00:01:12,390 perfectly competitive market versus the perfectly price 22 00:01:12,390 --> 00:01:16,850 discriminating monopolist. Remember that both outcomes, 23 00:01:16,850 --> 00:01:20,200 both a perfectly competitive market and a perfectly price 24 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,080 discriminating monopolist, both lead to 25 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,610 maximum social welfare. 26 00:01:25,610 --> 00:01:29,790 So in the terms we've used in this course, both provide 27 00:01:29,790 --> 00:01:32,230 equal social welfare. 28 00:01:32,230 --> 00:01:34,250 The difference, of course, being that in the perfectly 29 00:01:34,250 --> 00:01:36,760 price discriminating monopolist case, the producer 30 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:39,920 gets it all, whereas in the perfectly competitive case, 31 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,710 it's shared between producers and consumers. 32 00:01:42,710 --> 00:01:44,960 So we actually care. 33 00:01:44,960 --> 00:01:47,260 We actually in the end are going to care as a society, 34 00:01:47,260 --> 00:01:50,160 not just about social welfare, but who's getting the shares 35 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:50,650 of the pie. 36 00:01:50,650 --> 00:01:52,610 In other words, we're not going to care just about the 37 00:01:52,610 --> 00:01:54,985 size of the pie, but who's getting what shares. 38 00:01:57,670 --> 00:02:01,410 So first of all, even for a given size of the pie, we have 39 00:02:01,410 --> 00:02:03,330 to decide who gets what shares. 40 00:02:03,330 --> 00:02:06,130 Moreover, it gets much more complicated than that because 41 00:02:06,130 --> 00:02:08,550 the size of the pie isn't fixed. 42 00:02:08,550 --> 00:02:12,570 And typically, in a society's efforts to redistribute 43 00:02:12,570 --> 00:02:15,490 shares, they shrink the pie. 44 00:02:15,490 --> 00:02:19,290 That is, societies typically face the classical equity 45 00:02:19,290 --> 00:02:20,540 efficiency trade off. 46 00:02:27,980 --> 00:02:32,430 Which is that in any effort to redistribute resources, 47 00:02:32,430 --> 00:02:34,790 inevitably we'll shrink the total amount 48 00:02:34,790 --> 00:02:37,670 of resources available. 49 00:02:37,670 --> 00:02:43,730 And that's roughly speaking, because the efficient outcome 50 00:02:43,730 --> 00:02:45,280 is where you start from. 51 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:46,620 You start from an outcome where you've 52 00:02:46,620 --> 00:02:48,420 maximized social welfare. 53 00:02:48,420 --> 00:02:51,970 So any intervention that tries to deviate from that by moving 54 00:02:51,970 --> 00:02:54,810 resources across groups, by definition will move us away 55 00:02:54,810 --> 00:02:56,100 from that efficient outcome. 56 00:02:56,100 --> 00:02:58,260 We're starting with the efficient outcome, let's say a 57 00:02:58,260 --> 00:03:00,870 permanently price discriminating monopolist, 58 00:03:00,870 --> 00:03:01,760 that's efficient. 59 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:04,060 Any efforts we have to take some money away from that 60 00:03:04,060 --> 00:03:06,400 monopolist and give it to other people will end up 61 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:09,140 causing distortions and reducing the total size of 62 00:03:09,140 --> 00:03:12,340 total social welfare. 63 00:03:12,340 --> 00:03:15,070 So basically, we're always going to face this equity 64 00:03:15,070 --> 00:03:17,240 efficiency trade off, and really the question we want to 65 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:19,750 ask in this lecture is, is it worth it? 66 00:03:19,750 --> 00:03:22,810 How do we think about whether it's worth it to redistribute 67 00:03:22,810 --> 00:03:26,580 from rich to poor, even if along the way, we shrink the 68 00:03:26,580 --> 00:03:29,200 total size of the pie, even if we have to deviate from the 69 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,870 welfare maximizing point. 70 00:03:31,870 --> 00:03:33,890 And the best way to think about this I think is due to 71 00:03:33,890 --> 00:03:35,470 an analogy developed by a famous economist 72 00:03:35,470 --> 00:03:38,460 named Arthur Okun. 73 00:03:38,460 --> 00:03:42,060 And this is Okun's leaky bucket analogy. 74 00:03:42,060 --> 00:03:43,970 So Okun's leaky bucket analogy is the following, he said, 75 00:03:43,970 --> 00:03:48,210 look, let's say as a society, we agree that we should 76 00:03:48,210 --> 00:03:49,470 redistribute from rich to poor. 77 00:03:49,470 --> 00:03:51,400 And I'll come later to why we might agree that, but let's 78 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,210 just say we agree as a society that we should redistribute 79 00:03:54,210 --> 00:03:55,290 from the richest members to the 80 00:03:55,290 --> 00:03:57,810 poorest members of society. 81 00:03:57,810 --> 00:04:00,090 And let's think of that redistribution as being 82 00:04:00,090 --> 00:04:02,840 literally the rich people put money in a bucket, and you 83 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:04,640 carry that bucket and then dump it out in front of the 84 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:05,650 poor people. 85 00:04:05,650 --> 00:04:08,240 Let's say that's the way redistribution happened. 86 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:11,540 Well, probably we'd have general agreement that if Bill 87 00:04:11,540 --> 00:04:14,240 Gates could put $1 in a bucket and it could be carried and 88 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:17,890 given to a homeless person, that's a good thing. 89 00:04:17,890 --> 00:04:19,839 We probably in general agree that if you distribute from 90 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:22,310 the richest people to the poorest people, and $1 from a 91 00:04:22,310 --> 00:04:24,390 rich person becomes $1 for a poor person, 92 00:04:24,390 --> 00:04:26,560 that's a good thing. 93 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:29,220 However, what if along the way, some of that dollar 94 00:04:29,220 --> 00:04:30,890 leaked out? 95 00:04:30,890 --> 00:04:34,410 What if Bill Gates put $1 in the bucket, but by the time it 96 00:04:34,410 --> 00:04:37,510 got to the poor person, it was only $0.80. 97 00:04:37,510 --> 00:04:39,840 You might say, OK, that's still fine. $0.80 to a poor 98 00:04:39,840 --> 00:04:40,740 person is a lot. 99 00:04:40,740 --> 00:04:42,440 Bill Gates isn't going to miss $1, but $0.80 100 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:43,750 to them might matter. 101 00:04:43,750 --> 00:04:45,920 What if it's only $0.50? 102 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:49,090 What if Bill Gates put $1 in, by the time you carry it over, 103 00:04:49,090 --> 00:04:51,690 it leaks out so much so the poor person only gets $0.50? 104 00:04:51,690 --> 00:04:53,610 What if it's $0.10? 105 00:04:53,610 --> 00:04:56,380 What if literally every dollar Bill Gates gives up, the poor 106 00:04:56,380 --> 00:04:58,670 person only gets $0.10, then you might say, gee, it's not 107 00:04:58,670 --> 00:05:00,550 entirely clear it's worth it anymore. 108 00:05:00,550 --> 00:05:02,990 I mean, yeah, $0.10 is worth more to a poor person than a 109 00:05:02,990 --> 00:05:05,040 $1 is to Bill Gates, but that's really wasteful to have 110 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:07,800 $0.90 just leak out along the way. 111 00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:12,700 So basically, what we have to do is ask basically how does 112 00:05:12,700 --> 00:05:17,430 society think about transfers when some of what happens when 113 00:05:17,430 --> 00:05:20,080 you transfer from rich to poor is you lose some efficiency 114 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,110 along the way, something leaks out of the bucket? 115 00:05:23,110 --> 00:05:24,870 And that's basically what we're going to talk about in 116 00:05:24,870 --> 00:05:27,320 the next two lectures. 117 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,390 We're going to do that in four steps. 118 00:05:29,390 --> 00:05:33,195 We're first going to ask, how does society value transfers? 119 00:05:35,730 --> 00:05:40,240 How does society think about the value of $1 to Bill Gates 120 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:41,740 versus $1 to a poor person? 121 00:05:41,740 --> 00:05:43,800 How do we think about the value of those dollars in 122 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:45,360 different hands, something we haven't 123 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,240 talked about this semester? 124 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,920 We then are going to talk about the facts on income 125 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:51,690 distribution. 126 00:05:51,690 --> 00:05:54,510 How has the distribution of dollars changed over time in 127 00:05:54,510 --> 00:05:58,770 the US, and how do we compare it internationally? 128 00:05:58,770 --> 00:06:01,185 Then we're going to talk about the sources of leakage. 129 00:06:04,790 --> 00:06:08,310 That is, what causes this bucket to be leaky, in fact, 130 00:06:08,310 --> 00:06:09,730 what causes the equity efficiency 131 00:06:09,730 --> 00:06:12,460 trade off in practice. 132 00:06:12,460 --> 00:06:15,200 And then finally, we're going to talk about what governments 133 00:06:15,200 --> 00:06:21,470 do, what government does to redistribute resources. 134 00:06:21,470 --> 00:06:24,460 How does the US government in particular redistribute 135 00:06:24,460 --> 00:06:27,790 resources from higher to lower income groups? 136 00:06:27,790 --> 00:06:28,610 So that's what we're going to talk about 137 00:06:28,610 --> 00:06:31,370 the next two lectures. 138 00:06:31,370 --> 00:06:35,510 So we're going to start with the question of how does 139 00:06:35,510 --> 00:06:39,870 society value transfers, or more generally, how do we 140 00:06:39,870 --> 00:06:46,330 think about the socially optimal 141 00:06:46,330 --> 00:06:47,580 allocation of resources? 142 00:06:54,820 --> 00:06:57,520 The key word here being allocation. 143 00:06:57,520 --> 00:06:59,960 So we're no longer just going to talk about the entire size 144 00:06:59,960 --> 00:07:02,540 of the social welfare triangle, we're now going to 145 00:07:02,540 --> 00:07:06,010 talk about who gets what, and how do we think about the 146 00:07:06,010 --> 00:07:11,760 socially optimal distribution of those resources, allocation 147 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,010 or distribution of those resources. 148 00:07:14,010 --> 00:07:17,530 And to do so, we're going to have to take an extra somewhat 149 00:07:17,530 --> 00:07:20,500 uncomfortable step we haven't taken before. 150 00:07:20,500 --> 00:07:23,120 Before, we've just talked about a purely mathematical 151 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,120 concept of maximizing the size of a triangle. 152 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:29,460 Now we've got to actually put some value judgment on who 153 00:07:29,460 --> 00:07:31,970 gets what within that triangle. 154 00:07:31,970 --> 00:07:33,850 And the way we make that value judgment is through the 155 00:07:33,850 --> 00:07:36,095 introduction of what we call a social welfare function. 156 00:07:40,430 --> 00:07:43,730 A social welfare function, which is literally the 157 00:07:43,730 --> 00:07:46,440 mathematical representation, because we're all 158 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:48,460 about the math here. 159 00:07:48,460 --> 00:07:51,930 It's a mathematical representation of how society 160 00:07:51,930 --> 00:07:54,740 values different groups. 161 00:07:54,740 --> 00:07:58,700 So social welfare function is some function of the utility 162 00:07:58,700 --> 00:08:02,370 of individual one, the utility of individual two, all the way 163 00:08:02,370 --> 00:08:04,980 to the utility of individual 350 million, however many 164 00:08:04,980 --> 00:08:07,530 people we have now in the US. 165 00:08:07,530 --> 00:08:10,510 It's literally a mathematical representation of how we take 166 00:08:10,510 --> 00:08:14,400 every individual's utility and come up with a measure of 167 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:15,650 social welfare. 168 00:08:17,810 --> 00:08:20,170 That's what the social welfare function's going to be. 169 00:08:20,170 --> 00:08:20,850 So think about that. 170 00:08:20,850 --> 00:08:24,120 Let's look at figure 23-1, which shows what we call 171 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,900 isowelfare curves. 172 00:08:26,900 --> 00:08:31,320 Think about a society with two people, Ned and Homer, and 173 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:33,850 think about the government's decision, 174 00:08:33,850 --> 00:08:35,870 or think about society-- 175 00:08:35,870 --> 00:08:37,070 excuse the word government, think about 176 00:08:37,070 --> 00:08:38,270 society right now-- 177 00:08:38,270 --> 00:08:42,610 society's valuation of the allocation of resources across 178 00:08:42,610 --> 00:08:45,370 these two individuals. 179 00:08:45,370 --> 00:08:49,030 Each of these curves is meant to represent a social 180 00:08:49,030 --> 00:08:49,990 indifference curve. 181 00:08:49,990 --> 00:08:51,510 In other words, think of society as 182 00:08:51,510 --> 00:08:52,550 having a utility function. 183 00:08:52,550 --> 00:08:56,140 Think of this being a social utility function, and the 184 00:08:56,140 --> 00:08:58,930 utility function has indifference curves. 185 00:08:58,930 --> 00:09:00,870 So society has some indifference curves. 186 00:09:00,870 --> 00:09:06,380 So what this depiction says is society's indifferent between 187 00:09:06,380 --> 00:09:10,270 Homer having u1h and Ned having u1n, that is, with Ned 188 00:09:10,270 --> 00:09:12,520 having a lot and Homer having a little. 189 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:16,640 Or Homer having u2h and Ned having u2n, that is Homer 190 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:18,980 having a lot and Ned having a little. 191 00:09:18,980 --> 00:09:20,770 So I've just made this up. 192 00:09:20,770 --> 00:09:23,075 I've drawn this curve such that society is indifferent 193 00:09:23,075 --> 00:09:24,325 between those two allocations. 194 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:30,090 And basically, these isowelfare curves will look 195 00:09:30,090 --> 00:09:32,000 just like our indifference curves. 196 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,620 So we've talked in this course about choosing between goods. 197 00:09:35,620 --> 00:09:38,300 We've talked about choosing between states of the world, 198 00:09:38,300 --> 00:09:39,800 injured not injured. 199 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:42,660 We've talked about choosing between periods of time, today 200 00:09:42,660 --> 00:09:44,090 versus tomorrow. 201 00:09:44,090 --> 00:09:46,220 Now I'm talking about the hardest one of all, choosing 202 00:09:46,220 --> 00:09:51,520 between people, choosing between the utility of people. 203 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:53,960 But it's the same damn principle, it's the same stuff 204 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:57,780 we've always done, which is there's some utility function, 205 00:09:57,780 --> 00:09:59,300 now we call it a social welfare function. 206 00:09:59,300 --> 00:10:02,330 You maximize it across its elements-- 207 00:10:02,330 --> 00:10:05,020 here it's the utility of Ned and Homer, and you develop 208 00:10:05,020 --> 00:10:06,190 some indifference curves. 209 00:10:06,190 --> 00:10:07,780 And they have all the properties indifference curves 210 00:10:07,780 --> 00:10:10,410 always had, further out is better, that a society is 211 00:10:10,410 --> 00:10:13,850 happier if both Ned and Homer have more, and along the 212 00:10:13,850 --> 00:10:16,760 curve, you're indifferent. 213 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:20,910 So these are representations of how society feels about 214 00:10:20,910 --> 00:10:23,090 transfers across people. 215 00:10:23,090 --> 00:10:26,190 So the big question then becomes, what does this social 216 00:10:26,190 --> 00:10:28,270 welfare function look like? 217 00:10:28,270 --> 00:10:30,580 Mathematically, how do you represent this incredibly hard 218 00:10:30,580 --> 00:10:34,790 question of the trade off across people? 219 00:10:34,790 --> 00:10:38,560 And this is an incredibly deep question, but the standard 220 00:10:38,560 --> 00:10:42,080 social welfare function that's used is something due to 221 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:45,190 Jeremy Bentham, a famous English philosopher. 222 00:10:45,190 --> 00:10:47,650 You can actually still see his head if you go to University 223 00:10:47,650 --> 00:10:49,390 College London. 224 00:10:49,390 --> 00:10:50,660 Actually, it's not a representation of his head, 225 00:10:50,660 --> 00:10:53,510 they actually had him stuffed and his head on display, but 226 00:10:53,510 --> 00:10:55,050 then apparently, students would take it at night and use 227 00:10:55,050 --> 00:10:56,060 it for soccer. 228 00:10:56,060 --> 00:10:57,880 So they now just have a representation of his head 229 00:10:57,880 --> 00:10:59,560 there at UCL. 230 00:10:59,560 --> 00:11:05,190 But Jeremy Bentham developed what we call utilitarianism, 231 00:11:05,190 --> 00:11:08,160 the utilitarian social welfare function. 232 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:13,160 And utilitarianism simply says that the social welfare of 233 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:21,100 society is simply the sum of each individual's utility. 234 00:11:21,100 --> 00:11:27,890 So u1 plus u2 plus dot dot dot plus u350 million. 235 00:11:27,890 --> 00:11:30,720 That's social welfare. 236 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:34,660 That is the social welfare of US society, is the sum of 237 00:11:34,660 --> 00:11:37,070 everyone's utility. 238 00:11:37,070 --> 00:11:39,000 Very straightforward. 239 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:42,650 So it's a linear social welfare function. 240 00:11:42,650 --> 00:11:47,530 So what this says is this says you would maximize social 241 00:11:47,530 --> 00:11:53,330 welfare by transferring from any one individual to any 242 00:11:53,330 --> 00:11:56,910 other individual, if the first individual has a higher 243 00:11:56,910 --> 00:12:00,090 utility that the second individual. 244 00:12:00,090 --> 00:12:04,750 So basically you maximize social welfare, is that 245 00:12:04,750 --> 00:12:07,300 basically if you-- 246 00:12:07,300 --> 00:12:08,620 I'm sorry, let me say it another way. 247 00:12:08,620 --> 00:12:13,350 If transferring $1 from me to you makes you better off than 248 00:12:13,350 --> 00:12:15,660 it makes me worse off, then we should do it. 249 00:12:18,590 --> 00:12:22,370 Now, your first instinct might be, well, this isn't very 250 00:12:22,370 --> 00:12:24,830 liberal in a sense, this is just saying everybody's 251 00:12:24,830 --> 00:12:25,680 utility is the same. 252 00:12:25,680 --> 00:12:28,590 That is, we consider Bill Gates is one of these people, 253 00:12:28,590 --> 00:12:30,110 and I'm one of these people, and you're one of these 254 00:12:30,110 --> 00:12:31,750 people, and the homeless guy in Harvard Square is one of 255 00:12:31,750 --> 00:12:32,540 these people. 256 00:12:32,540 --> 00:12:36,190 And they're all just added up. 257 00:12:36,190 --> 00:12:39,110 How is that fair? 258 00:12:39,110 --> 00:12:40,840 In fact, let me ask the question differently. 259 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:45,020 Why despite that is utilitarian wealth, social 260 00:12:45,020 --> 00:12:47,370 welfare function can it be perceived as fairly liberal, 261 00:12:47,370 --> 00:12:49,160 despite the fact that everyone just gets added up? 262 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:52,390 Why in fact is social welfare function that's utilitarian 263 00:12:52,390 --> 00:12:54,880 call for transfers from Bill Gates to homeless person? 264 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:55,360 Yeah? 265 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,290 AUDIENCE: [UNINTELLIGIBLE] 266 00:12:57,290 --> 00:12:58,400 PROFESSOR: Exactly. 267 00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:01,570 If you maximize social welfare, what it's going to 268 00:13:01,570 --> 00:13:04,870 say is set marginal utilities equal. 269 00:13:04,870 --> 00:13:06,910 If you differentiate this with respect to everybody's 270 00:13:06,910 --> 00:13:10,600 utility, you're going to get that the rule that you get 271 00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:13,610 from maximizing, the first order condition mathematically 272 00:13:13,610 --> 00:13:16,750 is going to be that everyone's margin utility should be equal 273 00:13:16,750 --> 00:13:18,930 with utilitarian social welfare function, which is 274 00:13:18,930 --> 00:13:20,820 very radical. 275 00:13:20,820 --> 00:13:23,550 That says that we should redistribute until Bill Gates 276 00:13:23,550 --> 00:13:27,850 has the same marginal utility as the homeless person. 277 00:13:27,850 --> 00:13:29,800 Thought of that way, that's incredibly radical 278 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:30,570 redistribution. 279 00:13:30,570 --> 00:13:32,420 It's not weighting Bill Gates equally to the homeless 280 00:13:32,420 --> 00:13:34,860 person, it's weighting his utility equal, but it's saying 281 00:13:34,860 --> 00:13:38,180 we should have massive transfers. 282 00:13:38,180 --> 00:13:41,950 In fact, basically we should equalize income in society, 283 00:13:41,950 --> 00:13:43,880 effectively. 284 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:47,470 That basically, what we should do is-- 285 00:13:47,470 --> 00:13:49,260 in fact, let me be more precise. 286 00:13:49,260 --> 00:13:52,360 If individuals are identical, which they're not, but if 287 00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:55,820 individuals had identical tastes, the utilitarian social 288 00:13:55,820 --> 00:13:58,860 welfare function would say that social welfare is 289 00:13:58,860 --> 00:14:02,580 maximized with an equal distribution of income. 290 00:14:02,580 --> 00:14:04,810 Pretty radical. 291 00:14:04,810 --> 00:14:07,570 If individuals are identical, social welfare is maximized 292 00:14:07,570 --> 00:14:09,920 with the equal distribution of income, despite the fact we 293 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,910 started with this pretty un-obnoxious looking function, 294 00:14:12,910 --> 00:14:14,850 we're simply going to weight everybody equally. 295 00:14:14,850 --> 00:14:16,700 We're not even saying we care more about poor people than 296 00:14:16,700 --> 00:14:18,730 rich people, we're saying weight everybody equally. 297 00:14:18,730 --> 00:14:22,030 That fairly innocuous looking function delivers the radical 298 00:14:22,030 --> 00:14:24,620 implication that if everyone is identical, we should have 299 00:14:24,620 --> 00:14:27,970 an equal distribution of income in society. 300 00:14:27,970 --> 00:14:30,770 And that's a typical social welfare function 301 00:14:30,770 --> 00:14:31,590 that we look at. 302 00:14:31,590 --> 00:14:35,485 But that actually is not considered really a 303 00:14:35,485 --> 00:14:36,840 particularly lefty social welfare function. 304 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:38,830 In fact, if you talk to the left side of the philosophical 305 00:14:38,830 --> 00:14:41,380 distribution, they'll say this is not an 306 00:14:41,380 --> 00:14:43,610 appropriate measure to use. 307 00:14:43,610 --> 00:14:49,350 They much prefer something like the Rawlsian criteria, 308 00:14:49,350 --> 00:14:52,506 named for the philosopher John Rawls. 309 00:14:52,506 --> 00:14:57,370 The Rawlsian social welfare function is that the role that 310 00:14:57,370 --> 00:15:01,430 society's goal should be to maximize the well-being of its 311 00:15:01,430 --> 00:15:03,780 worst off member. 312 00:15:03,780 --> 00:15:07,720 That a fair and just society is one which maximizes the 313 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:11,000 well-being of the worst off person in society. 314 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:18,610 So that says social welfare is equal to the min of u1, u2, 315 00:15:18,610 --> 00:15:19,860 dot dot dot dot. 316 00:15:23,100 --> 00:15:25,330 So it's a max-a-min criteria. 317 00:15:25,330 --> 00:15:30,120 You want to maximize the min, maximize the minimum utility 318 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:33,130 in society is the Rawlsian social welfare function. 319 00:15:35,780 --> 00:15:44,980 Now, in some situations, this can deliver-- 320 00:15:44,980 --> 00:15:48,820 in fact, if everyone's identical, this would deliver 321 00:15:48,820 --> 00:15:51,820 in many cases the same outcome as utilitarianism. 322 00:15:51,820 --> 00:15:54,750 But in some cases, it's much more radically lefty. 323 00:15:54,750 --> 00:15:56,340 Think about it this way. 324 00:15:56,340 --> 00:16:01,500 Suppose we had a situation where everybody but me and 325 00:16:01,500 --> 00:16:05,940 you, but me and this guy have equal incomes. 326 00:16:05,940 --> 00:16:10,070 Everybody in the world's equal income is at $40,000. 327 00:16:10,070 --> 00:16:14,490 But my income is $1 million, and his income is $39,999, 328 00:16:14,490 --> 00:16:19,300 he's got $1 less income than the rest of you. 329 00:16:19,300 --> 00:16:22,080 And let's say that a new government is running for 330 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:25,200 office that proposes to take away all of my money, so I'm 331 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,480 down to $40,000, and give him $1 and 332 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,242 bring him up to $40,000. 333 00:16:30,242 --> 00:16:33,060 Now in utilitarianism, that would not be an appropriate 334 00:16:33,060 --> 00:16:36,120 thing to do, because clearly my utility is going to fall 335 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:38,580 more from going from 1 million to 40,000 than his is going to 336 00:16:38,580 --> 00:16:42,240 go from going 39,999 to 40,000. 337 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:45,020 So under utilitarianism this would be a bad thing to do. 338 00:16:45,020 --> 00:16:47,280 But in Rawlsianism, it'd be a good thing to do, because he's 339 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:48,780 the worst off member. 340 00:16:48,780 --> 00:16:51,320 So it doesn't matter what happens to me, it only matters 341 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,200 what happens to him. 342 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:55,640 So Rawlsiansim is an incredibly radical theory, 343 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,510 which posits that we only care what happens to the poorest 344 00:16:58,510 --> 00:17:01,190 guy, even if we have to like take all the money away from 345 00:17:01,190 --> 00:17:02,980 the richest guys, we don't care. 346 00:17:02,980 --> 00:17:06,579 We only care about what happens to the poorest guy. 347 00:17:06,579 --> 00:17:11,490 So that's a very radical sort of lefty view of how we should 348 00:17:11,490 --> 00:17:12,740 think about distribution. 349 00:17:14,980 --> 00:17:20,020 On the other hand, we have a very radical-- 350 00:17:20,020 --> 00:17:22,829 well, some would say a more radical view on the right, 351 00:17:22,829 --> 00:17:29,430 which is a Nozickian social welfare function, named for 352 00:17:29,430 --> 00:17:33,830 the philosopher Robert Nozick, also at Harvard. 353 00:17:33,830 --> 00:17:35,960 Rawls and Nozick were both at Harvard. 354 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:37,880 Nozick said this is just way too radical. 355 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:40,490 He said utilitarianism is way too radical, way 356 00:17:40,490 --> 00:17:41,660 too far to the left. 357 00:17:41,660 --> 00:17:43,450 Forget Rawlsianiasm, that's just nutty. 358 00:17:43,450 --> 00:17:45,420 Even utilitarianism is way too far to the left, because he 359 00:17:45,420 --> 00:17:50,040 says, basically what should matter in society is an equal 360 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:53,160 distribution of resources-- 361 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:56,110 I'm sorry, an equal distribution of opportunities. 362 00:17:56,110 --> 00:17:58,850 And conditional on equal distribution of opportunities, 363 00:17:58,850 --> 00:18:01,190 if individuals take those opportunities and choose to do 364 00:18:01,190 --> 00:18:03,400 outcomes which give them different incomes, that's 365 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:05,190 their problem. 366 00:18:05,190 --> 00:18:08,460 So for example, let's say that we started with everyone in 367 00:18:08,460 --> 00:18:12,580 the world started with an equal distribution of income. 368 00:18:12,580 --> 00:18:16,150 But let's say that MIT students loved to hear me 369 00:18:16,150 --> 00:18:20,320 lecture, and were willing to pay $100 to hear me lecture. 370 00:18:20,320 --> 00:18:23,750 And so at the end of the year, every MIT student ended up 371 00:18:23,750 --> 00:18:27,430 $100 poorer and I ended up a ton richer. 372 00:18:27,430 --> 00:18:29,670 Well, under both utilitarianism, and certainly 373 00:18:29,670 --> 00:18:33,180 under Rawlsiansim, that is an outcome which is not social 374 00:18:33,180 --> 00:18:36,550 welfare maximizing, because I don't care about that last 375 00:18:36,550 --> 00:18:38,180 $100 whereas you guys care a little bit about 376 00:18:38,180 --> 00:18:40,310 giving up the $100. 377 00:18:40,310 --> 00:18:42,390 So clearly social welfare would be maximized if I gave 378 00:18:42,390 --> 00:18:44,660 some of that money back to you. 379 00:18:44,660 --> 00:18:46,880 Under Rawlsianism, clearly I should give it all back to 380 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:51,610 you, because all we care about is you guys being $100 poorer. 381 00:18:51,610 --> 00:18:52,850 Nozick says this is crazy. 382 00:18:52,850 --> 00:18:55,690 This is a voluntary transaction. 383 00:18:55,690 --> 00:18:59,890 You guys voluntarily paid me $100, making me richer. 384 00:18:59,890 --> 00:19:03,060 Why should there be any redistribution? 385 00:19:03,060 --> 00:19:05,100 Why should social welfare be any lower from that 386 00:19:05,100 --> 00:19:06,710 transaction? 387 00:19:06,710 --> 00:19:08,380 How could a voluntary transaction 388 00:19:08,380 --> 00:19:10,280 lower social welfare? 389 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:16,100 And this is sort of a right wing approach to thinking 390 00:19:16,100 --> 00:19:19,210 about social welfare, which is look, everybody should have 391 00:19:19,210 --> 00:19:21,730 equal opportunities. 392 00:19:21,730 --> 00:19:23,520 It's not fair to have some person not have access to 393 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:24,420 education and things. 394 00:19:24,420 --> 00:19:27,120 But once everybody's got equal opportunities, there's no 395 00:19:27,120 --> 00:19:29,090 reason why if you make voluntary choices that lead to 396 00:19:29,090 --> 00:19:32,680 unequal distribution of income we should care. 397 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:36,030 Now this is actually very compelling. 398 00:19:36,030 --> 00:19:40,530 It has a lot of merit, and really should make us think 399 00:19:40,530 --> 00:19:42,140 about our emphasis should be on 400 00:19:42,140 --> 00:19:44,430 opportunities rather than outcomes. 401 00:19:44,430 --> 00:19:48,480 But it has one flaw, which is that in fact, most of the 402 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:52,375 differences in society aren't due to choices, but rather due 403 00:19:52,375 --> 00:19:56,890 to outcomes outside people's control, often just luck. 404 00:19:56,890 --> 00:20:00,210 So basically, if it was true that we all started equal and 405 00:20:00,210 --> 00:20:03,460 that any differences in income came through our choices, then 406 00:20:03,460 --> 00:20:06,000 this would be a very powerful way of looking at the world. 407 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,580 But in fact, if you look at most differences in income 408 00:20:08,580 --> 00:20:10,890 across people, they're not due to their choices, or to 409 00:20:10,890 --> 00:20:12,720 effort, or to other things you can actually figure out how to 410 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:14,460 measure, they're due to unmeasured things. 411 00:20:14,460 --> 00:20:17,160 Often it looks like luck. 412 00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:22,952 And in that case, you would care about the fact that I end 413 00:20:22,952 --> 00:20:24,150 up richer than you. 414 00:20:24,150 --> 00:20:25,420 So if I end up richer than you because you're willing to pay 415 00:20:25,420 --> 00:20:26,090 me, that's one thing. 416 00:20:26,090 --> 00:20:27,740 But if I'm richer than you just because I won the lottery 417 00:20:27,740 --> 00:20:32,060 and you didn't, that's a different thing altogether. 418 00:20:32,060 --> 00:20:35,690 And so basically, whether how we feel about the equality of 419 00:20:35,690 --> 00:20:39,230 opportunities view versus the equality of outcomes view 420 00:20:39,230 --> 00:20:41,450 depends very much on what we think is the source of 421 00:20:41,450 --> 00:20:42,860 difference in incomes. 422 00:20:42,860 --> 00:20:47,050 If we think it has to do with effort and choices, then 423 00:20:47,050 --> 00:20:50,410 people can often favor this view, that if people by their 424 00:20:50,410 --> 00:20:52,880 effort and choices made more money, let them keep it. 425 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:56,040 But if people made more money through luck and things beyond 426 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,810 their control, then people tend towards more this view, 427 00:20:58,810 --> 00:21:01,010 saying look, if you got your money through luck and things, 428 00:21:01,010 --> 00:21:03,010 there's no reason why we should have such an unequal 429 00:21:03,010 --> 00:21:04,630 distribution of income. 430 00:21:04,630 --> 00:21:07,270 And that's sort of another tension in thinking about 431 00:21:07,270 --> 00:21:08,600 these social welfare functions. 432 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,630 There are no right answers here. 433 00:21:10,630 --> 00:21:12,395 I don't mean through my tone or word choice to imply 434 00:21:12,395 --> 00:21:13,130 there's any right answer. 435 00:21:13,130 --> 00:21:15,400 I'm just trying to lay out the arguments for these different 436 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,750 ways of thinking about it. 437 00:21:18,750 --> 00:21:23,480 Then finally, the last way we could think about it, and to 438 00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:26,430 many people, really the most compelling, is through what we 439 00:21:26,430 --> 00:21:27,940 call commodity egalitarianism. 440 00:21:36,030 --> 00:21:39,140 Commodity egalitarianism, which is a fancy name for 441 00:21:39,140 --> 00:21:43,360 saying look, it doesn't matter who has what. 442 00:21:43,360 --> 00:21:46,960 It just matters that everybody can survive. 443 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:49,313 This is kind of like a reinterpretation of Rawls. 444 00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,600 It's almost a mix of Rawls and Nozick in a way. 445 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:57,670 It's saying look, what matters is that people aren't 446 00:21:57,670 --> 00:22:00,790 starving, that they have decent shelter, decent health 447 00:22:00,790 --> 00:22:03,060 care, et cetera, you can define your minimum. 448 00:22:03,060 --> 00:22:07,570 But once you've defined a minimum, we shouldn't care 449 00:22:07,570 --> 00:22:09,520 about how rich people get beyond that minimum. 450 00:22:12,310 --> 00:22:16,180 So basically, the key thing is that we should not care-- 451 00:22:16,180 --> 00:22:18,690 what commodity egalitarianism focuses on, the insight it 452 00:22:18,690 --> 00:22:21,390 brings, which is an important one, is it's not clear why 453 00:22:21,390 --> 00:22:22,780 relative should matter. 454 00:22:22,780 --> 00:22:24,740 What should matter is absolute. 455 00:22:24,740 --> 00:22:26,040 It's not clear why I should care how much 456 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:27,770 richer I am than you. 457 00:22:27,770 --> 00:22:30,010 We should just care that you have enough to live a decent, 458 00:22:30,010 --> 00:22:31,420 socially acceptable life. 459 00:22:31,420 --> 00:22:35,290 And then if I want to get rich, God bless me. 460 00:22:35,290 --> 00:22:38,490 So it's kind of like saying we care about the minimum, but 461 00:22:38,490 --> 00:22:40,270 it's not all we care about. 462 00:22:40,270 --> 00:22:42,420 We care about making sure there's a minimum decent 463 00:22:42,420 --> 00:22:45,060 standard of living, defined however you want to do it. 464 00:22:45,060 --> 00:22:46,100 Different people choose choose different things. 465 00:22:46,100 --> 00:22:47,965 For some people, it's just food and shelter. 466 00:22:47,965 --> 00:22:50,170 Other people could include health care, or clothing, or 467 00:22:50,170 --> 00:22:51,330 other things. 468 00:22:51,330 --> 00:22:53,230 I'm not saying what the right minimum is. 469 00:22:53,230 --> 00:22:56,500 Let's define some minimum, and then say beyond that if guys 470 00:22:56,500 --> 00:22:57,940 get rich, God bless them. 471 00:22:57,940 --> 00:23:01,680 That's their prerogative, as long as the poor people have 472 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:03,870 enough to survive. 473 00:23:03,870 --> 00:23:06,490 And this is an incredibly interesting, compelling view, 474 00:23:06,490 --> 00:23:08,680 because it's a radically different view, which says 475 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:11,480 relatives don't matter, absolutes are all that matter. 476 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,655 All they're making sure is that the absolutely people at 477 00:23:13,655 --> 00:23:17,490 the bottom have a decent standard of living. 478 00:23:17,490 --> 00:23:20,980 And that's a very different view as well. 479 00:23:20,980 --> 00:23:25,750 So basically, social welfare, when we talked about utility 480 00:23:25,750 --> 00:23:27,595 functions, I didn't really talk much, I just said, you 481 00:23:27,595 --> 00:23:28,970 write down a utility function, we often use 482 00:23:28,970 --> 00:23:30,790 square root of c, whatever. 483 00:23:30,790 --> 00:23:32,530 I didn't really talk much about the form, I just said it 484 00:23:32,530 --> 00:23:34,250 should have diminishing marginal utility, and 485 00:23:34,250 --> 00:23:36,470 otherwise I said sort of all bets are off. 486 00:23:36,470 --> 00:23:39,450 With social welfare functions, it's a lot more open-ended and 487 00:23:39,450 --> 00:23:41,520 a lot harder, and we don't even really know what the 488 00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:42,790 right standards are. 489 00:23:42,790 --> 00:23:48,090 But it's just saying that we can't get away from asking 490 00:23:48,090 --> 00:23:49,540 this awkward question. 491 00:23:49,540 --> 00:23:51,960 Because ultimately society does end up with an unequal 492 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:55,040 distribution of resources, and given that, we can't get away 493 00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:58,180 from asking the question of how do we feel about that? 494 00:23:58,180 --> 00:24:01,960 Economics is about asking uncomfortable questions. 495 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,330 And this is an uncomfortable question we have to answer, 496 00:24:04,330 --> 00:24:06,150 which is how do we feel about different 497 00:24:06,150 --> 00:24:08,400 distribution of income. 498 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:09,690 And the reason this is an issue-- 499 00:24:09,690 --> 00:24:10,030 Yeah? 500 00:24:10,030 --> 00:24:11,280 AUDIENCE: [UNINTELLIGIBLE] 501 00:24:15,590 --> 00:24:17,050 PROFESSOR: That's a great question. 502 00:24:17,050 --> 00:24:18,270 I don't know. 503 00:24:18,270 --> 00:24:19,730 I wouldn't ask you to write it down. 504 00:24:19,730 --> 00:24:21,930 I mean, it's a much more complicated-- there's not a 505 00:24:21,930 --> 00:24:23,550 simple mathematical function with your Nozick 506 00:24:23,550 --> 00:24:24,850 or commodity egal. 507 00:24:24,850 --> 00:24:26,300 Commodity egalitarianism, I guess the 508 00:24:26,300 --> 00:24:28,330 function would be that-- 509 00:24:28,330 --> 00:24:31,300 the social welfare function would be that there's some 510 00:24:31,300 --> 00:24:33,520 minimum u bar. 511 00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,960 Below u bar, we have an infinite weight on you in our 512 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:37,900 social welfare function. 513 00:24:37,900 --> 00:24:40,810 But once you get to u bar, we only care about you the same 514 00:24:40,810 --> 00:24:42,060 as everybody else. 515 00:24:42,060 --> 00:24:43,810 That would be sort of commodity egalitarianism. 516 00:24:43,810 --> 00:24:47,550 Nozick, I don't know how you write it down mathematically. 517 00:24:47,550 --> 00:24:48,860 Why does this matter? 518 00:24:48,860 --> 00:24:51,670 This matters because it turns out in society we do have a 519 00:24:51,670 --> 00:24:53,870 very unequal distribution of resources. 520 00:24:53,870 --> 00:24:58,320 So to see that, let's go to the next page, figure 23-2, 521 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,860 this is from my textbook that I use for my 522 00:25:01,860 --> 00:25:04,420 course on public policy. 523 00:25:04,420 --> 00:25:06,920 And this shows the income received by 524 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:08,010 quintile in the US. 525 00:25:08,010 --> 00:25:09,650 Let me explain what this table means. 526 00:25:09,650 --> 00:25:13,910 Each row is a fifth of the population. 527 00:25:13,910 --> 00:25:16,900 If we had an equal distribution of income, then 528 00:25:16,900 --> 00:25:19,530 each of these numbers would be 20%. 529 00:25:19,530 --> 00:25:22,100 Each fifth of the population would have a 530 00:25:22,100 --> 00:25:24,310 fifth of the income. 531 00:25:24,310 --> 00:25:25,630 But that's not true. 532 00:25:25,630 --> 00:25:30,850 So if you look at 1967, the poorest 20% of people only 533 00:25:30,850 --> 00:25:33,440 earned 4% of the income. 534 00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,710 And the richest 20% of people earned 44% of the income, or 535 00:25:36,710 --> 00:25:41,200 11 times as much, 43.8, about 11 times as much. 536 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:44,780 That's an unequal distribution of income. 537 00:25:44,780 --> 00:25:46,600 What's interesting is you can see over 538 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:47,530 time how it's changed. 539 00:25:47,530 --> 00:25:50,090 From 1967 to 1980, things actually got 540 00:25:50,090 --> 00:25:51,740 a little more equal. 541 00:25:51,740 --> 00:25:54,380 The poorest share actually grew, and the richest share 542 00:25:54,380 --> 00:25:56,290 fell a bit. 543 00:25:56,290 --> 00:25:59,120 Then this since 1980, things have gotten a lot more 544 00:25:59,120 --> 00:26:04,180 unequal, to the point where in 2007, the poorest 20% of 545 00:26:04,180 --> 00:26:06,470 people only controlled 3.4% of our resources. 546 00:26:06,470 --> 00:26:11,050 That is, 1/33 of all resources in society go to the bottom 547 00:26:11,050 --> 00:26:14,810 20% of the income distribution, whereas 1/2 go 548 00:26:14,810 --> 00:26:16,450 to the top 20% of the income distribution. 549 00:26:16,450 --> 00:26:20,420 So the richest 20% of people get half the income that's 550 00:26:20,420 --> 00:26:21,110 earned in the US. 551 00:26:21,110 --> 00:26:24,660 The poorest 20% of people get 1/33 of the income that's 552 00:26:24,660 --> 00:26:26,010 earned in the US. 553 00:26:26,010 --> 00:26:28,350 So this is why this stuff matters, because there is 554 00:26:28,350 --> 00:26:30,840 inequality in practice. 555 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,050 In fact, it matters a lot in the US in particular because 556 00:26:33,050 --> 00:26:34,970 the next table shows how we do relative to 557 00:26:34,970 --> 00:26:36,900 the rest of the world. 558 00:26:36,900 --> 00:26:39,280 So this compares us to what's called the OECD countries. 559 00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:41,540 OECD is the organization for economically something 560 00:26:41,540 --> 00:26:43,820 something, it's a French acronym. 561 00:26:43,820 --> 00:26:48,510 And basically, it's sort of close to developed countries. 562 00:26:48,510 --> 00:26:50,400 It's a first and second world if you will. 563 00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:54,710 It's different years because the data is collected at 564 00:26:54,710 --> 00:26:55,420 different frequencies. 565 00:26:55,420 --> 00:26:58,010 But the rough facts are constant over time. 566 00:26:58,010 --> 00:27:01,510 This shows the share of income in each of the quintiles 567 00:27:01,510 --> 00:27:04,200 across all this list of countries. 568 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,450 And the bottom next to last row shows the unweighted 569 00:27:07,450 --> 00:27:11,740 average across these developed countries compared to the US. 570 00:27:11,740 --> 00:27:15,240 What you see is we are the second most unequal nation on 571 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:18,030 this list other than Mexico. 572 00:27:18,030 --> 00:27:20,500 We are more unequal than any other nation on this list. On 573 00:27:20,500 --> 00:27:25,380 average, the poorest 20% of society has more than twice as 574 00:27:25,380 --> 00:27:29,740 much in other countries, whereas the richest 20% has 575 00:27:29,740 --> 00:27:33,130 about 20% less, 40% of the resources instead of 50% of 576 00:27:33,130 --> 00:27:35,580 the resources. 577 00:27:35,580 --> 00:27:38,100 And so what you see is we have a much more unequal 578 00:27:38,100 --> 00:27:42,650 distribution of income than any other major economy except 579 00:27:42,650 --> 00:27:43,900 for Mexico. 580 00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:50,230 So basically, this says we have an incredibly unequal 581 00:27:50,230 --> 00:27:54,320 distribution in American society by some absolute 582 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:56,930 standard, just if you look at the numbers, it seems unequal, 583 00:27:56,930 --> 00:27:59,820 and relative to the rest of the world. 584 00:27:59,820 --> 00:28:02,890 No country in history has ever had all these numbers be 20%. 585 00:28:02,890 --> 00:28:04,780 Societies are always unequal, the 586 00:28:04,780 --> 00:28:06,200 question is just how unequal. 587 00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:08,310 And compared to the rest of the world at least, we seem 588 00:28:08,310 --> 00:28:11,000 pretty unequal. 589 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:14,740 So that says that under a utilitarian function, or 590 00:28:14,740 --> 00:28:17,730 especially in a Rawlsian function, we should worry that 591 00:28:17,730 --> 00:28:21,750 we're not maximizing social welfare. 592 00:28:21,750 --> 00:28:25,340 Under a utilitarian social welfare function, at least, 593 00:28:25,340 --> 00:28:27,200 it's going to be hard to think whether it maximizes social 594 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:28,470 welfare when there's such an unequal 595 00:28:28,470 --> 00:28:31,140 distribution of resources. 596 00:28:31,140 --> 00:28:33,030 Certainly in a Rawlsian function we're not. 597 00:28:33,030 --> 00:28:35,510 Nozick, who the hell knows. 598 00:28:35,510 --> 00:28:38,780 That depends on where we start with opportunities, how much 599 00:28:38,780 --> 00:28:41,620 is due to choice and how much is due to luck. 600 00:28:41,620 --> 00:28:44,570 But of course, this doesn't speak at all to the last view, 601 00:28:44,570 --> 00:28:47,910 which is a commodity egalitarianism view, which 602 00:28:47,910 --> 00:28:49,840 says none of this matters. 603 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:51,860 All that matters is the measure of absolute 604 00:28:51,860 --> 00:28:53,270 deprivation. 605 00:28:53,270 --> 00:28:55,950 And we have such a measure in the US, it's called the 606 00:28:55,950 --> 00:28:57,200 poverty line. 607 00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,510 The poverty line is a concept that was actually thought up 608 00:29:04,510 --> 00:29:08,040 by the mid-level government bureaucrat in the 1960s. 609 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,500 What this woman, Molly Orshansky, did is she said 610 00:29:11,500 --> 00:29:14,890 look, the typical family in the US spends about a third of 611 00:29:14,890 --> 00:29:17,470 their income on food. 612 00:29:17,470 --> 00:29:20,230 Let's figure out what a minimally nutritionally 613 00:29:20,230 --> 00:29:21,600 adequate diet costs. 614 00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:24,010 That is, how much do you have to spend on food to have at 615 00:29:24,010 --> 00:29:26,250 least a minimally adequate diet. 616 00:29:26,250 --> 00:29:30,320 No Starbucks, no Outback Steakhouse, just enough to 617 00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:33,490 actually have a nutritionally adequate diet, and then let's 618 00:29:33,490 --> 00:29:35,790 multiply it by three, and we'll call that what a family 619 00:29:35,790 --> 00:29:37,650 needs to live in the US. 620 00:29:37,650 --> 00:29:40,550 Food's typically a third of consumption, let's figure out 621 00:29:40,550 --> 00:29:42,850 a minimally adequate diet, multiply it by three, call it 622 00:29:42,850 --> 00:29:45,280 the poverty line. 623 00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:48,300 And basically, we've taken this exercise and 624 00:29:48,300 --> 00:29:49,210 used it ever since. 625 00:29:49,210 --> 00:29:53,150 We simply update it by inflation to see how the 626 00:29:53,150 --> 00:29:56,450 poverty line changes over time. 627 00:29:56,450 --> 00:29:58,600 So basically, we've just taken this concept and updated it by 628 00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:00,390 inflation over time. 629 00:30:00,390 --> 00:30:04,190 The result of what you get is in figure 23-4. 630 00:30:04,190 --> 00:30:07,740 This shows the US poverty line in 2006. 631 00:30:07,740 --> 00:30:10,840 Actually, this is mislabeled, it's 2009 actually. 632 00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,980 It's a typo in my book. 633 00:30:13,980 --> 00:30:18,610 What this says is that for a family of one, the minimum 634 00:30:18,610 --> 00:30:24,240 standard that you need to live is $10,830. 635 00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,450 And it goes up with family size because more people need 636 00:30:26,450 --> 00:30:28,090 more to eat. 637 00:30:28,090 --> 00:30:32,960 Now, if you are from Mississippi or maybe North 638 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:36,280 Dakota, this might look like kind of a reasonably large 639 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:37,270 number to you. 640 00:30:37,270 --> 00:30:39,725 If you're from Boston, this looks like insane, like how 641 00:30:39,725 --> 00:30:43,335 could someone live on $10,830 a year in Boston, New York, or 642 00:30:43,335 --> 00:30:45,960 DC, or San Francisco, or any major city? 643 00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:47,740 And the answer is they can't. 644 00:30:47,740 --> 00:30:51,060 The answer is that the poverty line has not been kept up 645 00:30:51,060 --> 00:30:54,120 appropriately, because we've simply taken this number and 646 00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:56,820 inflated it by inflation over time, but it hasn't accounted 647 00:30:56,820 --> 00:30:58,110 for the fact that people's consumption 648 00:30:58,110 --> 00:30:59,290 bundles have changed. 649 00:30:59,290 --> 00:31:02,190 In particular, food is no longer a third of the typical 650 00:31:02,190 --> 00:31:05,230 person's consumption bundle, it's now 1/6. 651 00:31:05,230 --> 00:31:07,170 So in fact, the poverty line should be much, much higher 652 00:31:07,170 --> 00:31:10,020 than it is, but it hasn't been updated over time in a 653 00:31:10,020 --> 00:31:11,340 meaningful way. 654 00:31:11,340 --> 00:31:14,620 So you can think this is a very low minimum standard for 655 00:31:14,620 --> 00:31:16,790 what people need to live, and certainly below what anyone 656 00:31:16,790 --> 00:31:18,590 needs to live in any major metropolitan area. 657 00:31:21,870 --> 00:31:24,220 That said, we can look at what's happened to the share 658 00:31:24,220 --> 00:31:26,870 of population in poverty, and that's in figure 23-5. 659 00:31:26,870 --> 00:31:28,890 So here's the sort of commodity egalitarianism thing 660 00:31:28,890 --> 00:31:32,410 to look at, which is what's happened to poverty. 661 00:31:32,410 --> 00:31:34,880 And what you see is there was a massive decline in poverty 662 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,130 for everyone in the 1960s to early '70s. 663 00:31:38,130 --> 00:31:41,560 We call this the War On Poverty under the Kennedy and 664 00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:46,100 Johnson administrations, a huge reduction in poverty. 665 00:31:46,100 --> 00:31:50,780 What you see is that since about 1970, that reduction has 666 00:31:50,780 --> 00:31:53,270 continued for one group, for the elderly, their poverty 667 00:31:53,270 --> 00:31:54,430 rates continued to fall. 668 00:31:54,430 --> 00:31:58,960 So in 1959, 35% of elderly people lived in poverty. 669 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,480 Then through massive expanses of a program we'll learn about 670 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:05,640 in a couple of lectures called Social Security, that fell, so 671 00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,480 that today, only about 10% of elderly 672 00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,020 people live in poverty. 673 00:32:10,020 --> 00:32:12,010 On the other hand, for everyone else, and especially 674 00:32:12,010 --> 00:32:15,000 for kids, it's basically flattened out or increased 675 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,280 since 1970. 676 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:20,305 So basically, overall poverty rate hit about 13% in 1970, 677 00:32:20,305 --> 00:32:22,210 and it's been pretty flat since. 678 00:32:22,210 --> 00:32:25,440 For kids, it fell to about 15%, and it's been 679 00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:26,220 bounced up and down. 680 00:32:26,220 --> 00:32:28,770 It's now back up to about 20%. 681 00:32:28,770 --> 00:32:32,850 So from a commodity egalitarianism view, even if 682 00:32:32,850 --> 00:32:36,060 we take the poverty line as a minimum acceptable level, 683 00:32:36,060 --> 00:32:38,740 there are currently about 40 million families in the US 684 00:32:38,740 --> 00:32:40,420 living below poverty. 685 00:32:40,420 --> 00:32:43,710 40 million people, I'm sorry, living below the poverty line. 686 00:32:43,710 --> 00:32:47,460 So even at this minimum standard, we've got a failure 687 00:32:47,460 --> 00:32:48,620 of redistribution. 688 00:32:48,620 --> 00:32:51,460 We're not maximizing social welfare given that we've got 689 00:32:51,460 --> 00:32:55,410 40 million people living below this standard. 690 00:32:55,410 --> 00:32:59,640 So based on whatever standard you want to use, except the 691 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:03,070 hard to evaluate Nozickian standard, we're clearly not 692 00:33:03,070 --> 00:33:04,810 maximizing social welfare at the current 693 00:33:04,810 --> 00:33:06,240 distribution of income. 694 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:08,170 We've got an incredibly unequal distribution of 695 00:33:08,170 --> 00:33:10,460 income, and even if all we care about is making sure 696 00:33:10,460 --> 00:33:12,990 people have a decent standard of living, we're also failing 697 00:33:12,990 --> 00:33:15,680 on that standard for upwards of 40 million people. 698 00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:17,940 For a more realistic poverty line, it might be more like 60 699 00:33:17,940 --> 00:33:20,410 or 70 million people. 700 00:33:20,410 --> 00:33:25,010 So clearly there is an argument here for some income 701 00:33:25,010 --> 00:33:28,310 redistribution, whatever your social welfare function is. 702 00:33:28,310 --> 00:33:29,190 So we can write down-- 703 00:33:29,190 --> 00:33:30,640 I'm not going to ask you to write down mathematically 704 00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:32,750 social welfare function and maximize it and solve for 705 00:33:32,750 --> 00:33:35,340 outcomes and stuff like that, but what I want to leave you 706 00:33:35,340 --> 00:33:37,890 with here is simply two points. 707 00:33:37,890 --> 00:33:42,560 First of all, there are lots of reasons why we might want 708 00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,720 income redistribution in society under any of these 709 00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:47,360 alternatives. 710 00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:48,655 That's point one. 711 00:33:48,655 --> 00:33:51,870 Point 2 is our current distribution of resources 712 00:33:51,870 --> 00:33:55,740 seems sufficiently unequal that we likely do want some 713 00:33:55,740 --> 00:33:59,110 redistribution of resources in society. 714 00:33:59,110 --> 00:34:02,030 For most social welfare functions you can write down, 715 00:34:02,030 --> 00:34:05,010 given the facts I've shown you, we would not be 716 00:34:05,010 --> 00:34:08,139 maximizing social welfare at the current distribution of 717 00:34:08,139 --> 00:34:09,389 income in society. 718 00:34:11,370 --> 00:34:13,150 I'm trying to couch this in a way that doesn't make me 719 00:34:13,150 --> 00:34:14,760 particularly lefty or righty. 720 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,520 I'm just trying to couch this in a way which just draws on 721 00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,300 the uncomfortable fact that we have to talk about this. 722 00:34:20,300 --> 00:34:22,480 We have to talk about income redistribution. 723 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,929 The only way to do so is to have some framework. 724 00:34:24,929 --> 00:34:27,510 I've given you four frameworks and said under all of them, or 725 00:34:27,510 --> 00:34:30,980 at least most of them, we would be uncomfortable with 726 00:34:30,980 --> 00:34:34,159 the existing distribution of income in society. 727 00:34:34,159 --> 00:34:35,409 Questions about that? 728 00:34:37,989 --> 00:34:40,040 So what do we do about that? 729 00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:44,820 What do we do about the fact that we have unequal 730 00:34:44,820 --> 00:34:46,150 distribution of resources in society? 731 00:34:46,150 --> 00:34:47,989 Well, we redistribute. 732 00:34:47,989 --> 00:34:50,610 We say look, let's get out Okun's bucket and start 733 00:34:50,610 --> 00:34:52,710 carrying some money around. 734 00:34:52,710 --> 00:34:54,630 We don't like the fact that there's people living in 735 00:34:54,630 --> 00:34:55,500 poverty who can't eat. 736 00:34:55,500 --> 00:34:56,989 We don't like the fact that the poor have so much less 737 00:34:56,989 --> 00:34:58,090 than the rich. 738 00:34:58,090 --> 00:35:00,200 Let's start redistributing. 739 00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:04,550 Once you do that is you have to recognize 740 00:35:04,550 --> 00:35:06,720 the leak in the bucket. 741 00:35:06,720 --> 00:35:09,320 And recognize there's a trade off, that it's not so simple 742 00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:11,000 as saying, fine, let's take from the rich and give to the 743 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:15,130 poor, because there's a leak in the bucket. 744 00:35:15,130 --> 00:35:18,040 And so that as we take from the rich and give to the poor, 745 00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:21,560 we shrink the total size of social welfare. 746 00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:24,760 And that gives a trade off. 747 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:30,270 And in particular, there's two sources of leakage that we 748 00:35:30,270 --> 00:35:32,560 have to think about. 749 00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:35,870 The first source of leakage is that when you tax a rich 750 00:35:35,870 --> 00:35:41,260 person to take their money away, they work less hard. 751 00:35:41,260 --> 00:35:43,690 And when they work less hard, there's less goods produced in 752 00:35:43,690 --> 00:35:47,360 society, and that shrinks the pie. 753 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:49,140 The other source of leakage you have to think about is 754 00:35:49,140 --> 00:35:52,790 that when you give money to poor people, they may 755 00:35:52,790 --> 00:35:57,320 themselves quit their jobs to qualify as poor so they can 756 00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:01,170 get the money, and that further shrinks the pie. 757 00:36:01,170 --> 00:36:05,040 So both the taxing the rich and the giving to the poor are 758 00:36:05,040 --> 00:36:07,670 sources of leakage in the bucket. 759 00:36:07,670 --> 00:36:09,860 And that's a trade off with dealing with these enormous 760 00:36:09,860 --> 00:36:13,850 distributional problems that I laid out. 761 00:36:13,850 --> 00:36:16,580 So let's just go through one example, general example to 762 00:36:16,580 --> 00:36:18,650 make this point. 763 00:36:18,650 --> 00:36:23,820 Let's say we have a society where everyone is equal, and 764 00:36:23,820 --> 00:36:28,000 everyone earns a wage of $20 an hour. 765 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:30,160 Equal society, everyone's equal in terms of their 766 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:35,470 underlying preferences, and everyone earns $20 an hour. 767 00:36:35,470 --> 00:36:39,750 But people work different amounts of hours. 768 00:36:39,750 --> 00:36:41,620 Now they could work these different amount of hours 769 00:36:41,620 --> 00:36:44,860 because they're lazy, Nozick might say. 770 00:36:44,860 --> 00:36:46,200 They could work these different amount of hours 771 00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:50,450 because they just can't find a job, or because they're 772 00:36:50,450 --> 00:36:53,610 disabled, or because they're not skilled enough to work a 773 00:36:53,610 --> 00:36:54,520 full-time job. 774 00:36:54,520 --> 00:36:56,740 Whatever the reason is, we're going to stay away from what 775 00:36:56,740 --> 00:36:57,410 that reason is. 776 00:36:57,410 --> 00:36:59,200 Although obviously, what the reason is matters for these 777 00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:00,580 social welfare functions. 778 00:37:00,580 --> 00:37:02,740 Let's just say we have a society where everyone earns 779 00:37:02,740 --> 00:37:05,800 $20 an hour, but we have a distribution on how many hours 780 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,460 people work. 781 00:37:08,460 --> 00:37:13,560 And let's say that we want to start with a commodity 782 00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:16,320 egalitarianism view, and say we want to make sure that 783 00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:17,410 everyone has enough to eat. 784 00:37:17,410 --> 00:37:22,790 We want to make sure that everyone has at least $10,000. 785 00:37:22,790 --> 00:37:25,440 So we come in and we say look, we're worried about this 786 00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:27,420 distribution of resources in society. 787 00:37:27,420 --> 00:37:32,430 We want to make sure everyone has at least $10,000. 788 00:37:32,430 --> 00:37:33,696 So what we're going to do is we're going to 789 00:37:33,696 --> 00:37:36,850 give everyone a transfer. 790 00:37:36,850 --> 00:37:43,240 And that transfer function is going to be equal to the max 791 00:37:43,240 --> 00:37:51,600 of 0 and $10,000 minus your income. 792 00:37:51,600 --> 00:37:53,430 In other words, if your income is 0, we're 793 00:37:53,430 --> 00:37:55,860 going to give you $10,000. 794 00:37:55,860 --> 00:37:59,960 If your income's $5,000, we're going to give you $5,000. 795 00:37:59,960 --> 00:38:03,140 If you income is $9,999, we're going to give you $1. 796 00:38:03,140 --> 00:38:06,450 Once your income is $10,000, we give you nothing. 797 00:38:06,450 --> 00:38:09,090 So this is very much like a commodity egalitarianism view. 798 00:38:09,090 --> 00:38:11,203 We're going to bring you up to 10,000. 799 00:38:11,203 --> 00:38:13,550 We're going to bring you up to 10,000, but once you're above 800 00:38:13,550 --> 00:38:16,410 10,000, we don't care about you. 801 00:38:16,410 --> 00:38:19,780 So this is much less radical than the utilitarian solution. 802 00:38:19,780 --> 00:38:20,900 This is just saying, we're just going to 803 00:38:20,900 --> 00:38:22,390 bring the poor up. 804 00:38:22,390 --> 00:38:23,640 We're just going to deal with that. 805 00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:28,980 However, if we're going to have this program, we've got 806 00:38:28,980 --> 00:38:29,560 to pay for it. 807 00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:30,850 We've got to give money to poor people, 808 00:38:30,850 --> 00:38:32,010 where's that come from? 809 00:38:32,010 --> 00:38:34,650 Let's say we finance the program by taxing higher 810 00:38:34,650 --> 00:38:36,080 income people. 811 00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:37,590 What we're going to say in particular is we're going to 812 00:38:37,590 --> 00:38:39,840 have a tax rate tau-- 813 00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:42,910 so regular t is transfers, tau is taxes-- 814 00:38:42,910 --> 00:38:52,290 which is 0 if your income is less than $20,000, and 20% if 815 00:38:52,290 --> 00:38:55,640 your income is greater than $20,000, greater than or equal 816 00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:56,970 to $20,000. 817 00:38:56,970 --> 00:38:58,380 So we're going to have a tax schedule. 818 00:38:58,380 --> 00:39:00,840 We're not going to tax you if you're less than $20,000. 819 00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:02,820 But once you earn more than $20,000, we're going to tax 820 00:39:02,820 --> 00:39:06,220 you at 20%. 821 00:39:06,220 --> 00:39:08,880 So this is our redistributive scheme in society. 822 00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:10,760 This is our Okun's bucket. 823 00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:12,420 The rich put the money in. 824 00:39:12,420 --> 00:39:14,530 We tax them to get the money to put in the bucket. 825 00:39:14,530 --> 00:39:16,470 We bring it over and give it to the poor in the form of 826 00:39:16,470 --> 00:39:18,490 bringing everybody up to $10,000. 827 00:39:18,490 --> 00:39:20,550 That's our redistributive scheme, the simplest possible 828 00:39:20,550 --> 00:39:23,750 redistributive scheme. 829 00:39:23,750 --> 00:39:25,590 What does this do? 830 00:39:25,590 --> 00:39:29,990 Let's now go to figure 23-6. 831 00:39:29,990 --> 00:39:31,380 Pretty complicated figure, so let's walk 832 00:39:31,380 --> 00:39:33,840 through this slowly. 833 00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:39,630 We initially have a budget constraint that runs from the 834 00:39:39,630 --> 00:39:44,470 intercept at 40,000 on the y-axis to the intercept of 835 00:39:44,470 --> 00:39:45,590 2,000 on the x-axis. 836 00:39:45,590 --> 00:39:48,400 So the initial budget constraint is the outer budget 837 00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:52,270 constraint here running from 40,000 on the y-axis all the 838 00:39:52,270 --> 00:39:54,170 way down to 2,000 on the x-axis. 839 00:39:54,170 --> 00:39:57,250 That's because we have a $20 hour an hour wage-- 840 00:39:57,250 --> 00:39:58,080 I'm sorry, let me go back. 841 00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:01,000 This is a consumption leisure trade off, like we do whatever 842 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:02,460 we do in labor supply. 843 00:40:02,460 --> 00:40:05,420 When we do labor supply, we do consumption leisure trade off, 844 00:40:05,420 --> 00:40:07,530 so you're deciding how hard to work. 845 00:40:07,530 --> 00:40:09,340 How do you decide how hard to work? 846 00:40:09,340 --> 00:40:13,340 You can do it by trading off consumption and leisure. 847 00:40:13,340 --> 00:40:14,790 You can either take 2,000 hours of 848 00:40:14,790 --> 00:40:17,750 leisure and consume nothing. 849 00:40:17,750 --> 00:40:21,720 Or you could take zero leisure, work 2,000 hours to 850 00:40:21,720 --> 00:40:23,600 consume $40,000. 851 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:26,110 That's your trade-off, or combinations in between. 852 00:40:26,110 --> 00:40:29,660 And we have three individuals, A, B, and C. A is someone who 853 00:40:29,660 --> 00:40:30,870 works very little. 854 00:40:30,870 --> 00:40:35,170 They take a lot of leisure and have very low consumption. 855 00:40:35,170 --> 00:40:37,340 C is someone who works a lot. 856 00:40:37,340 --> 00:40:39,570 They have low leisure and high consumption. 857 00:40:39,570 --> 00:40:42,230 And B's in the middle. 858 00:40:42,230 --> 00:40:47,040 Basic labor leisure trade off, questions about that? 859 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:51,650 Now, how does this new government policy affect the 860 00:40:51,650 --> 00:40:52,850 budget constraint? 861 00:40:52,850 --> 00:40:54,410 Well, it affects it in two ways. 862 00:40:54,410 --> 00:40:58,640 First of all, for those above $20,000, we 863 00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:01,140 now lower their wage. 864 00:41:01,140 --> 00:41:04,560 Instead of taking home $20 hours an hour, they're only 865 00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,960 going to take home $16 an hour, because we're taxing 866 00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:09,950 them at 20%. 867 00:41:09,950 --> 00:41:12,710 So for everyone above $20,000, we shifted the budget 868 00:41:12,710 --> 00:41:13,590 constraint in. 869 00:41:13,590 --> 00:41:17,240 We have lowered the price of leisure. 870 00:41:17,240 --> 00:41:21,630 We've lowered the price of leisure by taxing them. 871 00:41:21,630 --> 00:41:25,090 So we've shifted that budget constraint in. 872 00:41:25,090 --> 00:41:26,940 It's the same budget constraint up to 20,000, but 873 00:41:26,940 --> 00:41:29,180 now it pivots, and at 20,000, you're now 874 00:41:29,180 --> 00:41:30,570 on the lower segment. 875 00:41:30,570 --> 00:41:32,860 With a slope, you can write there, the slope is $20 at the 876 00:41:32,860 --> 00:41:37,000 higher segment, it's only $16 for that lower segment. 877 00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:40,610 That's the first change you've made to the budget constraint. 878 00:41:40,610 --> 00:41:43,410 That's the tax part. 879 00:41:43,410 --> 00:41:47,450 The second change is that for anyone with income below 880 00:41:47,450 --> 00:41:52,400 $10,000, we've now said no matter how hard you work, 881 00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:54,980 we're going to give you $10,000. 882 00:41:54,980 --> 00:42:00,210 So now we've said, once your leisure is 1,500 hours, or 883 00:42:00,210 --> 00:42:04,450 your work is 500 hours, anywhere to the right of that, 884 00:42:04,450 --> 00:42:09,060 your income is always $10,000 no matter how hard you work. 885 00:42:09,060 --> 00:42:11,890 If you earn $5,000, your income is $10,000. 886 00:42:11,890 --> 00:42:14,030 If you earn $1, your income is $10,000. 887 00:42:14,030 --> 00:42:18,870 If you earn $9,999, your income is $10,000. 888 00:42:18,870 --> 00:42:23,610 So the new budget constraint is a flat segment starting at 889 00:42:23,610 --> 00:42:27,740 the intersection of 10,000 and 1,500 and moving all the way 890 00:42:27,740 --> 00:42:29,690 to the right. 891 00:42:29,690 --> 00:42:34,290 That is, no matter how much leisure you take, above 1,500 892 00:42:34,290 --> 00:42:37,190 hours of leisure, your consumption is always $10,000, 893 00:42:37,190 --> 00:42:39,050 so it's flat. 894 00:42:39,050 --> 00:42:43,410 So the new budget constraint is the inner segment above, 895 00:42:43,410 --> 00:42:45,840 then the old budget constraint from $20,000 to $10,000, and 896 00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:50,570 then a flat from point B to point D. I'm sorry, not from B 897 00:42:50,570 --> 00:42:53,950 to D. Kill that last comment. 898 00:42:53,950 --> 00:42:56,830 From the intersection of 10,000 and 1,500 all the way 899 00:42:56,830 --> 00:43:00,710 to the right, that's the new budget constraint. 900 00:43:00,710 --> 00:43:01,910 Questions about that? 901 00:43:01,910 --> 00:43:03,220 This is very important. 902 00:43:03,220 --> 00:43:05,270 This is just an application to understand how these things 903 00:43:05,270 --> 00:43:06,580 affect budget constraints. 904 00:43:06,580 --> 00:43:09,450 What does this do to people's choices? 905 00:43:09,450 --> 00:43:13,470 Well, for a person like C, they are now 906 00:43:13,470 --> 00:43:14,670 taxed on their labor. 907 00:43:14,670 --> 00:43:17,170 Person C doesn't care about the welfare program, they're 908 00:43:17,170 --> 00:43:19,660 rich, they don't care about this $10,000 thing. 909 00:43:19,660 --> 00:43:22,840 But they do care about the fact they're now taxed. 910 00:43:22,840 --> 00:43:26,780 Assuming substitution effects dominate, the price of leisure 911 00:43:26,780 --> 00:43:31,050 has fallen, so they choose more leisure and less labor. 912 00:43:31,050 --> 00:43:36,850 So person C, who was at C moves to point E, working less 913 00:43:36,850 --> 00:43:40,060 assuming substitution effects dominate, more 914 00:43:40,060 --> 00:43:42,940 leisure, less labor. 915 00:43:42,940 --> 00:43:48,420 Person A, for them, this is a no-brainer. 916 00:43:48,420 --> 00:43:51,880 They can have both more leisure and more consumption 917 00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:55,370 by moving from point A to point D. Under this new budget 918 00:43:55,370 --> 00:44:00,490 constraint, they used to have about-- it's not labeled 919 00:44:00,490 --> 00:44:03,035 there-- but have about 1,700 hours of leisure and consume 920 00:44:03,035 --> 00:44:05,120 maybe $5,000. 921 00:44:05,120 --> 00:44:07,050 Now they can have more leisure, they can have 2,000 922 00:44:07,050 --> 00:44:08,930 hours of leisure and consume $10,000. 923 00:44:08,930 --> 00:44:14,920 So they move to point D. They work less hard as well. 924 00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:19,030 Person B, the way I've drawn this, this is critical. 925 00:44:19,030 --> 00:44:23,160 The way I've drawn this, their indifference curve cuts 926 00:44:23,160 --> 00:44:26,580 through the horizontal segment running from the old budget 927 00:44:26,580 --> 00:44:29,470 constraint to point D. Why is that important? 928 00:44:29,470 --> 00:44:32,950 Because that means that there'll be a higher 929 00:44:32,950 --> 00:44:36,180 difference curve out at point D, because indifference curves 930 00:44:36,180 --> 00:44:37,400 can't cross. 931 00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:39,970 So if their old indifference curve cuts through that 932 00:44:39,970 --> 00:44:43,210 horizontal segment, it must mean that they would be 933 00:44:43,210 --> 00:44:47,020 happier out at point D. They're giving up some 934 00:44:47,020 --> 00:44:48,170 consumption. 935 00:44:48,170 --> 00:44:51,680 This isn't a no-brainer like for A, but they get so much 936 00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:54,340 leisure it's worth it. 937 00:44:54,340 --> 00:44:57,210 So you could have drawn B, if I'd drawn B higher up, their 938 00:44:57,210 --> 00:44:58,910 indifference curve wouldn't have crossed this horizontal 939 00:44:58,910 --> 00:45:00,720 segment, and then they wouldn't have wanted to move 940 00:45:00,720 --> 00:45:02,370 out to point D. 941 00:45:02,370 --> 00:45:04,060 So for A, it's a no-brainer. 942 00:45:04,060 --> 00:45:05,890 they move to D. For B it depends on their 943 00:45:05,890 --> 00:45:06,290 indifference curve. 944 00:45:06,290 --> 00:45:06,670 Yeah? 945 00:45:06,670 --> 00:45:09,611 AUDIENCE: For C, doesn't he change to working harder and 946 00:45:09,611 --> 00:45:10,553 consuming less? 947 00:45:10,553 --> 00:45:13,850 Because he moves [INAUDIBLE], so his leisure [INAUDIBLE]. 948 00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:17,870 PROFESSOR: Yeah, you're right. 949 00:45:17,870 --> 00:45:18,650 This is drawn wrong. 950 00:45:18,650 --> 00:45:19,950 You're right, we draw it so that income effect is 951 00:45:19,950 --> 00:45:20,440 dominating. 952 00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:21,180 Good point. 953 00:45:21,180 --> 00:45:23,090 I'm sorry, that should have been-- 954 00:45:23,090 --> 00:45:24,240 good catch. 955 00:45:24,240 --> 00:45:27,970 Point E should be to the right of point C, 956 00:45:27,970 --> 00:45:29,280 that's a mistake here. 957 00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:30,750 We should have drawn it with substitution effects 958 00:45:30,750 --> 00:45:31,560 dominating. 959 00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:33,660 That would have been more leisure and less consumption. 960 00:45:33,660 --> 00:45:36,790 He get less consumption, but he works more 961 00:45:36,790 --> 00:45:37,460 because of the tax. 962 00:45:37,460 --> 00:45:38,810 But you're right, that should have been to the right of 963 00:45:38,810 --> 00:45:41,390 point C. Please correct that. 964 00:45:41,390 --> 00:45:43,350 They should have been to the right of point C. Substitution 965 00:45:43,350 --> 00:45:46,950 effect should lead him to earn less. 966 00:45:46,950 --> 00:45:50,330 So he earns less, although once again, it's ambiguous. 967 00:45:50,330 --> 00:45:53,090 A clearly works less, that's unambiguous. 968 00:45:53,090 --> 00:45:54,900 And B, it depends on their difference curves. 969 00:45:54,900 --> 00:45:56,950 But the way we've drawn it here, B works less-- in fact, 970 00:45:56,950 --> 00:45:58,860 B works a ton less. 971 00:45:58,860 --> 00:46:04,510 B goes from taking maybe 1,400 hours of leisure to taking 972 00:46:04,510 --> 00:46:06,040 2,000 hours of leisure. 973 00:46:06,040 --> 00:46:07,620 This is a huge change for B. 974 00:46:07,620 --> 00:46:11,170 What this means is this tax and transfer system has 975 00:46:11,170 --> 00:46:16,310 massively reduced the amount of labor supplied in society. 976 00:46:16,310 --> 00:46:17,115 Why do we care? 977 00:46:17,115 --> 00:46:22,160 Go to figure 23-7. 978 00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:24,680 We care because we initially were in 979 00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:28,150 equilibrium at point e1. 980 00:46:28,150 --> 00:46:32,560 But when people work less hard, that's a shift inward in 981 00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:37,410 the labor supply curve that reduces the total amount of 982 00:46:37,410 --> 00:46:41,110 labor supplied and causes a dead weight loss. 983 00:46:41,110 --> 00:46:44,910 We've distorted the economy by people working less hard. 984 00:46:44,910 --> 00:46:46,950 Trades that would've made both parties 985 00:46:46,950 --> 00:46:50,240 better off are not happening. 986 00:46:50,240 --> 00:46:51,810 Trades that would have made both parties better off are 987 00:46:51,810 --> 00:46:53,520 not happening. 988 00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:56,430 We've distorted the economy and caused a dead weight loss. 989 00:46:56,430 --> 00:46:58,580 And that is the equity efficiency 990 00:46:58,580 --> 00:47:02,360 trade off in a nutshell. 991 00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:04,990 The equity efficiency trade off is we knew we wanted this 992 00:47:04,990 --> 00:47:05,990 tax and transfer system. 993 00:47:05,990 --> 00:47:07,940 We were very upset about the number of 994 00:47:07,940 --> 00:47:09,550 people living in poverty. 995 00:47:09,550 --> 00:47:13,120 But by putting this in, we've caused a dead weight loss, 996 00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:15,750 because it caused the rich people to work less hard and 997 00:47:15,750 --> 00:47:17,290 the poor people to work less hard. 998 00:47:17,290 --> 00:47:20,680 There's leaks in the bucket on both sides. 999 00:47:20,680 --> 00:47:23,310 This dead weight loss triangle is the leak in the bucket, the 1000 00:47:23,310 --> 00:47:29,070 social waste that comes from this redistribution system. 1001 00:47:29,070 --> 00:47:32,020 Questions about that? 1002 00:47:32,020 --> 00:47:37,170 So that leads us to mask, was it worth it? 1003 00:47:37,170 --> 00:47:40,640 Is a transfer system like this worth it? 1004 00:47:40,640 --> 00:47:42,510 Well, there's a simple answer. 1005 00:47:42,510 --> 00:47:44,330 You solve the social welfare function. 1006 00:47:44,330 --> 00:47:45,490 Once again putting Nozick aside, we 1007 00:47:45,490 --> 00:47:46,960 can't write that down. 1008 00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:51,643 But if you're utilitarian, you just solve it, because, in 1009 00:47:51,643 --> 00:47:53,130 other words, what you say is look, two things 1010 00:47:53,130 --> 00:47:54,770 are going on here. 1011 00:47:54,770 --> 00:47:57,410 Everyone's utility is falling because 1012 00:47:57,410 --> 00:47:58,490 there's a social waste. 1013 00:47:58,490 --> 00:48:03,420 So each of those u's goes down, but the rich u's go down 1014 00:48:03,420 --> 00:48:06,470 a little bit, and the poor u's go up a lot. 1015 00:48:06,470 --> 00:48:07,700 And you have to basically ask which of 1016 00:48:07,700 --> 00:48:09,500 those effects are bigger. 1017 00:48:09,500 --> 00:48:11,220 In other words, if the dead weight loss triangle is very 1018 00:48:11,220 --> 00:48:13,290 small, then clearly-- 1019 00:48:13,290 --> 00:48:15,170 or if there's a small leak in the bucket-- 1020 00:48:15,170 --> 00:48:17,350 then clearly, total utilitarian social welfare 1021 00:48:17,350 --> 00:48:19,780 will go up with a scheme like this, because the poor people 1022 00:48:19,780 --> 00:48:21,600 will be made so much happier, and the other 1023 00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:23,350 people won't care much. 1024 00:48:23,350 --> 00:48:26,010 But if that dead weight loss triangle is huge, let's 1025 00:48:26,010 --> 00:48:29,050 imagine half of society's output disappears for this 1026 00:48:29,050 --> 00:48:31,370 transfer system, well, then probably social welfare will 1027 00:48:31,370 --> 00:48:34,500 fall, because so many people are made sadder that the fact 1028 00:48:34,500 --> 00:48:36,900 a few poor people are made happier isn't worth it. 1029 00:48:36,900 --> 00:48:38,950 Remember, 40 million people are in poverty, that means 300 1030 00:48:38,950 --> 00:48:41,070 million people aren't. 1031 00:48:41,070 --> 00:48:43,430 So if 300 million people, if they see their incomes cut in 1032 00:48:43,430 --> 00:48:46,020 half so that 40 million people can see their incomes raised 1033 00:48:46,020 --> 00:48:49,970 some, for most utilitarian social welfare functions, that 1034 00:48:49,970 --> 00:48:51,470 won't be a good deal. 1035 00:48:51,470 --> 00:48:54,110 So basically, we can literally mathematically represent 1036 00:48:54,110 --> 00:48:59,130 whether this transfer was a good thing or not by using 1037 00:48:59,130 --> 00:49:01,230 this social welfare function to evaluate it. 1038 00:49:01,230 --> 00:49:04,020 Under a Rawlsian function, we know the answer. 1039 00:49:04,020 --> 00:49:06,096 We know this is a good thing, because Rawls doesn't care if 1040 00:49:06,096 --> 00:49:08,210 we destroy all of society, as long as that bottom 1041 00:49:08,210 --> 00:49:10,240 guy gets pulled up. 1042 00:49:10,240 --> 00:49:14,110 So basically, Rawls we know that this is a good answer. 1043 00:49:14,110 --> 00:49:17,520 Utilitarian, we don't know. 1044 00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:20,840 That's going to depend on the loss to the rest of us from a 1045 00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:23,120 smaller pie versus the gain to the poor from 1046 00:49:23,120 --> 00:49:25,370 getting more resources. 1047 00:49:25,370 --> 00:49:27,240 Questions about that? 1048 00:49:27,240 --> 00:49:29,870 All right, what we'll do is we'll come back next time, and 1049 00:49:29,870 --> 00:49:33,440 we'll talk about what is the government actually do to 1050 00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:35,260 actually affect redistribution in society, 1051 00:49:35,260 --> 00:49:36,510 and how does it look?