1 00:00:00,259 --> 00:00:02,800 PROFESSOR: The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:02,800 --> 00:00:04,340 Commons license. 3 00:00:04,340 --> 00:00:06,660 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare 4 00:00:06,660 --> 00:00:11,020 continue to offer high quality educational resources for free. 5 00:00:11,020 --> 00:00:13,640 To make a donation or view additional materials 6 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:17,365 from hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare 7 00:00:17,365 --> 00:00:17,990 at ocw.mit.edu. 8 00:00:22,741 --> 00:00:24,740 Today we're going to start with a simple problem 9 00:00:24,740 --> 00:00:27,670 that many of you may have already encountered. 10 00:00:27,670 --> 00:00:29,840 For example, when you got a student loan 11 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,564 or if your family took a loan out on your house, 12 00:00:32,564 --> 00:00:35,310 you know, a home mortgage loan, and it's the problem 13 00:00:35,310 --> 00:00:37,420 of pricing an annuity. 14 00:00:37,420 --> 00:00:39,720 An annuity is a financial instrument 15 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:42,660 that pays a fixed amount of money 16 00:00:42,660 --> 00:00:44,910 every year for some number of years, 17 00:00:44,910 --> 00:00:47,015 and it has a value associated with it. 18 00:00:47,015 --> 00:00:48,390 For example, with a student loan, 19 00:00:48,390 --> 00:00:52,540 the value is the amount of money they gave you to pay MIT, 20 00:00:52,540 --> 00:00:56,180 then later in life-- every year or every month-- you're 21 00:00:56,180 --> 00:00:57,860 going to send them a check. 22 00:00:57,860 --> 00:01:00,821 And you want to sort of equate those two things to find out, 23 00:01:00,821 --> 00:01:02,570 are you getting enough money for the money 24 00:01:02,570 --> 00:01:05,489 you're going to pay back monthly sometime in the future? 25 00:01:05,489 --> 00:01:09,990 So let's define this, and there's a lot of variations 26 00:01:09,990 --> 00:01:14,430 on annuities, but we'll start with one that's called 27 00:01:14,430 --> 00:01:30,450 an n-year $m-dollar payment annuity, 28 00:01:30,450 --> 00:01:46,950 and it works by paying m dollars at the start of each year, 29 00:01:46,950 --> 00:01:48,582 and it lasts for n years. 30 00:01:52,770 --> 00:01:55,244 Now, usually n is finite, but not always, 31 00:01:55,244 --> 00:01:57,160 and in a few minutes we'll talk about the case 32 00:01:57,160 --> 00:01:59,150 when it's infinite. 33 00:01:59,150 --> 00:02:01,850 But this includes home mortgages, 34 00:02:01,850 --> 00:02:03,690 where you pay every month for 30 years. 35 00:02:03,690 --> 00:02:05,800 Megabucks, the lottery. 36 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:07,890 They don't actually give you the million dollars. 37 00:02:07,890 --> 00:02:11,030 They give you $50,000 per year for 20 years, 38 00:02:11,030 --> 00:02:13,250 and call it a million bucks. 39 00:02:13,250 --> 00:02:14,880 Retirement plans. 40 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,270 You pay in every year, and then you 41 00:02:17,270 --> 00:02:19,620 get some big lump sum later. 42 00:02:19,620 --> 00:02:22,880 Life insurance benefits, you know, and so forth. 43 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,940 Now, if you go to Wall Street, this is a big deal. 44 00:02:25,940 --> 00:02:28,080 A lot of the stuff that happens on Wall Street 45 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:30,580 involves annuities in one form or another, 46 00:02:30,580 --> 00:02:34,230 packaging them all up and, in fact, we'll 47 00:02:34,230 --> 00:02:36,120 look at later when we do probability. 48 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:38,380 It was how these things were packaged and sold 49 00:02:38,380 --> 00:02:41,270 that led to the sub-prime mortgage disaster, 50 00:02:41,270 --> 00:02:44,270 and we'll see how some confusion over independents, when 51 00:02:44,270 --> 00:02:47,680 you look at random variables, led to the global recession, 52 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:48,971 a real disaster. 53 00:02:48,971 --> 00:02:51,220 Of course, some people understood how all that worked, 54 00:02:51,220 --> 00:02:53,820 made hundreds of billions of dollars at the same time. 55 00:02:53,820 --> 00:02:57,260 So it was sort of money went from one place to another. 56 00:02:57,260 --> 00:02:59,790 So it's pretty important to understand 57 00:02:59,790 --> 00:03:02,930 how much this is worth. 58 00:03:02,930 --> 00:03:05,120 What is this instrument-- a piece 59 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:06,620 of paper that says it will pay you 60 00:03:06,620 --> 00:03:09,160 m dollars at the beginning of each year for n years, what 61 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,430 is that worth today? 62 00:03:11,430 --> 00:03:14,650 For example, say I gave you a choice-- 63 00:03:14,650 --> 00:03:17,580 the Megabucks choice-- $50,000 a year 64 00:03:17,580 --> 00:03:21,950 for 20 years or a million dollars today. 65 00:03:21,950 --> 00:03:26,430 How many people would prefer the $50,000 a year for 20 years? 66 00:03:26,430 --> 00:03:27,030 A few of you. 67 00:03:27,030 --> 00:03:30,840 How many would prefer the million bucks right up front? 68 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:31,670 Much better. 69 00:03:31,670 --> 00:03:32,630 OK. 70 00:03:32,630 --> 00:03:34,970 Always better to have the cash in hand, 71 00:03:34,970 --> 00:03:36,900 because there's things like inflation-- 72 00:03:36,900 --> 00:03:39,680 pretty low now-- interest. 73 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:41,160 You can put the money in the bank 74 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:44,980 or invest it and make some money hopefully. 75 00:03:44,980 --> 00:03:47,170 So the million dollars today is a lot better, 76 00:03:47,170 --> 00:03:50,960 which is why the State pays you 50 grand a year for 20 years. 77 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:53,614 It's better for them, and they call it a million bucks. 78 00:03:53,614 --> 00:03:55,030 So that was pretty clear, but what 79 00:03:55,030 --> 00:04:01,950 if I gave you this option-- 700 grand today or 50 grand a year 80 00:04:01,950 --> 00:04:03,700 for 20 years? 81 00:04:03,700 --> 00:04:08,090 How many people want the cash upfront-- 700 grand only. 82 00:04:08,090 --> 00:04:08,660 A few. 83 00:04:08,660 --> 00:04:13,310 How many people want 50 grand a year for 20 years? 84 00:04:13,310 --> 00:04:15,770 All right, we're almost-- that's pretty close to half way. 85 00:04:15,770 --> 00:04:20,750 How about 500 grand today versus 50 grand a year for 20 years? 86 00:04:20,750 --> 00:04:24,511 How many want half a million today? 87 00:04:24,511 --> 00:04:25,760 A lot of people like the cash. 88 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,218 You know, it's this kind of a time, you have the recession, 89 00:04:28,218 --> 00:04:29,617 it's a disaster on Wall Street. 90 00:04:29,617 --> 00:04:31,700 You know, Street Wall Street didn't like the cash. 91 00:04:31,700 --> 00:04:34,100 How many want, instead of a half a million 92 00:04:34,100 --> 00:04:37,252 up front, 50 grand a year for 20 years? 93 00:04:37,252 --> 00:04:38,710 All right, now we're about halfway. 94 00:04:38,710 --> 00:04:39,850 All right, well that's pretty good. 95 00:04:39,850 --> 00:04:41,815 So we're going to find out what you should pay, 96 00:04:41,815 --> 00:04:44,750 or at least one way of estimating that. 97 00:04:44,750 --> 00:04:48,460 Now, to do that, we've got to figure out what 98 00:04:48,460 --> 00:04:53,670 $1 today is worth in a year. 99 00:04:53,670 --> 00:05:00,364 And to do that, we make an assumption, 100 00:05:00,364 --> 00:05:01,780 and the assumption is that there's 101 00:05:01,780 --> 00:05:06,600 a fixed-- we'll call it an interest rate. 102 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:09,610 It's sort of the devaluation of the money per year. 103 00:05:12,180 --> 00:05:13,490 And we're going to call it p. 104 00:05:13,490 --> 00:05:15,000 Later we'll plug in values for p, 105 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:18,672 but you can think of it as like 6%, 1%. 106 00:05:18,672 --> 00:05:20,880 You know, it's the money, if you put money in a bank, 107 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:23,650 they'll give you some percent back every year. 108 00:05:23,650 --> 00:05:25,639 And, of course, the fact that different people 109 00:05:25,639 --> 00:05:27,430 have different ideas of what this would be, 110 00:05:27,430 --> 00:05:29,950 allows people to make money on Wall Street. 111 00:05:29,950 --> 00:05:32,440 As we'll see, a slight difference in p 112 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:36,460 can make big differences in what the annuity is worth. 113 00:05:36,460 --> 00:05:48,380 So for example, $1 today is going to equal 1 plus p 114 00:05:48,380 --> 00:05:50,662 dollars in one year. 115 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:57,290 Similarly, $1 today-- how much is that 116 00:05:57,290 --> 00:05:59,645 going to be worth in two years? 117 00:06:03,910 --> 00:06:06,528 Say that p stays fixed, the same over all time. 118 00:06:10,060 --> 00:06:14,360 One plus p squared, because every year you 119 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,970 multiply what you got by 1 plus p, because that's 120 00:06:16,970 --> 00:06:18,560 the interest you're getting. 121 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:20,940 All right, we'll think of it in terms of interest. 122 00:06:20,940 --> 00:06:28,070 In three years, $1 today is worth 1 plus p cubed in 123 00:06:28,070 --> 00:06:32,660 three years and so forth. 124 00:06:32,660 --> 00:06:33,160 All right. 125 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:36,750 Now, what we really care about is what's $1, or m dollars, 126 00:06:36,750 --> 00:06:40,090 worth today if you're getting it next year? 127 00:06:40,090 --> 00:06:44,026 So we need to sort of flip this back the other way. 128 00:06:47,930 --> 00:06:56,510 So what is $1 in a year worth today in terms of p? 129 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:01,722 So if I'm going to be paid $1 in a year, 130 00:07:01,722 --> 00:07:03,930 what would be the equivalent amount to be paid today? 131 00:07:07,580 --> 00:07:13,480 One over 1 plus p, because what's happening here 132 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:17,690 is, as you go forward in a year, you just multiply by 1 plus p. 133 00:07:17,690 --> 00:07:24,510 So 1 over 1 plus p turns into $1 in a year-- being 134 00:07:24,510 --> 00:07:27,270 paid in a year. 135 00:07:27,270 --> 00:07:28,130 All right. 136 00:07:28,130 --> 00:07:35,027 What is $1 a year in two years worth today? 137 00:07:37,650 --> 00:07:42,610 One over 1 plus p squared. 138 00:07:42,610 --> 00:07:48,060 So $1 in two years is worth this much today. 139 00:07:48,060 --> 00:07:50,800 Well, now we can use this to go figure 140 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:55,080 out the current value of that annuity. 141 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:59,060 We just figure out what every payment is worth today and then 142 00:07:59,060 --> 00:08:01,380 add it up. 143 00:08:01,380 --> 00:08:04,220 So we'll put the payments over here, 144 00:08:04,220 --> 00:08:06,890 and we'll compute the current value 145 00:08:06,890 --> 00:08:08,500 of every payment on this side. 146 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:13,580 So with the annuity, the way we've 147 00:08:13,580 --> 00:08:16,630 set it up is it pays n dollars at the start of every year, 148 00:08:16,630 --> 00:08:19,970 so the first payment is now. 149 00:08:19,970 --> 00:08:23,710 So the first of the n payments is now, 150 00:08:23,710 --> 00:08:27,130 and since it's being paid now, that's worth m dollars. 151 00:08:27,130 --> 00:08:30,320 There's no devaluation. 152 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:36,789 The next payment is m dollars in one year, 153 00:08:36,789 --> 00:08:43,360 and so that's going to be worth m over 1 plus p today. 154 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:48,850 And the next payment is m dollars in two years. 155 00:08:48,850 --> 00:08:53,870 That's worth m over 1 plus p squared, 156 00:08:53,870 --> 00:08:57,880 and we keep on going until the last payment. 157 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:03,647 It's the n-th payment, so it's m dollars in n minus 1 years. 158 00:09:06,330 --> 00:09:13,260 And so that's going to be worth m over 1 plus p 159 00:09:13,260 --> 00:09:14,437 to the n minus 1. 160 00:09:16,891 --> 00:09:17,390 All right. 161 00:09:17,390 --> 00:09:20,440 So we can compute the current value of all those payments, 162 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:24,430 then the annuity is computed-- the value is computed just 163 00:09:24,430 --> 00:09:28,820 by adding these up, of all the current values. 164 00:09:28,820 --> 00:09:39,012 So the total current value is the sum i equals 0 to n minus 1 165 00:09:39,012 --> 00:09:44,490 of m over 1 plus p to the i. 166 00:09:44,490 --> 00:09:46,273 And that is the total current value. 167 00:09:50,300 --> 00:09:56,830 That's what you should pay today for the annuity. 168 00:09:56,830 --> 00:09:59,590 Any questions? 169 00:09:59,590 --> 00:10:02,150 What we did here? 170 00:10:02,150 --> 00:10:03,890 All right. 171 00:10:03,890 --> 00:10:07,370 Well, of course, what we'd like is a closed form expression 172 00:10:07,370 --> 00:10:08,427 here. 173 00:10:08,427 --> 00:10:10,260 Something that's simple so we could actually 174 00:10:10,260 --> 00:10:14,980 get a feel without having to add up all those terms, 175 00:10:14,980 --> 00:10:16,520 and that's not hard to get. 176 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:20,560 In fact, let's put this sum in a form 177 00:10:20,560 --> 00:10:23,420 that might be more familiar. 178 00:10:23,420 --> 00:10:27,310 This equals-- we'll pull the m out in front-- 179 00:10:27,310 --> 00:10:30,370 and let's use x to be 1 over 1 plus p to the i. 180 00:10:37,140 --> 00:10:47,330 And so x equals 1 over 1 plus p, and I wrote it this way 181 00:10:47,330 --> 00:10:51,249 because this might be familiar. 182 00:10:51,249 --> 00:10:53,040 Does everybody remember that from-- I think 183 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,112 it was the second recitation? 184 00:10:57,862 --> 00:10:59,070 Anybody remember the formula? 185 00:10:59,070 --> 00:11:00,180 What this evaluates to? 186 00:11:02,980 --> 00:11:09,380 The sum of x to the i, where i goes from 0 to n minus 1? 187 00:11:09,380 --> 00:11:11,170 Remember that? 188 00:11:11,170 --> 00:11:12,970 One minus x to the n. 189 00:11:15,730 --> 00:11:18,820 Remember 1 minus x. 190 00:11:18,820 --> 00:11:20,550 In the second recitation, I think, 191 00:11:20,550 --> 00:11:23,550 we proved that this equals that. 192 00:11:23,550 --> 00:11:26,370 What was the proof technique we used? 193 00:11:26,370 --> 00:11:27,391 Induction. 194 00:11:27,391 --> 00:11:27,890 OK? 195 00:11:33,490 --> 00:11:37,476 So, in fact, there's a theorem here. 196 00:11:41,060 --> 00:11:46,730 For all n bigger and equal to 1 and x not equal to 1, 197 00:11:46,730 --> 00:11:52,360 we proved the sum from i equals 0 to n minus 1 x to the i 198 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:57,270 equals 1 minus x to the n over 1 minus x. 199 00:11:57,270 --> 00:11:58,870 And so this is a nice, closed form. 200 00:11:58,870 --> 00:12:04,040 No sum any more, just that, which is nice. 201 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:07,960 Now, induction proved it was the right answer. 202 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:13,450 Once you knew it-- we gave it to you-- using induction 203 00:12:13,450 --> 00:12:16,100 to prove that theorem wasn't hard. 204 00:12:16,100 --> 00:12:19,310 What we're going to look at doing this week and next week 205 00:12:19,310 --> 00:12:21,580 is figuring out how to figure out this 206 00:12:21,580 --> 00:12:23,550 was the answer in the first place. 207 00:12:23,550 --> 00:12:28,240 Methods for doing that-- to evaluate the sum-- and there's 208 00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:32,050 a lot of ways that you can do that particular sum. 209 00:12:32,050 --> 00:12:36,480 Probably the easiest is known as the perturbation method. 210 00:12:40,050 --> 00:12:42,090 This sometimes works. 211 00:12:42,090 --> 00:12:45,200 Certainly with sums like that, it often works. 212 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:46,460 The idea is as follows. 213 00:12:46,460 --> 00:12:49,460 We're trying to compute the sum S, which is 1 214 00:12:49,460 --> 00:12:57,500 plus x plus x squared plus x to the n minus 1, 215 00:12:57,500 --> 00:13:01,230 and what we're going to do is perturb it a little bit 216 00:13:01,230 --> 00:13:05,210 and then subtract to get big cancellation. 217 00:13:05,210 --> 00:13:06,620 In this case, it's pretty simple. 218 00:13:06,620 --> 00:13:19,130 We multiply the sum by x to get x plus x squared plus-- I've 219 00:13:19,130 --> 00:13:22,380 defined S to be that, x times S-- well, I 220 00:13:22,380 --> 00:13:28,450 get x plus x squared and so forth, up to x to the n, 221 00:13:28,450 --> 00:13:32,673 and now I can subtract one from the other and almost everything 222 00:13:32,673 --> 00:13:33,173 cancels. 223 00:13:36,020 --> 00:13:42,220 So I get 1 minus x times S equals 1. 224 00:13:42,220 --> 00:13:45,450 These cancel, cancel, cancel. 225 00:13:45,450 --> 00:13:48,750 Minus x to the n. 226 00:13:48,750 --> 00:13:54,310 And therefore S equals 1 minus x to the n over 1 minus x. 227 00:13:57,000 --> 00:14:01,820 So that's a vague method. 228 00:14:01,820 --> 00:14:04,930 This gets used all the time in applied mathematics, 229 00:14:04,930 --> 00:14:06,930 and they call it the perturbation method. 230 00:14:06,930 --> 00:14:10,150 Take your sum, wiggle it around a little bit, 231 00:14:10,150 --> 00:14:11,990 get something that looks close, subtract it, 232 00:14:11,990 --> 00:14:14,201 everything cancels, life is nice, 233 00:14:14,201 --> 00:14:16,284 and all of a sudden you've figured out the answer. 234 00:14:21,530 --> 00:14:26,930 So getting back to our annuity problem, 235 00:14:26,930 --> 00:14:31,660 we can plug that formula back in here. 236 00:14:31,660 --> 00:14:39,030 So the value of the annuity is m times 1 minus x to the n 237 00:14:39,030 --> 00:14:41,080 over 1 minus x. 238 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:47,570 We'll plug in x equals 1 over 1 plus p, 239 00:14:47,570 --> 00:14:54,670 and we get m 1 minus 1 over 1 plus p 240 00:14:54,670 --> 00:15:01,830 to the n over 1 minus 1 over 1 plus p, just plugging in. 241 00:15:01,830 --> 00:15:05,150 And now to simplify this, I'll multiply the top and bottom 242 00:15:05,150 --> 00:15:11,920 by 1 plus p, and I'll get 1 plus p minus 1 on the bottom. 243 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:14,080 Just gives me a p on the bottom. 244 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:19,040 I have a 1 plus p on the top minus 1 over 1 245 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:23,680 plus p to the n minus 1, all over p. 246 00:15:27,740 --> 00:15:30,850 So now we have a formula-- closed form expression 247 00:15:30,850 --> 00:15:33,840 formula-- for the value of the annuity. 248 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:37,400 All's we've got to plug in is m, the payment every year, 249 00:15:37,400 --> 00:15:41,560 n, the number of years, and then p, the interest rate. 250 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:51,540 And so, for example, if we made m be $50,000, 251 00:15:51,540 --> 00:15:52,390 as in the lottery. 252 00:15:52,390 --> 00:15:58,640 We made n be 20 years, and say we took 6% interest, which 253 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:03,710 is actually very good these days, and I plug those in here, 254 00:16:03,710 --> 00:16:12,710 the value is going to be $607,906. 255 00:16:12,710 --> 00:16:13,210 All right. 256 00:16:13,210 --> 00:16:17,680 So those of you that preferred 700 grand-- if you assume 6% 257 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:19,560 interest-- you're right. 258 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:21,920 Those of you who preferred 500 grand, no, 259 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:25,360 you're better off waiting and getting your 50 grand a year. 260 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:28,500 Now, of course, if the interest rate is lower, 261 00:16:28,500 --> 00:16:31,020 well, that changes things. 262 00:16:31,020 --> 00:16:32,800 That shifts it even more. 263 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:36,360 The annuity is worth even more if the interest rate is lower-- 264 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:38,540 if p is smaller. 265 00:16:38,540 --> 00:16:42,400 In fact, say p was 0. 266 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:45,310 Say the interest rate is 0, so $1 today equals $1 tomorrow, 267 00:16:45,310 --> 00:16:48,350 then what is the lottery worth? 268 00:16:48,350 --> 00:16:50,130 A million dollars. 269 00:16:50,130 --> 00:16:53,230 And the bigger p gets, the less your payment is worth. 270 00:16:57,660 --> 00:16:58,915 Any questions about that? 271 00:17:01,530 --> 00:17:03,320 OK. 272 00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:11,170 What if you were paid $50,000 a year forever-- you live forever 273 00:17:11,170 --> 00:17:13,950 or it goes to your estate and your heirs, 274 00:17:13,950 --> 00:17:18,960 $50,000 a year forever or a million dollars today. 275 00:17:21,609 --> 00:17:25,200 How many people want the million dollars today? 276 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:29,530 How many want 50 grand a year forever? 277 00:17:29,530 --> 00:17:30,730 Sounds good. 278 00:17:30,730 --> 00:17:34,560 You know, that's an infinite amount of money, sort of. 279 00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:36,190 It's not as good as it sounds. 280 00:17:36,190 --> 00:17:39,290 Let's see why. 281 00:17:39,290 --> 00:17:45,150 So this is a case where n equals infinity, 282 00:17:45,150 --> 00:17:50,840 and so I'll claim that if n equals infinity, 283 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:56,100 then the value of this annuity is just m times 1 284 00:17:56,100 --> 00:17:57,180 plus p over p. 285 00:18:00,100 --> 00:18:02,789 Let's see why that's the case. 286 00:18:02,789 --> 00:18:04,330 You know, it sounds hard to evaluate, 287 00:18:04,330 --> 00:18:07,930 because it's an infinite number of payments, 288 00:18:07,930 --> 00:18:12,250 but what happens here when n goes to infinity? 289 00:18:12,250 --> 00:18:15,300 What happens to this thing? 290 00:18:15,300 --> 00:18:18,530 That goes to 0 as n goes to infinity, 291 00:18:18,530 --> 00:18:20,000 as long as p is bigger than 0. 292 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,800 So we're going to assume 6% interest. 293 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,340 So that goes away, so the annuity is worth just 294 00:18:25,340 --> 00:18:31,000 that, m times 1 plus p over p, because the limit as n 295 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:36,550 goes to infinity of 1 over 1 plus p to the n minus 1, 296 00:18:36,550 --> 00:18:39,890 that's going to 0. 297 00:18:39,890 --> 00:19:02,390 So the value for m is $50,000, and at 6% V is only $883,000. 298 00:19:02,390 --> 00:19:04,450 So you're better off taking a million dollars 299 00:19:04,450 --> 00:19:08,704 today than $50,000 a year forever. 300 00:19:08,704 --> 00:19:10,620 Now, if you think about it, and think about it 301 00:19:10,620 --> 00:19:12,350 as an interest rate, why should it 302 00:19:12,350 --> 00:19:14,950 be obvious that you're better off with a million dollars 303 00:19:14,950 --> 00:19:19,179 today than 50 grand a year forever? 304 00:19:19,179 --> 00:19:21,470 Think about what you could do with that million dollars 305 00:19:21,470 --> 00:19:27,790 if you had it today at 6% interest. 306 00:19:27,790 --> 00:19:31,710 What would you do with it to make more money than 50 grand 307 00:19:31,710 --> 00:19:32,360 a year forever? 308 00:19:32,360 --> 00:19:33,478 Yeah. 309 00:19:33,478 --> 00:19:36,102 AUDIENCE: You could have like-- you could make $50,000 per year 310 00:19:36,102 --> 00:19:37,754 just off of [INAUDIBLE]. 311 00:19:37,754 --> 00:19:38,420 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 312 00:19:38,420 --> 00:19:40,820 In this model, if the interest rate is 6%, 313 00:19:40,820 --> 00:19:41,820 you can put in the bank. 314 00:19:41,820 --> 00:19:45,300 It makes 6% every year, that's 60 grand a year forever. 315 00:19:45,300 --> 00:19:48,150 Better than 50 grand a year forever. 316 00:19:48,150 --> 00:19:50,294 So maybe it's-- even without doing the math, 317 00:19:50,294 --> 00:19:51,960 you can tell which way it's going to go, 318 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:54,396 but this tells you exactly what it's worth. 319 00:19:58,460 --> 00:19:59,102 Any questions? 320 00:20:02,340 --> 00:20:04,362 OK. 321 00:20:04,362 --> 00:20:04,862 Yeah. 322 00:20:04,862 --> 00:20:06,428 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] current value-- 323 00:20:06,428 --> 00:20:08,554 that's how much it's worth to you right now. 324 00:20:08,554 --> 00:20:09,220 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 325 00:20:09,220 --> 00:20:14,010 AUDIENCE: So and, like, if you have $1 in the future-- 326 00:20:14,010 --> 00:20:15,086 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 327 00:20:15,086 --> 00:20:17,869 AUDIENCE: --where S right now is m over 1 plus p-- 328 00:20:17,869 --> 00:20:18,535 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 329 00:20:18,535 --> 00:20:21,118 AUDIENCE: --is it worth less to you [INAUDIBLE] then later on, 330 00:20:21,118 --> 00:20:23,000 it's going to be worth more to you. 331 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:24,930 PROFESSOR: Ah, so if you move yourself 332 00:20:24,930 --> 00:20:28,584 forward in time, $1 a year, in a year it'll worth $1 to you-- 333 00:20:28,584 --> 00:20:29,360 AUDIENCE: Yeah. 334 00:20:29,360 --> 00:20:32,490 PROFESSOR: --but today it's worth less than $1 to you, 335 00:20:32,490 --> 00:20:35,070 because you could take the dollar today and invest 336 00:20:35,070 --> 00:20:38,180 in the bank, and it's worth more in a year, because the money 337 00:20:38,180 --> 00:20:41,700 grows in value, as a way to think of it, 338 00:20:41,700 --> 00:20:43,510 because you can earn interest on it. 339 00:20:43,510 --> 00:20:44,104 What's that? 340 00:20:44,104 --> 00:20:45,760 AUDIENCE: You could spend it. 341 00:20:45,760 --> 00:20:46,480 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 342 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,030 Yeah, if you just spend it, well, 343 00:20:48,030 --> 00:20:49,571 then at least you had the use of what 344 00:20:49,571 --> 00:20:51,009 you spent it on for the year. 345 00:20:51,009 --> 00:20:52,800 So there's some other kind of value, right? 346 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,660 Maybe you bought a house or something 347 00:20:55,660 --> 00:20:59,410 that-- maybe something that even appreciated in value. 348 00:20:59,410 --> 00:21:00,610 OK. 349 00:21:00,610 --> 00:21:04,396 But these things get sort of squishy, 350 00:21:04,396 --> 00:21:05,770 and that is where a lot of people 351 00:21:05,770 --> 00:21:08,890 make money on Wall Street, is because different companies 352 00:21:08,890 --> 00:21:10,330 have different needs for money. 353 00:21:10,330 --> 00:21:11,860 They have different views of what the interest rates are 354 00:21:11,860 --> 00:21:14,180 going to be, and you can play in the middle 355 00:21:14,180 --> 00:21:16,170 and make a lot of money that way. 356 00:21:35,220 --> 00:21:39,620 So more generally, there's a corollary to the theorem, 357 00:21:39,620 --> 00:21:44,030 and that is that if the absolute value of x is less than 1, 358 00:21:44,030 --> 00:21:51,650 then the sum i equals 0 to infinity x to the i 359 00:21:51,650 --> 00:21:56,080 is just 1 over 1 minus x. 360 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,350 We didn't prove this back in the second recitation, 361 00:21:59,350 --> 00:22:02,130 because there's no n to induct on here, 362 00:22:02,130 --> 00:22:05,220 but the proof is simple from the theorem. 363 00:22:05,220 --> 00:22:08,060 And it's simply because if x is less than 1, 364 00:22:08,060 --> 00:22:13,330 an absolute value, as n goes to infinity, that goes to 0, 365 00:22:13,330 --> 00:22:15,410 and so you're just left with 1 over 1 minus x. 366 00:22:26,650 --> 00:22:31,680 So, for example, what's this sum? 367 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,075 This one you all know, I'm sure. 368 00:22:37,010 --> 00:22:37,880 Out to infinity. 369 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,970 What's that sum to? 370 00:22:40,970 --> 00:22:41,600 To 2. 371 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:42,250 Yeah. 372 00:22:42,250 --> 00:22:47,710 It's 1 over 1 minus 1/2, which is 2. 373 00:22:47,710 --> 00:22:55,370 What about this sum out to infinity? 374 00:22:55,370 --> 00:22:56,505 What does that sum to? 375 00:22:59,263 --> 00:23:01,430 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] 376 00:23:01,430 --> 00:23:07,700 PROFESSOR: Yeah, 3/2, 1 over 1 minus 1/3 is 3/2. 377 00:23:07,700 --> 00:23:09,920 So, easy corollaries. 378 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,460 These are all examples of geometric series. 379 00:23:12,460 --> 00:23:14,600 That's what a definition of a geometric series is. 380 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,810 Something that's going down by a fixed-- each term 381 00:23:16,810 --> 00:23:19,490 goes down by the same fixed amount every time. 382 00:23:19,490 --> 00:23:22,580 And geometric series, generally sum 383 00:23:22,580 --> 00:23:26,140 to something that is very close to the largest term. 384 00:23:26,140 --> 00:23:28,590 In this case, it's 1. 385 00:23:28,590 --> 00:23:31,380 Very common, because of that formula. 386 00:23:31,380 --> 00:23:32,772 It's 1 over 1 minus x. 387 00:23:40,270 --> 00:23:43,720 Any questions about this or geometric series? 388 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:48,280 All right. 389 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,140 Well, those are straight geometric sums. 390 00:23:51,140 --> 00:23:53,500 Sometimes you run into things that are a little bit more 391 00:23:53,500 --> 00:23:54,930 complicated. 392 00:23:54,930 --> 00:24:01,570 For example, say I have this kind of a sum, i equals 1 to n, 393 00:24:01,570 --> 00:24:05,030 i times x to the i. 394 00:24:05,030 --> 00:24:11,100 Now, those are adding up x plus 2x squared plus 3x cubed, 395 00:24:11,100 --> 00:24:16,369 and so forth, up to n x to the n. 396 00:24:16,369 --> 00:24:18,160 You know, that's a little more complicated. 397 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,480 The terms are getting-- decreasing 398 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,680 by a factor of x, increasing by 1 in terms of the coefficient 399 00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:25,420 every time. 400 00:24:25,420 --> 00:24:27,200 A little trickier. 401 00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:31,280 So say we wanted to get a closed form expression for that? 402 00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,130 There are several ways we can do it. 403 00:24:33,130 --> 00:24:37,190 The first would be to try to use perturbation-- the perturbation 404 00:24:37,190 --> 00:24:37,900 method. 405 00:24:37,900 --> 00:24:40,730 Let's try that. 406 00:24:40,730 --> 00:24:48,370 So we write S equals x plus 2x squared plus 3x cubed plus nx 407 00:24:48,370 --> 00:24:51,920 to the n, and let's try the same perturbation. 408 00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:57,610 Multiply by x, I get that x squared 409 00:24:57,610 --> 00:25:09,420 plus 2x cubed plus n minus 1x to the n, plus nx to the n plus 1. 410 00:25:09,420 --> 00:25:12,370 And then I subtract to try to get all the cancellation. 411 00:25:15,220 --> 00:25:17,410 So then I do that. 412 00:25:17,410 --> 00:25:24,540 I get 1 minus x times S. Well, I didn't quite cancel everything. 413 00:25:24,540 --> 00:25:31,960 X plus x squared plus x cubed plus x 414 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:37,960 to the n plus n-- or minus nx to the n plus 1. 415 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:41,010 Ah, it didn't quite work. 416 00:25:41,010 --> 00:25:43,708 Anybody see a way that I can fix this up? 417 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,610 What about this piece? 418 00:25:51,610 --> 00:25:53,020 That's still a mess here. 419 00:25:53,020 --> 00:25:56,240 Can I simplify that? 420 00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:57,522 Yeah? 421 00:25:57,522 --> 00:25:58,474 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] 422 00:26:05,150 --> 00:26:06,761 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 423 00:26:06,761 --> 00:26:07,260 There's 424 00:26:07,260 --> 00:26:08,990 a simpler way. 425 00:26:08,990 --> 00:26:09,721 Yeah. 426 00:26:09,721 --> 00:26:11,220 AUDIENCE: That's a geometric series. 427 00:26:11,220 --> 00:26:13,160 PROFESSOR: That's a geometric series. 428 00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:16,360 We just got the formula for it, so that's easy. 429 00:26:16,360 --> 00:26:25,140 This equals 1 minus x to the n over 1 minus x minus the 1, 430 00:26:25,140 --> 00:26:26,910 because I'm missing the 1 here. 431 00:26:26,910 --> 00:26:29,040 So we can rewrite this whole thing over here. 432 00:26:39,551 --> 00:26:40,050 Oops. 433 00:26:40,050 --> 00:26:40,550 Yikes. 434 00:26:40,550 --> 00:26:41,481 Got attacked. 435 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:50,560 What's that? 436 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,960 AUDIENCE: Would it be 1 minus x should be n plus 1? 437 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,710 PROFESSOR: Yes it would. 438 00:26:56,710 --> 00:26:57,360 That's right. 439 00:26:57,360 --> 00:26:59,630 I've got to add 1 to there. 440 00:26:59,630 --> 00:27:00,200 OK. 441 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,630 So that's good. 442 00:27:02,630 --> 00:27:08,040 So that says that 1 minus x times S 443 00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:15,317 equals 1 minus x to the n plus 1 over 1 minus x minus 1, 444 00:27:15,317 --> 00:27:17,650 and then I've got to remember to subtract that term too. 445 00:27:17,650 --> 00:27:21,630 Minus nx to the n plus 1. 446 00:27:21,630 --> 00:27:24,700 That means now I just divide through, 447 00:27:24,700 --> 00:27:27,990 and I simplify-- divide through by 1 minus x-- and simplify, 448 00:27:27,990 --> 00:27:30,070 and I get the following formula. 449 00:27:30,070 --> 00:27:32,390 I won't go through all the details, but it's not hard. 450 00:27:45,460 --> 00:27:48,590 Let's see if I got that right. 451 00:27:48,590 --> 00:27:50,450 Yeah, that looks right. 452 00:27:50,450 --> 00:27:52,780 OK, so that is the closed form expression 453 00:27:52,780 --> 00:27:55,839 for that sum, which we can get from the perturbation 454 00:27:55,839 --> 00:27:57,380 method and the fact that we'd already 455 00:27:57,380 --> 00:28:00,940 done the geometric series. 456 00:28:00,940 --> 00:28:05,700 There's another way to compute these kinds of sums, 457 00:28:05,700 --> 00:28:08,267 which I want to show you, because it can be useful. 458 00:28:16,170 --> 00:28:19,180 So we're going to do the same sum and derive the formula 459 00:28:19,180 --> 00:28:21,180 a different way. 460 00:28:21,180 --> 00:28:31,720 This method is called the derivative method, 461 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,440 and the idea is to start with a geometric series which 462 00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:39,280 it's close to and then take a derivative. 463 00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:43,700 So for x not equal to 1, we already know from the theorem 464 00:28:43,700 --> 00:28:50,080 that i equals 0 to n, x to the i equals 1 minus x to the n 465 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:53,170 plus 1 over 1 minus x. 466 00:28:53,170 --> 00:28:54,120 That was the theorem. 467 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,010 We already know that. 468 00:28:57,010 --> 00:28:59,670 Now, I can take the derivative of both sides, 469 00:28:59,670 --> 00:29:03,220 and let's see what we get by taking the derivative. 470 00:29:03,220 --> 00:29:07,440 Well, here I get the sum. 471 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,320 The derivative of x to the i is just i times x to the i 472 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,020 minus 1. 473 00:29:13,020 --> 00:29:16,310 The derivative over here is a little messier. 474 00:29:16,310 --> 00:29:19,400 I've got to have-- well, I take 1 minus x 475 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:20,570 times a derivative of that. 476 00:29:23,530 --> 00:29:33,020 Derivative of this is now minus n plus 1, x to the n. 477 00:29:33,020 --> 00:29:36,980 Then I take this times the derivative of that 478 00:29:36,980 --> 00:29:44,790 is now minus minus 1, 1 minus x to the n plus 1, 479 00:29:44,790 --> 00:29:48,120 and then I divide by that squared. 480 00:29:52,730 --> 00:29:58,390 Now, when we compute all that out, we get this, 1 minus n 481 00:29:58,390 --> 00:30:06,690 plus 1, x to the n plus nx to the n plus 1 over 1 482 00:30:06,690 --> 00:30:09,689 minus x squared. 483 00:30:09,689 --> 00:30:11,230 I won't drag you through the algebra, 484 00:30:11,230 --> 00:30:13,480 but it's not hard to go from there to there. 485 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:17,020 This is pretty close to what we wanted. 486 00:30:17,020 --> 00:30:25,540 We're trying to figure out this, and we almost got there. 487 00:30:25,540 --> 00:30:28,470 What do I do to finish it up? 488 00:30:28,470 --> 00:30:29,470 AUDIENCE: Multiply by x. 489 00:30:29,470 --> 00:30:30,900 PROFESSOR: Multiply by x. 490 00:30:30,900 --> 00:30:31,730 Good. 491 00:30:31,730 --> 00:30:40,140 So if I take this and multiply by x, i equals zero to n, 492 00:30:40,140 --> 00:30:49,060 ix to the i equals x minus n plus 1, x to the n plus 1, 493 00:30:49,060 --> 00:30:56,240 plus nx to the n plus 2, all over 1 minus x squared. 494 00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:57,887 OK? 495 00:30:57,887 --> 00:30:59,970 Which should be the same-- yeah-- the same formula 496 00:30:59,970 --> 00:31:01,776 we had up there. 497 00:31:01,776 --> 00:31:03,400 So that's called the derivative method. 498 00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:05,525 You can start manipulating-- you treat these things 499 00:31:05,525 --> 00:31:09,230 as polynomials-- these sums-- and you start manipulating them 500 00:31:09,230 --> 00:31:10,930 like you would polynomials. 501 00:31:10,930 --> 00:31:13,670 In fact, there's a whole branch of mathematics 502 00:31:13,670 --> 00:31:15,830 called generating functions that we won't have time 503 00:31:15,830 --> 00:31:20,560 to do in this class that's in chapter 12 of the text. 504 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:24,426 But you do things like that to get sums. 505 00:31:29,820 --> 00:31:33,430 Any questions about what we did there? 506 00:31:33,430 --> 00:31:36,800 You can also do a version where you take integrals of this 507 00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:39,260 if you want, and then you get the i's 508 00:31:39,260 --> 00:31:41,708 in the denominator instead of those coefficients. 509 00:31:45,340 --> 00:31:48,980 For homework, I think we've given you 510 00:31:48,980 --> 00:31:52,761 the sum of i squared x to the i. 511 00:31:52,761 --> 00:31:56,640 How do you think you're going to do that? 512 00:31:56,640 --> 00:31:59,220 Any thoughts about how you're going to solve that? 513 00:31:59,220 --> 00:32:01,440 Get the sum, a closed form for the sum of i 514 00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,160 squared x to the i? 515 00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:06,060 AUDIENCE: Do the derivative method twice. 516 00:32:06,060 --> 00:32:07,268 PROFESSOR: Yeah, do it twice. 517 00:32:07,268 --> 00:32:08,946 Take this, which now you know. 518 00:32:08,946 --> 00:32:11,700 Take the derivative again. 519 00:32:11,700 --> 00:32:12,880 Won't be too hard. 520 00:32:18,530 --> 00:32:23,980 You can also take the version of this where n goes to infinity. 521 00:32:23,980 --> 00:32:24,655 Let's do that. 522 00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:34,900 If the absolute value of x is less than 1, the sum i 523 00:32:34,900 --> 00:32:41,820 equals 1 to infinity of ix to the i, what does that equal? 524 00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:46,356 This one, you can see it easier up here. 525 00:32:49,020 --> 00:32:53,890 What happens when n goes to infinity? 526 00:32:53,890 --> 00:32:54,750 What does this do? 527 00:32:57,390 --> 00:32:59,570 X is less than 1, an absolute value. 528 00:32:59,570 --> 00:33:02,920 What happens to this as n goes to infinity? 529 00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:03,420 This term. 530 00:33:06,380 --> 00:33:09,010 Goes to 0, right? 531 00:33:09,010 --> 00:33:11,930 This gets big, but this gets smaller faster. 532 00:33:11,930 --> 00:33:16,230 What happens to this term as n goes to infinity? 533 00:33:16,230 --> 00:33:18,500 Same thing, 0. 534 00:33:18,500 --> 00:33:20,920 All I'm left with is x over 1 minus x squared. 535 00:33:29,570 --> 00:33:32,930 Now, this formula is useful if you're 536 00:33:32,930 --> 00:33:37,410 trying to, say, get the value of a company, 537 00:33:37,410 --> 00:33:39,490 and the company is growing. 538 00:33:39,490 --> 00:33:44,850 Every year the company grows its bottom line by m dollars. 539 00:33:44,850 --> 00:33:47,240 So the first year, the company generates m dollars, 540 00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,060 the next year it generates two m dollars in profit, 541 00:33:50,060 --> 00:33:52,136 the next year is three m dollars. 542 00:33:52,136 --> 00:33:53,760 So you've got an entity that every year 543 00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:55,260 is growing by a fixed amount. 544 00:33:55,260 --> 00:33:57,870 It's not doubling every year, but every year 545 00:33:57,870 --> 00:34:00,760 adds in m dollars more of profit. 546 00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:03,400 What would you pay to buy that company? 547 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:05,550 What is that worth? 548 00:34:05,550 --> 00:34:08,305 So you can think of this as, again, an annuity. 549 00:34:13,900 --> 00:34:25,090 Here the annuity pays im dollars, in this case, 550 00:34:25,090 --> 00:34:32,250 at the end, not the beginning, say, of the year i forever. 551 00:34:39,070 --> 00:34:43,409 This company is-- or this annuity-- is worth, well, 552 00:34:43,409 --> 00:34:46,190 we just plug into the formula. 553 00:34:46,190 --> 00:34:50,469 Instead of $1 each year, it's m so there's an m out front. 554 00:34:50,469 --> 00:34:58,490 x is 1 over 1 plus p, and then we have 1 minus 1 over 1 555 00:34:58,490 --> 00:34:59,714 plus p squared. 556 00:35:02,620 --> 00:35:06,840 And if we multiply the top and bottom by 1 plus p squared, 557 00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:11,954 we get m 1 plus p over p squared. 558 00:35:15,190 --> 00:35:17,816 So it's possible with a very simple formula 559 00:35:17,816 --> 00:35:19,190 to figure out how much you should 560 00:35:19,190 --> 00:35:22,730 spend to buy this company, what its value is today. 561 00:35:22,730 --> 00:35:29,590 So, for example, say the company was adding $50,000 a year 562 00:35:29,590 --> 00:35:31,650 in profit. 563 00:35:31,650 --> 00:35:37,300 The interest rate was 6%, the value of this company 564 00:35:37,300 --> 00:35:45,510 is $14 million-- $14.7 million, just plugging 565 00:35:45,510 --> 00:35:47,960 into that formula. 566 00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:51,380 So people that buy companies and stuff, 567 00:35:51,380 --> 00:35:55,494 they use formulas like this to figure out what it's worth. 568 00:35:55,494 --> 00:35:56,910 Of course, you've got to make sure 569 00:35:56,910 --> 00:36:01,704 it's really going to keep paying the $50,000 more every year 570 00:36:01,704 --> 00:36:03,370 and that this is the right interest rate 571 00:36:03,370 --> 00:36:05,465 to be thinking about. 572 00:36:05,465 --> 00:36:07,090 You know, and the guys on Wall Street-- 573 00:36:07,090 --> 00:36:08,631 the bankers on Wall Street-- they all 574 00:36:08,631 --> 00:36:12,670 have their estimations for what these things are-- 575 00:36:12,670 --> 00:36:16,200 the value of p they would put into these formulas. 576 00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:19,410 Any questions about that? 577 00:36:19,410 --> 00:36:20,715 Yeah. 578 00:36:20,715 --> 00:36:22,247 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] 579 00:36:22,247 --> 00:36:22,830 PROFESSOR: OK. 580 00:36:22,830 --> 00:36:24,290 Good. 581 00:36:24,290 --> 00:36:27,170 So this one is OK? 582 00:36:27,170 --> 00:36:28,040 OK. 583 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:32,910 I plugged x equals 1 over 1 plus p, 584 00:36:32,910 --> 00:36:34,920 like we did before-- remember for the annuity-- 585 00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:38,090 because every year you're degrading it, 586 00:36:38,090 --> 00:36:40,430 devaluing by 1 over 1 plus p. 587 00:36:40,430 --> 00:36:47,160 So that's the x term, and it's paying-- in the i-th year, 588 00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:51,400 it's paying im dollars. 589 00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:52,250 All right? 590 00:36:52,250 --> 00:36:56,470 So the first year it pays n dollars, the next year 2 m, 591 00:36:56,470 --> 00:37:00,830 the next year 3 m, the next year 4 m, 592 00:37:00,830 --> 00:37:03,310 but every year you're knocking it down by 1 plus 1 593 00:37:03,310 --> 00:37:06,070 over p to the number of years. 594 00:37:06,070 --> 00:37:11,520 So what you get-- the sum you've really got here-- 595 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:15,130 is i equals 1 to infinity, im dollars are paid, 596 00:37:15,130 --> 00:37:18,300 but those dollars are worth 1 over 1 plus p 597 00:37:18,300 --> 00:37:21,152 to the i today, the current value. 598 00:37:21,152 --> 00:37:22,110 That's a good question. 599 00:37:22,110 --> 00:37:24,350 I should've said that. 600 00:37:24,350 --> 00:37:26,572 That's a great question. 601 00:37:26,572 --> 00:37:28,030 So that's how we connected this up, 602 00:37:28,030 --> 00:37:31,130 because you're getting paid this much in our years, 603 00:37:31,130 --> 00:37:33,390 and that's worth that much degradation 604 00:37:33,390 --> 00:37:35,740 or that much devaluation today, and now we 605 00:37:35,740 --> 00:37:38,930 add up a total current value. 606 00:37:38,930 --> 00:37:41,190 So even a company that is paying you more and more 607 00:37:41,190 --> 00:37:47,220 every year still has a finite value, because the extra-- 608 00:37:47,220 --> 00:37:49,990 the payments are increasing but only linearly. 609 00:37:49,990 --> 00:37:52,670 The value today is decreasing geometrically, 610 00:37:52,670 --> 00:37:55,040 and the geometric decrease wipes out the value 611 00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:56,600 of the company in the future. 612 00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:57,100 Yeah. 613 00:37:57,100 --> 00:38:01,810 AUDIENCE: Are you [? squaring ?] quantity of [INAUDIBLE]. 614 00:38:05,640 --> 00:38:06,780 PROFESSOR: What did I do? 615 00:38:06,780 --> 00:38:09,030 Oh, wait, wait, wait. 616 00:38:09,030 --> 00:38:12,380 I screwed up here too. 617 00:38:12,380 --> 00:38:14,661 Is that what you're asking about? 618 00:38:14,661 --> 00:38:15,160 Yeah. 619 00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:16,743 That's what I should have done, right? 620 00:38:16,743 --> 00:38:20,600 Because I got 1 minus x is 1 minus 1 over 1 plus p. 621 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:25,970 That gets squared, and now when I multiply 1 plus p squared, 622 00:38:25,970 --> 00:38:28,310 it's multiplying this by 1 plus p. 623 00:38:28,310 --> 00:38:30,630 It's 1 plus p minus 1 is p. 624 00:38:30,630 --> 00:38:32,342 So I have p squared. 625 00:38:32,342 --> 00:38:33,550 All right, so this part's OK. 626 00:38:33,550 --> 00:38:35,610 That part I wrote wrong. 627 00:38:35,610 --> 00:38:36,280 That's good. 628 00:38:36,280 --> 00:38:37,130 Any other questions? 629 00:38:46,430 --> 00:38:47,771 So let's do a simple example. 630 00:39:03,230 --> 00:39:04,710 What is this sum? 631 00:39:14,026 --> 00:39:23,580 A 1/2 plus 2/4 plus 3/8 plus 4/16 forever. 632 00:39:23,580 --> 00:39:26,585 What's that sum equal? 633 00:39:32,970 --> 00:39:35,975 You can plug that in the formula. 634 00:39:35,975 --> 00:39:38,060 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] 635 00:39:38,060 --> 00:39:40,440 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 636 00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:41,260 That's right. 637 00:39:41,260 --> 00:39:43,350 Good. 638 00:39:43,350 --> 00:39:46,310 These details. 639 00:39:46,310 --> 00:39:48,156 Otherwise that sum would be what? 640 00:39:48,156 --> 00:39:50,640 If I didn't put the negative here, 641 00:39:50,640 --> 00:39:53,510 it's going to be infinity, and that's not so interesting. 642 00:39:53,510 --> 00:39:55,970 The negative makes it more interesting, so I got 1 over 2 643 00:39:55,970 --> 00:39:57,810 to the i in there. 644 00:39:57,810 --> 00:39:58,785 What's it worth then? 645 00:40:01,790 --> 00:40:04,030 Well, I can plug in the formula. 646 00:40:04,030 --> 00:40:06,650 What's x? 647 00:40:06,650 --> 00:40:07,760 One half. 648 00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:16,740 So I get 1/2 over 1 minus 1/2 squared is 1/2 over 1/4, 649 00:40:16,740 --> 00:40:17,690 and that's 2. 650 00:40:24,710 --> 00:40:28,925 Any questions on that formula? 651 00:40:28,925 --> 00:40:31,280 It's amazing how useful these things get to be later. 652 00:40:34,910 --> 00:40:39,130 So that's sort of the geometric kinds of things. 653 00:40:39,130 --> 00:40:43,160 Next I want to talk about more of the arithmetic kinds of sums 654 00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:45,440 and what you do there. 655 00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:49,210 In fact, we've already seen one that we've done. 656 00:40:49,210 --> 00:40:55,100 If I sum i equals 1 to n of i-- I think we've already 657 00:40:55,100 --> 00:40:59,500 done this one-- that's just n times n plus 1 over 2, 658 00:40:59,500 --> 00:41:01,170 and probably most of you even learned 659 00:41:01,170 --> 00:41:03,380 that formula back in middle school, 660 00:41:03,380 --> 00:41:07,220 I'm guessing-- maybe before. 661 00:41:07,220 --> 00:41:09,825 How many people know the answer for this sum? 662 00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:17,765 The sum of the squares-- the first n squares. 663 00:41:17,765 --> 00:41:18,390 Somebody knows. 664 00:41:18,390 --> 00:41:19,720 What is it? 665 00:41:19,720 --> 00:41:26,595 AUDIENCE: n times n plus 1 times 2n plus 1, all over 6. 666 00:41:26,595 --> 00:41:27,470 PROFESSOR: Very good. 667 00:41:27,470 --> 00:41:29,160 That is correct. 668 00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:31,450 Most people don't remember that one. 669 00:41:31,450 --> 00:41:35,140 It's a little harder to derive. 670 00:41:35,140 --> 00:41:39,410 How would you prove this by induction? 671 00:41:39,410 --> 00:41:41,200 Unfortunately, induction doesn't tell you 672 00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:44,260 how to remember what the formula was, 673 00:41:44,260 --> 00:41:47,700 and there's a couple of ways you can go about that. 674 00:41:47,700 --> 00:41:50,460 One is, you can remember or guess 675 00:41:50,460 --> 00:41:53,222 that the answer is a polynomial in n. 676 00:41:53,222 --> 00:41:55,710 In fact, because you're summing squares, 677 00:41:55,710 --> 00:42:00,100 you might guess that it's a cubic polynomial in n, 678 00:42:00,100 --> 00:42:03,890 and if you remember just that or guess just that, then you 679 00:42:03,890 --> 00:42:08,540 could actually plug in values and get the answer. 680 00:42:08,540 --> 00:42:10,870 And this is-- you know, a common method 681 00:42:10,870 --> 00:42:12,850 of solving these sums is you sort of guess 682 00:42:12,850 --> 00:42:15,010 the form of the solution. 683 00:42:15,010 --> 00:42:23,760 In this case you might guess that for all n, 684 00:42:23,760 --> 00:42:29,166 the sum i equals 1 to n of i squared equals a cubic. 685 00:42:34,730 --> 00:42:41,380 And then what you would do is plug in the value n equals 1, 686 00:42:41,380 --> 00:42:43,860 n equals 2, maybe even-- we'll make 687 00:42:43,860 --> 00:42:47,350 it n equals 0-- make it simple and start 688 00:42:47,350 --> 00:42:51,380 getting some constraints on the coefficients. 689 00:42:51,380 --> 00:42:59,176 If you would plug in n equals 0, the sum is 0. 690 00:43:02,300 --> 00:43:06,250 The polynomial evaluates to d. 691 00:43:06,250 --> 00:43:10,160 That tells you what d has got to be right away. n equals 1. 692 00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:14,050 The sum is 1, and when you plug into the polynomial, 693 00:43:14,050 --> 00:43:18,760 you get a plus b plus c plus d. 694 00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:21,540 n equals 2. 695 00:43:21,540 --> 00:43:26,710 Well, that's 1 plus 4 is 5, 2 cubed is 8, 696 00:43:26,710 --> 00:43:32,680 so you have 8a plus 4b plus 2c plus d, 697 00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:36,720 and you'll need one more since you've got four variables. 698 00:43:36,720 --> 00:43:40,950 Let's see, 1 plus 4 plus 9 is 14. 699 00:43:40,950 --> 00:43:50,690 I've now got 3 cubed is 27a plus 9b plus 3c plus d. 700 00:43:50,690 --> 00:43:54,120 So now I've got four equations and four variables 701 00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:57,360 and, with any luck, I can solve that system of equations 702 00:43:57,360 --> 00:43:58,930 and get the answer. 703 00:43:58,930 --> 00:44:00,090 And, in fact, you can. 704 00:44:00,090 --> 00:44:07,300 When you solve this system, you get a equals 1/3, b equals 1/2, 705 00:44:07,300 --> 00:44:11,460 c equals 1/6, and d equals 0. 706 00:44:11,460 --> 00:44:14,970 And that's exactly what you get in that formula. 707 00:44:14,970 --> 00:44:19,650 So that's a way to reproduce the formula if you forgot it. 708 00:44:19,650 --> 00:44:23,410 Now, this method-- really to be sure you 709 00:44:23,410 --> 00:44:25,920 got the right answer-- you've got to go prove it 710 00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:30,572 by induction, because I derived the answer-- if it 711 00:44:30,572 --> 00:44:32,530 was a polynomial, I would have gotten it right, 712 00:44:32,530 --> 00:44:34,169 but I might be wrong in my guess. 713 00:44:34,169 --> 00:44:35,710 And to make sure your guess is right, 714 00:44:35,710 --> 00:44:37,335 you've got to go back and use induction 715 00:44:37,335 --> 00:44:38,762 to prove it for this approach. 716 00:44:38,762 --> 00:44:39,262 Yeah. 717 00:44:39,262 --> 00:44:41,981 AUDIENCE: How do you know that it would be [INAUDIBLE] and not 718 00:44:41,981 --> 00:44:43,160 some higher power? 719 00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:45,710 PROFESSOR: Well, it turns out that anytime you're 720 00:44:45,710 --> 00:44:49,630 summing powers, the answer is a polynomial to one 721 00:44:49,630 --> 00:44:51,540 higher degree. 722 00:44:51,540 --> 00:44:54,750 So if you just remembered that fact, or you guessed that fact. 723 00:44:54,750 --> 00:44:58,000 Another way to sort of imagine that might be true 724 00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:01,120 is that I'm getting n of them, so I 725 00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:04,500 might be multiplying-- the top one is n squared, 726 00:45:04,500 --> 00:45:07,900 so I'm going to have n of them about n squared. 727 00:45:07,900 --> 00:45:11,370 Might be something like n cubed. 728 00:45:11,370 --> 00:45:16,660 That's another way you could think of it, to guess that. 729 00:45:16,660 --> 00:45:20,186 Any other questions on this? 730 00:45:25,130 --> 00:45:29,970 So far, all these sums had nice closed forms, and a lot of them 731 00:45:29,970 --> 00:45:33,410 do that you'll encounter later on, but not all, 732 00:45:33,410 --> 00:45:37,580 and sometimes you get sums that don't have a nice closed form-- 733 00:45:37,580 --> 00:45:39,670 at least nobody has ever figured out one, 734 00:45:39,670 --> 00:45:42,560 and probably doesn't always exist. 735 00:45:42,560 --> 00:45:46,820 For example, what if I want to sum the first n 736 00:45:46,820 --> 00:45:48,840 square roots of integers? 737 00:45:53,340 --> 00:45:54,774 Let's write that down. 738 00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,618 So say I want a closed form for this guy. 739 00:46:13,560 --> 00:46:17,340 Nobody knows an answer for that, but there 740 00:46:17,340 --> 00:46:22,000 are ways of getting very good, close bounds on it that 741 00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:23,950 are closed form, and these are very important, 742 00:46:23,950 --> 00:46:26,060 and we're going to use this the rest of today 743 00:46:26,060 --> 00:46:27,890 and the rest of next time. 744 00:46:27,890 --> 00:46:32,740 And they're based on replacing the sum with an integral, 745 00:46:32,740 --> 00:46:35,140 and the integral is very close to the right answer, 746 00:46:35,140 --> 00:46:37,820 and then we can see what the error terms are. 747 00:46:37,820 --> 00:46:39,580 So let's first look at the case when 748 00:46:39,580 --> 00:46:42,560 we've got a sum where the terms are increasing as i 749 00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:54,240 grows, and we'll call these integration bounds, 750 00:46:54,240 --> 00:46:57,790 and a general sum will look like this-- i equals 1 to n 751 00:46:57,790 --> 00:47:04,870 of f of i, and the first case is when f is a positive increasing 752 00:47:04,870 --> 00:47:13,150 function, increasing in i. 753 00:47:20,660 --> 00:47:22,960 Integration bounds, and so we're increasing function. 754 00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:31,530 So let me draw a picture that will hopefully 755 00:47:31,530 --> 00:47:34,060 make the bounds that we're going to get pretty easy. 756 00:47:47,550 --> 00:47:53,590 So let's draw the sum here as follows. 757 00:47:53,590 --> 00:48:04,360 I've got 0, 1, 2, 3, n minus 2, n minus 1, n, 758 00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,840 and draw the values of f here. 759 00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:17,260 Here's f of 1, f of 2-- it's increasing-- f of 3, 760 00:48:17,260 --> 00:48:19,550 f of n minus 1, and f of n. 761 00:48:23,180 --> 00:48:27,630 Then I'll draw the rectangles here. 762 00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:38,620 So this has area of f of 1, this has area f of 2, 763 00:48:38,620 --> 00:48:43,630 this has area f of 3, and we keep on going. 764 00:48:43,630 --> 00:48:47,070 Let's see, this will be f of n minus 2 765 00:48:47,070 --> 00:48:50,775 on this one-- I'll just do f of n minus 1, draw this guy here. 766 00:48:53,950 --> 00:48:56,670 So its unit width, its height is f of n minus 1, 767 00:48:56,670 --> 00:49:03,136 so its area is f of n minus 1, and then f of n. 768 00:49:05,690 --> 00:49:11,240 And let me also-- so the sum of f of i 769 00:49:11,240 --> 00:49:14,500 is the areas in the rectangles. 770 00:49:14,500 --> 00:49:16,760 That's what the sum is, and I want 771 00:49:16,760 --> 00:49:21,120 to get bounds on this sum using the integral, 772 00:49:21,120 --> 00:49:23,510 because integrals are easier to compute. 773 00:49:23,510 --> 00:49:28,740 So let's draw the function f of x from 1 to n. 774 00:49:35,720 --> 00:49:39,765 All right, so this is f of x as a function. 775 00:49:42,380 --> 00:49:51,910 Now I claim that the sum i equals 1 to n of f of i 776 00:49:51,910 --> 00:49:57,610 is at least f of 1 plus the integral from 1 to n, 777 00:49:57,610 --> 00:49:58,870 f of x, dx. 778 00:50:01,570 --> 00:50:07,590 Now, the integral from 1 to n of f of x 779 00:50:07,590 --> 00:50:10,786 is this stuff, the stuff under the curve. 780 00:50:10,786 --> 00:50:14,930 It comes down here, starts at 1, and it's 781 00:50:14,930 --> 00:50:17,760 the stuff under the curve. 782 00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:19,410 And what I'm saying here is that if you 783 00:50:19,410 --> 00:50:21,490 take that stuff under the curve and add 784 00:50:21,490 --> 00:50:25,000 f of 1, which is this piece, that's 785 00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:28,230 a lower bound on our sum. 786 00:50:28,230 --> 00:50:31,140 The sum's bigger than that. 787 00:50:31,140 --> 00:50:34,620 So what I'm saying is the area in the rectangles 788 00:50:34,620 --> 00:50:38,440 is at least as big as the area in the first rectangle 789 00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:42,250 plus the area under the curve. 790 00:50:42,250 --> 00:50:45,190 Does everybody see why that is? 791 00:50:45,190 --> 00:50:49,340 I'm saying the sum is the area in the rectangles, right? 792 00:50:49,340 --> 00:50:51,050 That's pretty clear. 793 00:50:51,050 --> 00:50:56,760 And that is at least as big as the first rectangle f of 1 794 00:50:56,760 --> 00:51:00,730 plus the stuff under the curve, which is the integral, 795 00:51:00,730 --> 00:51:03,040 and I've left-- I've chopped off these guys. 796 00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:04,500 That's extra. 797 00:51:04,500 --> 00:51:06,410 OK? 798 00:51:06,410 --> 00:51:07,710 Is that all right? 799 00:51:07,710 --> 00:51:10,200 So lower bound. 800 00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:12,510 Any questions on the lower bound? 801 00:51:12,510 --> 00:51:16,120 This is a picture proof, which we always tell you not to do, 802 00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:18,456 but we're going to do one here. 803 00:51:21,830 --> 00:51:26,119 And, of course, it totally hides why did I need f is increasing, 804 00:51:26,119 --> 00:51:27,410 but we'll see that in a minute. 805 00:51:27,410 --> 00:51:29,936 The proof would not work unless it is increasing here. 806 00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:34,340 Any questions, because now going I'm 807 00:51:34,340 --> 00:51:37,390 going to do the other bound, the other side. 808 00:51:37,390 --> 00:51:41,300 I also claim-- this will be a little trickier to see-- 809 00:51:41,300 --> 00:51:49,230 that the sum is at most f of n plus the integral from 1 to n. 810 00:51:53,420 --> 00:51:56,110 So this is the lower bound add in f of 1, 811 00:51:56,110 --> 00:51:57,810 the upper bound just add in f of n. 812 00:51:57,810 --> 00:52:00,440 So let's see why that's true. 813 00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,140 Now, to see that, this is-- I'm not 814 00:52:03,140 --> 00:52:05,400 going to be able to draw it. 815 00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:08,420 I want you to imagine taking this curve and the area 816 00:52:08,420 --> 00:52:16,480 under it, down to here, and sliding it left one unit. 817 00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:23,967 sliding it left to here, sliding it left one unit over to here. 818 00:52:26,950 --> 00:52:30,980 Now, when I slide it left one unit, did the area under it 819 00:52:30,980 --> 00:52:33,750 change? 820 00:52:33,750 --> 00:52:34,280 No. 821 00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:36,860 It's the same area under it, just where 822 00:52:36,860 --> 00:52:39,790 it sits on the picture is now out here. 823 00:52:42,950 --> 00:52:45,320 It's this area under this guy, but it's the same thing, 824 00:52:45,320 --> 00:52:47,300 its the same integral. 825 00:52:47,300 --> 00:52:50,680 And you can see that it's more than what's 826 00:52:50,680 --> 00:52:55,110 in these rectangles, because I got all this stuff. 827 00:52:55,110 --> 00:52:57,050 And, of course, I didn't even include this, 828 00:52:57,050 --> 00:53:01,040 so now I add the f n. 829 00:53:01,040 --> 00:53:04,640 So if I take the area under the curve, which is the integral, 830 00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:06,450 shift it left one, so it only goes up 831 00:53:06,450 --> 00:53:11,100 to here now, and then add in this rectangle, that dominates 832 00:53:11,100 --> 00:53:14,590 the area in the rectangles. 833 00:53:14,590 --> 00:53:15,110 Bigger than. 834 00:53:18,890 --> 00:53:19,791 Do you see that? 835 00:53:23,271 --> 00:53:25,020 I could do a lot of equations on the board 836 00:53:25,020 --> 00:53:29,550 but, for sure, that would be hopeless to follow. 837 00:53:29,550 --> 00:53:31,160 Any questions about this? 838 00:53:31,160 --> 00:53:31,896 Yeah. 839 00:53:31,896 --> 00:53:35,088 AUDIENCE: I guess I understand the lower amounts because we're 840 00:53:35,088 --> 00:53:36,460 cutting off the triangles. 841 00:53:36,460 --> 00:53:38,360 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 842 00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:42,760 But is there-- is it a lot of hand waving, 843 00:53:42,760 --> 00:53:45,660 or am I just missing something, that it's always going to be 844 00:53:45,660 --> 00:53:48,004 the f of n is what we-- 845 00:53:48,004 --> 00:53:48,670 PROFESSOR: Yeah. 846 00:53:48,670 --> 00:53:50,750 There's a little hand waving going on, 847 00:53:50,750 --> 00:53:53,076 but I do believe it is true. 848 00:53:53,076 --> 00:53:54,700 With equations you can make it precise. 849 00:53:54,700 --> 00:53:57,876 Let's look at it again, do this one more time. 850 00:53:57,876 --> 00:53:59,482 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] 851 00:53:59,482 --> 00:54:01,440 PROFESSOR: Yeah, I'm waving hands a little bit, 852 00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:04,940 but it also-- hopefully the intuition comes across, 853 00:54:04,940 --> 00:54:10,220 because when I shift left by one, 854 00:54:10,220 --> 00:54:13,230 this point becomes this point, and that point becomes 855 00:54:13,230 --> 00:54:16,300 that point, and I'm catching sort 856 00:54:16,300 --> 00:54:24,300 of the cusp of these rectangles, and now I take this curve here, 857 00:54:24,300 --> 00:54:28,120 shifting the whole curve left one unit, 858 00:54:28,120 --> 00:54:30,430 and the area doesn't change. 859 00:54:30,430 --> 00:54:33,010 It would be equivalent of taking the integral from 0 860 00:54:33,010 --> 00:54:35,170 to n minus 1. 861 00:54:35,170 --> 00:54:38,809 You notice what I'm doing-- of f of x plus 1. 862 00:54:38,809 --> 00:54:40,850 There's another way to look at it mathematically, 863 00:54:40,850 --> 00:54:43,410 maybe-- probably the formal way to do it-- 864 00:54:43,410 --> 00:54:46,060 but the idea is that this now contains 865 00:54:46,060 --> 00:54:48,580 all these first n minus 1 rectangles, 866 00:54:48,580 --> 00:54:51,180 are contained underneath it. 867 00:54:51,180 --> 00:54:55,580 And then I just add this in, and I'm good to go. 868 00:54:55,580 --> 00:54:57,370 I've contained all the rectangles now 869 00:54:57,370 --> 00:55:00,577 for the upper bounds. 870 00:55:00,577 --> 00:55:02,035 All right, mathematically what this 871 00:55:02,035 --> 00:55:06,270 is, this curve is 0 to n minus 1, 872 00:55:06,270 --> 00:55:10,570 fx plus 1, which is the same thing as what that is. 873 00:55:13,810 --> 00:55:19,180 Any questions for that? 874 00:55:19,180 --> 00:55:23,160 But now I have good bounds on the sum. 875 00:55:23,160 --> 00:55:28,100 We know that the sum is at least this and at most that, 876 00:55:28,100 --> 00:55:33,990 and those two bounds only differ by a single term in the sum, 877 00:55:33,990 --> 00:55:36,124 so they're very close. 878 00:55:36,124 --> 00:55:38,040 These actually are good formulas to write down 879 00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:38,873 for your crib sheet. 880 00:55:38,873 --> 00:55:48,880 That is worth doing on the test, and we'll use them more today, 881 00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:51,333 and we'll also use them on Thursday. 882 00:55:56,730 --> 00:55:59,400 So now we can actually get close bounds 883 00:55:59,400 --> 00:56:02,850 on the sum of the square roots. 884 00:56:02,850 --> 00:56:06,365 So let's see how this works for f 885 00:56:06,365 --> 00:56:11,120 of i equal to the square root of i, which is increasing. 886 00:56:11,120 --> 00:56:17,470 So I compute the integral from 1 to n of square root of x dx, 887 00:56:17,470 --> 00:56:24,960 and that's just x to the 3/2 over 3/2, evaluated at n and 1, 888 00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:32,660 and that just equals 2/3 n to the 3/2 minus 1. 889 00:56:32,660 --> 00:56:35,820 And now I can compute the bounds on the sum 890 00:56:35,820 --> 00:56:37,160 of the first n square roots. 891 00:56:39,920 --> 00:56:47,750 So I know that square root i equals 1 to n-- well, 892 00:56:47,750 --> 00:56:57,000 the upper bound is f n plus the integral, 893 00:56:57,000 --> 00:57:02,204 and the lower bound is f of 1 plus the integral. 894 00:57:07,590 --> 00:57:09,390 What is f of n? 895 00:57:12,280 --> 00:57:15,150 That's the square root of n. 896 00:57:15,150 --> 00:57:18,330 What is f of 1? 897 00:57:18,330 --> 00:57:21,860 The square root of 1, which is 1. 898 00:57:21,860 --> 00:57:24,310 So I'll plug that in here. 899 00:57:24,310 --> 00:57:34,440 I get 2/3 n to the 3/2 plus 1 minus 2/3 is plus 1/3, 900 00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:41,020 and here I get 2/3 n to the 3/2 plus the square root 901 00:57:41,020 --> 00:57:42,798 of n minus 2/3. 902 00:57:46,210 --> 00:57:49,840 So now I have pretty good bounds on the sum of the first n 903 00:57:49,840 --> 00:57:54,320 square roots using this method. 904 00:57:54,320 --> 00:58:03,180 So for example, take n equals 100. 905 00:58:03,180 --> 00:58:07,270 This number evaluates to 667. 906 00:58:07,270 --> 00:58:12,130 This number evaluates to 676, and the difference 907 00:58:12,130 --> 00:58:16,290 is 9, which is the square root of 100 minus 1. 908 00:58:16,290 --> 00:58:20,010 This is the square root of n, this is 1, 909 00:58:20,010 --> 00:58:24,210 so the gap here, square root of n minus 1, and n equals 100. 910 00:58:24,210 --> 00:58:26,430 Square root of 100 minus 1 is 9, so I shouldn't be 911 00:58:26,430 --> 00:58:28,642 surprised my gap here is nine. 912 00:58:28,642 --> 00:58:30,350 So I didn't get exactly the right answer, 913 00:58:30,350 --> 00:58:33,055 but I'm pretty close here. 914 00:58:36,030 --> 00:58:44,670 Now, as n grows, what happens to the gap between the upper bound 915 00:58:44,670 --> 00:58:47,820 and the lower bound? 916 00:58:47,820 --> 00:58:49,370 What does it do? 917 00:58:49,370 --> 00:58:51,000 It gets bigger. 918 00:58:51,000 --> 00:58:53,010 So my gap gets bigger. 919 00:58:53,010 --> 00:58:54,490 That's not so nice. 920 00:58:54,490 --> 00:58:59,610 Doesn't always stay 9 forever, but somehow 921 00:58:59,610 --> 00:59:04,890 though this is still pretty good, because the gap grows 922 00:59:04,890 --> 00:59:09,420 but the gap only grows as square root of n, 923 00:59:09,420 --> 00:59:14,670 where the answer-- the bounds-- are growing as n to the 3/2. 924 00:59:14,670 --> 00:59:19,500 In other words, my error is somewhere around here, 925 00:59:19,500 --> 00:59:23,150 and that gets smaller compared to my answer, which 926 00:59:23,150 --> 00:59:25,970 is somewhere around there. 927 00:59:25,970 --> 00:59:30,010 And there's a special notation that people use. 928 00:59:30,010 --> 00:59:33,491 In fact, let's write that down and then do the notation. 929 00:59:45,570 --> 00:59:54,440 Another way of writing this is that the sum i equals 1 to n 930 00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:56,820 of square root of i. 931 00:59:56,820 --> 01:00:02,670 The leading term here is 2/3 n to the 3/2, 932 01:00:02,670 --> 01:00:05,630 and then there's some error term-- delta term here. 933 01:00:05,630 --> 01:00:09,830 We'll call that delta n, and we know 934 01:00:09,830 --> 01:00:19,169 that the error term is at least 1/3 and, at most, 935 01:00:19,169 --> 01:00:20,460 the square root of n minus 2/3. 936 01:00:25,100 --> 01:00:29,090 So this delta term is bound by the square root of n. 937 01:00:29,090 --> 01:00:31,220 That's getting bigger as n gets big, 938 01:00:31,220 --> 01:00:36,920 but this value compared to your answer is getting small. 939 01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:41,969 That's nice, and so the way that gets represented is as follows. 940 01:00:41,969 --> 01:00:43,885 We would say-- it's using that tilde notation. 941 01:00:46,620 --> 01:00:51,960 We write tilde 2/3 times n to the 3/2, 942 01:00:51,960 --> 01:00:53,620 and now we've gotten rid of the delta, 943 01:00:53,620 --> 01:00:55,830 because this tilde is telling us that everything 944 01:00:55,830 --> 01:01:01,500 else out here gets small compared to this as n gets big. 945 01:01:01,500 --> 01:01:04,260 And the formal definition-- Let's write out 946 01:01:04,260 --> 01:01:06,031 the formal definition for it. 947 01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:24,670 Now, a lot of times you'll see people 948 01:01:24,670 --> 01:01:27,170 use this symbol to mean about. 949 01:01:27,170 --> 01:01:28,790 That's informal. 950 01:01:28,790 --> 01:01:31,975 When I'm using it here, it's a very formal meaning 951 01:01:31,975 --> 01:01:32,600 mathematically. 952 01:01:35,580 --> 01:01:42,930 A function g of x is tilde, a function h of x 953 01:01:42,930 --> 01:01:56,840 means that the limit as x goes to infinity of g over h is 1. 954 01:01:56,840 --> 01:01:58,750 In other words, that as x goes to infinity-- 955 01:01:58,750 --> 01:02:04,480 as x gets big-- the ratio of these guys becomes 1. 956 01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:05,990 And let's see if that's true here. 957 01:02:09,040 --> 01:02:12,930 Well, square root of i equals this, 958 01:02:12,930 --> 01:02:17,730 so I need to show the limit of this over that is 1. 959 01:02:17,730 --> 01:02:20,550 So let's check that. 960 01:02:20,550 --> 01:02:26,360 A limit as n goes to infinity of 2/3 n to the 3/2 961 01:02:26,360 --> 01:02:33,710 plus that delta term over 2/3 n to the 3/2. 962 01:02:33,710 --> 01:02:38,565 Well, that equals-- divide out by 2/3 n to the 3/2, I get a 1. 963 01:02:45,776 --> 01:02:47,150 Did I-- should I have subtracted? 964 01:02:47,150 --> 01:02:49,830 No, that's OK. 965 01:02:49,830 --> 01:02:57,850 One plus delta n over 2/3 n to the 3/2. 966 01:02:57,850 --> 01:03:02,090 If I can pull the 1 out front, that's 1 plus the limit, 967 01:03:02,090 --> 01:03:05,840 and this is now delta n is at most square root of n, 968 01:03:05,840 --> 01:03:11,860 so I get square root of n over 2/3 n to the 3/2. 969 01:03:11,860 --> 01:03:17,110 Square root of n over n to the 3/2, that goes to 0. 970 01:03:17,110 --> 01:03:18,530 So this equals 1. 971 01:03:22,280 --> 01:03:24,440 So this limit is 1, and so therefore I 972 01:03:24,440 --> 01:03:28,140 can say that the sum of the first n square roots 973 01:03:28,140 --> 01:03:32,500 is tilde 2/3 n to the 3/2. 974 01:03:32,500 --> 01:03:35,320 Any questions about this? 975 01:03:35,320 --> 01:03:38,050 We're going to do a lot of this kind of notation next time. 976 01:03:38,050 --> 01:03:39,190 Yeah. 977 01:03:39,190 --> 01:03:40,690 AUDIENCE: When you took the integral 978 01:03:40,690 --> 01:03:44,460 and got 2/3 into the 3/2 minus 1, 979 01:03:44,460 --> 01:03:49,050 why did the minus 1 not become part of the actual solution 980 01:03:49,050 --> 01:03:51,317 and become part of the delta? 981 01:03:51,317 --> 01:03:51,900 PROFESSOR: OK. 982 01:03:51,900 --> 01:03:54,500 So you brought it up to here, right? 983 01:03:54,500 --> 01:03:55,360 OK. 984 01:03:55,360 --> 01:03:59,410 So then I plug that into the integral that 985 01:03:59,410 --> 01:04:01,790 appears on both sides here, and here I add the f 1, 986 01:04:01,790 --> 01:04:06,439 here I add f n, and now I have the lower bound here 987 01:04:06,439 --> 01:04:07,480 and the upper bound here. 988 01:04:07,480 --> 01:04:09,090 Are you good with those? 989 01:04:09,090 --> 01:04:09,590 All right. 990 01:04:09,590 --> 01:04:12,880 Now some judgment takes place, and what I'm really 991 01:04:12,880 --> 01:04:17,590 trying to do here is figure out what are the important terms 992 01:04:17,590 --> 01:04:20,250 in these bounds as n gets big? 993 01:04:20,250 --> 01:04:23,440 How big is this growing as n gets big? 994 01:04:23,440 --> 01:04:28,350 Well, as n gets big, the 1/3 is not doing much. 995 01:04:28,350 --> 01:04:30,730 As n gets big, the square root of n 996 01:04:30,730 --> 01:04:34,370 grows, but it's nothing like what's happening here. 997 01:04:34,370 --> 01:04:35,820 If you had to describe to somebody 998 01:04:35,820 --> 01:04:40,491 what's going on in this bound, would you start here or here? 999 01:04:40,491 --> 01:04:40,990 No. 1000 01:04:40,990 --> 01:04:41,698 You'd start here. 1001 01:04:41,698 --> 01:04:44,750 This is the action, and there's a little bit-- the rest is just 1002 01:04:44,750 --> 01:04:46,600 in the slop, in the air. 1003 01:04:46,600 --> 01:04:51,080 And so now I've used judgement to say that delta is somewhere 1004 01:04:51,080 --> 01:04:53,414 in this stuff here. 1005 01:04:53,414 --> 01:04:55,830 What's really happening, and the nice thing is they match. 1006 01:04:55,830 --> 01:04:59,770 The lower bound and the upper bound match on that term. 1007 01:04:59,770 --> 01:05:04,750 So what I do is I write it equals this term 1008 01:05:04,750 --> 01:05:10,390 plus something that's smaller and, in particular, 1009 01:05:10,390 --> 01:05:14,080 it's between 1/3 and square root of n minus 2/3. 1010 01:05:14,080 --> 01:05:14,780 All right. 1011 01:05:14,780 --> 01:05:16,890 So what I'm trying to capture here 1012 01:05:16,890 --> 01:05:20,730 is just the guts of what's happening to this function 1013 01:05:20,730 --> 01:05:24,530 as n grows, and the guts of it is this. 1014 01:05:24,530 --> 01:05:28,210 It's not exactly equal to 2/3 times n to the 3/2, 1015 01:05:28,210 --> 01:05:30,440 but it's close and, in fact, if I 1016 01:05:30,440 --> 01:05:34,930 take the limit of this over that, that limit goes to 1. 1017 01:05:34,930 --> 01:05:39,260 It's a way of saying they're approximately the same that's 1018 01:05:39,260 --> 01:05:41,980 called asymptotically the same, and we'll 1019 01:05:41,980 --> 01:05:45,150 talk a lot more about asymptotic notation next time. 1020 01:05:45,150 --> 01:05:49,214 We'll give you five more symbols besides tilde that people use. 1021 01:05:51,900 --> 01:05:54,670 Any questions about-- maybe start with the bounds. 1022 01:05:54,670 --> 01:05:57,110 Any question on the bounds that we got? 1023 01:05:57,110 --> 01:06:01,790 That's the integration method, first getting the bounds. 1024 01:06:01,790 --> 01:06:05,650 You take the integral, you add f of 1 for the lower bound, 1025 01:06:05,650 --> 01:06:07,974 you add f of n for the upper bound, 1026 01:06:07,974 --> 01:06:09,640 and it's in between, somewhere in there. 1027 01:06:12,570 --> 01:06:14,960 Questions there? 1028 01:06:14,960 --> 01:06:15,470 All right. 1029 01:06:15,470 --> 01:06:18,590 Then we plugged it in, and now we 1030 01:06:18,590 --> 01:06:22,149 look at this tilde notation that says-- well, first we'd 1031 01:06:22,149 --> 01:06:22,940 write it like this. 1032 01:06:22,940 --> 01:06:27,390 The sum is this value plus an error term and, lo and behold, 1033 01:06:27,390 --> 01:06:30,840 that error term is small. 1034 01:06:30,840 --> 01:06:34,480 If I take the limit of the whole thing divided by the big term, 1035 01:06:34,480 --> 01:06:38,780 I get 1, which means this thing is really not important. 1036 01:06:38,780 --> 01:06:39,732 So I write this. 1037 01:06:42,630 --> 01:06:45,840 Questions on that? 1038 01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:48,500 All right. 1039 01:06:48,500 --> 01:06:51,375 There's one more case to consider, 1040 01:06:51,375 --> 01:06:53,750 and now we're going to go back to the integration bounds, 1041 01:06:53,750 --> 01:06:57,557 and that is when f is a decreasing function, 1042 01:06:57,557 --> 01:06:59,390 and we're going to do the analysis for that, 1043 01:06:59,390 --> 01:07:00,515 and then we'll be all done. 1044 01:07:04,480 --> 01:07:09,740 So we're going to look at integration bounds 1045 01:07:09,740 --> 01:07:13,670 when f is decreasing and positive still. 1046 01:07:25,660 --> 01:07:34,810 The example here might be, for example, the sum i 1047 01:07:34,810 --> 01:07:40,260 equals 1 to n, 1 over the square root of i. 1048 01:07:40,260 --> 01:07:43,550 Say you had to get some idea of how fast that function is 1049 01:07:43,550 --> 01:07:45,970 growing as a function of n. 1050 01:07:45,970 --> 01:07:52,996 I'm summing the first n inverse as the square roots. 1051 01:07:52,996 --> 01:07:54,370 What is that roughly going to be? 1052 01:07:54,370 --> 01:07:57,860 How fast does that grow as a function of n? 1053 01:07:57,860 --> 01:07:58,981 So let's do that. 1054 01:08:02,256 --> 01:08:03,880 And, of course, 1 over square root of i 1055 01:08:03,880 --> 01:08:08,500 decreases as i gets bigger. 1056 01:08:08,500 --> 01:08:15,990 So let's do the general picture again and see what happens. 1057 01:08:15,990 --> 01:08:28,790 So we have 0, 1, 2, 3, n minus 2, n minus 1, n, and now f of n 1058 01:08:28,790 --> 01:08:43,090 is the small term and f of n minus 1, f of 3 here, f of 1. 1059 01:08:43,090 --> 01:08:45,250 Now, I'm going to draw the rectangle. 1060 01:08:45,250 --> 01:08:49,470 This has area f of 1. 1061 01:08:49,470 --> 01:08:52,182 This one has area f of 2. 1062 01:08:55,080 --> 01:09:03,130 This one has area f of 3, and then this one 1063 01:09:03,130 --> 01:09:14,279 has area f of n minus 1 here, and then, lastly, area f of n. 1064 01:09:14,279 --> 01:09:18,819 So the sum is the area in the rectangles, just like before, 1065 01:09:18,819 --> 01:09:22,020 except now the rectangles are getting smaller. 1066 01:09:22,020 --> 01:09:27,350 Let's draw the integral like we did before. 1067 01:09:27,350 --> 01:09:32,380 The integral is the area under this curve, f of x here, 1068 01:09:32,380 --> 01:09:33,362 just like before. 1069 01:09:35,960 --> 01:09:39,114 So this is f of x, only it's decreasing. 1070 01:09:41,840 --> 01:09:49,670 Now, let's take the area under this curve, and add f of 1 1071 01:09:49,670 --> 01:09:51,540 to it. 1072 01:09:51,540 --> 01:09:54,910 If I take the area under this curve, all the way 1073 01:09:54,910 --> 01:10:00,780 down to here and then add f of 1, what do I get? 1074 01:10:04,440 --> 01:10:07,791 Upper bound on my sum. 1075 01:10:07,791 --> 01:10:08,290 OK. 1076 01:10:08,290 --> 01:10:13,460 So the sum i equals 1 to n f of i 1077 01:10:13,460 --> 01:10:19,610 is upper bounded by that guy, which is f of 1, 1078 01:10:19,610 --> 01:10:27,520 plus my integral, which is the area under the curve. 1079 01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:31,400 The integral is the area under that curve, starting here, 1080 01:10:31,400 --> 01:10:35,110 and that contains all these rectangles, 1081 01:10:35,110 --> 01:10:38,126 and then I just add in f of 1 to get an upper bound. 1082 01:10:41,540 --> 01:10:44,750 Now, for the lower bound, think about shifting 1083 01:10:44,750 --> 01:10:47,830 the whole curve left by one. 1084 01:10:47,830 --> 01:10:51,190 That goes to there, this goes to here, 1085 01:10:51,190 --> 01:10:56,740 that goes to here, that goes to there, and that goes to there. 1086 01:10:56,740 --> 01:10:59,200 The area under the curve did not change 1087 01:10:59,200 --> 01:11:02,710 when I shifted it left by one. 1088 01:11:02,710 --> 01:11:06,760 This is now my area under the curve. 1089 01:11:06,760 --> 01:11:08,830 Stops here. 1090 01:11:08,830 --> 01:11:12,800 What do I get when I take that area and add in this last box, 1091 01:11:12,800 --> 01:11:16,570 f of n? 1092 01:11:16,570 --> 01:11:19,699 A lower bound, because it's contained 1093 01:11:19,699 --> 01:11:20,615 in all the rectangles. 1094 01:11:30,900 --> 01:11:36,492 Now, what's really weird about these formulas, 1095 01:11:36,492 --> 01:11:37,408 do they look familiar? 1096 01:11:40,280 --> 01:11:41,780 Yeah. 1097 01:11:41,780 --> 01:11:43,300 Yeah. 1098 01:11:43,300 --> 01:11:44,961 I switched them. 1099 01:11:44,961 --> 01:11:45,460 Yeah. 1100 01:11:45,460 --> 01:11:48,870 They're the same formulas we had over here, 1101 01:11:48,870 --> 01:11:51,730 except we switched the direction on the less than and greater 1102 01:11:51,730 --> 01:11:53,970 than signs. 1103 01:11:53,970 --> 01:11:56,000 Well, I swapped f of 1 and f of n, however you 1104 01:11:56,000 --> 01:11:57,280 want to think about it. 1105 01:11:57,280 --> 01:12:00,570 The lower bound here in that case 1106 01:12:00,570 --> 01:12:05,000 became the upper bound in this case. 1107 01:12:05,000 --> 01:12:09,330 Is that possible that the lower bound became the upper bound? 1108 01:12:09,330 --> 01:12:09,880 Yeah. 1109 01:12:09,880 --> 01:12:11,910 Yeah, because what really happened here-- 1110 01:12:11,910 --> 01:12:15,240 which is the big term in this case, fn or f1? 1111 01:12:15,240 --> 01:12:17,290 f1 is the big term because it's decreasing, 1112 01:12:17,290 --> 01:12:19,650 so it's totally symmetric. 1113 01:12:19,650 --> 01:12:20,680 All right? 1114 01:12:20,680 --> 01:12:22,970 The proof was very similar, so the nice thing 1115 01:12:22,970 --> 01:12:25,710 is you've only got to remember the bounds are now simple 1116 01:12:25,710 --> 01:12:28,730 for any sum as long as an increasing or decreasing, it's 1117 01:12:28,730 --> 01:12:30,490 the same as the integral. 1118 01:12:30,490 --> 01:12:33,920 The lower bound is the smaller of the first and last term, 1119 01:12:33,920 --> 01:12:36,650 and the upper bounds are larger of the first and last term. 1120 01:12:36,650 --> 01:12:37,930 Very easy to remember. 1121 01:12:37,930 --> 01:12:39,554 Probably don't even need the crib sheet 1122 01:12:39,554 --> 01:12:46,200 for it, although to be safe, want to write that down. 1123 01:12:46,200 --> 01:12:50,060 So now it's easy to compute good bounds on the sum 1124 01:12:50,060 --> 01:12:51,550 of the inverse square roots. 1125 01:13:02,020 --> 01:13:08,530 Any questions there before I go do it? 1126 01:13:08,530 --> 01:13:11,440 So let's take the case where we're summing 1 1127 01:13:11,440 --> 01:13:12,600 over square root of i. 1128 01:13:15,360 --> 01:13:22,970 So we compute the integral of 1 over square root of x dx. 1129 01:13:22,970 --> 01:13:29,500 That equals the square root of x over 1/2, evaluated at n and 1. 1130 01:13:29,500 --> 01:13:33,650 That equals 2 square root of n minus 1, 1131 01:13:33,650 --> 01:13:40,465 or two square root of n minus 2, and now we can bound the sum. 1132 01:13:48,650 --> 01:13:54,380 The upper bound is f of 1 plus the integral. 1133 01:13:54,380 --> 01:13:58,975 The lower bound is f of n plus the integral. 1134 01:14:02,420 --> 01:14:05,770 What is f of 1? 1135 01:14:05,770 --> 01:14:08,070 One? 1136 01:14:08,070 --> 01:14:09,530 One over the square root of 1 is 1. 1137 01:14:09,530 --> 01:14:10,440 What is f of n? 1138 01:14:14,120 --> 01:14:15,400 One over the square root of n. 1139 01:14:15,400 --> 01:14:17,350 Small. 1140 01:14:17,350 --> 01:14:20,290 So these bounds are pretty close here, right? 1141 01:14:20,290 --> 01:14:22,355 In fact, this gets really tiny as n gets big, 1142 01:14:22,355 --> 01:14:23,730 so I'm just going to replace this 1143 01:14:23,730 --> 01:14:26,570 with 2 square root of n minus 2 and make it a strict lower 1144 01:14:26,570 --> 01:14:30,185 bound, and this-- cancel there-- I 1145 01:14:30,185 --> 01:14:34,350 get 2 square root of n minus 1. 1146 01:14:34,350 --> 01:14:36,050 Wow, these bounds are great. 1147 01:14:36,050 --> 01:14:40,280 They're within one for all n. 1148 01:14:40,280 --> 01:14:43,260 That's really good. 1149 01:14:43,260 --> 01:14:48,570 So we can rewrite this in terms of what really matters. 1150 01:14:48,570 --> 01:14:52,510 What really matters in these bounds? 1151 01:14:52,510 --> 01:14:54,560 How fast is this function growing? 1152 01:14:54,560 --> 01:14:55,420 AUDIENCE: 2 root n. 1153 01:14:55,420 --> 01:14:56,000 PROFESSOR: 2 root n. 1154 01:14:56,000 --> 01:14:58,208 That's what really matters, so let's write that down. 1155 01:15:06,020 --> 01:15:09,506 So this says that the sum i equals 1 to n 1156 01:15:09,506 --> 01:15:16,926 of 1 over square root i equals 2 square root of n-- we 1157 01:15:16,926 --> 01:15:26,990 have a minus delta n, where delta is between 1 and 2. 1158 01:15:26,990 --> 01:15:33,990 And so if I use the tilde notation, what would I 1159 01:15:33,990 --> 01:15:36,210 write down here for the tilde? 1160 01:15:36,210 --> 01:15:39,054 Past the tilde? 1161 01:15:39,054 --> 01:15:39,970 I don't want to mess-- 1162 01:15:39,970 --> 01:15:40,110 AUDIENCE: Tilde. 1163 01:15:40,110 --> 01:15:41,026 PROFESSOR: --I don't want to keep track of all 1164 01:15:41,026 --> 01:15:42,599 the delta stuff as n gets big. 1165 01:15:42,599 --> 01:15:43,390 AUDIENCE: 2 root n. 1166 01:15:43,390 --> 01:15:48,420 PROFESSOR: 2 root n, because this term 1167 01:15:48,420 --> 01:15:52,310 over that goes to 0 as n gets large, so let's 1168 01:15:52,310 --> 01:15:53,090 just check that. 1169 01:15:56,630 --> 01:16:01,530 So we take the limit as n goes to infinity of 2 root 1170 01:16:01,530 --> 01:16:06,235 n minus delta n over 2 root n. 1171 01:16:06,235 --> 01:16:08,150 I'm just checking the definition now. 1172 01:16:08,150 --> 01:16:11,020 That's what the definition would be. 1173 01:16:11,020 --> 01:16:17,380 Equals 1 minus the limit as n goes 1174 01:16:17,380 --> 01:16:21,200 to infinity of 2 over 2 root n. 1175 01:16:21,200 --> 01:16:23,250 This is 0. 1176 01:16:23,250 --> 01:16:25,750 So it equals 1. 1177 01:16:25,750 --> 01:16:29,740 And so now you know that the sum of the first n inverse 1178 01:16:29,740 --> 01:16:32,858 square roots grows as 2 root n, which is the integral. 1179 01:16:32,858 --> 01:16:33,357 Yeah. 1180 01:16:33,357 --> 01:16:37,030 AUDIENCE: [INAUDIBLE] dropped off the lower bound that f of n 1181 01:16:37,030 --> 01:16:38,610 was 1 over root n? 1182 01:16:38,610 --> 01:16:42,400 PROFESSOR: Yeah, I dropped it off, because it was so tiny 1183 01:16:42,400 --> 01:16:45,150 and going to zero, I just made a strict less than. 1184 01:16:45,150 --> 01:16:45,850 In fact, yes. 1185 01:16:45,850 --> 01:16:48,810 I don't hurt myself by dropping it off. 1186 01:16:48,810 --> 01:16:51,040 In fact, the lower bound was a little bit-- 1187 01:16:51,040 --> 01:16:53,210 I made a little weaker lower bound. 1188 01:16:53,210 --> 01:16:54,836 So this is still true. 1189 01:16:54,836 --> 01:16:56,710 I just-- it wasn't as tight as it used to be, 1190 01:16:56,710 --> 01:16:59,474 so I could keep it around. 1191 01:16:59,474 --> 01:17:01,140 Yeah, it doesn't hurt to keep it around, 1192 01:17:01,140 --> 01:17:04,280 then it's a less than or equal there. 1193 01:17:04,280 --> 01:17:10,765 And now this would be something like that. 1194 01:17:10,765 --> 01:17:13,140 So I could keep it around, but I'm going to get rid of it 1195 01:17:13,140 --> 01:17:16,430 anyway, because I'm going to go to the tilde notation, 1196 01:17:16,430 --> 01:17:19,877 and as n gets big, this is really tiny. 1197 01:17:19,877 --> 01:17:21,460 So in this case, the bounds are great. 1198 01:17:21,460 --> 01:17:26,540 You can nail it pretty much right on. 1199 01:17:26,540 --> 01:17:27,290 Yeah. 1200 01:17:27,290 --> 01:17:30,290 AUDIENCE: You said one over n still there, 1201 01:17:30,290 --> 01:17:32,290 the number is bigger than it would normally be, 1202 01:17:32,290 --> 01:17:34,540 so when you take it out, it becomes smaller, 1203 01:17:34,540 --> 01:17:38,635 so how could you go to a less than [INAUDIBLE]? 1204 01:17:38,635 --> 01:17:40,510 PROFESSOR: Well, you're saying you don't like 1205 01:17:40,510 --> 01:17:42,146 the fact I dropped it here? 1206 01:17:42,146 --> 01:17:42,729 AUDIENCE: Yes. 1207 01:17:42,729 --> 01:17:45,127 When you drop it, why do you go to a less than instead of 1208 01:17:45,127 --> 01:17:45,627 [INAUDIBLE]? 1209 01:17:45,627 --> 01:17:51,610 PROFESSOR: Oh, because I've got a bigger bound that I made less 1210 01:17:51,610 --> 01:17:52,480 when I dropped it. 1211 01:17:52,480 --> 01:17:55,550 I took something away, so I know I could never equal this, 1212 01:17:55,550 --> 01:17:58,760 because I know it's bigger than this. 1213 01:17:58,760 --> 01:18:01,710 I know that the real answer has to be at least this big, 1214 01:18:01,710 --> 01:18:04,937 and so it has to be bigger than something smaller. 1215 01:18:04,937 --> 01:18:05,770 That's why I did it. 1216 01:18:09,960 --> 01:18:13,240 Any other questions? 1217 01:18:13,240 --> 01:18:17,030 We'll get more practice tomorrow and next time with this stuff.