1 00:00:01,501 --> 00:00:03,870 The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:03,870 --> 00:00:05,238 Commons license. 3 00:00:05,238 --> 00:00:07,474 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare 4 00:00:07,474 --> 00:00:11,544 continue to offer high-quality educational resources for free. 5 00:00:11,544 --> 00:00:14,080 To make a donation, or to view additional materials 6 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:18,051 from hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare 7 00:00:18,051 --> 00:00:25,992 at ocw.mit.edu. 8 00:00:25,992 --> 00:00:29,362 AUDIENCE: Do you think there's been any developments 9 00:00:29,362 --> 00:00:32,265 policy-wise that are helping the situation, that 10 00:00:32,265 --> 00:00:35,268 are making the situation better in any way in the recent years? 11 00:00:35,268 --> 00:00:38,805 Or is it all coming down, I guess? 12 00:00:38,805 --> 00:00:42,108 NOAM CHOMSKY: Well, I think it goes in many directions. 13 00:00:42,108 --> 00:00:45,779 So actually, I think the most dramatic fact 14 00:00:45,779 --> 00:00:48,615 about the last election, the 2016 election, 15 00:00:48,615 --> 00:00:51,518 was not the election of Trump. 16 00:00:51,518 --> 00:00:55,188 The most striking fact was the Sanders campaign. 17 00:00:55,188 --> 00:00:57,690 I mean, the fact that a billionaire was elected. 18 00:00:57,690 --> 00:01:00,193 OK, it's not a big break from American history. 19 00:01:00,193 --> 00:01:02,562 That goes on all the time. 20 00:01:02,562 --> 00:01:07,267 But the Sanders campaign broke sharply 21 00:01:07,267 --> 00:01:12,038 with over a hundred years of American political history. 22 00:01:12,038 --> 00:01:16,643 I mean, if we had media that were talking about reality, 23 00:01:16,643 --> 00:01:18,711 that would be the headline. 24 00:01:18,711 --> 00:01:21,247 American elections are bought. 25 00:01:21,247 --> 00:01:26,051 There's plenty of substantial mainstream political science 26 00:01:26,051 --> 00:01:27,720 research on this. 27 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,924 If you look just at simple variables, 28 00:01:30,924 --> 00:01:33,899 like, say, campaign funding-- something 29 00:01:33,899 --> 00:01:38,965 as simple as that-- the predictability of electability 30 00:01:38,965 --> 00:01:43,670 by campaign funding is literally almost a straight line. 31 00:01:43,670 --> 00:01:46,673 There's a recent study by Tom Ferguson 32 00:01:46,673 --> 00:01:49,408 over at UMass, one of the main scholars 33 00:01:49,408 --> 00:01:52,946 who works on this, who studied congressional election-- 34 00:01:52,946 --> 00:01:56,348 for presidential elections have been shown for a long time. 35 00:01:56,348 --> 00:01:58,051 But that was the first main study 36 00:01:58,051 --> 00:02:00,120 of congressional elections. 37 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:03,323 They went from 1980 to the present 38 00:02:03,323 --> 00:02:07,527 all over the country simply asking, 39 00:02:07,527 --> 00:02:10,430 what's the relation between campaign spending 40 00:02:10,430 --> 00:02:11,865 and electability? 41 00:02:11,865 --> 00:02:14,834 And it is literally a straight line. 42 00:02:14,834 --> 00:02:18,671 You just don't get results like that in the social sciences. 43 00:02:18,671 --> 00:02:22,308 The more campaign spending, the more you get elected. 44 00:02:22,308 --> 00:02:27,247 And that goes back well into the late 19th century. 45 00:02:27,247 --> 00:02:30,116 There's a famous campaign manager, 46 00:02:30,116 --> 00:02:35,421 Mark Hanna, back 1890s. 47 00:02:35,421 --> 00:02:41,961 He was asked once, what's the secret for running 48 00:02:41,961 --> 00:02:45,832 a successful election campaign? 49 00:02:45,832 --> 00:02:48,468 And he said, you have to have two things. 50 00:02:48,468 --> 00:02:50,203 The first one is money. 51 00:02:50,203 --> 00:02:53,439 And I can't remember the second one. 52 00:02:53,439 --> 00:02:57,010 That's American politics, literally. 53 00:02:57,010 --> 00:03:02,448 Just with overwhelming near-certainty. 54 00:03:02,448 --> 00:03:06,252 Well, all of a sudden, you get a guy who's unknown, 55 00:03:06,252 --> 00:03:10,523 has no support from any of the sources of wealth, 56 00:03:10,523 --> 00:03:14,494 no support from the wealthy, no corporate support, dismissed 57 00:03:14,494 --> 00:03:18,898 by the medial as ridiculous, very negative media campaign. 58 00:03:18,898 --> 00:03:20,767 He was basically unknown. 59 00:03:20,767 --> 00:03:23,903 And he even used a scare word "socialist." 60 00:03:23,903 --> 00:03:26,439 He would have won the Democratic Party nomination 61 00:03:26,439 --> 00:03:30,643 if it hadn't been for the Clinton-Obama shenanigans 62 00:03:30,643 --> 00:03:33,246 to keep the party from reflecting 63 00:03:33,246 --> 00:03:35,682 its popular constituency. 64 00:03:35,682 --> 00:03:39,552 That's an incredible break from history. 65 00:03:39,552 --> 00:03:41,421 And right now, incidentally, he is 66 00:03:41,421 --> 00:03:43,823 by far the most popular political figure 67 00:03:43,823 --> 00:03:44,958 in the country. 68 00:03:44,958 --> 00:03:47,493 Way above anyone else. 69 00:03:47,493 --> 00:03:51,787 Well, those are signs that other things are-- especially 70 00:03:51,787 --> 00:03:54,234 among young people, he's way up. 71 00:03:54,234 --> 00:03:56,269 That's the future electorate. 72 00:03:56,269 --> 00:03:58,371 So these are things that are going off 73 00:03:58,371 --> 00:04:00,206 in the other direction. 74 00:04:00,206 --> 00:04:04,677 There's plenty of opportunities, if they're grasped. 75 00:04:04,677 --> 00:04:08,514 And it's kind of easy to sink into sort of hopelessness. 76 00:04:08,514 --> 00:04:09,916 What's the point? 77 00:04:09,916 --> 00:04:13,620 But it's just really a bad mistake. 78 00:04:13,620 --> 00:04:16,022 First of all, the issues are extremely important. 79 00:04:16,022 --> 00:04:19,058 There's an awful lot can be done. 80 00:04:19,058 --> 00:04:21,961 Even in the kind of thing that Arlie Hochschild was doing, 81 00:04:21,961 --> 00:04:25,531 reaching people who were deeply embedded 82 00:04:25,531 --> 00:04:33,406 in the ultra-red constituency, the deeply 83 00:04:33,406 --> 00:04:40,013 religious, conservative, traditional, anti-government 84 00:04:40,013 --> 00:04:44,017 for the reasons that they see, which you can understand, 85 00:04:44,017 --> 00:04:46,219 can be changed. 86 00:04:46,219 --> 00:04:48,855 Incidentally, if you look back in the past, 87 00:04:48,855 --> 00:04:52,492 the same sectors of the population 88 00:04:52,492 --> 00:04:57,797 were the most carried forward, the most extreme 89 00:04:57,797 --> 00:05:01,534 radical democratic programs in American history. 90 00:05:01,534 --> 00:05:04,637 The term "populism" is thrown around now, 91 00:05:04,637 --> 00:05:06,639 but it used to mean something. 92 00:05:06,639 --> 00:05:09,742 And the populist movement in the United States, 93 00:05:09,742 --> 00:05:13,880 which began with farmers in Texas 94 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:18,484 and spread through the Midwest, to Kansas and place like that, 95 00:05:18,484 --> 00:05:25,158 was a really powerful, radical democratic movement. 96 00:05:25,158 --> 00:05:27,760 Linked up with the Knights of Labor, 97 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:32,165 the main labor movement, whose slogan was the working people 98 00:05:32,165 --> 00:05:34,734 ought to own and run the factories. 99 00:05:34,734 --> 00:05:37,103 And it was smashed by force finally, 100 00:05:37,103 --> 00:05:42,141 but this is by far the most real democratic movement 101 00:05:42,141 --> 00:05:43,109 in American history. 102 00:05:43,109 --> 00:05:46,112 And maybe the world, that comes out 103 00:05:46,112 --> 00:05:48,081 of Texas and Kansas farmers. 104 00:05:48,081 --> 00:05:50,231 It's the same people.