1 00:00:00,070 --> 00:00:02,500 The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:02,500 --> 00:00:04,019 Commons license. 3 00:00:04,019 --> 00:00:06,360 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare 4 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,370 continue to offer high-quality quality educational resources 5 00:00:09,370 --> 00:00:10,730 for free. 6 00:00:10,730 --> 00:00:13,330 To make a donation or view additional materials 7 00:00:13,330 --> 00:00:17,215 from hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare 8 00:00:17,215 --> 00:00:17,840 at ocw.mit.edu. 9 00:00:26,350 --> 00:00:28,410 PROFESSOR: So, welcome to systems biology. 10 00:00:28,410 --> 00:00:31,580 There are many different numbers that you might have signed up 11 00:00:31,580 --> 00:00:32,870 for this class through. 12 00:00:32,870 --> 00:00:34,130 My name is Jeff Gore. 13 00:00:34,130 --> 00:00:37,070 I'm an assistant professor in the physics department. 14 00:00:37,070 --> 00:00:38,707 And I think that this is really-- 15 00:00:38,707 --> 00:00:39,790 it's a fun class to teach. 16 00:00:39,790 --> 00:00:42,269 I hope that those of you that stick around 17 00:00:42,269 --> 00:00:44,560 for the rest of the semester find that it's a fun class 18 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:46,186 to take as well. 19 00:00:46,186 --> 00:00:48,310 I just want to give a little bit of an introduction 20 00:00:48,310 --> 00:00:51,770 of the teaching staff, and then we'll 21 00:00:51,770 --> 00:00:53,490 go over some administrative details 22 00:00:53,490 --> 00:00:56,120 before-- most of today, what we'll do 23 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:58,110 is we'll basically just spend an hour. 24 00:00:58,110 --> 00:01:02,160 I'll give you a flash summary of the course, 25 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:04,420 and then you'll have a sense of the kinds of ideas 26 00:01:04,420 --> 00:01:06,000 we'll be exploring. 27 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,010 So, what is this thing, systems biology? 28 00:01:08,010 --> 00:01:11,230 So it's, I would say, ill-defined. 29 00:01:11,230 --> 00:01:15,030 But in general, we have this idea that, in many cases, 30 00:01:15,030 --> 00:01:17,595 the really exciting functions that we see in biology 31 00:01:17,595 --> 00:01:19,890 are arising from the interactions, 32 00:01:19,890 --> 00:01:23,100 at a lower level, of relatively simple components. 33 00:01:23,100 --> 00:01:26,160 So, the kinds of behavior that we'd like to understand 34 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:30,931 are nicely encapsulated in this video of a neutrophil chasing 35 00:01:30,931 --> 00:01:31,430 a bacterium. 36 00:01:31,430 --> 00:01:34,630 And if I can-- if my computer is actually doing something, 37 00:01:34,630 --> 00:01:37,320 then-- there's something. 38 00:01:40,380 --> 00:01:42,980 So, this is a classic video that many of you 39 00:01:42,980 --> 00:01:45,110 guys might have seen over the years. 40 00:01:50,830 --> 00:01:53,580 So, this was taken in the 1950s. 41 00:01:53,580 --> 00:01:55,080 It's, as I said, a neutrophil, which 42 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:57,760 is part of your innate immune system. 43 00:01:57,760 --> 00:01:59,530 So, sort of the first line of defense. 44 00:01:59,530 --> 00:02:02,110 When you get a bacterial infection, for example, 45 00:02:02,110 --> 00:02:06,920 this white blood cell is going to chase the bacterium 46 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:10,280 and eat it up before it can divide and harm you. 47 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:12,310 So, I'm going to play that over again, 48 00:02:12,310 --> 00:02:16,790 because it's pretty cool. 49 00:02:16,790 --> 00:02:19,270 So, the features that you want to try to pay attention 50 00:02:19,270 --> 00:02:22,330 to-- so, this is a single cell that 51 00:02:22,330 --> 00:02:26,285 somehow is able to track this bacterial invader. 52 00:02:26,285 --> 00:02:28,610 It's using chemical cues in order 53 00:02:28,610 --> 00:02:31,500 to figure out where it is that bacterial cell is going. 54 00:02:31,500 --> 00:02:34,470 It's able to disregard these red blood cells that 55 00:02:34,470 --> 00:02:37,990 are in its way, push them aside, change direction, 56 00:02:37,990 --> 00:02:40,560 before it eventually captures this bacterial cell. 57 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:44,930 So, all of these are striking, amazing information-processing 58 00:02:44,930 --> 00:02:47,350 capabilities, where that information has 59 00:02:47,350 --> 00:02:49,720 to be coupled not only to some sort of decision-making 60 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:51,450 within that cell, but also, it has 61 00:02:51,450 --> 00:02:54,330 to be transduced into these mechanical forces 62 00:02:54,330 --> 00:02:58,320 and motions that allow that cell to capture the bacterial cell. 63 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,210 So, let's try it again. 64 00:03:01,210 --> 00:03:02,120 So, here it is. 65 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:05,080 You can see the bacterial cell is here. 66 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:08,710 So, it's ignoring this other cell, 67 00:03:08,710 --> 00:03:11,150 keeping focus on this one, pushing aside the red blood 68 00:03:11,150 --> 00:03:13,910 cells, so it can follow it along. 69 00:03:13,910 --> 00:03:16,650 Every now and then-- now the cell changed direction. 70 00:03:16,650 --> 00:03:20,310 But eventually, you can see it catches up 71 00:03:20,310 --> 00:03:22,590 to the bacterial cell and eats it. 72 00:03:22,590 --> 00:03:26,820 Now you're not going to get sick from that infection. 73 00:03:26,820 --> 00:03:30,782 So, that's an example of the kinds of remarkable behavior 74 00:03:30,782 --> 00:03:34,390 that can be implemented even just by a single cell. 75 00:03:34,390 --> 00:03:38,830 So, we know that, as humans, we have brains with 10 76 00:03:38,830 --> 00:03:40,444 to the 12 neurons or so. 77 00:03:40,444 --> 00:03:42,110 So, maybe you'd say, it's not surprising 78 00:03:42,110 --> 00:03:43,520 that we can do fancy things. 79 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:45,600 What's remarkable is that even at the level 80 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:48,870 of an individual cell, it's possible to implement 81 00:03:48,870 --> 00:03:52,930 rather sophisticated information processing capabilities. 82 00:03:52,930 --> 00:03:55,640 So, this is the kind of thing that we'd 83 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:59,560 like to be able to say something about by the end of the class. 84 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:02,289 Many of you, I think, probably read the course description, 85 00:04:02,289 --> 00:04:04,330 and this gives you a sense of the kinds of topics 86 00:04:04,330 --> 00:04:06,030 that we're going to be covering over the course 87 00:04:06,030 --> 00:04:06,696 of the semester. 88 00:04:06,696 --> 00:04:08,170 I'm not going to read it to you. 89 00:04:08,170 --> 00:04:11,810 But one thing I want to stress is 90 00:04:11,810 --> 00:04:14,350 I brought up this general idea of systems biology. 91 00:04:14,350 --> 00:04:16,399 How is it that function arises from interactions 92 00:04:16,399 --> 00:04:18,860 of smaller, simpler parts? 93 00:04:18,860 --> 00:04:22,000 I think it's very important, right at the beginning, 94 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:23,480 to be clear that there are really, 95 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,510 I'd say, two distinct communities 96 00:04:25,510 --> 00:04:29,030 that self-identify as studying systems biology. 97 00:04:29,030 --> 00:04:33,390 And they're-- to simplify it a bit, what I would say is that, 98 00:04:33,390 --> 00:04:37,070 basically, there's the physics, or physics-inspired community, 99 00:04:37,070 --> 00:04:39,390 where-- and I'm in the physics department, 100 00:04:39,390 --> 00:04:41,700 so that's where I fall, and where this class is going 101 00:04:41,700 --> 00:04:42,450 to be. 102 00:04:42,450 --> 00:04:46,230 So, it's really trying to use some simple models 103 00:04:46,230 --> 00:04:49,770 from nonlinear dynamics or stochastic processes 104 00:04:49,770 --> 00:04:51,990 combined with quantitative experiments, 105 00:04:51,990 --> 00:04:55,180 often on single cells, in order to try 106 00:04:55,180 --> 00:05:00,070 to illuminate how this cellular decision-making process works. 107 00:05:00,070 --> 00:05:01,720 And on over the next hour, you'll 108 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:03,634 see-- get a flavor of what I mean by this. 109 00:05:03,634 --> 00:05:05,550 Now, there's another branch of systems biology 110 00:05:05,550 --> 00:05:09,129 that is also very exciting, and that many of you 111 00:05:09,129 --> 00:05:10,920 may want to learn more about in the future. 112 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:12,862 And maybe some of even were thinking 113 00:05:12,862 --> 00:05:14,820 that this was what the class is going to be in. 114 00:05:14,820 --> 00:05:16,174 But let me explain what is. 115 00:05:16,174 --> 00:05:18,090 This other branch, I'd say, is more influenced 116 00:05:18,090 --> 00:05:20,387 by computer scientists and engineers, 117 00:05:20,387 --> 00:05:21,970 where what they're really trying to do 118 00:05:21,970 --> 00:05:24,900 is use complex models, machine learning techniques, 119 00:05:24,900 --> 00:05:27,660 and so forth, in order to extract signal from large data 120 00:05:27,660 --> 00:05:29,460 sets. 121 00:05:29,460 --> 00:05:32,660 And this is also, again, systems biology 122 00:05:32,660 --> 00:05:34,250 because it is trying to understand 123 00:05:34,250 --> 00:05:36,440 how the global properties of the cell 124 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,060 result from all these interactions, 125 00:05:38,060 --> 00:05:42,085 but it's a rather different aesthetic take on the subject. 126 00:05:42,085 --> 00:05:44,720 And, indeed, much of the activity, 127 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:48,827 that one would be doing here is different from the more physics 128 00:05:48,827 --> 00:05:49,910 branch of systems biology. 129 00:05:49,910 --> 00:05:55,990 So, if what you were looking for was more of this large data 130 00:05:55,990 --> 00:05:58,790 set, high throughput, branch of systems biology, 131 00:05:58,790 --> 00:06:04,407 then you may not be at the right place. 132 00:06:04,407 --> 00:06:05,990 And there's an interesting fact, which 133 00:06:05,990 --> 00:06:07,831 is that if you decide that you want 134 00:06:07,831 --> 00:06:09,830 this other branch of systems biology, then, very 135 00:06:09,830 --> 00:06:12,660 conveniently, you actually have space in your schedule, 136 00:06:12,660 --> 00:06:16,820 because Manolis Kellis is teaching 137 00:06:16,820 --> 00:06:18,770 a class in computational biology-- really, 138 00:06:18,770 --> 00:06:21,790 this other branch of systems biology-- at the same time. 139 00:06:21,790 --> 00:06:25,260 So, if you think you're at the wrong place, 140 00:06:25,260 --> 00:06:27,800 you're welcome to just sneak out now. 141 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:32,600 Go to over 32-141, and I'm sure that he will welcome you, 142 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:36,290 and no hard feelings. 143 00:06:36,290 --> 00:06:37,840 Similarly, in the spring, there's 144 00:06:37,840 --> 00:06:40,774 another computational biology class that some of you 145 00:06:40,774 --> 00:06:41,690 may be thinking about. 146 00:06:41,690 --> 00:06:44,607 And this is taught by Chris Burge and company, 147 00:06:44,607 --> 00:06:46,690 and also, I'd say, maybe more of this other branch 148 00:06:46,690 --> 00:06:48,280 of systems biology. 149 00:06:48,280 --> 00:06:50,620 And, finally, once again, in the spring there's a class, 150 00:06:50,620 --> 00:06:52,940 quantitative biology for graduate students, 151 00:06:52,940 --> 00:06:56,220 that I'd say probably assumes somewhat less 152 00:06:56,220 --> 00:06:57,570 mathematical background. 153 00:06:57,570 --> 00:07:00,572 So, if after looking at the syllabus, or maybe even getting 154 00:07:00,572 --> 00:07:02,280 started looking at the first problem set, 155 00:07:02,280 --> 00:07:05,176 if you think that maybe this class is expecting too much, 156 00:07:05,176 --> 00:07:07,550 then you may want to consider taking quantitative biology 157 00:07:07,550 --> 00:07:09,591 in the spring, and maybe taking systems biology-- 158 00:07:09,591 --> 00:07:12,480 this class-- next fall. 159 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:15,210 So, on that note, I want to say something 160 00:07:15,210 --> 00:07:17,780 about the prerequisites. 161 00:07:17,780 --> 00:07:19,570 The major challenge with this class-- 162 00:07:19,570 --> 00:07:20,810 certainly, teaching it, from my standpoint, 163 00:07:20,810 --> 00:07:22,226 and I think for many of you taking 164 00:07:22,226 --> 00:07:25,110 it-- is that there's a wide range of different backgrounds. 165 00:07:25,110 --> 00:07:28,000 So, we can maybe get a sense of that now. 166 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:33,490 Just a show of hands, how many of you are undergraduates? 167 00:07:33,490 --> 00:07:36,110 So, we've got a solid third or so. 168 00:07:36,110 --> 00:07:40,517 How many are-- mixing together undergraduate and graduate-- 169 00:07:40,517 --> 00:07:42,850 but how many of you are in the physics department at one 170 00:07:42,850 --> 00:07:44,350 level or another? 171 00:07:44,350 --> 00:07:46,630 So, we have maybe, again, a third. 172 00:07:46,630 --> 00:07:49,300 Biology department? 173 00:07:49,300 --> 00:07:52,850 So, we have a quarter, a fifth. 174 00:07:52,850 --> 00:07:55,310 Engineers? 175 00:07:55,310 --> 00:07:58,330 So, a substantial fraction of engineers. 176 00:07:58,330 --> 00:08:00,570 And chemists? 177 00:08:00,570 --> 00:08:01,570 We've got a few of them. 178 00:08:01,570 --> 00:08:03,590 Mathematicians? 179 00:08:03,590 --> 00:08:05,830 All right, we've got one. 180 00:08:05,830 --> 00:08:11,267 So, if you did not raise your hand, where you based, 181 00:08:11,267 --> 00:08:12,850 physically, intellectually, something? 182 00:08:15,540 --> 00:08:17,580 Did we get everybody? 183 00:08:17,580 --> 00:08:18,270 OK. 184 00:08:18,270 --> 00:08:20,311 So, you can see that there's a really broad range 185 00:08:20,311 --> 00:08:21,390 of different backgrounds. 186 00:08:21,390 --> 00:08:23,820 And what that means in a concrete way for us 187 00:08:23,820 --> 00:08:26,690 is that I will very much try to avoid 188 00:08:26,690 --> 00:08:30,380 using unnecessary jargon or unnecessary mathematics. 189 00:08:30,380 --> 00:08:33,110 I think that mathematics is a wonderful thing, 190 00:08:33,110 --> 00:08:35,710 but in some cases it, I think, obscures 191 00:08:35,710 --> 00:08:37,210 as much as it illuminates. 192 00:08:37,210 --> 00:08:39,510 So, for me, I very much try to focus 193 00:08:39,510 --> 00:08:41,470 on conceptual understanding. 194 00:08:41,470 --> 00:08:46,060 And on top of that, I try to build-- you like math, too. 195 00:08:46,060 --> 00:08:47,920 But I think that it's very important 196 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:50,580 to be able to, for example, plot your solution. 197 00:08:50,580 --> 00:08:55,140 So, after you derive some fancy equation describing something, 198 00:08:55,140 --> 00:08:56,870 you should know whether that thing 199 00:08:56,870 --> 00:08:59,120 goes up or down as a function of something or another. 200 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,070 And I think it's very easy to lose 201 00:09:01,070 --> 00:09:03,050 sight of these basic aspects when 202 00:09:03,050 --> 00:09:08,550 we get too deep into the mathematical equations. 203 00:09:08,550 --> 00:09:12,460 But, that being said, we do, I'd say, expect something-- 204 00:09:12,460 --> 00:09:14,450 not necessarily full-- you don't have 205 00:09:14,450 --> 00:09:16,700 to have taken the full class, 701 or 702, but at least 206 00:09:16,700 --> 00:09:19,730 a solid high school class of biology. 207 00:09:19,730 --> 00:09:22,530 If it's been more than 10 years since you took a biology class, 208 00:09:22,530 --> 00:09:25,550 you might want to take one before coming here. 209 00:09:25,550 --> 00:09:29,530 You could, in principle, catch up, like all things. 210 00:09:29,530 --> 00:09:32,600 We also assume some comfort with differential equations 211 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:33,960 and probability. 212 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,930 So, we've actually added those as prerequisites, 213 00:09:36,930 --> 00:09:39,530 particularly from the standpoint of an undergraduate 214 00:09:39,530 --> 00:09:42,660 to give you a sense of the sort of material 215 00:09:42,660 --> 00:09:44,800 that we expect you to be comfortable with. 216 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:48,510 So, we will not be defining probably distributions so much. 217 00:09:48,510 --> 00:09:51,930 We will assume that you can calculate means and standard 218 00:09:51,930 --> 00:09:56,080 deviations of discrete, continuous distributions, 219 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:57,889 and so forth. 220 00:09:57,889 --> 00:09:59,930 And the other thing that is going to be important 221 00:09:59,930 --> 00:10:02,160 is that a major goal of the class 222 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,610 is to increase your comfort level 223 00:10:04,610 --> 00:10:07,282 with using computational techniques to analyze 224 00:10:07,282 --> 00:10:08,240 some of these problems. 225 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:10,323 So, every week, we're going to have a problem set. 226 00:10:10,323 --> 00:10:13,100 And on every problem set, there will be at least one problem 227 00:10:13,100 --> 00:10:16,260 where you have to use some computational package in order 228 00:10:16,260 --> 00:10:17,400 to calculate something. 229 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:18,900 So, are you going to do a simulation 230 00:10:18,900 --> 00:10:21,394 to understand the stochastic dynamics of this or that? 231 00:10:21,394 --> 00:10:23,560 Or maybe you're going to integrate some differential 232 00:10:23,560 --> 00:10:24,670 equations. 233 00:10:24,670 --> 00:10:28,769 And in this case, you can use whatever package you like. 234 00:10:28,769 --> 00:10:30,560 So if you are a MATLAB person, that's fine. 235 00:10:30,560 --> 00:10:31,950 Mathematica is fine. 236 00:10:31,950 --> 00:10:35,009 The officially supported language 237 00:10:35,009 --> 00:10:36,550 is going to be Python, because that's 238 00:10:36,550 --> 00:10:40,220 what Sarab-- if he's going to be spending hours helping you 239 00:10:40,220 --> 00:10:42,080 with your code, he wants it to be something 240 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:44,140 that he's comfortable with. 241 00:10:44,140 --> 00:10:45,640 So, that's going to be what we might 242 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:48,280 call the official language, in the sense that he will perhaps 243 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:51,200 provide some sample code and so forth to get you started. 244 00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:54,490 But you're welcome to use anything that you want. 245 00:10:54,490 --> 00:10:57,910 And that being said, we will have a Python tutorial 246 00:10:57,910 --> 00:10:59,170 almost certainly on Monday. 247 00:10:59,170 --> 00:11:00,600 We're waiting to get-- to find out what 248 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:01,808 the classroom is going to be. 249 00:11:01,808 --> 00:11:07,577 But we will send out a notice to the class about that, 250 00:11:07,577 --> 00:11:10,160 as well as instructions on how to get Python on your computer. 251 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,890 Are there any questions about where we are so far? 252 00:11:15,890 --> 00:11:17,150 What we've said? 253 00:11:17,150 --> 00:11:18,806 Expectations, prerequisites? 254 00:11:25,340 --> 00:11:26,300 All right. 255 00:11:26,300 --> 00:11:27,510 So, grading. 256 00:11:27,510 --> 00:11:30,090 One of the things that we have to do is we have to grade. 257 00:11:30,090 --> 00:11:34,340 I'd say that our goal is very much to help you learn material 258 00:11:34,340 --> 00:11:35,760 that we're excited about. 259 00:11:35,760 --> 00:11:40,900 So, I am not in any way trying to grade in any mean way. 260 00:11:40,900 --> 00:11:43,696 And what that means is that-- we also just 261 00:11:43,696 --> 00:11:45,320 don't want you guys to feel like you're 262 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:46,528 competing against each other. 263 00:11:46,528 --> 00:11:48,440 So, what that means is that-- so, 264 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,190 these are the grade cutoffs. 265 00:11:50,190 --> 00:11:53,250 So, they will not-- numbers will not go up from here. 266 00:11:53,250 --> 00:11:55,290 If I screw up and I make some really hard exam, 267 00:11:55,290 --> 00:11:58,430 then I reserve the right to lower these numbers. 268 00:11:58,430 --> 00:12:00,720 But basically, this is what's worked 269 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:03,000 for the last several years. 270 00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:08,410 So, you should feel comfortable collaborating with your friends 271 00:12:08,410 --> 00:12:10,420 to study, to try to figure out the material, 272 00:12:10,420 --> 00:12:12,003 because your grade is just going to be 273 00:12:12,003 --> 00:12:15,340 determined by where things end up on this chart, basically. 274 00:12:15,340 --> 00:12:19,650 And the course grade is going to be split, as you can see. 275 00:12:19,650 --> 00:12:22,320 There's a fair component on problem sets, 276 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:24,121 and that's because the problem sets are-- 277 00:12:24,121 --> 00:12:25,370 they're going to be hard work. 278 00:12:25,370 --> 00:12:27,080 We're going to have problem sets every week, 279 00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:29,090 and you can expect to spend a significant amount of time 280 00:12:29,090 --> 00:12:29,900 on them. 281 00:12:29,900 --> 00:12:32,694 And the thing that you learn in doing 282 00:12:32,694 --> 00:12:34,360 these computational problems is somewhat 283 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:36,150 different from what you learn and what 284 00:12:36,150 --> 00:12:37,800 you demonstrate on an exam. 285 00:12:37,800 --> 00:12:41,649 So, that's why it's not all just an exam grade. 286 00:12:41,649 --> 00:12:44,190 I'm going to say something more about these pre-class reading 287 00:12:44,190 --> 00:12:44,690 questions. 288 00:12:44,690 --> 00:12:47,350 There are going to be two midterms and an exam. 289 00:12:47,350 --> 00:12:51,782 The dates are on your syllabus, so please mark these evenings 290 00:12:51,782 --> 00:12:52,490 on your calendar. 291 00:12:56,525 --> 00:12:57,400 So, the problem sets. 292 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:58,399 You can read about this. 293 00:12:58,399 --> 00:13:02,320 But basically, every Friday at 7 o'clock, 294 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:03,980 they're going to be due. 295 00:13:03,980 --> 00:13:08,610 A box out between the third floor of building six 296 00:13:08,610 --> 00:13:10,310 and the fourth floor of building 16, 297 00:13:10,310 --> 00:13:13,980 I suppose-- these are the physics homework boxes. 298 00:13:13,980 --> 00:13:16,250 So, the idea is we'd like you to have a weekend 299 00:13:16,250 --> 00:13:18,490 to catch up and start reading for the next week. 300 00:13:18,490 --> 00:13:21,570 So, that's why they're dude just before dinner on Friday. 301 00:13:21,570 --> 00:13:24,190 That being said, we understand that sometimes there 302 00:13:24,190 --> 00:13:26,880 are a lot of problem sets, or sometimes you're overwhelmed 303 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:27,280 with something else. 304 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:27,966 So, that's fine. 305 00:13:27,966 --> 00:13:29,340 You can turn it in for 80% credit 306 00:13:29,340 --> 00:13:31,131 till Monday morning at 10:00 AM, when we're 307 00:13:31,131 --> 00:13:32,840 going to post the solutions. 308 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:36,950 So, we won't be accepting problem sets after that, 309 00:13:36,950 --> 00:13:39,740 unless you get agreement from Sarab in advance. 310 00:13:43,290 --> 00:13:44,790 So, the pre-class reading questions. 311 00:13:44,790 --> 00:13:47,115 I'd say this is a key part of the class. 312 00:13:47,115 --> 00:13:48,990 It's only 5% of the grade, and it's 313 00:13:48,990 --> 00:13:51,110 graded really only on participation-- 314 00:13:51,110 --> 00:13:52,350 that you've done it. 315 00:13:52,350 --> 00:13:55,790 But this is an essential element of what we like 316 00:13:55,790 --> 00:13:57,245 to call a flipped classroom. 317 00:13:57,245 --> 00:13:58,870 So, today's class is going to be rather 318 00:13:58,870 --> 00:14:02,090 different from the rest of the semester in that today is more 319 00:14:02,090 --> 00:14:03,540 like a lecture, I would say. 320 00:14:03,540 --> 00:14:06,030 Whereas the rest of the semester, 321 00:14:06,030 --> 00:14:10,820 there will not be any PowerPoint slides and it'll be very much, 322 00:14:10,820 --> 00:14:12,880 I hope, very interactive. 323 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:14,312 In order to facilitate that, there 324 00:14:14,312 --> 00:14:15,770 are a number of different elements. 325 00:14:15,770 --> 00:14:19,340 One is that we do require reading before class. 326 00:14:19,340 --> 00:14:22,020 And the way that we encourage you to do the reading 327 00:14:22,020 --> 00:14:26,510 is that we ask you to answer questions the night before. 328 00:14:26,510 --> 00:14:29,160 So, what you're going to do is you'll, 329 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:32,730 by 10:00 PM, the night before, just three questions-- just 330 00:14:32,730 --> 00:14:34,230 a couple of sentences each question. 331 00:14:34,230 --> 00:14:36,530 It's not that you're supposed to have to do a lot of work. 332 00:14:36,530 --> 00:14:37,970 It's just that if you did the reading, 333 00:14:37,970 --> 00:14:39,440 you should be able to give your take on it, 334 00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:41,000 and you think about it a little bit. 335 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:45,250 And then Andrew will go over the submitted answers, 336 00:14:45,250 --> 00:14:48,590 and we'll send out his favorite answers among the group. 337 00:14:48,590 --> 00:14:51,300 So, your answer will occasionally 338 00:14:51,300 --> 00:14:55,680 be represented there, if you say something that's reasonable. 339 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,539 Now, it's really important to have done this reading 340 00:14:58,539 --> 00:15:00,330 and thought about the material some before, 341 00:15:00,330 --> 00:15:02,440 because the idea is that, in class, we'd really 342 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:05,571 like to engage in what you might call some higher level 343 00:15:05,571 --> 00:15:06,070 learning. 344 00:15:06,070 --> 00:15:10,160 So, it's not just this idea that-- the traditional lecture 345 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:12,960 arose when books were very expensive. 346 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:16,080 So, if you're at a university in the 13th century, 347 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:17,210 you don't have a textbook. 348 00:15:17,210 --> 00:15:21,180 So, what you need is for me to stand up front and read to you. 349 00:15:21,180 --> 00:15:24,570 And that's fine, except that it's better for you to read it. 350 00:15:24,570 --> 00:15:27,590 And you can read it outside of class, think about it a bit. 351 00:15:27,590 --> 00:15:29,381 And then that means when you come to class, 352 00:15:29,381 --> 00:15:31,505 we can actually discuss it. 353 00:15:31,505 --> 00:15:33,520 In particular, I'll give you my take 354 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:36,680 on the material, the research that I'm 355 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,090 excited about in the area that's been published recently. 356 00:15:40,090 --> 00:15:44,030 And we will also try to get you involved via these concept 357 00:15:44,030 --> 00:15:44,530 questions. 358 00:15:44,530 --> 00:15:48,930 So, in future sessions we'll have these flash cards, 359 00:15:48,930 --> 00:15:51,480 or these colored cards, so we can 360 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:54,930 ask these conceptual questions. 361 00:15:54,930 --> 00:15:58,640 A, B, C, D-- if you drop an apple, does it go up, down, 362 00:15:58,640 --> 00:15:59,550 left, right? 363 00:15:59,550 --> 00:16:01,380 And then, you guys get to vote. 364 00:16:01,380 --> 00:16:05,535 And then, after the vote, we will often have you pair up. 365 00:16:05,535 --> 00:16:06,910 And the goal there is that you're 366 00:16:06,910 --> 00:16:09,980 trying to convince your neighbor that you're right. 367 00:16:09,980 --> 00:16:12,500 And after that, you might expand it to fours or so. 368 00:16:12,500 --> 00:16:15,530 But the idea there is that it's very important for you 369 00:16:15,530 --> 00:16:19,740 to try to confront the material, make your best guess, 370 00:16:19,740 --> 00:16:21,240 and then discuss it with a neighbor. 371 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,015 And I think that this is actually 372 00:16:23,015 --> 00:16:24,936 one of the fun aspects of the course. 373 00:16:24,936 --> 00:16:27,990 At least, I think so. 374 00:16:27,990 --> 00:16:32,490 And I'll say also that this basic technique 375 00:16:32,490 --> 00:16:35,550 is the result of-- there's a whole field of education 376 00:16:35,550 --> 00:16:36,370 research. 377 00:16:36,370 --> 00:16:39,290 And there are very, very consistent 378 00:16:39,290 --> 00:16:41,100 and strong signals in this, suggesting 379 00:16:41,100 --> 00:16:44,240 that this sort of flipped classroom, active learning 380 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:48,060 style, actually is good for learning. 381 00:16:48,060 --> 00:16:50,312 So I'm not just doing this because-- it is more fun, 382 00:16:50,312 --> 00:16:52,020 but that's not actually why I'm doing it. 383 00:16:52,020 --> 00:16:54,330 I'm doing it because the people who 384 00:16:54,330 --> 00:16:56,427 have spent their lives studying this topic 385 00:16:56,427 --> 00:16:58,260 have included this is the best way to teach. 386 00:17:02,420 --> 00:17:06,060 Any questions about the pre-class questions 387 00:17:06,060 --> 00:17:08,190 or my notion of active learning? 388 00:17:12,444 --> 00:17:12,950 All right. 389 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:19,510 You can mark your calendars in advance. 390 00:17:19,510 --> 00:17:20,609 We do have a final. 391 00:17:20,609 --> 00:17:22,184 It has not been scheduled yet. 392 00:17:22,184 --> 00:17:24,990 It'll be sometime the week of December 15-19. 393 00:17:24,990 --> 00:17:28,780 So, for those of you who are looking 394 00:17:28,780 --> 00:17:34,472 online for plane tickets back home, after December 19. 395 00:17:34,472 --> 00:17:36,430 Or, if you'd like, you can wait a couple weeks, 396 00:17:36,430 --> 00:17:37,971 and then the final will be scheduled. 397 00:17:41,950 --> 00:17:44,250 We have two required textbooks for the class. 398 00:17:44,250 --> 00:17:48,100 The first is An Introduction to Systems Biology by Uri Alon. 399 00:17:48,100 --> 00:17:51,740 I think it's a wonderfully clear, exciting introduction 400 00:17:51,740 --> 00:17:53,420 to the topic. 401 00:17:53,420 --> 00:17:55,140 The flip side of being wonderfully clear 402 00:17:55,140 --> 00:17:57,270 is that it's a little-- you could 403 00:17:57,270 --> 00:17:59,180 complain that it's too simple. 404 00:17:59,180 --> 00:18:02,490 And what that means is that we will be supplementing the book 405 00:18:02,490 --> 00:18:05,860 in a variety of ways, both with separate notes, 406 00:18:05,860 --> 00:18:08,980 and also by extensive reading of papers 407 00:18:08,980 --> 00:18:12,190 from the primary literature. 408 00:18:12,190 --> 00:18:14,590 The second half or third of the class, 409 00:18:14,590 --> 00:18:17,460 we'll be reading some chapters from Evolutionary Dynamics, 410 00:18:17,460 --> 00:18:18,990 a book by Martin Nowak. 411 00:18:18,990 --> 00:18:22,330 Again, a very nice, I think, clear, exciting introduction 412 00:18:22,330 --> 00:18:23,750 to that field. 413 00:18:23,750 --> 00:18:25,360 So, I think that these are both books 414 00:18:25,360 --> 00:18:28,490 that, if you're at all interested in this area, 415 00:18:28,490 --> 00:18:31,104 you should own anyways. 416 00:18:31,104 --> 00:18:32,520 There are two other books that you 417 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:34,160 might want to recommend buying. 418 00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:36,340 So, first there's Essential Cell Biology, 419 00:18:36,340 --> 00:18:40,890 which is kind of like the easy version of the cell, also 420 00:18:40,890 --> 00:18:41,660 by Alberts. 421 00:18:41,660 --> 00:18:43,890 So, be careful of just buying a book by Alberts. 422 00:18:43,890 --> 00:18:48,084 So, I'd say The Cell is everything you ever 423 00:18:48,084 --> 00:18:49,750 wanted to know about the cell-- and more 424 00:18:49,750 --> 00:18:50,880 than you want to know about the cell-- 425 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:52,880 whereas Essential Cell Biology is really 426 00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:55,610 just a wonderful book. 427 00:18:55,610 --> 00:18:59,540 We read this in my lab as kind of a summer book reading 428 00:18:59,540 --> 00:19:02,707 project, where each week, we read a chapter, 429 00:19:02,707 --> 00:19:03,790 and we got get over lunch. 430 00:19:03,790 --> 00:19:05,597 And we just went around the table, 431 00:19:05,597 --> 00:19:08,055 and we went through all the questions in the book-- really. 432 00:19:08,055 --> 00:19:11,350 And we just alternated, and we discussed, and it was-- really, 433 00:19:11,350 --> 00:19:12,150 it's wonderful. 434 00:19:12,150 --> 00:19:15,510 It focuses on the ideas. 435 00:19:15,510 --> 00:19:17,310 You have to memorize a few things. 436 00:19:17,310 --> 00:19:19,831 But every now and then, you need to memorize something 437 00:19:19,831 --> 00:19:21,580 in order to keep track of what's going on. 438 00:19:21,580 --> 00:19:24,970 But I would say that if you're really interested in biology 439 00:19:24,970 --> 00:19:29,159 in any serious way, then I would recommend you buy this book. 440 00:19:29,159 --> 00:19:31,450 And then, finally, there's this book Nonlinear Dynamics 441 00:19:31,450 --> 00:19:33,770 and Chaos by Steven Strogatz, which 442 00:19:33,770 --> 00:19:37,326 is a beautiful introduction to denominator dynamics. 443 00:19:37,326 --> 00:19:41,310 If you have not seen the book, I encourage you to check it out. 444 00:19:41,310 --> 00:19:45,620 And in particular, some of the topics on stability analysis, 445 00:19:45,620 --> 00:19:48,820 and oscillations, bifurcations, and so forth-- this 446 00:19:48,820 --> 00:19:50,570 is a really great way to learn about them. 447 00:19:54,250 --> 00:19:57,550 I want to just give a brief plug for-- there's 448 00:19:57,550 --> 00:20:00,294 another class that some of you, especially the first year 449 00:20:00,294 --> 00:20:01,710 students interested in biophysics, 450 00:20:01,710 --> 00:20:02,790 might be interested in. 451 00:20:02,790 --> 00:20:08,260 This is 8.590J slash 20.416J slash seven something. 452 00:20:08,260 --> 00:20:12,420 So it's a class targeted for first year graduate students 453 00:20:12,420 --> 00:20:13,520 interested in biophysics. 454 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:15,950 Basically, each week, we read a paper. 455 00:20:15,950 --> 00:20:17,500 We have a different guest lecturer 456 00:20:17,500 --> 00:20:20,500 come from across campus, either physics, chemistry, biology, 457 00:20:20,500 --> 00:20:23,020 biological engineering, civil or environmental engineering. 458 00:20:23,020 --> 00:20:25,300 So, a great way to meet different faculty who 459 00:20:25,300 --> 00:20:27,520 are working in the interface of physics and biology 460 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:29,560 in one manifestation or another. 461 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:32,333 The class-- it's going to be this Friday from 3:00 to 5:00 462 00:20:32,333 --> 00:20:32,466 PM. 463 00:20:32,466 --> 00:20:33,965 But then, in later weeks, it's going 464 00:20:33,965 --> 00:20:36,925 to be 4:00 to 6:00 PM because we-- because it conflicted 465 00:20:36,925 --> 00:20:37,550 with something. 466 00:20:42,820 --> 00:20:45,640 So, I'm going to tell you-- I'm going to give you 467 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:49,380 the overview of the rest of the semester in terms 468 00:20:49,380 --> 00:20:50,460 of the science. 469 00:20:50,460 --> 00:20:53,440 But I just want to first remind all of you 470 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:56,764 that, starting on Tuesday, it's going to be the real class. 471 00:20:56,764 --> 00:20:58,430 What that means in particular is that we 472 00:20:58,430 --> 00:21:01,260 expect you to have done some reading, 473 00:21:01,260 --> 00:21:05,000 and we expect you to have submitted 474 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:10,072 your pre-class reading questions by Monday night at 10:00 PM. 475 00:21:10,072 --> 00:21:12,030 We used to have it at midnight, but then Andrew 476 00:21:12,030 --> 00:21:15,030 has to stay up really late to go over all your responses 477 00:21:15,030 --> 00:21:17,600 and send out them-- so, 10 o'clock. 478 00:21:20,390 --> 00:21:25,750 And then we'll get going on simple interactions 479 00:21:25,750 --> 00:21:29,100 between doing enzyme and substrate, simple gene 480 00:21:29,100 --> 00:21:30,510 expression ideas, and so forth. 481 00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:37,070 So, I'd say that the course has three parts. 482 00:21:37,070 --> 00:21:39,370 There's like-- the first half is part one, 483 00:21:39,370 --> 00:21:45,000 and then part two is the half to 3/4 mark, 484 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,010 and then the last part is maybe four or five lectures. 485 00:21:49,010 --> 00:21:51,700 And the structure of this is really-- 486 00:21:51,700 --> 00:21:55,100 it is going from the microscopic scale, 487 00:21:55,100 --> 00:21:57,840 and then-- in terms of just the basic ideas of, 488 00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:01,130 what happens if molecule A binds with molecule B. What 489 00:22:01,130 --> 00:22:03,320 are the features that we should be aware of? 490 00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:05,810 So, pretty basic there. 491 00:22:05,810 --> 00:22:08,230 All the way up to questions in ecology. 492 00:22:08,230 --> 00:22:11,580 The last lecture is going to be questions about the origin 493 00:22:11,580 --> 00:22:15,430 of diversity in ecosystems. 494 00:22:15,430 --> 00:22:17,920 So, we'll basically march from the molecular scale 495 00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:21,040 up to the population scale throughout the semester. 496 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,470 For those of you who are interested in thinking 497 00:22:23,470 --> 00:22:27,746 about these questions of how to organize a class, 498 00:22:27,746 --> 00:22:29,370 there's quite an interesting discussion 499 00:22:29,370 --> 00:22:32,400 at the beginning of Bill Bialek's Biological Physics 500 00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:34,770 book, where he very explicitly says 501 00:22:34,770 --> 00:22:38,100 that he tried to resist the temptation to do what 502 00:22:38,100 --> 00:22:40,330 it is that we do in our class. 503 00:22:40,330 --> 00:22:43,710 He resisted the temptation to start from the small scale 504 00:22:43,710 --> 00:22:46,150 and then build up to these larger scales. 505 00:22:46,150 --> 00:22:47,930 And the reason he says he wants to avoid 506 00:22:47,930 --> 00:22:50,890 that is because he does not want to give students the impression 507 00:22:50,890 --> 00:22:54,880 we actually understand how you go from the lower scales 508 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:56,600 up to the higher scales. 509 00:22:56,600 --> 00:23:00,980 And I think that's a totally reasonable viewpoint. 510 00:23:00,980 --> 00:23:05,610 But that being said, the whole point of this endeavour is 511 00:23:05,610 --> 00:23:07,710 to try to say something about it. 512 00:23:07,710 --> 00:23:12,420 We may not really understand it all, but we have to try. 513 00:23:12,420 --> 00:23:17,830 And it's certainly true that is how function arises, that there 514 00:23:17,830 --> 00:23:21,600 are lower level interactions that lead to higher scale 515 00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:23,220 functions, dynamics, behaviors. 516 00:23:23,220 --> 00:23:25,720 We may not be able to predict exactly what's going on there, 517 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,170 but that is the way that nature does it. 518 00:23:28,170 --> 00:23:32,510 So, I don't want a second guess nature, certainly. 519 00:23:32,510 --> 00:23:34,960 So, that's going to be our approach. 520 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,600 But if at the end of the class, you prefer a different order, 521 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:39,554 you can always just turn yourself around, 522 00:23:39,554 --> 00:23:41,220 and then it all jumble up in your brain. 523 00:23:41,220 --> 00:23:43,160 And then, it can be whatever order you like. 524 00:23:45,556 --> 00:23:47,180 On Tuesday, we're really going to start 525 00:23:47,180 --> 00:23:48,560 with the most basic ideas. 526 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:50,820 What happens if you have, for example, 527 00:23:50,820 --> 00:23:53,202 one gene that is going to turn on another gene? 528 00:23:53,202 --> 00:23:54,910 So, you might have a transcription factor 529 00:23:54,910 --> 00:23:57,975 X that's going to activate so gene Y, that 530 00:23:57,975 --> 00:24:01,790 says it's going to cause gene Y to be expressed. 531 00:24:01,790 --> 00:24:04,690 Now, it's as simple as you can get. 532 00:24:04,690 --> 00:24:06,380 But what are the general features 533 00:24:06,380 --> 00:24:09,200 that you can say about this sort of process? 534 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:10,940 Well, you can say, there's one thing. 535 00:24:10,940 --> 00:24:14,560 It's that X could either be an activator of Y, 536 00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:16,462 or maybe it's a repressor of Y. So, 537 00:24:16,462 --> 00:24:18,420 these are the two symbols that we'll often use. 538 00:24:18,420 --> 00:24:21,680 An arrow will either be an-- well, 539 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:23,870 this symbol will always be a repressor. 540 00:24:23,870 --> 00:24:27,310 A plain arrow may be ambiguous, so beware. 541 00:24:27,310 --> 00:24:28,990 Now, the question is, what happens here? 542 00:24:28,990 --> 00:24:32,380 For example, you might have this transcription factor-- 543 00:24:32,380 --> 00:24:34,730 let's say 10R-- that's repressing expression 544 00:24:34,730 --> 00:24:39,315 of this gene that is encoding GFP, green fluorescent protein. 545 00:24:39,315 --> 00:24:41,690 You're going to see this many, many times over the course 546 00:24:41,690 --> 00:24:42,860 of the semester. 547 00:24:42,860 --> 00:24:44,800 In some ways, one of the things that we're 548 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:48,310 going to see in the class is that new ideas often 549 00:24:48,310 --> 00:24:52,570 arise from new techniques or new capabilities. 550 00:24:52,570 --> 00:24:56,560 Now, it was really, I think, the Y-- the spread of GFP 551 00:24:56,560 --> 00:25:00,210 and related proteins that allowed us to visualize gene 552 00:25:00,210 --> 00:25:02,050 expression in individual cells. 553 00:25:02,050 --> 00:25:06,190 And it led to this real flowering of new ideas, 554 00:25:06,190 --> 00:25:08,620 of how, for example, stochasticity may be relevant, 555 00:25:08,620 --> 00:25:10,702 cell to cell heterogeneity. 556 00:25:10,702 --> 00:25:12,660 These are all, I think, very interesting ideas. 557 00:25:12,660 --> 00:25:16,280 But in order for them to be concrete, you need data. 558 00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:18,270 And this was a powerful way for us 559 00:25:18,270 --> 00:25:21,020 to get data that was relevant for these sorts 560 00:25:21,020 --> 00:25:23,570 of big questions. 561 00:25:23,570 --> 00:25:27,280 So, the idea here is that if this protein is made, 562 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:28,276 it's expressed. 563 00:25:28,276 --> 00:25:29,900 Then that cell will become fluorescent. 564 00:25:29,900 --> 00:25:31,570 In particular, it'll become green 565 00:25:31,570 --> 00:25:34,456 if you shine the proper light on it. 566 00:25:34,456 --> 00:25:35,580 And then, we can do things. 567 00:25:35,580 --> 00:25:37,310 We can ask questions about, for example, 568 00:25:37,310 --> 00:25:38,835 the dynamics of this process. 569 00:25:43,170 --> 00:25:47,010 So, here we have a case where, now, this 570 00:25:47,010 --> 00:25:51,280 is a repressor that is-- if you have this repressor, 571 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:55,100 then it stops expression of that fluorescent protein. 572 00:25:55,100 --> 00:25:58,240 Now, you can ask, what happens if you start in a situation 573 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:03,600 where the cell is repressing expression of that gene. 574 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,650 So, in this case, the protein concentration is 0, 575 00:26:06,650 --> 00:26:08,000 so the cell is not fluorescent. 576 00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:11,240 But then, you add something so that now you 577 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:16,007 cause that repressor to fall off and stop repressing that gene. 578 00:26:16,007 --> 00:26:17,590 Now, the question is, how long does it 579 00:26:17,590 --> 00:26:20,570 take for the protein concentration 580 00:26:20,570 --> 00:26:23,010 to grow to some equilibrium? 581 00:26:23,010 --> 00:26:24,440 It starts out at 0. 582 00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:27,240 Eventually, it's going to reach some steady state. 583 00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:31,270 So, what is it that sets this time scale? 584 00:26:31,270 --> 00:26:35,410 What's the characteristic time that it takes for the cell 585 00:26:35,410 --> 00:26:36,774 to respond to this signal? 586 00:26:36,774 --> 00:26:38,440 What we're going to find is that there's 587 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:41,070 a very general sense in which that characteristic time 588 00:26:41,070 --> 00:26:45,890 scale is really the cell generation time. 589 00:26:45,890 --> 00:26:48,220 So, cells divide at some rate. 590 00:26:48,220 --> 00:26:52,190 It depends on the kind of cell, the environment, and so forth. 591 00:26:52,190 --> 00:26:54,470 Does anybody have a sense for a bacterial cell 592 00:26:54,470 --> 00:26:57,620 in nice, rich media, good temperature-- how long it 593 00:26:57,620 --> 00:26:59,272 takes for it to divide? 594 00:26:59,272 --> 00:27:00,890 Yeah, 20 minutes. 595 00:27:00,890 --> 00:27:03,140 So, E. coli, for example, can divide every 20 minutes, 596 00:27:03,140 --> 00:27:04,764 if you put it in the right environment. 597 00:27:04,764 --> 00:27:06,440 Which is really an amazing thing, 598 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,660 if you think about the number of different proteins 599 00:27:08,660 --> 00:27:11,280 that have to be made, and the complicated mechanics 600 00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:13,400 of growing, and separating, and so forth. 601 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,490 But every 20 minutes such a cell can divide. 602 00:27:15,490 --> 00:27:18,360 That's saying that a bacterial cell, when 603 00:27:18,360 --> 00:27:20,290 it sees a new signal, it's going to take, 604 00:27:20,290 --> 00:27:23,210 of order, that amount of time in order for it to do anything. 605 00:27:23,210 --> 00:27:29,050 And that's just because of this natural process of dilution. 606 00:27:29,050 --> 00:27:33,449 So, as the cell grows, there's a dilution of the contents. 607 00:27:33,449 --> 00:27:34,240 So, it makes sense. 608 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,740 If you start out with a protein and you stop making it, 609 00:27:36,740 --> 00:27:38,886 then maybe you'll get an exponential decay 610 00:27:38,886 --> 00:27:41,510 of that concentration with this time scale, the cell generation 611 00:27:41,510 --> 00:27:42,050 time. 612 00:27:42,050 --> 00:27:42,990 What's interesting is that, in some ways, 613 00:27:42,990 --> 00:27:44,530 that resolve is more general. 614 00:27:44,530 --> 00:27:46,860 That, even if you're trying to turn something on, 615 00:27:46,860 --> 00:27:49,290 there's the same limit, this cell generation time, 616 00:27:49,290 --> 00:27:52,830 that is placing some limit to how fast the cell can respond 617 00:27:52,830 --> 00:27:58,080 to new information, if it uses this mode of information 618 00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:02,824 transmission where you express a new gene. 619 00:28:02,824 --> 00:28:04,240 So, if you want to go faster, than 620 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:05,490 you have to do something else. 621 00:28:07,750 --> 00:28:09,630 So, in some cases, you can actually 622 00:28:09,630 --> 00:28:15,000 have a situation where a protein is actually regulating itself. 623 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:17,050 So, this is an example of what you might 624 00:28:17,050 --> 00:28:20,370 call negative autoregulation. 625 00:28:20,370 --> 00:28:24,890 So, in this case, that protein actually comes back, 626 00:28:24,890 --> 00:28:28,564 and it represses its own expression. 627 00:28:28,564 --> 00:28:30,980 It's found that this is actually rather common in biology. 628 00:28:30,980 --> 00:28:32,750 And so, of course, if you see something 629 00:28:32,750 --> 00:28:36,000 that is common in biology, then it's reasonable that-- so, 630 00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:38,190 maybe there's an evolutionary explanation. 631 00:28:38,190 --> 00:28:40,580 Not always, but it gives you a hint 632 00:28:40,580 --> 00:28:42,649 that maybe it's worth looking. 633 00:28:42,649 --> 00:28:44,440 Now, in this case, what we're going to find 634 00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:46,400 is that such negative autoregulation does 635 00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:47,982 some very interesting things. 636 00:28:47,982 --> 00:28:50,190 So, for example, one thing that it's been shown to do 637 00:28:50,190 --> 00:28:55,890 is to increase the rate of response of that gene. 638 00:28:55,890 --> 00:29:00,320 So, in some ways, you can speed up a response to some signal 639 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,200 by having that negative autoregulation. 640 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,790 In a similar way, this negative autoregulation 641 00:29:05,790 --> 00:29:08,500 increases what you might call robustness, 642 00:29:08,500 --> 00:29:11,990 the ability of the function-- in this case, 643 00:29:11,990 --> 00:29:13,970 maybe, the concentration-- of the protein 644 00:29:13,970 --> 00:29:20,300 to be robust to variations in things like the temperature, 645 00:29:20,300 --> 00:29:21,240 or this or that. 646 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:23,630 So, environmental perturbations, or maybe 647 00:29:23,630 --> 00:29:25,300 just stochastic fluctuations. 648 00:29:29,470 --> 00:29:35,740 Now, in this field, I'd say one of the key advances that 649 00:29:35,740 --> 00:29:39,310 led to the birth of both this branch of systems biology, 650 00:29:39,310 --> 00:29:42,790 but also the field of what you might call synthetic biology-- 651 00:29:42,790 --> 00:29:45,340 really using engineering principles to try and design 652 00:29:45,340 --> 00:29:49,595 new gene circuits-- was a pair of important papers 653 00:29:49,595 --> 00:29:51,720 that we're going to be talking about in this class. 654 00:29:51,720 --> 00:29:56,120 So, the first of these was a paper from Jim Collins's group. 655 00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:59,535 He was at BU, although you may not have heard yet, 656 00:29:59,535 --> 00:30:02,530 but he's actually just agreed to move over here at MIT. 657 00:30:02,530 --> 00:30:06,550 So, this is very exciting for us, and hopefully for you. 658 00:30:06,550 --> 00:30:09,610 So, Jim Collins-- in 2000 he showed 659 00:30:09,610 --> 00:30:12,920 that he could engineer a switch, something 660 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,380 called a toggle switch. 661 00:30:14,380 --> 00:30:16,990 So, if you have two genes that are mutually repressing 662 00:30:16,990 --> 00:30:19,410 each other, then this is a system 663 00:30:19,410 --> 00:30:23,690 that the most basic memory module. 664 00:30:23,690 --> 00:30:25,885 Because if you have one gene that's high, 665 00:30:25,885 --> 00:30:28,530 it can repress the other one, and that's a stable state. 666 00:30:28,530 --> 00:30:29,932 But if this other gene goes high, 667 00:30:29,932 --> 00:30:31,640 then it's going to repress this one here, 668 00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:33,660 and that's another stable state. 669 00:30:33,660 --> 00:30:35,520 And that state, since it's stable, 670 00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:39,010 can maintain memory of the past environment. 671 00:30:39,010 --> 00:30:41,560 And he was able to demonstrate to his group 672 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:45,560 that he could construct such a switch using components 673 00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:49,590 that, in the past, were never interacting with each other. 674 00:30:49,590 --> 00:30:52,295 So, this is taking advantage of this fabulous modularity 675 00:30:52,295 --> 00:30:54,250 of the components of biology in order 676 00:30:54,250 --> 00:30:57,300 to do something that, is in, principle useful. 677 00:30:57,300 --> 00:31:02,030 And by doing this, it's possible that you could go and engineer 678 00:31:02,030 --> 00:31:02,530 new things. 679 00:31:02,530 --> 00:31:05,880 But it's also a test bed for you to take this dictum 680 00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:07,710 from Feynman that if you can't build it, 681 00:31:07,710 --> 00:31:08,950 then you don't understand it. 682 00:31:08,950 --> 00:31:12,550 And this is a nice way to go into the cell 683 00:31:12,550 --> 00:31:15,414 and say, if it's really true, if all these models 684 00:31:15,414 --> 00:31:17,580 that we talk about in systems biology, for example-- 685 00:31:17,580 --> 00:31:18,930 if they're really true, then we should actually 686 00:31:18,930 --> 00:31:20,970 be able to go into the cell, put these components together, 687 00:31:20,970 --> 00:31:22,761 and demonstrate that there is, for example, 688 00:31:22,761 --> 00:31:24,670 this switch-like behavior. 689 00:31:24,670 --> 00:31:27,380 And this was a very important paper 690 00:31:27,380 --> 00:31:30,058 that demonstrated that it's possible to do this. 691 00:31:32,620 --> 00:31:33,870 The other paper that I think-- 692 00:31:33,870 --> 00:31:35,703 AUDIENCE: Did they actually make the switch? 693 00:31:35,703 --> 00:31:38,060 PROFESSOR: Yes They actually constructed it. 694 00:31:38,060 --> 00:31:41,860 They put it on a round, circular piece like this plasmid, 695 00:31:41,860 --> 00:31:45,070 put it into E. coli, and showed that they could do this here. 696 00:31:45,070 --> 00:31:47,700 And indeed, this particular issue of nature, I think, 697 00:31:47,700 --> 00:31:49,660 was hugely influential for our field, 698 00:31:49,660 --> 00:31:53,040 because that toggle switch paper and this other paper-- 699 00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:55,600 "The Repressilator," by Michael Elowitz and colleagues-- 700 00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:58,620 they were kind of back to back in that issue of nature. 701 00:31:58,620 --> 00:32:02,020 And I'd say, in some ways, they were the beginning of systems 702 00:32:02,020 --> 00:32:03,070 and synthetic biology. 703 00:32:03,070 --> 00:32:05,170 Of course, you can argue about this. 704 00:32:05,170 --> 00:32:07,730 But certainly, I think they influenced 705 00:32:07,730 --> 00:32:10,430 many, many people in getting excited about the field. 706 00:32:10,430 --> 00:32:13,160 So, the repressilator-- this is the idea 707 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:16,700 that you can generate a gene circuit 708 00:32:16,700 --> 00:32:19,312 like this that will oscillate. 709 00:32:19,312 --> 00:32:22,640 And in this case, instead of having just two genes that 710 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,380 are repressing each other, if instead you 711 00:32:24,380 --> 00:32:26,380 have three genes that are repressing each other, 712 00:32:26,380 --> 00:32:29,670 but in a circular fashion, then there's 713 00:32:29,670 --> 00:32:33,060 no stable state akin to what we have with this toggle switch. 714 00:32:33,060 --> 00:32:35,260 But instead, what happens is that you 715 00:32:35,260 --> 00:32:39,960 get successive waves of each of these components going 716 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:40,650 up and down. 717 00:32:40,650 --> 00:32:43,002 So, they oscillate as they mutually repress each other. 718 00:32:43,002 --> 00:32:44,960 And I just want to be clear about what this is. 719 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:48,132 So, here, these are E. coli cells, 720 00:32:48,132 --> 00:32:50,265 where Elowitz put in this plasmid-- 721 00:32:50,265 --> 00:32:52,890 this circular piece of DNA-- encoding those three 722 00:32:52,890 --> 00:32:54,680 genes that mutually repress each other. 723 00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:56,820 And basically, associated with one of those genes, 724 00:32:56,820 --> 00:32:59,820 he's again attached one of these fluorescent proteins. 725 00:32:59,820 --> 00:33:02,010 So, the level of fluorescence in the cell 726 00:33:02,010 --> 00:33:05,760 tells you about the state of that gene circuit. 727 00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:06,880 Let's see if we can-- 728 00:33:11,220 --> 00:33:12,320 So, it starts out. 729 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,111 There's a single cell you can't really see. 730 00:33:14,111 --> 00:33:15,100 It starts dividing. 731 00:33:15,100 --> 00:33:18,290 Then you see it oscillates-- gets bright, dim, bright, dim. 732 00:33:18,290 --> 00:33:22,730 But you can see that there are a number of features you 733 00:33:22,730 --> 00:33:24,170 might notice about this movie. 734 00:33:24,170 --> 00:33:30,034 So, first, it does oscillate, which was huge in the sense 735 00:33:30,034 --> 00:33:31,950 that it wasn't obvious that you could actually 736 00:33:31,950 --> 00:33:35,210 just put these genes together and generate something 737 00:33:35,210 --> 00:33:37,404 that oscillates at all. 738 00:33:37,404 --> 00:33:38,820 On the other hand, you'd say, well 739 00:33:38,820 --> 00:33:42,690 it's not such a good oscillator. 740 00:33:42,690 --> 00:33:46,070 In particular, for example, this started out as a single cell. 741 00:33:46,070 --> 00:33:48,880 Now it's dividing under the microscope on agger. 742 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,080 So, it's getting some nutrients there. 743 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:52,930 But what you see is that-- are these cells 744 00:33:52,930 --> 00:33:55,310 all in phase with each other? 745 00:33:55,310 --> 00:33:56,100 No. 746 00:33:56,100 --> 00:33:59,580 So, there's patches-- bright, dark. 747 00:33:59,580 --> 00:34:02,120 So, the question is, what's going on here? 748 00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:04,435 And it turns out that this design of an oscillator 749 00:34:04,435 --> 00:34:05,727 is perhaps not a very good one. 750 00:34:05,727 --> 00:34:07,768 And, indeed, one of things we'll be talking about 751 00:34:07,768 --> 00:34:10,170 is how you can maybe use some engineering principles 752 00:34:10,170 --> 00:34:11,780 to design better oscillators. 753 00:34:11,780 --> 00:34:13,530 So, for example, Jeff Hasty at San Diego 754 00:34:13,530 --> 00:34:15,795 has done really beautiful work showing 755 00:34:15,795 --> 00:34:18,590 that you can make robust, tunable oscillators in cells 756 00:34:18,590 --> 00:34:19,940 like this. 757 00:34:19,940 --> 00:34:24,110 Now, these oscillations they were maybe not as good 758 00:34:24,110 --> 00:34:25,300 as you would like. 759 00:34:25,300 --> 00:34:27,290 But this, actually, is an example 760 00:34:27,290 --> 00:34:32,306 of how a partial failure-- in the sense that they're not 761 00:34:32,306 --> 00:34:33,889 great oscillations, that maybe somehow 762 00:34:33,889 --> 00:34:37,100 there's noise that's entering in here that you would not like. 763 00:34:37,100 --> 00:34:40,439 This led to the realization that maybe noise 764 00:34:40,439 --> 00:34:43,670 is relevant in decision making within cells. 765 00:34:43,670 --> 00:34:47,070 And this led-- I'll show you in a few slides-- 766 00:34:47,070 --> 00:34:50,671 to another major advance that Elowitz had. 767 00:34:50,671 --> 00:34:52,170 So, this is, I think, a good example 768 00:34:52,170 --> 00:34:57,340 of how one-- we might call it a partial failure. 769 00:34:57,340 --> 00:35:00,640 Some reservations about the quality of this oscillator 770 00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:03,810 led him to another really big scientific discovery 771 00:35:03,810 --> 00:35:09,070 on the importance of noise in decision making within cells. 772 00:35:09,070 --> 00:35:10,810 But before we get to this noise, we're 773 00:35:10,810 --> 00:35:14,940 going to say something about the more global structure 774 00:35:14,940 --> 00:35:17,160 of these gene networks. 775 00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:19,950 And, in particular, we're going to analyze, 776 00:35:19,950 --> 00:35:23,670 and we're going to read this paper by Barabasi which 777 00:35:23,670 --> 00:35:26,230 represents a simple mechanism for how you might 778 00:35:26,230 --> 00:35:29,400 what are called these power-law distributions in networks. 779 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,350 So, if you have these genes that are mutually 780 00:35:31,350 --> 00:35:32,940 activating-repressing, what can you 781 00:35:32,940 --> 00:35:35,990 say about the structure of this gene network within the cell? 782 00:35:39,020 --> 00:35:41,701 Now, you can analyze such global structure 783 00:35:41,701 --> 00:35:42,950 in a couple of different ways. 784 00:35:42,950 --> 00:35:45,480 One is just to ask, how many different genes are 785 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:47,210 different genes connected to? 786 00:35:47,210 --> 00:35:49,480 And that's maybe the more Barabasi approach. 787 00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:51,860 But then there was another major discovery 788 00:35:51,860 --> 00:35:54,350 that Uri Alon, the author of our textbook, made, 789 00:35:54,350 --> 00:35:58,640 which is that you can ask-- in this crazy network 790 00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,020 that you have that describes the decision making 791 00:36:01,020 --> 00:36:03,290 within the cell-- are there common patterns 792 00:36:03,290 --> 00:36:06,910 or motifs that appear over and over again? 793 00:36:06,910 --> 00:36:09,330 So, just like this idea of autoregulation, 794 00:36:09,330 --> 00:36:11,982 when a gene represses or activates itself, 795 00:36:11,982 --> 00:36:13,690 that's something that appears frequently. 796 00:36:13,690 --> 00:36:15,148 So, you can ask, why might that be? 797 00:36:15,148 --> 00:36:17,050 Similarly, if there are other patterns that 798 00:36:17,050 --> 00:36:18,790 appear in these networks, then maybe they arose, 799 00:36:18,790 --> 00:36:20,956 or they were selected for by evolution, because they 800 00:36:20,956 --> 00:36:22,150 perform some other function. 801 00:36:22,150 --> 00:36:25,240 In particular, we're going to analyze this feed-forward loop 802 00:36:25,240 --> 00:36:29,600 motif, where you have some gene that activates, for example, 803 00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,370 another gene Y. Y activates-- I'm sorry, 804 00:36:32,370 --> 00:36:37,020 this is supposed to be Z. Now, if X, again, directly activates 805 00:36:37,020 --> 00:36:40,607 or represses Z-- this bottom gene-- then 806 00:36:40,607 --> 00:36:41,690 what does that do for you? 807 00:36:41,690 --> 00:36:43,760 Because this is something you see more frequently 808 00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:46,310 than you expect, based on some notion of chance, 809 00:36:46,310 --> 00:36:47,990 or some null model. 810 00:36:47,990 --> 00:36:50,310 So, the question is, why would these feed-forward loops 811 00:36:50,310 --> 00:36:51,670 appear over and over again? 812 00:36:51,670 --> 00:36:55,350 And it turns out that they can provide some nice functions 813 00:36:55,350 --> 00:36:56,870 in the sense that, for example, you 814 00:36:56,870 --> 00:36:59,010 can provide some asymmetrical response 815 00:36:59,010 --> 00:37:02,160 to temporary fluctuations of inputs, et cetera, et cetera. 816 00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:04,300 So, we'll try to get some sense of these ideas. 817 00:37:07,430 --> 00:37:12,650 So, as I alluded to before in this idea of the repressilator 818 00:37:12,650 --> 00:37:14,560 that Michael Elowitz made, he saw 819 00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:16,400 that it was surprisingly noisy. 820 00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,160 And this got him thinking about the role 821 00:37:18,160 --> 00:37:20,990 of stochastic fluctuations within cells. 822 00:37:20,990 --> 00:37:24,160 And I think that this is a common theme throughout much 823 00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:25,380 of systems biology. 824 00:37:25,380 --> 00:37:28,510 It's the role of noise in biology. 825 00:37:28,510 --> 00:37:31,806 And this could be within a cell for individual decision making. 826 00:37:31,806 --> 00:37:33,430 It could be in context of development-- 827 00:37:33,430 --> 00:37:38,720 how is that you robustly make a body, given noise? 828 00:37:38,720 --> 00:37:43,150 It could be at the level of evolutionary ecosystems, 829 00:37:43,150 --> 00:37:45,640 that maybe noise actually plays a dominant role in, 830 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:47,640 for example, determining the abundance 831 00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:49,360 or diversity of ecosystems. 832 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:52,740 So, we'll see these themes pop up on multiple scales 833 00:37:52,740 --> 00:37:54,210 throughout the semester. 834 00:37:54,210 --> 00:37:56,220 But in this case, what Elowitz did-- 835 00:37:56,220 --> 00:37:59,020 this is just two years after his repressilator paper-- 836 00:37:59,020 --> 00:38:03,280 he showed that if you just take the-- in a single cell, 837 00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:05,550 you give it the exact same instructions. 838 00:38:05,550 --> 00:38:09,160 So, you say, make a red fluorescent protein, 839 00:38:09,160 --> 00:38:11,820 and make a green fluorescent protein, 840 00:38:11,820 --> 00:38:13,770 with the exact same instructions to the cell. 841 00:38:13,770 --> 00:38:16,144 And you can say, well, if you have the same instructions, 842 00:38:16,144 --> 00:38:18,450 then the level of the red and the green 843 00:38:18,450 --> 00:38:20,250 should do the same thing. 844 00:38:20,250 --> 00:38:21,810 But what he found was that, actually, 845 00:38:21,810 --> 00:38:25,130 there was surprising heterogeneity 846 00:38:25,130 --> 00:38:30,050 of the level of those two proteins, even in single cells. 847 00:38:30,050 --> 00:38:33,500 So, the idea is that even-- this represents a fundamental limit 848 00:38:33,500 --> 00:38:35,210 to what a cell can do, because this 849 00:38:35,210 --> 00:38:39,640 is saying that we take-- we try to do the exact same thing two 850 00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:40,440 different times. 851 00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:41,815 If you don't get the same output, 852 00:38:41,815 --> 00:38:44,706 then that's a real limit to what you can do, right? 853 00:38:44,706 --> 00:38:46,330 Because you've done everything you can. 854 00:38:46,330 --> 00:38:49,770 You said, here's the sequence of that DNA that has 855 00:38:49,770 --> 00:38:51,830 the instructions, this promoter sequence. 856 00:38:51,830 --> 00:38:54,770 It's exactly the same, yet you still get different outputs. 857 00:38:54,770 --> 00:38:56,700 So, the question is, what's causing that? 858 00:38:56,700 --> 00:38:58,610 And also, how is it that life can actually 859 00:38:58,610 --> 00:39:03,346 function given this intrinsic noise that's in the cell? 860 00:39:03,346 --> 00:39:04,720 These are things that we're going 861 00:39:04,720 --> 00:39:08,960 to look at over the course of the semester. 862 00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:10,380 And these are actually some images 863 00:39:10,380 --> 00:39:13,310 that he took in this paper. 864 00:39:13,310 --> 00:39:15,640 And so, we can see that some of the cells 865 00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:16,690 are really rather red. 866 00:39:16,690 --> 00:39:19,630 Some are rather yellowish green. 867 00:39:19,630 --> 00:39:22,330 And so, this is telling us about the level of those proteins 868 00:39:22,330 --> 00:39:23,190 in individual cells. 869 00:39:27,310 --> 00:39:29,130 So now, we have some notion. 870 00:39:29,130 --> 00:39:34,660 So, somehow, noise is important in these molecular scale gene 871 00:39:34,660 --> 00:39:36,400 expression patterns. 872 00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:39,110 Now, there is what I think is really quite a beautiful paper 873 00:39:39,110 --> 00:39:42,270 by Sunney Xie [INAUDIBLE] at Harvard in 2006, 874 00:39:42,270 --> 00:39:45,090 where he combined a single molecule 875 00:39:45,090 --> 00:39:49,470 fluorescence with live cell imaging in E. coli. 876 00:39:49,470 --> 00:39:55,370 And this allowed him to observe individual expression events 877 00:39:55,370 --> 00:39:57,760 within individual cells, where every time 878 00:39:57,760 --> 00:39:59,260 one of these proteins was expressed, 879 00:39:59,260 --> 00:40:02,040 he got a little yellow spot, corresponding 880 00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:06,190 to this equivalent of a yellow fluorescent protein. 881 00:40:06,190 --> 00:40:10,390 And so, he was able to watch as real, live cells made 882 00:40:10,390 --> 00:40:11,729 individual proteins. 883 00:40:11,729 --> 00:40:13,520 And from that, he was able to say, I think, 884 00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:18,130 some very nice things about what it is that's causing noise, 885 00:40:18,130 --> 00:40:20,740 such as what we talked about in that repressilator, 886 00:40:20,740 --> 00:40:22,420 or in the other Elowitz paper. 887 00:40:22,420 --> 00:40:24,180 And a lot of it just has to with this idea 888 00:40:24,180 --> 00:40:28,310 that if you're talking about low number events or low numbers 889 00:40:28,310 --> 00:40:31,600 of molecules-- DNA typically present, only 890 00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:33,730 one or a few copies per cell-- then 891 00:40:33,730 --> 00:40:36,290 that means there's some inherent stochasticity. 892 00:40:36,290 --> 00:40:39,060 Because that piece of DNA-- it's either 893 00:40:39,060 --> 00:40:42,140 bound by one of these motors, this RNA polymerase that 894 00:40:42,140 --> 00:40:44,550 can make the RNA, or not. 895 00:40:44,550 --> 00:40:49,110 And that is intrinsically going to be a stochastic process. 896 00:40:49,110 --> 00:40:51,370 And that kind of dynamic can lead 897 00:40:51,370 --> 00:40:54,540 to substantial heterogeneity, or fluctuations, 898 00:40:54,540 --> 00:40:56,010 in expression of individual genes. 899 00:40:59,340 --> 00:41:01,940 So, it's kind of at this stage of the course 900 00:41:01,940 --> 00:41:03,940 that we start to think maybe a little bit more 901 00:41:03,940 --> 00:41:07,420 about some of the global aspects of what it 902 00:41:07,420 --> 00:41:09,750 is that a cell is trying to do. 903 00:41:09,750 --> 00:41:13,660 And in particular, if a cell is trying to, 904 00:41:13,660 --> 00:41:17,495 for example, swim to get to higher concentrations of food, 905 00:41:17,495 --> 00:41:20,640 what are the fundamental limitations that cell faces? 906 00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:23,206 How does it know what is uphill, what's downhill? 907 00:41:23,206 --> 00:41:25,580 So, these are cases in which we have to really understand 908 00:41:25,580 --> 00:41:28,370 something about the role of diffusion 909 00:41:28,370 --> 00:41:33,192 in the ability of these small cells 910 00:41:33,192 --> 00:41:34,730 to move in their environment. 911 00:41:34,730 --> 00:41:36,560 And for example, here is an illustration 912 00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:38,850 of the Reynolds number, which is telling you something 913 00:41:38,850 --> 00:41:43,670 about the relative importance of viscous forces 914 00:41:43,670 --> 00:41:46,730 versus inertial forces on these different organisms. 915 00:41:46,730 --> 00:41:49,070 And some of the way-- for example, 916 00:41:49,070 --> 00:41:51,750 how an organism such as us can swim 917 00:41:51,750 --> 00:41:54,290 is just qualitatively different from how 918 00:41:54,290 --> 00:41:57,690 a microscopic organism, such as E. coli, can swim. 919 00:41:57,690 --> 00:42:00,390 So we'll try to understand how that plays out 920 00:42:00,390 --> 00:42:04,310 and, in particular, how it is that E. coli can move 921 00:42:04,310 --> 00:42:07,000 towards higher food sources. 922 00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:11,540 And there's a very clever way that bacteria 923 00:42:11,540 --> 00:42:14,020 have that allows them to have really 924 00:42:14,020 --> 00:42:18,780 robust functioning of this chemotaxis process 925 00:42:18,780 --> 00:42:20,200 within the cell. 926 00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:23,840 And I think this is a neat example of the gene networks 927 00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:26,510 coupling into a higher level behavior that 928 00:42:26,510 --> 00:42:28,524 allows cells to survive in really 929 00:42:28,524 --> 00:42:29,565 challenging environments. 930 00:42:32,580 --> 00:42:34,730 Another manifestation, actually, of fluctuations 931 00:42:34,730 --> 00:42:37,730 is this idea of pattern formation. 932 00:42:37,730 --> 00:42:43,400 And this is actually experimental data of in vitro-- 933 00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,510 so, if you take proteins outside of the cell 934 00:42:45,510 --> 00:42:49,510 and you put them on a two dimensional membrane. 935 00:42:49,510 --> 00:42:51,160 Now, these are actually the proteins 936 00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:55,195 that are responsible for finding the center of the cell. 937 00:42:55,195 --> 00:42:58,589 So, I told that E. coli, for example-- it grows in length. 938 00:42:58,589 --> 00:43:00,880 And then, once it gets long enough, it wants to divide, 939 00:43:00,880 --> 00:43:02,770 so it separates in the middle. 940 00:43:02,770 --> 00:43:06,196 And the question is, how does it know where the middle is? 941 00:43:06,196 --> 00:43:09,040 You know, if you can just stand outside a cell and look at it, 942 00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:11,437 then you say, I know where it is, and you just cut. 943 00:43:11,437 --> 00:43:12,520 But imagine you're a cell. 944 00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:14,264 How do you know where this-- once you 945 00:43:14,264 --> 00:43:16,680 start thinking about all these challenges that cells face, 946 00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:18,721 it's really remarkable that they can do anything. 947 00:43:18,721 --> 00:43:21,830 And what it turns out, is that they implement-- 948 00:43:21,830 --> 00:43:27,200 they use what are called these Min proteins that display what 949 00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:31,486 seem to be the equivalent of what you might know 950 00:43:31,486 --> 00:43:33,930 of as Turing patterns in order to cause 951 00:43:33,930 --> 00:43:36,450 these oscillations in the cell that allows it to find where 952 00:43:36,450 --> 00:43:37,780 the center of the cell is. 953 00:43:37,780 --> 00:43:41,580 So, we'll talk about this and how these authors were 954 00:43:41,580 --> 00:43:44,620 able to visualize these beautiful traveling 955 00:43:44,620 --> 00:43:48,190 waves of proteins, where they successfully bind 956 00:43:48,190 --> 00:43:50,980 to the membrane, and then are ejected off of it. 957 00:43:50,980 --> 00:43:52,889 And this results in beautiful patterns 958 00:43:52,889 --> 00:43:54,180 that are traveling, as you saw. 959 00:43:57,760 --> 00:44:01,960 So, this was-- I'd say that these topics are what you might 960 00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:03,730 call traditional systems biology, 961 00:44:03,730 --> 00:44:07,500 in the sense that these are all things that 962 00:44:07,500 --> 00:44:09,010 of physics branch of systems biology 963 00:44:09,010 --> 00:44:13,790 were all thinking about for the first 10 years. 964 00:44:13,790 --> 00:44:16,400 And over the last five years, maybe, there 965 00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:18,820 has been a greater interest in trying 966 00:44:18,820 --> 00:44:21,130 to understand how these sorts of ideas and principles 967 00:44:21,130 --> 00:44:23,740 may be relevant for larger scale. 968 00:44:23,740 --> 00:44:28,080 And larger the sense of, instead of thinking maybe 969 00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:29,850 about genes as this fundamental unit-- 970 00:44:29,850 --> 00:44:32,960 they try to understand how genes interact to form 971 00:44:32,960 --> 00:44:34,610 this decision making process. 972 00:44:34,610 --> 00:44:36,440 Maybe instead, if you think about cells 973 00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:38,065 as somehow being that fundamental unit, 974 00:44:38,065 --> 00:44:40,250 how is it that cells come together 975 00:44:40,250 --> 00:44:45,110 to lead to interesting population level phenomena? 976 00:44:45,110 --> 00:44:47,670 And so, we talk about both what you might call 977 00:44:47,670 --> 00:44:49,870 evolutionary systems biology. 978 00:44:49,870 --> 00:44:52,937 So, how is it that evolution within a population behaves? 979 00:44:52,937 --> 00:44:54,520 As well as ecological systems biology. 980 00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,478 What happens if you have more than one species, 981 00:44:56,478 --> 00:44:58,582 and how is that the kinds of ideas 982 00:44:58,582 --> 00:45:00,540 we talk about in the first half of the semester 983 00:45:00,540 --> 00:45:03,095 are relevant in these population level phenomena? 984 00:45:05,890 --> 00:45:08,960 So, in the first example that we're going to give 985 00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:11,630 is actually another paper from Uri Alon's group, 986 00:45:11,630 --> 00:45:16,510 where he showed that there's a very fundamental sense in which 987 00:45:16,510 --> 00:45:19,080 cells, through the evolutionary process, 988 00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:21,012 are implementing a cost-benefit analysis. 989 00:45:21,012 --> 00:45:22,470 And the question that he asked here 990 00:45:22,470 --> 00:45:24,920 is that, if you take an E. coli cell 991 00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:27,670 and you put it in different concentrations of the sugar 992 00:45:27,670 --> 00:45:30,110 lactose. 993 00:45:30,110 --> 00:45:33,040 Now, the question is, how much of the enzyme 994 00:45:33,040 --> 00:45:35,762 responsible for digesting lactose-- how much of that 995 00:45:35,762 --> 00:45:36,720 enzyme should you make? 996 00:45:39,321 --> 00:45:41,570 You might say, well, you should just make a lot of it. 997 00:45:41,570 --> 00:45:42,970 But he said, well, at some point, 998 00:45:42,970 --> 00:45:44,080 there's going to be a problem. 999 00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:45,480 Because if you make too much of it, 1000 00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:47,688 then you're going to be spending all of your energies 1001 00:45:47,688 --> 00:45:48,480 making this enzyme. 1002 00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:50,688 Whereas, on the other hand, if you don't make enough, 1003 00:45:50,688 --> 00:45:53,300 then you're not going to be able to get enough of this sugar. 1004 00:45:53,300 --> 00:45:55,696 So, like always, there's this Goldilocks principle. 1005 00:45:55,696 --> 00:45:57,820 You don't want too little; you don't want too much. 1006 00:45:57,820 --> 00:46:00,660 And what he showed is that if he evolved these E. coli 1007 00:46:00,660 --> 00:46:03,380 populations over hundreds of generations in the laboratory, 1008 00:46:03,380 --> 00:46:05,920 but at different concentrations of this sugar lactose, what 1009 00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:09,780 he saw is that the concentration, or the level 1010 00:46:09,780 --> 00:46:12,940 of expression of the enzymes required to make that, 1011 00:46:12,940 --> 00:46:16,500 to break down that sugar-- it changes over time. 1012 00:46:16,500 --> 00:46:18,551 So, if you have a lot of the sugar, 1013 00:46:18,551 --> 00:46:20,300 then you want to make a lot of the enzyme. 1014 00:46:20,300 --> 00:46:21,800 If you have a small amount of that sugar, 1015 00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:23,508 then you want to make less of the enzyme. 1016 00:46:23,508 --> 00:46:24,870 So, that all makes sense. 1017 00:46:24,870 --> 00:46:27,370 But this is a case where he could really demonstrate it 1018 00:46:27,370 --> 00:46:30,560 in the laboratory using these microbial populations. 1019 00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,130 It's a very beautiful example of how 1020 00:46:33,130 --> 00:46:35,890 simple ideas of cost-benefit really 1021 00:46:35,890 --> 00:46:40,030 give you insight into the evolutionary process. 1022 00:46:40,030 --> 00:46:45,350 Now, I told you before that part of the reason 1023 00:46:45,350 --> 00:46:49,600 that we have to consider the role of fluctuations, or noise, 1024 00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:51,730 in, for example, cellular decision making, 1025 00:46:51,730 --> 00:46:53,720 is because of the low numbers of molecules 1026 00:46:53,720 --> 00:46:55,299 that are often involved. 1027 00:46:55,299 --> 00:46:57,090 So, if you have a small number of proteins, 1028 00:46:57,090 --> 00:46:59,580 or small numbers of DNA, then the process 1029 00:46:59,580 --> 00:47:01,460 is intrinsically stochastic. 1030 00:47:01,460 --> 00:47:03,970 Now, the question naturally arises, 1031 00:47:03,970 --> 00:47:07,390 why is it that we might need to consider stochastic dynamics 1032 00:47:07,390 --> 00:47:09,060 in the context of evolution? 1033 00:47:09,060 --> 00:47:11,840 Because if you think about, for example, 1034 00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:15,220 an E. Coli population, even in a small test tube, 1035 00:47:15,220 --> 00:47:18,070 you might have 1 billion cells there. 1036 00:47:18,070 --> 00:47:20,140 So, 1 billion is a big number, right? 1037 00:47:20,140 --> 00:47:21,490 Much larger than 1. 1038 00:47:21,490 --> 00:47:24,160 So, it's tempting to conclude from that, that actually, all 1039 00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:27,400 of this stochastic dynamics, fluctuations-- maybe it's just 1040 00:47:27,400 --> 00:47:29,910 not relevant for evolution. 1041 00:47:29,910 --> 00:47:33,380 However, if you think about the evolutionary process, 1042 00:47:33,380 --> 00:47:36,110 fundamentally, any time that you have a new mutant appear 1043 00:47:36,110 --> 00:47:39,140 in the population that may be more fit, may be less fit-- 1044 00:47:39,140 --> 00:47:41,020 but every new mutant in the population 1045 00:47:41,020 --> 00:47:43,650 starts out as a single individual. 1046 00:47:43,650 --> 00:47:46,120 It's a trivial statement, but it has deep implications, 1047 00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:50,410 because it means that every evolutionary process goes 1048 00:47:50,410 --> 00:47:52,365 through this regime where you have 1049 00:47:52,365 --> 00:47:54,880 a small number of fluctuations. 1050 00:47:54,880 --> 00:47:56,780 So, this has very clear locations 1051 00:47:56,780 --> 00:47:58,750 in many different contexts, and we'll 1052 00:47:58,750 --> 00:48:00,541 explore it over the course of the semester. 1053 00:48:03,210 --> 00:48:06,550 And despite the fact that that evolution is intrinsically, 1054 00:48:06,550 --> 00:48:09,350 you might say, random, what's interesting 1055 00:48:09,350 --> 00:48:14,189 are cases where that randomness somehow washes out. 1056 00:48:14,189 --> 00:48:15,980 For example, we're going to talk about what 1057 00:48:15,980 --> 00:48:18,760 I think is a beautiful paper by Roy Kishony's group, 1058 00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:22,490 at Harvard Medical School, who showed 1059 00:48:22,490 --> 00:48:25,232 that if you take a population and you put 1060 00:48:25,232 --> 00:48:26,690 in some new environments, there are 1061 00:48:26,690 --> 00:48:28,300 going to different mutations. 1062 00:48:28,300 --> 00:48:30,550 Some of them are going to be really good; some of them 1063 00:48:30,550 --> 00:48:33,170 are going to be not so good. 1064 00:48:33,170 --> 00:48:36,360 You can imagine that of all of these possible beneficial 1065 00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:40,290 mutations, they describe some distribution. 1066 00:48:40,290 --> 00:48:44,580 Whereas, if you asked-- this is the frequency, or the number, 1067 00:48:44,580 --> 00:48:48,580 of mutations as a function of how good that mutation is, 1068 00:48:48,580 --> 00:48:50,960 you might say, it should be some falling function. 1069 00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:53,292 Because you just not are going to get as many mutations 1070 00:48:53,292 --> 00:48:55,000 that are really just amazing as they are. 1071 00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:56,040 They're kind of good. 1072 00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:58,754 But it's not obvious whether the curve should be exponential, 1073 00:48:58,754 --> 00:48:59,920 or maybe it looks like this. 1074 00:48:59,920 --> 00:49:03,340 It could look like many different things. 1075 00:49:03,340 --> 00:49:06,120 What Roy's group showed here in this paper is that, 1076 00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:10,242 actually, in some very reasonable situations, 1077 00:49:10,242 --> 00:49:12,700 it doesn't actually matter what the underlying distribution 1078 00:49:12,700 --> 00:49:13,440 might be. 1079 00:49:13,440 --> 00:49:16,290 Because if you look at the distribution of mutations that 1080 00:49:16,290 --> 00:49:20,930 actually fix or spread in the population, 1081 00:49:20,930 --> 00:49:22,660 those actually all look kind of the same, 1082 00:49:22,660 --> 00:49:25,750 in the sense that they're peaked around some value. 1083 00:49:25,750 --> 00:49:31,640 So, there's some sense in which the random process of evolution 1084 00:49:31,640 --> 00:49:36,137 leads to some patterns that are probably not so obvious. 1085 00:49:36,137 --> 00:49:37,595 And on the flip side, what it means 1086 00:49:37,595 --> 00:49:40,590 is that if you go and measure how good are the mutations that 1087 00:49:40,590 --> 00:49:42,160 actually appear on the population, 1088 00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:45,030 that actually tells you surprisingly little about what 1089 00:49:45,030 --> 00:49:48,060 that underlying distribution is, in terms of the effects 1090 00:49:48,060 --> 00:49:49,950 of the beneficial mutations. 1091 00:49:49,950 --> 00:49:54,360 So, there's some way in which the details kind of wash out. 1092 00:49:54,360 --> 00:49:57,990 And I think this is fascinating because a major theme 1093 00:49:57,990 --> 00:50:00,190 or major challenge in systems biology 1094 00:50:00,190 --> 00:50:03,470 is we want understand how these underlying parts lead 1095 00:50:03,470 --> 00:50:06,800 to some higher level function, but we don't always 1096 00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:09,830 know which details of the interactions 1097 00:50:09,830 --> 00:50:11,590 are important for leading to that higher 1098 00:50:11,590 --> 00:50:13,180 level of organization. 1099 00:50:13,180 --> 00:50:15,660 In some cases, they're very important, but in some cases, 1100 00:50:15,660 --> 00:50:16,160 not. 1101 00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:18,720 So, a challenge that we're going to face over and over again 1102 00:50:18,720 --> 00:50:21,012 is trying to understand, what are the key features that 1103 00:50:21,012 --> 00:50:23,344 are going to influence the dynamics of this higher level 1104 00:50:23,344 --> 00:50:23,937 system? 1105 00:50:23,937 --> 00:50:25,770 And this is, I think, an interesting example 1106 00:50:25,770 --> 00:50:28,287 of how some features of that underlying distribution 1107 00:50:28,287 --> 00:50:29,620 are important, and some are not. 1108 00:50:33,220 --> 00:50:40,180 So, another interesting analogy between evolution 1109 00:50:40,180 --> 00:50:42,100 and some ideas from physics is this idea 1110 00:50:42,100 --> 00:50:44,620 of a fitness landscape. 1111 00:50:44,620 --> 00:50:46,420 So, just like an energy landscape 1112 00:50:46,420 --> 00:50:50,830 tells you something about the dynamics 1113 00:50:50,830 --> 00:50:53,210 of a system-- for example, you can say, 1114 00:50:53,210 --> 00:50:56,820 a ball should roll down a hill. 1115 00:50:56,820 --> 00:50:58,570 Similarly, if you think about evolution 1116 00:50:58,570 --> 00:51:02,690 in the context of how fit an organism is 1117 00:51:02,690 --> 00:51:05,810 as a function of some different parameters, 1118 00:51:05,810 --> 00:51:08,330 you can get what might be nontrivial structure. 1119 00:51:08,330 --> 00:51:11,780 So, this is some illustration of what's perhaps 1120 00:51:11,780 --> 00:51:13,170 a nontrivial fitness landscape. 1121 00:51:13,170 --> 00:51:16,360 Now, the height here is some notion of fitness. 1122 00:51:16,360 --> 00:51:18,250 So, we could imagine this could be 1123 00:51:18,250 --> 00:51:20,150 the ability of a bird to fly. 1124 00:51:20,150 --> 00:51:22,290 In that case, maybe these two axes 1125 00:51:22,290 --> 00:51:25,830 could be the length and the width of the wing. 1126 00:51:25,830 --> 00:51:29,130 Now, the shape of this landscape tells you 1127 00:51:29,130 --> 00:51:32,040 something about how evolution is constrained. 1128 00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:34,174 Because if the landscape looks like this, 1129 00:51:34,174 --> 00:51:36,340 then what that's saying is that you have to actually 1130 00:51:36,340 --> 00:51:38,600 evolve, in this case, maybe a wider wing 1131 00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,920 before you can evolve a longer wing. 1132 00:51:40,920 --> 00:51:43,530 So, this is-- if there's structure to the fitness 1133 00:51:43,530 --> 00:51:45,680 landscape like this, then it tells you something 1134 00:51:45,680 --> 00:51:48,765 about the path of evolution. 1135 00:51:48,765 --> 00:51:50,140 Now, in this case, we're thinking 1136 00:51:50,140 --> 00:51:54,595 about this in the context of phenotypes-- things 1137 00:51:54,595 --> 00:51:57,340 that you can just look at the organism and measure. 1138 00:51:57,340 --> 00:51:59,690 But instead of think about this in terms of phenotypes, 1139 00:51:59,690 --> 00:52:03,490 we could instead think of it in terms of genotype. 1140 00:52:03,490 --> 00:52:06,640 For example, there is a beautiful paper 1141 00:52:06,640 --> 00:52:09,340 that we're going to read from Daniel Weinreich 1142 00:52:09,340 --> 00:52:13,260 where he, in the context of a gene that encodes 1143 00:52:13,260 --> 00:52:17,110 an enzyme that breaks down antibiotics such as penicillin, 1144 00:52:17,110 --> 00:52:20,120 what he did is he made all possible combinations 1145 00:52:20,120 --> 00:52:24,850 of five point mutations-- single limitations in the gene. 1146 00:52:24,850 --> 00:52:27,330 So, he made all 32 combinations of this gene 1147 00:52:27,330 --> 00:52:30,840 and then measured the shape of the resulting fitness landscape 1148 00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:35,060 from those 32 different versions of the gene. 1149 00:52:35,060 --> 00:52:37,200 And from it, what he found is that there's 1150 00:52:37,200 --> 00:52:39,620 a very interesting sense in which evolution, 1151 00:52:39,620 --> 00:52:41,885 at the molecular scale, is somehow constrained. 1152 00:52:44,664 --> 00:52:46,330 So, the idea there is that there somehow 1153 00:52:46,330 --> 00:52:48,413 is a rugged fitness landscape that is constraining 1154 00:52:48,413 --> 00:52:50,775 the path of evolution. 1155 00:52:50,775 --> 00:52:53,150 And so, in all these cases that we've been talking about, 1156 00:52:53,150 --> 00:52:55,330 there's some notion that you can say, 1157 00:52:55,330 --> 00:52:58,000 this organism has this fitness so long 1158 00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,050 as it has a wing shape that looks like this. 1159 00:53:01,050 --> 00:53:03,840 Now, that is perhaps find in many cases. 1160 00:53:03,840 --> 00:53:06,735 But in some cases, there are what 1161 00:53:06,735 --> 00:53:09,404 you might call game interactions between different organisms 1162 00:53:09,404 --> 00:53:10,070 in a population. 1163 00:53:10,070 --> 00:53:11,660 And what I mean by game interactions 1164 00:53:11,660 --> 00:53:14,070 is that the fitness of a particular organism 1165 00:53:14,070 --> 00:53:18,330 may depend upon what other organisms are out there. 1166 00:53:18,330 --> 00:53:20,570 And in that case, you can't just say 1167 00:53:20,570 --> 00:53:23,725 that one organism is fit or not, because it just depends 1168 00:53:23,725 --> 00:53:25,880 on what everyone else in the population is doing, 1169 00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:28,340 or the genotype of the other individuals in the population. 1170 00:53:28,340 --> 00:53:30,140 So, in that case, you really have 1171 00:53:30,140 --> 00:53:32,824 to apply some ideas from game theory 1172 00:53:32,824 --> 00:53:34,990 to try to get insight into the evolutionary process. 1173 00:53:34,990 --> 00:53:38,050 And we're going to talk about some really nice cases 1174 00:53:38,050 --> 00:53:40,390 where researchers have constructed, for example, 1175 00:53:40,390 --> 00:53:44,040 a rock, paper, scissors game using different E. coli 1176 00:53:44,040 --> 00:53:45,840 strains. 1177 00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:48,010 And if you stick out to that long, 1178 00:53:48,010 --> 00:53:50,066 I'll tell you about a case in lizards 1179 00:53:50,066 --> 00:53:51,940 where people have demonstrated a rock, paper, 1180 00:53:51,940 --> 00:53:54,510 scissors interaction in the context of different mating 1181 00:53:54,510 --> 00:53:56,850 strategies of the male lizards. 1182 00:53:56,850 --> 00:53:58,380 So, if that's not an advertisement 1183 00:53:58,380 --> 00:54:02,170 to stick around for a couple months, I don't know what is. 1184 00:54:02,170 --> 00:54:05,850 There are other cases where people have demonstrated 1185 00:54:05,850 --> 00:54:09,510 that microbes interact via cooperative interactions, 1186 00:54:09,510 --> 00:54:11,890 in which it's possible for cheater strategies 1187 00:54:11,890 --> 00:54:13,980 to arise, spread throughout the population, 1188 00:54:13,980 --> 00:54:16,350 and cause some harm to the population-- 1189 00:54:16,350 --> 00:54:18,710 maybe even collapse of the population. 1190 00:54:18,710 --> 00:54:20,520 So, this is a case where there's tension 1191 00:54:20,520 --> 00:54:22,250 between what's good for the individual 1192 00:54:22,250 --> 00:54:23,500 and what's good for the group. 1193 00:54:26,560 --> 00:54:30,850 Now, organisms are able to do a remarkable set of things. 1194 00:54:30,850 --> 00:54:33,850 So, we saw cases where, for example, that neutrophil 1195 00:54:33,850 --> 00:54:38,100 was able to chase the staph aureus, that bacterial cell. 1196 00:54:38,100 --> 00:54:39,670 So, that's amazing. 1197 00:54:39,670 --> 00:54:41,460 But that's responding to something 1198 00:54:41,460 --> 00:54:45,760 that is an immediate part of the environment. 1199 00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:48,860 So, it's chasing a bacterial cell. 1200 00:54:48,860 --> 00:54:52,625 But you might ask, is it possible for cells to learn? 1201 00:54:52,625 --> 00:54:54,250 And, of course, then you have to define 1202 00:54:54,250 --> 00:54:55,540 what you mean by learning. 1203 00:54:55,540 --> 00:54:58,510 And there's been some really interesting demonstrations 1204 00:54:58,510 --> 00:55:02,030 of how it's possible for organisms 1205 00:55:02,030 --> 00:55:05,180 to learn not at the individual level, necessarily, 1206 00:55:05,180 --> 00:55:07,690 but at the population level, via evolution. 1207 00:55:07,690 --> 00:55:10,654 And in particular, in this very well written paper, 1208 00:55:10,654 --> 00:55:12,070 what they were able to demonstrate 1209 00:55:12,070 --> 00:55:16,520 is that both yeast that have evolved in the context of wine 1210 00:55:16,520 --> 00:55:22,390 fermentation and E. coli that have evolved traveling through, 1211 00:55:22,390 --> 00:55:24,120 for example, our digestive tracts, 1212 00:55:24,120 --> 00:55:27,000 there are characteristics, sequences of events, 1213 00:55:27,000 --> 00:55:29,290 in which things happen. 1214 00:55:29,290 --> 00:55:32,200 So, the idea is that if a bacterial cell is ingested 1215 00:55:32,200 --> 00:55:35,300 by a mammal, they will typically see one carbon source, and then 1216 00:55:35,300 --> 00:55:35,800 another one. 1217 00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:38,650 So, they might see carbon source A, and then carbon source B, 1218 00:55:38,650 --> 00:55:40,620 as they travel through the digestive tract. 1219 00:55:40,620 --> 00:55:43,020 But if that is typically what happens, then 1220 00:55:43,020 --> 00:55:46,000 what it means is that an organism might have 1221 00:55:46,000 --> 00:55:49,005 an advantage if, when it sees carbon source A, 1222 00:55:49,005 --> 00:55:52,550 it starts preparing to digest carbon source B. So, 1223 00:55:52,550 --> 00:55:55,610 we can actually learn something about typical environmental 1224 00:55:55,610 --> 00:55:56,546 orderings. 1225 00:55:56,546 --> 00:55:58,670 But it's not learning at the individual cell level. 1226 00:55:58,670 --> 00:56:02,620 It's learning over the course of evolutionary time scales, 1227 00:56:02,620 --> 00:56:04,300 the typical sequence of events. 1228 00:56:04,300 --> 00:56:06,660 And in this paper, they show that this 1229 00:56:06,660 --> 00:56:10,050 seems to be the case for both E. coli 1230 00:56:10,050 --> 00:56:13,230 and for yeast in the context of fermentation. 1231 00:56:13,230 --> 00:56:15,220 So, I think it's a really beautiful example 1232 00:56:15,220 --> 00:56:18,240 of different notions of what you might mean by learning. 1233 00:56:21,290 --> 00:56:26,260 So, another classic debate within the field 1234 00:56:26,260 --> 00:56:31,590 of evolutionary is this question of, why sex? 1235 00:56:31,590 --> 00:56:34,680 And in particular, there's this classic paradox 1236 00:56:34,680 --> 00:56:38,750 which is saying, sex is costly. 1237 00:56:38,750 --> 00:56:41,300 In particular, if you take a bacterial cell, 1238 00:56:41,300 --> 00:56:43,450 just one cell turns into two cells. 1239 00:56:43,450 --> 00:56:45,280 And then two can turn into four, and you 1240 00:56:45,280 --> 00:56:48,197 get very rapid exponential growth of the population. 1241 00:56:48,197 --> 00:56:50,030 Whereas, if you have both males and females, 1242 00:56:50,030 --> 00:56:52,740 then there's what you might call this twofold cost of sex. 1243 00:56:52,740 --> 00:56:54,220 Because males are, in some sense, 1244 00:56:54,220 --> 00:56:56,820 not contributing to that exponential growth rate. 1245 00:56:56,820 --> 00:57:00,610 If you start with a male, female, and they have two kids, 1246 00:57:00,610 --> 00:57:02,580 and you have another male, female, and then 1247 00:57:02,580 --> 00:57:04,030 you don't get exponential growth. 1248 00:57:04,030 --> 00:57:07,810 And this is a factor of 2 in the rate of exponential growth. 1249 00:57:07,810 --> 00:57:09,570 So this is what's in that exponent. 1250 00:57:09,570 --> 00:57:11,150 So, this is a big, big effect. 1251 00:57:11,150 --> 00:57:13,330 And so, I think it's a major, major challenge 1252 00:57:13,330 --> 00:57:17,277 to ask, why is it that sex is so common among what you might 1253 00:57:17,277 --> 00:57:18,360 call the higher organisms. 1254 00:57:20,910 --> 00:57:22,200 And there are many hypotheses. 1255 00:57:22,200 --> 00:57:23,450 We'll talk about some of them. 1256 00:57:23,450 --> 00:57:26,180 One of the leading ones is known as the Red Queen hypothesis 1257 00:57:26,180 --> 00:57:30,410 from this Lewis Carroll story, where there's this line. 1258 00:57:30,410 --> 00:57:32,680 The Red Queen has to run faster and faster in order 1259 00:57:32,680 --> 00:57:34,250 to keep still where she is. 1260 00:57:34,250 --> 00:57:36,290 That is exactly what you all are doing. 1261 00:57:36,290 --> 00:57:38,623 And the reason that it's called the Red Queen hypothesis 1262 00:57:38,623 --> 00:57:41,950 is because it's arguing that perhaps the reason that we 1263 00:57:41,950 --> 00:57:45,550 and other animals have obligate sexual reproduction 1264 00:57:45,550 --> 00:57:48,962 is because of some arms race with parasites-- 1265 00:57:48,962 --> 00:57:50,420 that the sexual reproduction allows 1266 00:57:50,420 --> 00:57:54,390 us to evolve more rapidly against the always 1267 00:57:54,390 --> 00:57:57,020 adapting parasite populations. 1268 00:57:57,020 --> 00:57:58,430 And of course, we'll have to talk 1269 00:57:58,430 --> 00:57:59,680 about exactly what this means. 1270 00:57:59,680 --> 00:58:02,530 But there have been some interesting experiments 1271 00:58:02,530 --> 00:58:06,090 in worms, in which they had different reproductive, 1272 00:58:06,090 --> 00:58:08,110 different sexual strategies, in the presence 1273 00:58:08,110 --> 00:58:09,480 or absence of parasites. 1274 00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:13,140 And this showed that there are some interesting cases where 1275 00:58:13,140 --> 00:58:16,008 this may be at least part of what's going on. 1276 00:58:19,570 --> 00:58:22,280 So, at this stage, we've been talking first 1277 00:58:22,280 --> 00:58:24,160 about decision making within cells, 1278 00:58:24,160 --> 00:58:28,710 and then how evolution may allow cells to anticipate 1279 00:58:28,710 --> 00:58:30,870 different environmental changes, may 1280 00:58:30,870 --> 00:58:34,094 be able to play games against other strategies. 1281 00:58:34,094 --> 00:58:35,760 But at the end, we're just going to talk 1282 00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:39,330 some about inter-species interactions, 1283 00:58:39,330 --> 00:58:41,220 and what these sorts of ideas may be 1284 00:58:41,220 --> 00:58:43,500 able to say about that process. 1285 00:58:43,500 --> 00:58:45,920 So, for example, a classic inter-species interaction 1286 00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:49,560 are predator-prey interactions. 1287 00:58:49,560 --> 00:58:51,200 And this has been used to explain, 1288 00:58:51,200 --> 00:58:54,260 for example, why it is that many natural populations oscillate 1289 00:58:54,260 --> 00:58:56,214 over time. 1290 00:58:56,214 --> 00:58:57,755 There are simple models of a predator 1291 00:58:57,755 --> 00:59:00,267 and prey that lead to such oscillations. 1292 00:59:00,267 --> 00:59:01,850 And just over the last 10 years, there 1293 00:59:01,850 --> 00:59:04,240 have been some really fascinating experiments where, 1294 00:59:04,240 --> 00:59:06,819 in the laboratory, they were able to take predator-prey, 1295 00:59:06,819 --> 00:59:07,860 show that they oscillate. 1296 00:59:07,860 --> 00:59:10,120 But then, in this case, they saw some features 1297 00:59:10,120 --> 00:59:11,760 that they weren't expecting. 1298 00:59:11,760 --> 00:59:13,660 The oscillations were maybe much longer 1299 00:59:13,660 --> 00:59:15,190 than they were anticipating. 1300 00:59:15,190 --> 00:59:16,899 And instead of oscillating 90 degrees out 1301 00:59:16,899 --> 00:59:18,356 of phase-- which is what you expect 1302 00:59:18,356 --> 00:59:20,260 from standard predator-prey models-- instead 1303 00:59:20,260 --> 00:59:23,080 they were oscillating 180 degrees out of phase. 1304 00:59:23,080 --> 00:59:25,420 And I think that this is a good example of how 1305 00:59:25,420 --> 00:59:27,290 quantitative experiments in the laboratory 1306 00:59:27,290 --> 00:59:30,100 can actually say something about the classic models 1307 00:59:30,100 --> 00:59:31,350 of predator-prey oscillations. 1308 00:59:31,350 --> 00:59:33,192 They are over 100 years old. 1309 00:59:33,192 --> 00:59:35,400 But if you go, and you make quantitative measurements 1310 00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:37,780 in the lab, you see, actually, in many cases, 1311 00:59:37,780 --> 00:59:38,710 things are different. 1312 00:59:38,710 --> 00:59:40,040 And then, you can ask, why? 1313 00:59:40,040 --> 00:59:41,990 In this case, they went-- they did modeling, 1314 00:59:41,990 --> 00:59:44,190 and they said, maybe it's because of evolution 1315 00:59:44,190 --> 00:59:46,130 within the prey population. 1316 00:59:46,130 --> 00:59:48,080 And once they were able to-- they 1317 00:59:48,080 --> 00:59:49,707 had hypothesized that from modeling. 1318 00:59:49,707 --> 00:59:51,540 And then they went, and they did experiments 1319 00:59:51,540 --> 00:59:54,180 where they prevented that evolution, 1320 00:59:54,180 --> 00:59:56,820 or they prevented-- they reduced the heterogeneity in the prey 1321 00:59:56,820 --> 00:59:57,460 population. 1322 00:59:57,460 --> 00:59:58,670 And then they were able to show that those two 1323 00:59:58,670 --> 00:59:59,569 features disappeared. 1324 00:59:59,569 --> 01:00:01,360 So, I think it's really a beautiful example 1325 01:00:01,360 --> 01:00:03,800 of the interplay that we always hope for, 1326 01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:05,849 which is that you do theoretically motivated 1327 01:00:05,849 --> 01:00:08,390 experiments, and experimentally motivated theory computation. 1328 01:00:08,390 --> 01:00:09,680 Ideally, you go back and forth. 1329 01:00:09,680 --> 01:00:10,660 And together, you can really learn 1330 01:00:10,660 --> 01:00:12,250 more than you would ever be able to do just 1331 01:00:12,250 --> 01:00:13,333 by doing one or the other. 1332 01:00:16,330 --> 01:00:18,100 We're also going to try to say something 1333 01:00:18,100 --> 01:00:21,490 about the dynamics of populations in space. 1334 01:00:21,490 --> 01:00:24,260 So, just like these spatial patterns 1335 01:00:24,260 --> 01:00:26,960 that we talked about before, in the context of maybe gene 1336 01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:28,470 networks, there are also dynamics 1337 01:00:28,470 --> 01:00:29,960 of populations in space. 1338 01:00:29,960 --> 01:00:32,320 For example, when populations expand into new territory, 1339 01:00:32,320 --> 01:00:34,444 what does that mean about the evolutionary process? 1340 01:00:34,444 --> 01:00:36,760 Once again, some very nice experiments 1341 01:00:36,760 --> 01:00:38,600 have been done over the last decade 1342 01:00:38,600 --> 01:00:40,645 to try to eliminate this process. 1343 01:00:40,645 --> 01:00:44,090 And in particular, one of the things that was found 1344 01:00:44,090 --> 01:00:47,080 is that this process of genetic drift, 1345 01:00:47,080 --> 01:00:50,340 the role of randomness in the evolutionary process, 1346 01:00:50,340 --> 01:00:54,150 is somehow strongly enhanced in many of these experimenting 1347 01:00:54,150 --> 01:00:55,380 populations. 1348 01:00:55,380 --> 01:00:58,520 Because somehow the effective population size 1349 01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:00,670 that quantifies maybe the strength of noise 1350 01:01:00,670 --> 01:01:01,660 is somehow enhanced. 1351 01:01:01,660 --> 01:01:03,810 Because it's not the entire population matters. 1352 01:01:03,810 --> 01:01:05,580 It's just the population at the front 1353 01:01:05,580 --> 01:01:08,050 of this expanding population that is somehow relevant. 1354 01:01:08,050 --> 01:01:13,080 So, we'll explore how these ideas play out. 1355 01:01:13,080 --> 01:01:14,700 And so, towards the end of the class, 1356 01:01:14,700 --> 01:01:18,200 we'll try to think about some real ecological phenomena. 1357 01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:20,667 In particular, we're going to have 1358 01:01:20,667 --> 01:01:23,250 one lecture where we talk about tipping points in populations. 1359 01:01:23,250 --> 01:01:25,250 It's a theme that my group, for example, 1360 01:01:25,250 --> 01:01:27,200 has been very excited about recently. 1361 01:01:27,200 --> 01:01:30,510 So, this here is data from the Newfoundland cod fishery. 1362 01:01:30,510 --> 01:01:33,800 And it's an example of how many natural populations can 1363 01:01:33,800 --> 01:01:36,700 actually collapse suddenly and catastrophically 1364 01:01:36,700 --> 01:01:40,180 in response to deteriorating environmental conditions. 1365 01:01:40,180 --> 01:01:42,170 Now, what's plotted here-- this is essentially 1366 01:01:42,170 --> 01:01:45,332 the number of fish that are caught as a function of time. 1367 01:01:45,332 --> 01:01:47,790 And you may not be able to read this, but over on the left, 1368 01:01:47,790 --> 01:01:51,430 this is 1850, and this the modern day. 1369 01:01:51,430 --> 01:01:54,330 So, this was a very productive fishery for hundreds of years 1370 01:01:54,330 --> 01:01:57,280 and, actually, even for hundreds of years before this. 1371 01:01:57,280 --> 01:02:00,291 However, in the '60s and '70s, improved fishing technology 1372 01:02:00,291 --> 01:02:02,290 led to a dramatic increase in the number of fish 1373 01:02:02,290 --> 01:02:03,490 that were caught here. 1374 01:02:03,490 --> 01:02:05,950 And that increase in fishing led, in the early '90s, 1375 01:02:05,950 --> 01:02:09,910 to a catastrophic collapse of that population. 1376 01:02:09,910 --> 01:02:11,860 Similar things have occurred, for example, 1377 01:02:11,860 --> 01:02:14,110 in the sardine fishery off the coast 1378 01:02:14,110 --> 01:02:17,820 of Monterey, and many other populations. 1379 01:02:17,820 --> 01:02:24,200 So, the question here is, how can we understand these tipping 1380 01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:26,220 points in populations? 1381 01:02:26,220 --> 01:02:28,120 And this is a case where some of the ideas 1382 01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:30,020 we studied early in the semester-- so, 1383 01:02:30,020 --> 01:02:34,270 these cases of interactions-- can lead to sudden transitions. 1384 01:02:34,270 --> 01:02:37,550 And for example, this early example of a toggle 1385 01:02:37,550 --> 01:02:40,150 switch that we talked about at the beginning-- 1386 01:02:40,150 --> 01:02:42,350 so, this case where, if you have interactions 1387 01:02:42,350 --> 01:02:46,710 within the population, it can lead to alternative states. 1388 01:02:46,710 --> 01:02:48,820 And it's the same basic dynamic here. 1389 01:02:48,820 --> 01:02:50,790 If you have interactions within the population, 1390 01:02:50,790 --> 01:02:52,331 then you can get alternative states-- 1391 01:02:52,331 --> 01:02:55,860 maybe healthy and dead, or extinct, locally. 1392 01:02:55,860 --> 01:02:58,320 So, you can imagine if you have these alternative states 1393 01:02:58,320 --> 01:03:00,490 due to interactions within the population, 1394 01:03:00,490 --> 01:03:02,895 and if you start out in this healthy state, 1395 01:03:02,895 --> 01:03:06,740 and you start pushing it, then it's going to-- the feedback 1396 01:03:06,740 --> 01:03:08,700 loops there will maintain a state 1397 01:03:08,700 --> 01:03:10,400 where it's alive, healthy. 1398 01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:12,150 And then all of a sudden, when it's not 1399 01:03:12,150 --> 01:03:14,540 able to counteract this deteriorating environment, all 1400 01:03:14,540 --> 01:03:16,289 of a sudden it's going to switch and maybe 1401 01:03:16,289 --> 01:03:19,430 collapse in this fishery. 1402 01:03:19,430 --> 01:03:21,490 So, these sorts of ideas have been 1403 01:03:21,490 --> 01:03:24,320 used to both try to understand why it is that populations 1404 01:03:24,320 --> 01:03:28,290 might experience tipping points, but also to get some guidance 1405 01:03:28,290 --> 01:03:30,970 about ways that we can anticipate that these tipping 1406 01:03:30,970 --> 01:03:32,180 points are approaching? 1407 01:03:32,180 --> 01:03:35,212 For example, in my group, we've been excited about this idea 1408 01:03:35,212 --> 01:03:37,499 that there are predictions that the fluctuations 1409 01:03:37,499 --> 01:03:39,040 of the population should be different 1410 01:03:39,040 --> 01:03:41,410 when a population is approaching one of these tipping points. 1411 01:03:41,410 --> 01:03:42,868 And, at least in the laboratory, we 1412 01:03:42,868 --> 01:03:45,400 were actually able to measure a change in the fluctuations 1413 01:03:45,400 --> 01:03:46,300 before a collapse. 1414 01:03:46,300 --> 01:03:49,940 And this is saying that, in principle, there are maybe 1415 01:03:49,940 --> 01:03:51,860 universal signatures of populations 1416 01:03:51,860 --> 01:03:56,660 and other complex systems before one of these tipping points. 1417 01:03:56,660 --> 01:03:59,320 Now, in the last lecture, we're going 1418 01:03:59,320 --> 01:04:02,630 to go maybe to the largest scale to think 1419 01:04:02,630 --> 01:04:04,940 about whole ecosystems. 1420 01:04:04,940 --> 01:04:08,740 And this is, by its nature, I'd say, less experimental 1421 01:04:08,740 --> 01:04:11,792 than the rest of the semester in that, 1422 01:04:11,792 --> 01:04:14,450 in this case, we're trying to understand questions like, 1423 01:04:14,450 --> 01:04:17,490 what is it that determines the abundance of different tree 1424 01:04:17,490 --> 01:04:20,490 species on Barro Colorado Island? 1425 01:04:20,490 --> 01:04:22,270 So, it's an island in Panama where they go 1426 01:04:22,270 --> 01:04:25,519 and they just count every tree within some region. 1427 01:04:25,519 --> 01:04:27,810 They'd say, this is this country, this is that country. 1428 01:04:27,810 --> 01:04:29,890 They count thousands and thousands of trees. 1429 01:04:29,890 --> 01:04:32,040 The question there is-- some species 1430 01:04:32,040 --> 01:04:35,790 are more common than others. 1431 01:04:35,790 --> 01:04:37,517 And we want to know why. 1432 01:04:37,517 --> 01:04:38,850 It seems like a simple question. 1433 01:04:38,850 --> 01:04:40,724 And the way that we normally think about this 1434 01:04:40,724 --> 01:04:43,140 is if it's more common, then maybe it's 1435 01:04:43,140 --> 01:04:45,920 because it's better adapted to that environment. 1436 01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:48,679 And I think that, often, that's the right answer. 1437 01:04:48,679 --> 01:04:50,970 But there's been an interesting movement within ecology 1438 01:04:50,970 --> 01:04:54,700 recently where it's been pointed out that many of the patterns 1439 01:04:54,700 --> 01:04:57,602 that people have observed in terms of this relative species 1440 01:04:57,602 --> 01:04:59,810 abundance-- how abundant some species are as compared 1441 01:04:59,810 --> 01:05:01,620 to others-- that many of those patterns 1442 01:05:01,620 --> 01:05:04,740 can actually be explained by a purely neutral model. 1443 01:05:04,740 --> 01:05:05,370 I.e. 1444 01:05:05,370 --> 01:05:08,410 This is a model in which you assume that all of the species 1445 01:05:08,410 --> 01:05:09,990 are the same. 1446 01:05:09,990 --> 01:05:11,934 So, this tree is just the same as that tree 1447 01:05:11,934 --> 01:05:14,100 in terms of-- no tree is better than any other tree. 1448 01:05:14,100 --> 01:05:16,270 But just because of the stochastic dynamics, 1449 01:05:16,270 --> 01:05:18,640 random birth death processes, you 1450 01:05:18,640 --> 01:05:22,510 can recover patterns that look an awful lot like the patterns 1451 01:05:22,510 --> 01:05:24,260 are observed in nature. 1452 01:05:24,260 --> 01:05:26,865 So, you can interpret this is in multiple ways. 1453 01:05:26,865 --> 01:05:28,740 But, of course, one way that we should always 1454 01:05:28,740 --> 01:05:30,114 be thinking about these things is 1455 01:05:30,114 --> 01:05:33,420 that if you observe-- we want to collect quantitative data. 1456 01:05:33,420 --> 01:05:34,355 We should do that. 1457 01:05:34,355 --> 01:05:36,480 But there's always a temptation that if you collect 1458 01:05:36,480 --> 01:05:38,229 quantitative data, and then you write down 1459 01:05:38,229 --> 01:05:40,920 a model that is consistent with that data, 1460 01:05:40,920 --> 01:05:43,570 we often take that as strong evidence 1461 01:05:43,570 --> 01:05:45,970 that the assumptions of our model are correct. 1462 01:05:45,970 --> 01:05:48,460 Even though we know that's not the way we're 1463 01:05:48,460 --> 01:05:50,770 supposed to do science, somehow it's just really easy 1464 01:05:50,770 --> 01:05:51,810 to fall into this trap. 1465 01:05:51,810 --> 01:05:55,060 And I think that this particular example of this neutral theory 1466 01:05:55,060 --> 01:05:57,830 of ecology is a very concrete example of how 1467 01:05:57,830 --> 01:06:01,320 different models that make wildly different assumptions 1468 01:06:01,320 --> 01:06:03,600 about the underlying dynamics-- they 1469 01:06:03,600 --> 01:06:06,100 can all look the same once you look 1470 01:06:06,100 --> 01:06:07,620 at a particular kind of pattern. 1471 01:06:07,620 --> 01:06:12,270 And so, it's a nice cautionary tale saying, 1472 01:06:12,270 --> 01:06:15,670 what is it that you can learn about the dynamics of a system 1473 01:06:15,670 --> 01:06:20,240 or of a process based on a particular kind of data set. 1474 01:06:20,240 --> 01:06:25,480 And then, after this, we will just have that final exam. 1475 01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:30,600 That's going to be that week of 15 to 19, I believe. 1476 01:06:30,600 --> 01:06:35,150 So, once again, do not book your tickets before then.