1 00:00:04,500 --> 00:00:08,090 Welcome to 15.071x, The Analytics Edge. 2 00:00:08,090 --> 00:00:11,620 In this first lecture, we'll discuss how analytics redefines 3 00:00:11,620 --> 00:00:14,340 the meaning of intelligence, how it can contribute 4 00:00:14,340 --> 00:00:18,270 to your personal happiness and health. 5 00:00:18,270 --> 00:00:21,770 Data is transforming business, social interactions, 6 00:00:21,770 --> 00:00:23,680 and the future of our society. 7 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:26,650 The amount of electronic data that exists in the world today 8 00:00:26,650 --> 00:00:30,600 is a phenomenal 2.7 zettabytes, which 9 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,630 is equal to the storage required for more than 200 10 00:00:33,630 --> 00:00:36,290 billion high-definition movies. 11 00:00:36,290 --> 00:00:38,700 Not only the amount of data is extremely high, 12 00:00:38,700 --> 00:00:41,860 but it increases at exponential rates. 13 00:00:41,860 --> 00:00:45,830 Our ability to effectively process this data 14 00:00:45,830 --> 00:00:48,440 is also increasing very rapidly. 15 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:51,350 As an example, decoding the human genome 16 00:00:51,350 --> 00:00:53,460 originally took 10 years to process. 17 00:00:53,460 --> 00:00:56,600 Now it can be achieved in just one week. 18 00:00:59,420 --> 00:01:02,670 Analytics is increasingly important in the world today, 19 00:01:02,670 --> 00:01:05,710 and this influence is expected to increase. 20 00:01:05,710 --> 00:01:08,340 McKinsey estimates that there is a shortage 21 00:01:08,340 --> 00:01:14,789 of 140,000 to 190,000 people with deep analytical skills 22 00:01:14,789 --> 00:01:20,080 to fill the demand of jobs in the United States by 2018. 23 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:24,320 IBM has changed its business focus over the last 100 years 24 00:01:24,320 --> 00:01:27,880 very successfully from typewriters to mainframes 25 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:30,560 to personal computers to consulting, and now 26 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:31,980 to analytics. 27 00:01:31,980 --> 00:01:36,530 It has invested over $20 billion since 2005 28 00:01:36,530 --> 00:01:39,030 to grow its analytics business. 29 00:01:39,030 --> 00:01:44,930 Companies will invest more than $120 billion 30 00:01:44,930 --> 00:01:51,530 by 2015 on analytics, hardware, software, and services. 31 00:01:51,530 --> 00:01:54,580 Analytics is becoming increasingly critical 32 00:01:54,580 --> 00:01:57,370 in almost every industry, from health care, 33 00:01:57,370 --> 00:02:03,280 to media, to sports, to finance, to government, and many others. 34 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,070 Let us give a definition of analytics 35 00:02:05,070 --> 00:02:08,750 so we make it as concrete as possible. 36 00:02:08,750 --> 00:02:12,740 We define analytics to be the science of using data 37 00:02:12,740 --> 00:02:16,329 to build models that lead to better decisions, that 38 00:02:16,329 --> 00:02:20,810 add value to individuals, to companies, to institutions. 39 00:02:20,810 --> 00:02:24,910 Note that there are four ingredients-- data, models, 40 00:02:24,910 --> 00:02:26,720 decisions, and value. 41 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:28,940 And all four are needed in this definition. 42 00:02:32,340 --> 00:02:35,460 What are the key messages of this class? 43 00:02:35,460 --> 00:02:39,350 First, analytics provides a competitive edge 44 00:02:39,350 --> 00:02:41,680 to individuals and companies. 45 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:46,620 Analytics are often critical to the success of a company. 46 00:02:46,620 --> 00:02:52,810 And they provide often the decisive essential technology. 47 00:02:52,810 --> 00:02:56,410 Our teaching methodology is to teach you analytics techniques 48 00:02:56,410 --> 00:02:59,260 through real-world examples and real data. 49 00:02:59,260 --> 00:03:03,120 And our overarching goal is to convince you of the analytics 50 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,680 edge and inspire you to use analytics 51 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,790 in your career and your life. 52 00:03:09,790 --> 00:03:12,210 The teaching team comes from the Operations Research 53 00:03:12,210 --> 00:03:16,000 Center at MIT and the Sloan School of Management. 54 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:17,190 I am Dimitris Bertsimas. 55 00:03:17,190 --> 00:03:22,460 I have received my Ph.D. from MIT from 1985 to 1988. 56 00:03:22,460 --> 00:03:24,710 And I have been with the MIT faculty 57 00:03:24,710 --> 00:03:27,730 at the Sloan School of Management since 1988. 58 00:03:27,730 --> 00:03:30,110 Currently, I'm the co-director of the Operations Research 59 00:03:30,110 --> 00:03:30,840 Center. 60 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,079 My career is centered in analytics. 61 00:03:33,079 --> 00:03:36,200 And I believe that analytics can change the world. 62 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,650 The other instructor of this class is Allison O'Hair. 63 00:03:39,650 --> 00:03:42,540 Allison received her Ph.D. from the Operations Research Center 64 00:03:42,540 --> 00:03:44,890 at MIT in 2013. 65 00:03:44,890 --> 00:03:46,370 Allison and I have worked together 66 00:03:46,370 --> 00:03:48,160 in the area of health care analytics, 67 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,360 and are working at the moment with our colleague Bill 68 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:53,010 Pulleyblank on an analytics textbook. 69 00:03:53,010 --> 00:03:54,510 The teaching assistants in the class 70 00:03:54,510 --> 00:03:59,329 are Iain Dunning, Angie King, Velibor Misic, John Silberholz, 71 00:03:59,329 --> 00:04:02,440 and Nataly Youssef, all Ph.D. students at the Operations 72 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,290 Research Center at MIT. 73 00:04:07,090 --> 00:04:09,940 To give you a sense of the breadth of applications 74 00:04:09,940 --> 00:04:14,440 in this class, we'll cover the story 75 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:18,250 of IBM Watson, the computer that beat the best human players 76 00:04:18,250 --> 00:04:22,880 in Jeopardy!, the company eHarmony, the Framingham Heart 77 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:25,890 Study, and D2Hawkeye, a company that I have 78 00:04:25,890 --> 00:04:28,490 been involved for almost a decade. 79 00:04:28,490 --> 00:04:31,170 Other examples include the story of Moneyball, 80 00:04:31,170 --> 00:04:34,670 how analytics can help predict the Supreme Court decisions, 81 00:04:34,670 --> 00:04:37,630 the role analytics have played in predicting 82 00:04:37,630 --> 00:04:40,950 the outcomes of the US presidential elections, how 83 00:04:40,950 --> 00:04:43,760 analytics can utilize effectively data from Twitter, 84 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:46,720 Netflix, airline revenue management, radiation 85 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:50,470 therapy, sports scheduling, and many others.