1 00:00:04,500 --> 00:00:07,060 In this lecture, we'll introduce linear optimization 2 00:00:07,060 --> 00:00:09,720 and apply it to airline revenue management. 3 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:17,230 Air transportation became a reality in the United States 4 00:00:17,230 --> 00:00:18,650 in the 20th century. 5 00:00:18,650 --> 00:00:23,250 From 1938 to 1978, the Civil Aeronautics Board 6 00:00:23,250 --> 00:00:27,420 set fares, routes, and schedules for all interstate air 7 00:00:27,420 --> 00:00:28,570 transport. 8 00:00:28,570 --> 00:00:31,680 Most airlines were very positive on this system, 9 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:33,520 as it guaranteed their profits. 10 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:36,470 However, this system led to higher costs for a traveling 11 00:00:36,470 --> 00:00:39,210 public as well as to various inefficiencies. 12 00:00:39,210 --> 00:00:42,600 For example, applications for new routes and fares 13 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:46,500 were often delayed or dismissed. 14 00:00:46,500 --> 00:00:49,060 In response to these inefficiencies, 15 00:00:49,060 --> 00:00:51,650 the administration of President Carter 16 00:00:51,650 --> 00:00:55,310 passed the Airline Deregulation Act in 1978. 17 00:00:55,310 --> 00:00:58,070 The act encouraged more competition. 18 00:00:58,070 --> 00:01:01,140 As a result, 52 new airlines were 19 00:01:01,140 --> 00:01:04,489 formed between 1980 and 2000. 20 00:01:04,489 --> 00:01:09,200 Also, new air routes appeared. 21 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:11,270 Correspondingly, it saved passengers 22 00:01:11,270 --> 00:01:16,810 an estimated $10.3 billion each year in travel time. 23 00:01:16,810 --> 00:01:20,110 Lower fares was another outcome. 24 00:01:20,110 --> 00:01:26,690 Ticket prices are now 40% lower than they were in 1978. 25 00:01:26,690 --> 00:01:29,960 This led to more passengers. 26 00:01:29,960 --> 00:01:34,190 The number of air passengers increased from over 200 million 27 00:01:34,190 --> 00:01:43,490 in 1974 to over 720 million in 2010. 28 00:01:43,490 --> 00:01:45,820 More competition led to lower fares, 29 00:01:45,820 --> 00:01:48,700 as we discussed, while meeting operating costs. 30 00:01:48,700 --> 00:01:52,210 This further led to heavy losses by air carriers. 31 00:01:52,210 --> 00:01:56,690 Nine major carriers and more than a hundred smaller airlines 32 00:01:56,690 --> 00:02:00,700 went bankrupt between 1978 and 2002. 33 00:02:00,700 --> 00:02:04,170 So it is natural to ask how did airlines compete? 34 00:02:07,710 --> 00:02:10,000 In their attempt to sell more seats, 35 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,320 airlines started to offer deep discounts. 36 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:17,240 For example, on January 17, 1985, 37 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:21,820 American Airlines launched its Ultimate Super Saver fares 38 00:02:21,820 --> 00:02:24,450 to compete with PeopleExpress. 39 00:02:24,450 --> 00:02:27,540 The key strategy involved selling enough seats 40 00:02:27,540 --> 00:02:31,600 to cover fixed operating costs while selling remaining 41 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:35,200 seats at higher rates to maximize revenues. 42 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,010 This led to the science of revenue management 43 00:02:38,010 --> 00:02:39,790 that we'll study in this lecture. 44 00:02:43,430 --> 00:02:45,810 The key question in revenue management 45 00:02:45,810 --> 00:02:49,190 is how many seats to sell on discount. 46 00:02:49,190 --> 00:02:51,320 The key consideration is that passengers 47 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:52,950 have different valuations. 48 00:02:52,950 --> 00:02:56,700 For example, business people value flexibility, 49 00:02:56,700 --> 00:03:01,300 whereas people seeking a vacation value good deals. 50 00:03:01,300 --> 00:03:03,900 So if we sell too many discounted seats, 51 00:03:03,900 --> 00:03:05,440 then there would not be enough seats 52 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,200 for high-paying passengers. 53 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,470 At the same time, if we sell too few discounted seats, 54 00:03:10,470 --> 00:03:16,170 then we will have empty seats, which lead to lost revenue. 55 00:03:16,170 --> 00:03:19,530 So the key question is how airlines like American 56 00:03:19,530 --> 00:03:22,460 can allocate their seats among customers in order 57 00:03:22,460 --> 00:03:25,030 to maximize their revenue.