1 00:00:04,500 --> 00:00:07,830 Let us comment on the results of the study. 2 00:00:07,830 --> 00:00:13,020 Robert Parker predicted that the 1986 Bordeaux wine is very good 3 00:00:13,020 --> 00:00:16,030 to sometimes exceptional. 4 00:00:16,030 --> 00:00:19,220 On the other hand, Ashenfelter said 5 00:00:19,220 --> 00:00:22,240 that the 1986 Bordeaux wine is mediocre. 6 00:00:22,240 --> 00:00:25,340 And made the prediction that the 1989 Bordeaux would 7 00:00:25,340 --> 00:00:28,570 be the wine of the century and the 1990 Bordeaux 8 00:00:28,570 --> 00:00:30,570 would be even better. 9 00:00:30,570 --> 00:00:34,340 In wine options, the 1989 Bordeaux wine 10 00:00:34,340 --> 00:00:38,170 sold for more than twice the price of 1986. 11 00:00:38,170 --> 00:00:42,820 And the 1990 Bordeaux wine sold for even higher prices. 12 00:00:42,820 --> 00:00:46,690 Later, Ashenfelter predicted that the 2000 and the 2003 13 00:00:46,690 --> 00:00:49,130 Bordeaux wines would be great. 14 00:00:49,130 --> 00:00:52,340 And in this case, Robert Parker stated 15 00:00:52,340 --> 00:00:56,580 the 2000 is the greatest vintage Bordeaux has ever produced, 16 00:00:56,580 --> 00:00:57,830 in agreement with Ashenfelter. 17 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:07,390 So what is the analytics edge in this case? 18 00:01:07,390 --> 00:01:10,690 What we have developed is a linear regression model, 19 00:01:10,690 --> 00:01:15,460 a simple but rather powerful model 20 00:01:15,460 --> 00:01:17,350 for predicting quality of wines. 21 00:01:17,350 --> 00:01:20,180 It only used few variables and we 22 00:01:20,180 --> 00:01:23,789 have seen that it predicted wine prices quite well. 23 00:01:23,789 --> 00:01:27,110 In fact, in many cases it outperformed 24 00:01:27,110 --> 00:01:30,060 wine expert's opinions. 25 00:01:30,060 --> 00:01:33,710 And what is impressive, in this first introductory lecture 26 00:01:33,710 --> 00:01:38,490 to linear regression, is that an analytics approach that 27 00:01:38,490 --> 00:01:43,800 uses data to build a model that improves decision making 28 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,960 is effective in a traditionally qualitative problem.