1 00:00:00,090 --> 00:00:02,430 The following content is provided under a Creative 2 00:00:02,430 --> 00:00:03,820 Commons license. 3 00:00:03,820 --> 00:00:06,050 Your support will help MIT OpenCourseWare 4 00:00:06,050 --> 00:00:10,160 continue to offer high quality educational resources for free. 5 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,700 To make a donation or to view additional materials 6 00:00:12,700 --> 00:00:16,600 from hundreds of MIT courses, visit MIT OpenCourseWare 7 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:17,261 at ocw.mit.edu. 8 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:26,720 JOSEPH HADZIMA: OK, you met the financing sources. 9 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:29,909 You got a little bit of an insight there. 10 00:00:29,909 --> 00:00:32,200 Part of what you're going to need when you talk to them 11 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:34,150 is some idea of what the financials look 12 00:00:34,150 --> 00:00:35,210 like for your business. 13 00:00:35,210 --> 00:00:38,770 And joining us tonight to show you how 14 00:00:38,770 --> 00:00:40,610 to do that is Charlie Tillet. 15 00:00:40,610 --> 00:00:43,290 Now, Charlie's been doing this for-- he was in the $10K. 16 00:00:43,290 --> 00:00:45,310 I think he'll talk about that a bit. 17 00:00:45,310 --> 00:00:47,240 CHARLIE TILLETT: Yep. 18 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:50,660 JOSEPH HADZIMA: And I was in-- I've been doing things 19 00:00:50,660 --> 00:00:53,070 around the world-- I was in Istanbul two 20 00:00:53,070 --> 00:00:57,090 years ago, in a setting with 25 teams 21 00:00:57,090 --> 00:00:59,040 from around the Muslim world. 22 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:01,340 And I was mentoring a team from Pakistan. 23 00:01:01,340 --> 00:01:03,720 And I'm looking at their slide deck, 24 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:07,510 and I get to the financials, and I say, where did you 25 00:01:07,510 --> 00:01:08,346 get this template? 26 00:01:08,346 --> 00:01:10,470 And they didn't quite understand what I was saying. 27 00:01:10,470 --> 00:01:12,840 And I'm looking at it, it was Charlie's template 28 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:13,990 that he uses in the course. 29 00:01:13,990 --> 00:01:17,910 So his speeches here have transformed financial plans 30 00:01:17,910 --> 00:01:22,210 all over the world, in Pakistan, and he's graciously 31 00:01:22,210 --> 00:01:24,720 come back to talk to us. 32 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:26,460 Charlie was the person I mentioned 33 00:01:26,460 --> 00:01:31,550 who I met outside of the MIT Enterprise Forum meeting, 34 00:01:31,550 --> 00:01:34,690 and asked him what he was doing, and that led to a whole career 35 00:01:34,690 --> 00:01:36,560 with a bunch of entrepreneurs up north. 36 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:36,920 CHARLIE TILLETT: Yep. 37 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:37,450 JOSEPH HADZIMA: And I'll sort of let 38 00:01:37,450 --> 00:01:38,500 you pick it up there, Charlie. 39 00:01:38,500 --> 00:01:39,130 CHARLIE TILLETT: OK, great. 40 00:01:39,130 --> 00:01:39,941 Thanks, Joe. 41 00:01:44,530 --> 00:01:48,280 What was the first story he told? 42 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:50,190 AUDIENCE: Jumping in your pickup truck. 43 00:01:50,190 --> 00:01:51,273 CHARLIE TILLETT: OK, yeah. 44 00:01:51,273 --> 00:01:52,830 So we will get to that. 45 00:01:52,830 --> 00:01:55,440 So it's great to be here tonight. 46 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:57,365 I've got probably twice as many slides 47 00:01:57,365 --> 00:02:01,210 as I should cover in my little over an hour that I've got. 48 00:02:01,210 --> 00:02:02,320 So I'm going to go quick. 49 00:02:02,320 --> 00:02:05,560 But feel free to ask any questions as we go along. 50 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,310 And what I'll try and do is, I wrote down a few notes, 51 00:02:08,310 --> 00:02:10,090 listening to the panel, the great panel 52 00:02:10,090 --> 00:02:12,330 that we had here, maybe some terms 53 00:02:12,330 --> 00:02:15,880 that they brought up that they didn't really 54 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,170 give enough explanation or background on. 55 00:02:18,170 --> 00:02:22,419 So I'm going to try to touch on those as we go as well. 56 00:02:22,419 --> 00:02:24,710 So tonight we're going to talk about your business plan 57 00:02:24,710 --> 00:02:25,300 financials. 58 00:02:25,300 --> 00:02:27,740 Putting together that critical spreadsheet 59 00:02:27,740 --> 00:02:31,300 that you've got to have when you walk into that meeting, right? 60 00:02:31,300 --> 00:02:33,180 Or when you send someone your deck, 61 00:02:33,180 --> 00:02:35,570 and how to put that together. 62 00:02:35,570 --> 00:02:37,860 But we're going to step back a little bit. 63 00:02:37,860 --> 00:02:41,120 And as people say, I was a CFO of a couple of companies. 64 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,662 But part of my job was being a salesperson. 65 00:02:43,662 --> 00:02:45,120 And what I would do is I would walk 66 00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:48,710 into these meetings with a deck and with a team. 67 00:02:48,710 --> 00:02:52,990 But my job was to sell that team to the investors. 68 00:02:52,990 --> 00:02:55,062 And in return, they would give us money, 69 00:02:55,062 --> 00:02:56,270 and we would give them stock. 70 00:02:56,270 --> 00:03:01,000 But what we're really selling is the team, 71 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:07,690 and the concept of the business that we're trying to build. 72 00:03:07,690 --> 00:03:10,390 Then, will talk about what is your business model, 73 00:03:10,390 --> 00:03:12,430 and building your financial projections. 74 00:03:12,430 --> 00:03:15,330 And so this template that I'm going to show you tonight 75 00:03:15,330 --> 00:03:17,030 is up on the website. 76 00:03:17,030 --> 00:03:18,769 There's a new template this year. 77 00:03:18,769 --> 00:03:21,310 It's got a little more detail in terms of cost of goods sold, 78 00:03:21,310 --> 00:03:24,450 in case you're doing something that's got more of a hardware 79 00:03:24,450 --> 00:03:25,010 component. 80 00:03:25,010 --> 00:03:26,719 This gives a little more detail on that. 81 00:03:26,719 --> 00:03:28,510 But that was what I was trying to think of. 82 00:03:28,510 --> 00:03:31,700 So this template is going to be out there, so 83 00:03:31,700 --> 00:03:32,860 that you can download it. 84 00:03:32,860 --> 00:03:33,990 It's an Excel spreadsheet. 85 00:03:33,990 --> 00:03:35,989 You can start plugging in your own stuff in it. 86 00:03:35,989 --> 00:03:37,530 And I'll tell you the things that you 87 00:03:37,530 --> 00:03:40,867 need to take out when you actually show it to someone. 88 00:03:40,867 --> 00:03:42,450 And then, the last part is we're going 89 00:03:42,450 --> 00:03:44,150 to talk about sharing the pie. 90 00:03:44,150 --> 00:03:46,640 So I've added a couple things to this talk 91 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:52,310 about putting together your business plan spreadsheet. 92 00:03:52,310 --> 00:03:55,260 And one of them is talking about the venture capital 93 00:03:55,260 --> 00:03:59,610 perspective, and helping you sit it in their shoes 94 00:03:59,610 --> 00:04:03,120 and evaluate your opportunity. 95 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:09,100 But also thinking about the other uses or takers of equity 96 00:04:09,100 --> 00:04:09,830 in your company. 97 00:04:09,830 --> 00:04:12,200 And by equity, I mean stock. 98 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,320 So I've got couple slides on here 99 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:18,040 on thinking about your company, and all of the people, 100 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:22,580 and all of the entities that could potentially get stock 101 00:04:22,580 --> 00:04:25,230 in your company, and what that does 102 00:04:25,230 --> 00:04:28,970 to your ownership in the company. 103 00:04:28,970 --> 00:04:32,710 So my background is I was a graduate from Sloan in '91. 104 00:04:32,710 --> 00:04:36,080 That was the inaugural year-- oh, well, in 1990 105 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,810 was the inaugural year of the $10K Contest. 106 00:04:38,810 --> 00:04:40,510 Well, it's now the $100K. 107 00:04:40,510 --> 00:04:42,400 And we were the third place team. 108 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:44,370 So rather than get, you know, I think 109 00:04:44,370 --> 00:04:47,720 it's now $20,000 or $30,000 worth of free legal service 110 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:51,040 and accounting service, we got $300 111 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,940 to split between the three of us. 112 00:04:53,940 --> 00:04:56,510 So since that wasn't enough to start our business, 113 00:04:56,510 --> 00:04:59,220 we all went our separate ways. 114 00:04:59,220 --> 00:05:00,890 But what I did, Joe introduced me 115 00:05:00,890 --> 00:05:03,780 to some guys who had an interesting idea 116 00:05:03,780 --> 00:05:07,514 for some network monitoring equipment. 117 00:05:07,514 --> 00:05:09,180 And they didn't really know how to build 118 00:05:09,180 --> 00:05:10,670 a business around that. 119 00:05:10,670 --> 00:05:14,970 And that experience in the $10K Contest 120 00:05:14,970 --> 00:05:18,700 was critical, because I'd worked with these two guys. 121 00:05:18,700 --> 00:05:23,100 And we'd sat at the-- we didn't have Wi-Fi at that time-- 122 00:05:23,100 --> 00:05:24,990 so we're sitting in the computer lab, 123 00:05:24,990 --> 00:05:28,540 plugging it into a spreadsheet late at night, 124 00:05:28,540 --> 00:05:33,030 going, well, if we increase the sales price by this much, 125 00:05:33,030 --> 00:05:34,470 what does it do to our business? 126 00:05:34,470 --> 00:05:36,657 If we are able to reduce cost by this much, 127 00:05:36,657 --> 00:05:37,990 what does it do to our business? 128 00:05:37,990 --> 00:05:40,580 How many salespeople are we going to need? 129 00:05:40,580 --> 00:05:42,460 And I went through that whole exercise 130 00:05:42,460 --> 00:05:48,830 of building that template for the business plan contest. 131 00:05:48,830 --> 00:05:52,770 And because of that, I had tremendous credibility 132 00:05:52,770 --> 00:05:53,660 when I started. 133 00:05:53,660 --> 00:05:56,280 I knew what I was talking about when I went in 134 00:05:56,280 --> 00:05:59,610 to talk to these guys who had this data communications 135 00:05:59,610 --> 00:06:00,610 product. 136 00:06:00,610 --> 00:06:02,800 And I was able to convince them that I could 137 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,170 help them build their model. 138 00:06:04,170 --> 00:06:07,730 And sure enough, I was able to do that. 139 00:06:07,730 --> 00:06:09,767 But it was the entering into the contest, 140 00:06:09,767 --> 00:06:11,350 and working with the team, and working 141 00:06:11,350 --> 00:06:14,830 through all of that, that helped give me that experience. 142 00:06:14,830 --> 00:06:17,630 The company was NetScout Systems. 143 00:06:17,630 --> 00:06:21,300 We completed several rounds of venture financing 144 00:06:21,300 --> 00:06:24,780 there, and went public in 1999. 145 00:06:24,780 --> 00:06:26,626 I then got involved with a dot.com 146 00:06:26,626 --> 00:06:29,770 company, which fortunately didn't last too long. 147 00:06:29,770 --> 00:06:35,120 And then was at a Homeland Security 148 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,630 company that made bomb detection equipment for airports. 149 00:06:38,630 --> 00:06:43,450 So completely different industry, but the same metrics. 150 00:06:43,450 --> 00:06:45,010 The same tools apply. 151 00:06:45,010 --> 00:06:48,930 The same spreadsheet that I'd built to get NetScout 152 00:06:48,930 --> 00:06:51,500 off the ground was the same spreadsheet 153 00:06:51,500 --> 00:06:53,810 that I used to get Reveal off the ground. 154 00:06:53,810 --> 00:06:56,080 And it's the same spreadsheet that you guys can all 155 00:06:56,080 --> 00:06:58,060 use to get your business off the ground. 156 00:06:58,060 --> 00:07:02,320 I raised $125 million in more than 10 transactions 157 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,800 over that period. 158 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:07,540 So you're probably saying to yourself, 159 00:07:07,540 --> 00:07:10,320 I'm too busy to do my financials. 160 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:10,860 Right? 161 00:07:10,860 --> 00:07:13,040 I've got more important things to do. 162 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,200 One, they're not going to be right anyway. 163 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:17,190 I mean, who can sit here and say, 164 00:07:17,190 --> 00:07:20,390 we're going to be able to be spot on on our financials? 165 00:07:20,390 --> 00:07:22,180 Right? 166 00:07:22,180 --> 00:07:25,727 The second is, the VCs aren't going to believe it anyway. 167 00:07:25,727 --> 00:07:27,310 They're going to look at your numbers, 168 00:07:27,310 --> 00:07:29,500 and they're going to say, they've 169 00:07:29,500 --> 00:07:32,610 got their own ideas of this. 170 00:07:32,610 --> 00:07:35,080 And the third is, you've got more important things to do. 171 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,890 Building the team, figuring out what the product is, 172 00:07:37,890 --> 00:07:41,140 and looking at who your customers are. 173 00:07:41,140 --> 00:07:43,680 But the reality is the financials 174 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:47,820 are the scoreboard, the scorecard for your company. 175 00:07:47,820 --> 00:07:51,220 So if you don't know what you're shooting for, 176 00:07:51,220 --> 00:07:53,360 then how do you know whether you're making 177 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:55,920 progress against those goals? 178 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:57,470 But the more important thing is kind 179 00:07:57,470 --> 00:07:59,860 of what I was talking about with me 180 00:07:59,860 --> 00:08:02,970 and my team in the $10K Contest. 181 00:08:02,970 --> 00:08:06,930 It helps you understand what your key assumptions are, 182 00:08:06,930 --> 00:08:10,910 because you've got to put those assumptions into either numbers 183 00:08:10,910 --> 00:08:12,200 or formulas. 184 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:14,600 You've got to understand what the drivers are. 185 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:18,340 So if you're able to increase prices by 10%, 186 00:08:18,340 --> 00:08:19,360 what does that do? 187 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,360 Is that an important lever or not? 188 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,500 Or is it more important to get your costs down? 189 00:08:24,500 --> 00:08:28,180 Or is it more important to outsource your development 190 00:08:28,180 --> 00:08:31,790 and get your R&D spending down? 191 00:08:31,790 --> 00:08:36,210 Is it more important to do software as a service model, 192 00:08:36,210 --> 00:08:37,760 or sell it is a product? 193 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:40,690 And how do those things impact how much cash 194 00:08:40,690 --> 00:08:41,580 you're going to need? 195 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:48,660 So it's a great exercise that helps you understand what's 196 00:08:48,660 --> 00:08:50,860 going on in your business. 197 00:08:50,860 --> 00:08:53,990 Because as the CEO of your company, 198 00:08:53,990 --> 00:08:56,060 the number one job is to maintain 199 00:08:56,060 --> 00:08:58,360 the cash in the company. 200 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,080 It's the oxygen supply. 201 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:04,350 And without that, you could be doing everything else right, 202 00:09:04,350 --> 00:09:06,490 but it doesn't take long for people 203 00:09:06,490 --> 00:09:08,000 to start walking out the door when 204 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:09,680 they're not getting a paycheck. 205 00:09:09,680 --> 00:09:11,160 Now, your management team-- we've 206 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:13,670 had those days where I have to go to the guys 207 00:09:13,670 --> 00:09:16,380 and say, hey, guys, there's not going to be anything 208 00:09:16,380 --> 00:09:17,920 in the envelope this week. 209 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:20,050 But for your rank and file employees, 210 00:09:20,050 --> 00:09:22,290 you can't be missing payroll. 211 00:09:22,290 --> 00:09:25,510 And your vendors will only let you stretch out payables 212 00:09:25,510 --> 00:09:26,260 for so long. 213 00:09:26,260 --> 00:09:32,400 So you've got to know where you stand with your cash, 214 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:34,430 and what cash you need. 215 00:09:34,430 --> 00:09:36,290 So you don't need to be an accountant, 216 00:09:36,290 --> 00:09:39,370 but you've got to understand these key terms. 217 00:09:39,370 --> 00:09:41,120 And you've got to be able to discuss them. 218 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,960 Because the investors up here, they also 219 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:46,950 don't expect you to be an accountant. 220 00:09:46,950 --> 00:09:49,980 But they do expect you to understand the drivers 221 00:09:49,980 --> 00:09:54,430 in your business, and what the key metrics in your business 222 00:09:54,430 --> 00:09:54,930 are. 223 00:09:57,600 --> 00:09:59,260 In Reveal Imaging-- Reveal Imaging 224 00:09:59,260 --> 00:10:01,900 was a company that made bomb detection equipment. 225 00:10:01,900 --> 00:10:04,350 And there we had an all-star management team. 226 00:10:04,350 --> 00:10:09,210 We had five guys-- this was founded in 2003, 227 00:10:09,210 --> 00:10:13,050 18 months after 9/11-- we had five guys who'd 228 00:10:13,050 --> 00:10:16,565 been in Homeland Security for more than a decade each. 229 00:10:16,565 --> 00:10:17,940 So there were a lot of people who 230 00:10:17,940 --> 00:10:22,774 wanted to get into Homeland Security on September 12, OK? 231 00:10:22,774 --> 00:10:24,190 But there were not a lot of people 232 00:10:24,190 --> 00:10:27,720 who were in Homeland Security, the Homeland Security business, 233 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:29,060 on September 10. 234 00:10:29,060 --> 00:10:31,250 And we had five of those guys here. 235 00:10:31,250 --> 00:10:33,650 So we had a market opportunity. 236 00:10:33,650 --> 00:10:39,490 The Congress had said, all passenger bags 237 00:10:39,490 --> 00:10:42,500 that go on a passenger airliner in the United States 238 00:10:42,500 --> 00:10:44,710 have to be screened for explosives. 239 00:10:44,710 --> 00:10:47,680 And we want a machine that can automatically do that. 240 00:10:47,680 --> 00:10:49,900 We don't want people looking at X-ray images. 241 00:10:49,900 --> 00:10:52,090 And there were machines on the market. 242 00:10:52,090 --> 00:10:54,980 These guys had actually-- of the eight machines that 243 00:10:54,980 --> 00:10:56,940 had been certified-- these guys had 244 00:10:56,940 --> 00:10:59,930 been involved in getting four of those machines certified. 245 00:10:59,930 --> 00:11:02,270 So we really had an all-star team. 246 00:11:02,270 --> 00:11:04,510 They had come up with an idea for a product that 247 00:11:04,510 --> 00:11:07,890 was half the size of the existing equipment. 248 00:11:07,890 --> 00:11:11,620 Also half of the throughput, but half of the cost. 249 00:11:11,620 --> 00:11:15,280 And so those metrics were very compelling for the smaller 250 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:19,340 airports like Burlington, Vermont, or Nantucket, Mass, 251 00:11:19,340 --> 00:11:21,920 rather than the Logan's. 252 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:25,430 But there's 500 airports in the country, and one by one 253 00:11:25,430 --> 00:11:27,760 they were getting ticked off by our competitors. 254 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,770 So we had an opportunity to get to market 255 00:11:29,770 --> 00:11:33,410 that we had to get to fast, because once those airports 256 00:11:33,410 --> 00:11:37,000 were staffed with our competitors' equipment, 257 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:39,040 they were no longer an opportunity. 258 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,470 So we went out, and we hit the ground running. 259 00:11:41,470 --> 00:11:46,500 And we started raising money the first day we got together 260 00:11:46,500 --> 00:11:47,770 as a management team. 261 00:11:47,770 --> 00:11:51,880 We raised an angel round within 90 days of $1 million dollars. 262 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:54,830 And then, within six months, we raised our first venture round. 263 00:11:54,830 --> 00:11:59,810 And it was a $5 million, but it was in two tranches. 264 00:11:59,810 --> 00:12:03,200 The tranches were a $5 million tranche, 265 00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:08,410 and a second $5 million tranche, based upon hitting milestones. 266 00:12:08,410 --> 00:12:11,760 Because we wanted to raise as much money as possible, 267 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:15,170 but our investors were reluctant to give us everything up front. 268 00:12:15,170 --> 00:12:16,990 So we reached this compromise, where 269 00:12:16,990 --> 00:12:19,630 we said, OK, we're going to hit some milestones, 270 00:12:19,630 --> 00:12:21,850 and because we had the financial plan, 271 00:12:21,850 --> 00:12:24,950 and we knew how far $5 million would take us, 272 00:12:24,950 --> 00:12:29,480 we knew what we could get done before we ran out of money. 273 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:33,700 And so we were able to pre-negotiate 274 00:12:33,700 --> 00:12:39,830 an increase in value upon hitting that milestone. 275 00:12:39,830 --> 00:12:43,360 So it was kind of a win-win, because we did not 276 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:46,130 have to spend-- once we raised the $5 million, 277 00:12:46,130 --> 00:12:49,110 we didn't have to immediately start thinking about raising 278 00:12:49,110 --> 00:12:51,270 the next $5 million, because we had 279 00:12:51,270 --> 00:12:54,510 that kind of in our hip pocket. 280 00:12:54,510 --> 00:12:56,970 All I can say is that, as soon as we raised 281 00:12:56,970 --> 00:12:58,760 a round of financing, I started thinking 282 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,640 about the next financing that we were going to do. 283 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:03,480 It could have been bank financing, 284 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:06,270 like an equipment line, which is simply 285 00:13:06,270 --> 00:13:11,680 as you buy equipment for your manufacturing facility, 286 00:13:11,680 --> 00:13:16,190 or as you buy computers for your software engineers, 287 00:13:16,190 --> 00:13:20,150 you send a copy of the invoice over to the bank, 288 00:13:20,150 --> 00:13:23,250 and they will provide-- they will give you 289 00:13:23,250 --> 00:13:29,730 90% of that money back-- and you now have a loan to the bank. 290 00:13:29,730 --> 00:13:32,860 So it didn't look like a lot of money, $500,000. 291 00:13:32,860 --> 00:13:36,530 But as we were getting close to running out of money, 292 00:13:36,530 --> 00:13:38,410 and we hadn't met that milestone there 293 00:13:38,410 --> 00:13:42,420 we had committed to to get the second $5 million, 294 00:13:42,420 --> 00:13:45,400 that $500,000 was very important to us. 295 00:13:45,400 --> 00:13:50,270 Because that gave us an extra three months of runway 296 00:13:50,270 --> 00:13:51,920 to get closer to the goal. 297 00:13:55,480 --> 00:13:59,680 So I'm going to kind of take you behind the scenes 298 00:13:59,680 --> 00:14:03,000 to think about what does a venture capitalist want. 299 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:04,840 When they put in their money, they're 300 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:10,200 interested in getting 3x to 5x absolute returns. 301 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:14,080 So if they put $1 million into your company, 302 00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:17,810 they want to get $3 million back to $5 million 303 00:14:17,810 --> 00:14:20,060 back, on top of the $1 million. 304 00:14:20,060 --> 00:14:24,370 So they've got to get $4 million to $6 million back. 305 00:14:24,370 --> 00:14:27,800 And if it's $5 million, do the math. 306 00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:31,140 Their investment horizon is five to seven years. 307 00:14:31,140 --> 00:14:37,900 And what I will say is that, when you take venture money, 308 00:14:37,900 --> 00:14:41,540 that clock starts ticking the day that that money gets 309 00:14:41,540 --> 00:14:43,450 wired into your account. 310 00:14:43,450 --> 00:14:50,690 And while five years seems like forever, 311 00:14:50,690 --> 00:14:55,720 the investors realize that five years goes by in a heartbeat. 312 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,500 And they will start pounding you to run 313 00:14:58,500 --> 00:15:02,780 faster than you think you can possibly run from day one. 314 00:15:02,780 --> 00:15:07,150 And it's motivating, and it's a great thing. 315 00:15:07,150 --> 00:15:09,100 And if you have the right partners, 316 00:15:09,100 --> 00:15:11,360 they're helping you do the right things. 317 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,400 But you got to recognize that it's 318 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:16,080 going to be-- I think they admitted up here-- it's 319 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:18,730 going to be a very intense environment when 320 00:15:18,730 --> 00:15:19,650 you take that money. 321 00:15:19,650 --> 00:15:26,410 So you better be prepared for it when you take the money. 322 00:15:26,410 --> 00:15:29,080 They also want to get-- I mean, you heard up here 323 00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:31,410 that they want to get a significant amount of money 324 00:15:31,410 --> 00:15:31,910 invested. 325 00:15:31,910 --> 00:15:33,300 It depends on the firm. 326 00:15:33,300 --> 00:15:35,390 Some firms might want to put in $1 million, 327 00:15:35,390 --> 00:15:38,100 some firms might want to put in $5 million. 328 00:15:38,100 --> 00:15:39,291 It depends on the firm. 329 00:15:39,291 --> 00:15:41,040 But they want to have a significant amount 330 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:43,240 of money invested. 331 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:45,360 And they want to have a significant ownership. 332 00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:49,051 So if $5 million is their target, 333 00:15:49,051 --> 00:15:50,550 they don't want to put in $5 million 334 00:15:50,550 --> 00:15:52,890 and get 10% of the company. 335 00:15:52,890 --> 00:15:56,780 They want to have-- at an early stage investment-- 336 00:15:56,780 --> 00:15:59,720 they want to have a significant amount. 337 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:02,430 So the formula to think about how much equity 338 00:16:02,430 --> 00:16:07,420 you have to give up is the percentage of equity 339 00:16:07,420 --> 00:16:09,730 that the venture capitalists are going to get 340 00:16:09,730 --> 00:16:12,030 is the money that they invest-- and we'll 341 00:16:12,030 --> 00:16:14,720 have some examples on the next page-- divided 342 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:19,091 by the pre-money value plus the money that they invested. 343 00:16:19,091 --> 00:16:20,090 Now, that's the formula. 344 00:16:20,090 --> 00:16:23,000 It doesn't really give you the answer, because what's 345 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:24,380 the pre-money valuation? 346 00:16:24,380 --> 00:16:31,460 But as you heard up here, kind of where is the market today, 347 00:16:31,460 --> 00:16:33,600 he was saying he sees a lot of companies 348 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:39,030 in the $3 million to $6 million pre-money range, right? 349 00:16:39,030 --> 00:16:43,780 So there is kind of a sense of where the market is today, 350 00:16:43,780 --> 00:16:47,600 and what other companies are getting. 351 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:51,440 But where that pre-money valuation comes in, 352 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:56,347 that's the key to the negotiation 353 00:16:56,347 --> 00:16:57,180 that you have to do. 354 00:16:57,180 --> 00:17:00,650 The other part is how much money they're investing. 355 00:17:00,650 --> 00:17:04,640 So if we look at a couple of examples here. 356 00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:08,680 Say a Series A round, $5 million invested on a $5 million 357 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,170 pre-money. 358 00:17:10,170 --> 00:17:14,000 So we take the $5 million invested, we add that 359 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:15,400 to the pre-money of $5 million. 360 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,609 It's 5 over 10, it comes out to 50%. 361 00:17:18,609 --> 00:17:20,960 If there's a Series B, let's say it's $10 million 362 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:23,530 invested on a $15 million pre-money. 363 00:17:23,530 --> 00:17:29,090 That'd be $10 million over 10 plus 15, would be 10 over 25, 364 00:17:29,090 --> 00:17:30,480 or 40%. 365 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:34,950 But recognize that when the Series B money comes in, 366 00:17:34,950 --> 00:17:39,820 the Series A investors get diluted by the same 40% 367 00:17:39,820 --> 00:17:42,060 that everyone else gets diluted by. 368 00:17:42,060 --> 00:17:46,700 And I have an example walking through that. 369 00:17:46,700 --> 00:17:48,530 Typically, the A and the B investors 370 00:17:48,530 --> 00:17:49,980 are going to be the same people. 371 00:17:49,980 --> 00:17:53,500 So the B investors are kind of diluting themselves. 372 00:17:53,500 --> 00:17:56,260 But recognize that that dilution happens. 373 00:17:56,260 --> 00:17:59,190 So don't think that you're giving up 50% of your company, 374 00:17:59,190 --> 00:18:00,920 and then 40% of your company, and you're 375 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,170 left with 10% of your company. 376 00:18:03,170 --> 00:18:09,790 You're really left with 30% of your company, right? 377 00:18:09,790 --> 00:18:14,670 So if an investor is looking for three to five times 378 00:18:14,670 --> 00:18:18,060 on their money, and they've put $15 million in, 379 00:18:18,060 --> 00:18:26,100 and they own 70% of the company, then 380 00:18:26,100 --> 00:18:31,730 three times the $15 million invested is $45 million, 381 00:18:31,730 --> 00:18:34,100 plus the original $15 million back, 382 00:18:34,100 --> 00:18:35,820 so they've got to get $60 million. 383 00:18:35,820 --> 00:18:37,700 They own 70% of the company. 384 00:18:37,700 --> 00:18:43,980 So that company has to be valued at $85 million to $130 million 385 00:18:43,980 --> 00:18:47,480 for them to get that type of return. 386 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:51,640 And so in order to get so that valuation, 387 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:56,240 you've got to grow your revenues to $40 to $60 million. 388 00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:59,940 So there's a lot of businesses that you guys 389 00:18:59,940 --> 00:19:04,680 could start that can grow to-- you know, another comment you 390 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,640 heard here was make sure that your investors 391 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,230 and your opportunity and your investment dollars 392 00:19:11,230 --> 00:19:12,430 are aligned, right? 393 00:19:12,430 --> 00:19:14,660 One of the big problems was people 394 00:19:14,660 --> 00:19:19,920 going after what turned out to be a small opportunity with too 395 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:21,460 much capital. 396 00:19:21,460 --> 00:19:24,970 So the problem is, is that once someone has $15 million 397 00:19:24,970 --> 00:19:31,970 invested in your company, you've got to go after the big return. 398 00:19:31,970 --> 00:19:34,380 So you could have a business that 399 00:19:34,380 --> 00:19:36,090 could be a great business for you 400 00:19:36,090 --> 00:19:39,780 and a couple of your MIT pals that goes to $5 million 401 00:19:39,780 --> 00:19:43,310 in revenue, or $10 million in revenue, 402 00:19:43,310 --> 00:19:46,630 and there's three of you, and you each own 33%, 403 00:19:46,630 --> 00:19:50,135 and you have no outside income, and no outside investors, 404 00:19:50,135 --> 00:19:51,300 and it's very profitable. 405 00:19:51,300 --> 00:19:54,330 It could be a great business that 406 00:19:54,330 --> 00:19:56,430 could be just a gold mine for you, 407 00:19:56,430 --> 00:19:59,790 but it would not be an appropriate investment 408 00:19:59,790 --> 00:20:01,900 for some of our panelists here. 409 00:20:01,900 --> 00:20:04,540 And if they had come in as an investor, 410 00:20:04,540 --> 00:20:09,530 then there's going to be a mismatch, and a lot of tension. 411 00:20:09,530 --> 00:20:15,770 Because you can't get to a happy place for both of you. 412 00:20:15,770 --> 00:20:19,180 So I know that this screen's a little bit hard to read here, 413 00:20:19,180 --> 00:20:22,070 but let me just walk you real quickly through. 414 00:20:22,070 --> 00:20:26,420 If you've got a founding group here 415 00:20:26,420 --> 00:20:30,350 that has four million shares between all of the founders, 416 00:20:30,350 --> 00:20:34,870 they've got 100% of the equity, and there's 100% right there. 417 00:20:34,870 --> 00:20:40,410 You then bring in some early employees and give them-- 418 00:20:40,410 --> 00:20:41,910 and there'd be a list, I have a list 419 00:20:41,910 --> 00:20:45,490 in the back of showing kind of who would get what-- 420 00:20:45,490 --> 00:20:46,980 but you have some early employees, 421 00:20:46,980 --> 00:20:49,890 and maybe some advisors, that get a number of shares. 422 00:20:49,890 --> 00:20:52,930 And so already the founders get diluted a little bit. 423 00:20:52,930 --> 00:20:54,580 They then bring in an angel round 424 00:20:54,580 --> 00:20:58,720 of $500,000 at a $4.5 million pre-money. 425 00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:02,600 So we know for our formula, $500,000 divided by $5 million, 426 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:05,290 the angel investors are going to get 10%. 427 00:21:05,290 --> 00:21:10,040 In this case, and in all these cases, new shares are issued. 428 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:13,080 The founders continue to own their four million shares, 429 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:15,790 but now there's five million shares in the company, 430 00:21:15,790 --> 00:21:20,050 and the founders have been diluted to 80%, OK? 431 00:21:20,050 --> 00:21:25,390 We now have kind of the classic A round venture 432 00:21:25,390 --> 00:21:28,360 capitalists come in, and they put in $5 million 433 00:21:28,360 --> 00:21:31,170 at the $5 million that I talked about earlier. 434 00:21:31,170 --> 00:21:32,930 They get 50%. 435 00:21:32,930 --> 00:21:34,980 But one of the things that is going 436 00:21:34,980 --> 00:21:37,190 to happen when the A round comes in 437 00:21:37,190 --> 00:21:38,720 is the investors are going to want 438 00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:40,930 to see that you have an option pool 439 00:21:40,930 --> 00:21:46,480 so that you can issue stock options to your employees. 440 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,540 Because all employees like stock options, 441 00:21:49,540 --> 00:21:55,110 and it provides extra incentive to your employees. 442 00:21:55,110 --> 00:21:57,760 But the investors are saying, we don't 443 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:03,100 want to be diluted for the first 100 people that you hire. 444 00:22:03,100 --> 00:22:05,990 So you've got to set aside options 445 00:22:05,990 --> 00:22:10,270 to take care of those people without them being diluted. 446 00:22:10,270 --> 00:22:14,460 So they still get their 50%, but you've got to create this pool. 447 00:22:14,460 --> 00:22:16,690 And in my example, it's 12%. 448 00:22:16,690 --> 00:22:22,970 But it's somewhere in the 10% to 20% range, right? 449 00:22:22,970 --> 00:22:28,110 And that's a topic for discussion and negotiation 450 00:22:28,110 --> 00:22:29,530 with your venture capitalists. 451 00:22:29,530 --> 00:22:33,490 Anything I'm saying wrong here, feel free to hop in. 452 00:22:33,490 --> 00:22:37,420 So then we have our final round is that $10 million 453 00:22:37,420 --> 00:22:40,950 at $15 million, and these investors get 40%. 454 00:22:40,950 --> 00:22:44,640 Notice the A investors are now down to 30%, 455 00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:48,340 and our founding team is down to 18.2%. 456 00:22:48,340 --> 00:22:50,960 So this kind of walks you through the progression 457 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:56,720 of how stock gets distributed to both employees, 458 00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:59,900 angel investors, and venture capital investors. 459 00:22:59,900 --> 00:23:00,802 Yep? 460 00:23:00,802 --> 00:23:04,176 AUDIENCE: So the question I have is other than the stock 461 00:23:04,176 --> 00:23:06,104 distribution, do they get more control 462 00:23:06,104 --> 00:23:08,514 because they ask for more seats on the board? 463 00:23:08,514 --> 00:23:11,888 Is that something which happens a lot when the second round 464 00:23:11,888 --> 00:23:13,840 and third round happens? 465 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,610 CHARLIE TILLETT: So the question is, do they-- so first off is 466 00:23:16,610 --> 00:23:20,040 the investors are going to get preferred shares that 467 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:24,780 have many more rights than the common shares, OK? 468 00:23:24,780 --> 00:23:27,240 And there will be anti-dilution provisions, 469 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:29,010 there will be ratchet provisions, 470 00:23:29,010 --> 00:23:30,500 in case there's a down round. 471 00:23:30,500 --> 00:23:33,900 But probably the most important thing that will always happen 472 00:23:33,900 --> 00:23:37,150 is that they will get board representation. 473 00:23:37,150 --> 00:23:42,480 And that is a little bit of a negotiated-- 474 00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:46,080 it's not negotiated that they have board representation, 475 00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,150 but what I've seen is, so let's say that you're the founder, 476 00:23:49,150 --> 00:23:51,690 you say we have two seats, the founders 477 00:23:51,690 --> 00:23:54,750 have two seats on the board, your venture capitalists 478 00:23:54,750 --> 00:23:56,590 come in, they get two seats on the board, 479 00:23:56,590 --> 00:23:58,700 and then you agree that the fifth board member 480 00:23:58,700 --> 00:24:02,530 will be mutually agreed upon. 481 00:24:02,530 --> 00:24:07,860 And you've got to figure out-- again, 482 00:24:07,860 --> 00:24:12,140 if you have problems deciding on a mutually 483 00:24:12,140 --> 00:24:17,430 agreeable fifth board member at this stage in the relationship, 484 00:24:17,430 --> 00:24:19,900 then these are not the right venture guys for you 485 00:24:19,900 --> 00:24:21,400 to be working with, OK? 486 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,420 So it should be pretty easy to find someone 487 00:24:23,420 --> 00:24:27,520 that everyone agrees has domain knowledge, 488 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:32,520 has expertise in the field, is entrepreneurial, and is going 489 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,674 to be kind of neutral, right? 490 00:24:35,674 --> 00:24:37,090 So does that answer your question? 491 00:24:37,090 --> 00:24:37,370 Yep? 492 00:24:37,370 --> 00:24:39,869 AUDIENCE: Yeah, on a previous slide, you were talking about, 493 00:24:39,869 --> 00:24:42,200 say you've taken $10 million in VC money, 494 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:44,132 but it turns out the opportunity was smaller. 495 00:24:44,132 --> 00:24:46,547 It's only $5 million in revenue per year. 496 00:24:46,547 --> 00:24:48,310 What are the options, then, there? 497 00:24:48,310 --> 00:24:49,810 CHARLIE TILLETT: So her question is, 498 00:24:49,810 --> 00:24:52,101 let's say you've taken more money than the opportunity. 499 00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:59,200 There's really no happy ending there, 500 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,570 because the investors are going to want 501 00:25:02,570 --> 00:25:04,280 to get their money back. 502 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,720 And a company that grows to $5 million, 503 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:11,010 it's kind of the walking dead, right? 504 00:25:11,010 --> 00:25:12,670 So you're now making enough money 505 00:25:12,670 --> 00:25:14,870 to where you're not going out of business, 506 00:25:14,870 --> 00:25:19,470 but there's another problem there, is that companies that 507 00:25:19,470 --> 00:25:25,690 only get to $5 million and $10 million-- now, I don't know, 508 00:25:25,690 --> 00:25:28,800 how much revenue does Pinterest-- you know, 509 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:32,050 there's a lot of companies out there that have no revenue 510 00:25:32,050 --> 00:25:33,490 and have tremendous valuations. 511 00:25:33,490 --> 00:25:37,750 But let's not plan that we're going to catch lightning 512 00:25:37,750 --> 00:25:39,250 in a bottle, OK? 513 00:25:39,250 --> 00:25:41,820 So a company that has $5 million to $10 million 514 00:25:41,820 --> 00:25:46,160 in revenue, the reality is that there's a very small market. 515 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,780 Who's going to buy a company like that? 516 00:25:48,780 --> 00:25:51,650 When we were at Reveal Imaging, we grew the company 517 00:25:51,650 --> 00:25:55,860 to $100 million, and we grew the company to $50 million 518 00:25:55,860 --> 00:26:01,460 in revenue, but our buyers were aerospace defense companies 519 00:26:01,460 --> 00:26:03,740 that are huge. 520 00:26:03,740 --> 00:26:08,450 And they were willing to pay us $125 million 521 00:26:08,450 --> 00:26:14,070 for $50 million revenue, but nothing more than that. 522 00:26:14,070 --> 00:26:18,010 They were only willing to pay us kind of 1.5 times revenue. 523 00:26:18,010 --> 00:26:21,160 They were hoping that we would have $500 million in revenue, 524 00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:24,480 because they were willing to pay $1.25 billion. 525 00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,080 But the problem is that a $5 million to $10 million 526 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:30,600 company doesn't get any big company who's 527 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:35,050 your-- it's too small to go public, and the big companies, 528 00:26:35,050 --> 00:26:36,870 it's not big enough to move the needle. 529 00:26:36,870 --> 00:26:40,450 Especially if you've already proven that it's not 530 00:26:40,450 --> 00:26:41,690 going to go like that, right? 531 00:26:41,690 --> 00:26:44,230 You've already decided that it's going to go $5 million, 532 00:26:44,230 --> 00:26:45,880 $6 million, $7 million. 533 00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:47,625 It doesn't get anyone excited. 534 00:26:52,472 --> 00:26:56,870 So the business model, and in my mind-- I mean, 535 00:26:56,870 --> 00:26:59,860 you heard the term used a couple of times on the panel 536 00:26:59,860 --> 00:27:03,700 tonight-- how I think of it is it's an income 537 00:27:03,700 --> 00:27:05,450 statement in percentage terms. 538 00:27:05,450 --> 00:27:07,710 And we'll show you some of the business models 539 00:27:07,710 --> 00:27:12,470 from a number of companies in a number of different industries. 540 00:27:12,470 --> 00:27:14,520 But when you think about your business model, 541 00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:17,610 think about your business reaching critical mass. 542 00:27:17,610 --> 00:27:22,280 Do you have to have some kind of geographic dispersion? 543 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,630 Or do you need a critical mass of sales 544 00:27:25,630 --> 00:27:30,400 in order to get your volume pricing down? 545 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,430 Or maybe it's the number of customers that 546 00:27:32,430 --> 00:27:35,070 gives you some kind of synergy. 547 00:27:35,070 --> 00:27:40,900 So when you think about your business model, think about it, 548 00:27:40,900 --> 00:27:42,920 it's in the happy times, right? 549 00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:45,800 It's reached critical mass, and it is kind 550 00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:47,065 of hitting on all cylinders. 551 00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:54,280 So how many are Course 15? 552 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:58,899 OK, maybe about a third, or maybe 40%. 553 00:27:58,899 --> 00:28:00,690 So this is going to be a little bit boring. 554 00:28:00,690 --> 00:28:02,650 This section is going to be a little bit boring for you guys, 555 00:28:02,650 --> 00:28:04,774 but I want to make sure everyone's on the same page 556 00:28:04,774 --> 00:28:05,480 here. 557 00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:08,870 So when we talk about the income statement, we start at the top. 558 00:28:08,870 --> 00:28:13,140 And it's your sales number, also called your revenue number, 559 00:28:13,140 --> 00:28:17,700 and that's the products that you're shipping out the door, 560 00:28:17,700 --> 00:28:19,930 or the service that you're providing, 561 00:28:19,930 --> 00:28:22,830 and the dollar number that you're putting on that invoice. 562 00:28:22,830 --> 00:28:25,680 So it's after any discounts that you give. 563 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:28,100 It's after any kickbacks or anything. 564 00:28:28,100 --> 00:28:30,675 It's the number-- when you send out an invoice 565 00:28:30,675 --> 00:28:33,977 to that customer, what's the dollar on that invoice, 566 00:28:33,977 --> 00:28:35,560 and what's the check that you're going 567 00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,390 to get from that customer. 568 00:28:37,390 --> 00:28:41,200 Your cost of goods sold is the material costs, 569 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,770 the labor it costs to build your product, 570 00:28:44,770 --> 00:28:48,090 it's the facilities in which that product is built, 571 00:28:48,090 --> 00:28:50,710 but it's also your support cost. 572 00:28:50,710 --> 00:28:54,440 So if you ship a product, and you have a one year warranty, 573 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:58,500 or you have a tech support line that people are calling, 574 00:28:58,500 --> 00:29:00,370 that's part of your cost, too. 575 00:29:00,370 --> 00:29:02,930 So you've got to staff that tech support line. 576 00:29:02,930 --> 00:29:06,440 You've got to man it, maybe it's 24/7. 577 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,080 If you've got a hardware product, 578 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,020 and it breaks within the warranty period, 579 00:29:10,020 --> 00:29:11,440 you've got to fix that. 580 00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:12,880 You've got shipping costs. 581 00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:15,260 You might have to send someone out into the field, 582 00:29:15,260 --> 00:29:17,810 if you've got a big machine like we had at Reveal 583 00:29:17,810 --> 00:29:20,680 that weighed two tons. 584 00:29:20,680 --> 00:29:22,620 So those are all the things that go 585 00:29:22,620 --> 00:29:24,020 into your cost of goods sold. 586 00:29:24,020 --> 00:29:28,670 It's not your R&D. So it's not your programming cost. 587 00:29:28,670 --> 00:29:32,069 Your product development costs go down in R&D. 588 00:29:32,069 --> 00:29:33,860 Then, you have your three main departments. 589 00:29:33,860 --> 00:29:36,310 Sales and marketing is self-explanatory. 590 00:29:36,310 --> 00:29:38,760 R&D would be all of your programming, product 591 00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,190 development, any material that gets 592 00:29:41,190 --> 00:29:45,970 bought as part of your product development process. 593 00:29:45,970 --> 00:29:47,680 Then, your general and administrative 594 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,290 is kind of everything else. 595 00:29:49,290 --> 00:29:51,890 Your CFO is in there, your CEO is in there. 596 00:29:51,890 --> 00:29:57,910 HR, IT, your facilities, your facility staff 597 00:29:57,910 --> 00:30:00,660 for the non-manufacturing facility. 598 00:30:00,660 --> 00:30:02,630 And at the bottom is your operating profit, 599 00:30:02,630 --> 00:30:07,300 or EBITDA, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, 600 00:30:07,300 --> 00:30:08,360 and amortization. 601 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:12,060 And I like to use that as the yardstick, because it gets 602 00:30:12,060 --> 00:30:15,380 really complicated adding in capital expenses 603 00:30:15,380 --> 00:30:19,240 and depreciating stuff, and that kind of obscures what's really 604 00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:20,870 going on in your business. 605 00:30:20,870 --> 00:30:24,590 So I would urge you in your plans 606 00:30:24,590 --> 00:30:28,790 don't depreciate anything, and also 607 00:30:28,790 --> 00:30:31,960 don't start allocating your general and administrative 608 00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:34,300 expenses across other departments. 609 00:30:34,300 --> 00:30:39,110 Just let them sit in your G&A. 610 00:30:39,110 --> 00:30:41,526 So I get a lot of business plans. 611 00:30:41,526 --> 00:30:43,400 I'm happy to look at anyone's business plans. 612 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,380 My email is at the end of this presentation. 613 00:30:45,380 --> 00:30:48,204 Any time, whether it's part of this class, or any time 614 00:30:48,204 --> 00:30:50,620 in the next 10 years, you want to send me a business plan, 615 00:30:50,620 --> 00:30:53,030 say, I'm getting ready to make a presentation. 616 00:30:53,030 --> 00:30:54,890 I want someone to look at this and just 617 00:30:54,890 --> 00:30:57,970 make sure it's not totally crazy. 618 00:30:57,970 --> 00:30:59,350 So I get a lot of business plans. 619 00:30:59,350 --> 00:31:02,370 And the first thing that I do when I look at a business plan 620 00:31:02,370 --> 00:31:04,740 is I look at the top line, and say, 621 00:31:04,740 --> 00:31:08,262 how big is this business going to get? 622 00:31:08,262 --> 00:31:10,660 What is the market opportunity here? 623 00:31:10,660 --> 00:31:12,320 So here's an opportunity, they think 624 00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:14,295 it can grow to $75 million. 625 00:31:14,295 --> 00:31:17,130 The next thing that I look at is, in year four, 626 00:31:17,130 --> 00:31:21,080 kind of the happy times, once they've reached critical mass, 627 00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:22,750 what does this business look like? 628 00:31:22,750 --> 00:31:24,444 What are the gross margins? 629 00:31:24,444 --> 00:31:25,860 I've worked in companies that have 630 00:31:25,860 --> 00:31:29,700 80% gross margins and companies that have 50% gross margins, 631 00:31:29,700 --> 00:31:32,140 and I can tell you it's dramatically easier 632 00:31:32,140 --> 00:31:34,490 to make money and run a business when 633 00:31:34,490 --> 00:31:39,370 you have 80% gross margins versus 50% gross margins. 634 00:31:39,370 --> 00:31:41,230 It's dramatically different. 635 00:31:41,230 --> 00:31:43,490 And then, where are the big expenses down here? 636 00:31:43,490 --> 00:31:45,970 What are they spending on R&D? 637 00:31:45,970 --> 00:31:47,600 Particularly, what are they spending 638 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:48,980 on sales and marketing? 639 00:31:48,980 --> 00:31:52,090 Because most firms end up at about the same place 640 00:31:52,090 --> 00:31:54,470 in R&D spending once they reach critical mass. 641 00:31:54,470 --> 00:31:57,740 They end up about the same place G&A spending. 642 00:31:57,740 --> 00:32:02,270 But the sales and marketing wildly varies, depending on 643 00:32:02,270 --> 00:32:05,780 is it a consumer product, is it a business to business product, 644 00:32:05,780 --> 00:32:07,770 is it a luxury product that you have 645 00:32:07,770 --> 00:32:10,590 to do a lot of advertising, is there a lot of trade shows. 646 00:32:10,590 --> 00:32:14,440 So it depends on your whole sales strategy and distribution 647 00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:18,650 strategy, and that shows up in your sales and marketing. 648 00:32:18,650 --> 00:32:21,810 The last thing that I look at is kind of the operating profit 649 00:32:21,810 --> 00:32:23,810 over the this four year period. 650 00:32:23,810 --> 00:32:26,240 Because that gives you a pretty good yardstick 651 00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:28,780 for how much cash this company is 652 00:32:28,780 --> 00:32:33,130 going to take to get to profitability. 653 00:32:33,130 --> 00:32:38,950 It's not perfect, but it's probably within 20% or 30%, 654 00:32:38,950 --> 00:32:40,890 which is a good-- you know, it at least says 655 00:32:40,890 --> 00:32:45,350 to me this company, $3.5 million plus $2.5 million 656 00:32:45,350 --> 00:32:48,870 is $6 million, maybe it lost a little bit here in year three, 657 00:32:48,870 --> 00:32:49,850 so it's $7 million. 658 00:32:49,850 --> 00:32:52,964 It's not a company that's going to need $20 million. 659 00:32:52,964 --> 00:32:54,380 But it's also not a company that's 660 00:32:54,380 --> 00:32:56,004 going to need $1 million or $2 million. 661 00:32:56,004 --> 00:32:59,810 So it gives you just a sense of what this company needs. 662 00:32:59,810 --> 00:33:02,040 Now, let's say you're looking at your business plan. 663 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:03,831 I would urge you to look at the same thing. 664 00:33:03,831 --> 00:33:08,590 Start at the top line, and say, do I really 665 00:33:08,590 --> 00:33:11,400 think this business can do this kind of revenue? 666 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:14,810 I would also urge you to look at year four or year five, 667 00:33:14,810 --> 00:33:16,290 whatever it's going to take you get 668 00:33:16,290 --> 00:33:19,470 to that place, the critical mass, and say, 669 00:33:19,470 --> 00:33:22,950 does this business model look like other companies 670 00:33:22,950 --> 00:33:25,740 in my space, or is it different? 671 00:33:25,740 --> 00:33:28,490 And if it's different, that doesn't mean it's wrong. 672 00:33:28,490 --> 00:33:31,970 It just means that you better understand why it's different. 673 00:33:31,970 --> 00:33:34,260 Maybe you're doing something dramatically different. 674 00:33:34,260 --> 00:33:36,360 Maybe you've got some tremendous cost 675 00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:42,920 of goods sold value that other companies don't have. 676 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:46,100 But you've got to understand that. 677 00:33:46,100 --> 00:33:50,110 Then, I would urge you to think about a year one, 678 00:33:50,110 --> 00:33:53,530 because thinking about expenses in year four 679 00:33:53,530 --> 00:33:58,050 is a very difficult exercise. 680 00:33:58,050 --> 00:34:00,630 Because you can't even-- I mean, here you are, 681 00:34:00,630 --> 00:34:02,600 you're getting your business off the ground. 682 00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:07,910 It's hard to think about if I had $75 million in revenue, 683 00:34:07,910 --> 00:34:09,409 where would that money be spent. 684 00:34:09,409 --> 00:34:12,659 But it's very easy to think about the next 12 months. 685 00:34:12,659 --> 00:34:14,710 And who are my key hires? 686 00:34:14,710 --> 00:34:17,020 And how much are those people going to cost? 687 00:34:17,020 --> 00:34:18,820 And what are the stuff that they're 688 00:34:18,820 --> 00:34:21,260 going to need to buy to help them do their job? 689 00:34:21,260 --> 00:34:23,780 And you're probably not going to have a lot of sales, 690 00:34:23,780 --> 00:34:25,530 so you don't really need to think too much 691 00:34:25,530 --> 00:34:27,880 about cost of goods sold yet. 692 00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:28,620 OK? 693 00:34:28,620 --> 00:34:30,500 But you need to start thinking about 694 00:34:30,500 --> 00:34:33,570 what are my staffing priorities, and what 695 00:34:33,570 --> 00:34:36,480 are the things that we need, and where are we going to locate 696 00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:39,070 our business, and what we don't have to spend on facilities, 697 00:34:39,070 --> 00:34:40,440 and that kind of thing. 698 00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:44,570 And then, while year one should be fairly easy to do, 699 00:34:44,570 --> 00:34:47,120 year two is not that much more of a stretch, because you 700 00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:50,590 are ready have kind of thought about where I am in month 12. 701 00:34:50,590 --> 00:34:52,630 And so you just kind of extrapolate that 702 00:34:52,630 --> 00:34:56,550 into what are we going to do once we start having revenue? 703 00:34:56,550 --> 00:34:59,620 OK, so what is my support team going to look like? 704 00:34:59,620 --> 00:35:02,070 What is my sales team going to look like? 705 00:35:02,070 --> 00:35:03,890 And put some numbers on that. 706 00:35:03,890 --> 00:35:05,460 And then, once you've done that, look 707 00:35:05,460 --> 00:35:08,750 at where your percentages are out here in year two. 708 00:35:08,750 --> 00:35:12,470 And you already looked at where they are in year four. 709 00:35:12,470 --> 00:35:16,884 And kind of make year three as kind of a blending process, OK? 710 00:35:16,884 --> 00:35:19,050 Now, you're not going to do this on an annual basis. 711 00:35:19,050 --> 00:35:21,360 I'm going to urge you to do it on a quarterly basis. 712 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,760 And we'll get into those specific spreadsheets 713 00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:26,080 and talk you talk you through that in a bit. 714 00:35:29,110 --> 00:35:37,540 So the business model in terms of this percentage of income, 715 00:35:37,540 --> 00:35:41,060 or percentage of revenue, exercise 716 00:35:41,060 --> 00:35:47,030 helps you think about what your business is going to look like, 717 00:35:47,030 --> 00:35:48,650 and how you're going to get there. 718 00:35:48,650 --> 00:35:50,610 It's going to show how your business is 719 00:35:50,610 --> 00:35:52,750 going to make money. 720 00:35:52,750 --> 00:35:55,740 So let's look at a number of different companies, OK? 721 00:35:55,740 --> 00:35:57,630 This is a number in the retail sector. 722 00:35:57,630 --> 00:35:58,960 You guys all know them. 723 00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:01,510 Walmart, the low cost leader, Target's kind 724 00:36:01,510 --> 00:36:05,920 of a middle market, and Nordstrom is more high end. 725 00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:07,760 What has categorized these businesses. 726 00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:11,200 They all have crappy gross margins, right? 727 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:14,800 24% for Walmart, 34% percent for Target. 728 00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:17,790 They spend nothing on R&D. Target 729 00:36:17,790 --> 00:36:20,002 should probably spend a little something on their IT 730 00:36:20,002 --> 00:36:21,085 department, though, right? 731 00:36:26,660 --> 00:36:31,170 Now, all of this information is available from the Securities 732 00:36:31,170 --> 00:36:34,330 and Exchange Commission, or you can get rid of Yahoo Finance 733 00:36:34,330 --> 00:36:34,850 now. 734 00:36:34,850 --> 00:36:36,600 So just going to Yahoo Finance, you 735 00:36:36,600 --> 00:36:38,310 can pull up the annual reports. 736 00:36:38,310 --> 00:36:40,720 You can get all this information off of there. 737 00:36:40,720 --> 00:36:44,470 Most companies do the lump sales, 738 00:36:44,470 --> 00:36:46,640 general and administrative expenses together. 739 00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:48,590 So I don't have a breakout on what 740 00:36:48,590 --> 00:36:52,000 they're spending on sales and marketing versus G&A. 741 00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:54,900 But you can see the sales, and SG&A 742 00:36:54,900 --> 00:36:57,510 comes in kind of across the board here. 743 00:36:57,510 --> 00:37:00,300 But not tremendously profitable. 744 00:37:00,300 --> 00:37:03,470 But very high annual revenue. 745 00:37:03,470 --> 00:37:05,800 I mean, look at Walmart at $344 billion. 746 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:10,440 So 6% of a big number is still a big number. 747 00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:12,350 One of the things that's useful to look at, 748 00:37:12,350 --> 00:37:15,530 not comparing yourself to these companies, 749 00:37:15,530 --> 00:37:17,840 but comparing yourself to your peers, 750 00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,870 is going to be looking at revenue per employee. 751 00:37:20,870 --> 00:37:22,710 So I just threw this on here so you could-- 752 00:37:22,710 --> 00:37:28,880 it does tell a lot how companies within similar industries 753 00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,190 have very similar revenue per employee. 754 00:37:32,190 --> 00:37:37,147 And in retail, it's in the $150,000 to $200,000 range. 755 00:37:37,147 --> 00:37:38,730 Let's look at the restaurant business. 756 00:37:38,730 --> 00:37:40,360 It's probably even worse, right? 757 00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:45,010 Again, terrible gross margins, but actually the profitability 758 00:37:45,010 --> 00:37:48,000 is a little bit better than the retail stores. 759 00:37:48,000 --> 00:37:57,610 But look at the revenue per employee, $45,000 per employee. 760 00:37:57,610 --> 00:37:59,230 So think of this. 761 00:37:59,230 --> 00:38:01,445 The cost of goods are 68%. 762 00:38:05,072 --> 00:38:06,530 And a lot of that's got to actually 763 00:38:06,530 --> 00:38:09,560 be meat and potatoes, right? 764 00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:11,640 So how much money is actually left over 765 00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:16,200 to pay-- if your average employee is $45,000 per person, 766 00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:19,740 you can't pay that person $45,000 a year. 767 00:38:19,740 --> 00:38:22,310 So this idea that they're going start 768 00:38:22,310 --> 00:38:26,020 being able to pay fast food workers $15 an hour, 769 00:38:26,020 --> 00:38:29,000 which is this big argument, there's 770 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:31,886 just not enough money there. 771 00:38:31,886 --> 00:38:34,257 It's a crazy business here, and I 772 00:38:34,257 --> 00:38:36,340 suspect that there are a lot of part-time workers. 773 00:38:36,340 --> 00:38:38,550 But it is an interesting fact here 774 00:38:38,550 --> 00:38:43,400 that all these businesses have such low revenue per employee. 775 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:45,690 Let's look at some interesting companies now. 776 00:38:45,690 --> 00:38:49,800 Cisco, very good gross margin, 64%. 777 00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:54,580 We see R&D is at 13% and operating profit at 25%. 778 00:38:54,580 --> 00:38:56,160 These might be a couple years old, 779 00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:59,080 but they're in line with this. 780 00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:04,510 And revenue per employee is $573,000 per employee. 781 00:39:04,510 --> 00:39:08,230 Think of that versus $45,000 per employee, OK? 782 00:39:08,230 --> 00:39:10,600 So you can afford to pay your Cisco 783 00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:14,510 employees $100,000 to $125,000. 784 00:39:14,510 --> 00:39:16,940 You can't afford to do that at McDonald's, right? 785 00:39:16,940 --> 00:39:19,700 So again, these are characterized 786 00:39:19,700 --> 00:39:23,870 by R&D spending of kind of the 10% to 15% range. 787 00:39:23,870 --> 00:39:25,060 Except for Dell. 788 00:39:25,060 --> 00:39:29,150 And Dell is really just a box manufacture. 789 00:39:29,150 --> 00:39:30,330 They're just an assembler. 790 00:39:30,330 --> 00:39:32,230 They're just a supply chain story. 791 00:39:32,230 --> 00:39:33,980 They're not an R&D story. 792 00:39:33,980 --> 00:39:35,820 And it comes out in their numbers. 793 00:39:35,820 --> 00:39:38,200 Medtronic is a medical device maker, 794 00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:42,300 but it really has all the characteristics of a technology 795 00:39:42,300 --> 00:39:44,487 hardware company. 796 00:39:44,487 --> 00:39:46,070 Let's look at some software companies. 797 00:39:46,070 --> 00:39:49,110 Again, even better gross margins. 798 00:39:49,110 --> 00:39:53,250 Say R&D is in that same 10% to 15%. 799 00:39:53,250 --> 00:39:55,510 And the revenue per employee at Microsoft 800 00:39:55,510 --> 00:39:57,430 is about the same as Cisco. 801 00:39:57,430 --> 00:40:00,670 Oracle and SAP, which are more peers, 802 00:40:00,670 --> 00:40:03,720 have very similar revenue per employee 803 00:40:03,720 --> 00:40:08,790 in that $250,000 to $300,000 range. 804 00:40:08,790 --> 00:40:12,562 The internet companies are all across the board. 805 00:40:12,562 --> 00:40:14,520 I mean, Apple's not really an internet company, 806 00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:17,900 but they are kind of interesting here 807 00:40:17,900 --> 00:40:22,660 in that they have $2 million of revenue per employee. 808 00:40:22,660 --> 00:40:23,610 Mind-boggling. 809 00:40:23,610 --> 00:40:27,210 I mean, Google is at $1 million. 810 00:40:27,210 --> 00:40:29,750 I started putting Google on this after they went public. 811 00:40:29,750 --> 00:40:32,490 And I said, well, they can't sustain that. 812 00:40:32,490 --> 00:40:34,230 They were about $1 million when I first 813 00:40:34,230 --> 00:40:35,740 did it I think three years ago. 814 00:40:35,740 --> 00:40:39,510 And they've actually increased their revenue per employee 815 00:40:39,510 --> 00:40:40,230 as they've grown. 816 00:40:40,230 --> 00:40:42,550 So they've become more productive, 817 00:40:42,550 --> 00:40:45,940 which is kind of-- few companies are able to do that. 818 00:40:45,940 --> 00:40:47,900 Usually, companies have a decrease 819 00:40:47,900 --> 00:40:50,320 in revenue per employee as they get bigger. 820 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:52,880 Google's been able to increase it. 821 00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:55,250 Again, here, R&D spending. 822 00:40:55,250 --> 00:40:58,931 I mean, Apple is so big that that 2% is still a huge number, 823 00:40:58,931 --> 00:40:59,430 right? 824 00:40:59,430 --> 00:41:02,490 But if we look at the rest of these, 825 00:41:02,490 --> 00:41:04,000 it is a little bit across the board, 826 00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:08,350 and it's part of where a company is in this stage of their life 827 00:41:08,350 --> 00:41:09,810 cycle. 828 00:41:09,810 --> 00:41:12,679 But this gives you kind of a sense of where companies are. 829 00:41:12,679 --> 00:41:14,220 Another thing that's interesting here 830 00:41:14,220 --> 00:41:16,680 is the two companies with the lowest gross margin 831 00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:20,970 are Apple, which is selling hardware, 832 00:41:20,970 --> 00:41:23,580 and Pandora, which is selling music. 833 00:41:23,580 --> 00:41:27,900 So just because you're in a intellectual property business, 834 00:41:27,900 --> 00:41:32,670 or in a-- I don't know what you would call music, if you're not 835 00:41:32,670 --> 00:41:34,120 calling it hardware. 836 00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:38,140 But it's kind of interesting that their cost of goods 837 00:41:38,140 --> 00:41:41,280 are actually as high as Apple's, because of the royalties 838 00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:42,670 that they have to pay. 839 00:41:42,670 --> 00:41:46,484 And that creates some problems for them. 840 00:41:46,484 --> 00:41:48,400 I think they're now starting to show a profit, 841 00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:50,115 but it's still a very tough business. 842 00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:56,170 Looking at business models over a period of time, 843 00:41:56,170 --> 00:41:57,670 they evolve slowly. 844 00:41:57,670 --> 00:42:00,230 I've been doing this talk since at least '98. 845 00:42:00,230 --> 00:42:07,730 And just looking at Cisco, it looks like the same. 846 00:42:07,730 --> 00:42:10,380 I mean, yeah, it goes up and down a little bit. 847 00:42:10,380 --> 00:42:12,520 But companies do not dramatically 848 00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:15,120 change over a period of time once they kind of 849 00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:17,600 hit that critical mass. 850 00:42:20,630 --> 00:42:23,530 So as you're building your model-- 851 00:42:23,530 --> 00:42:27,010 I know the talk yesterday was on your product and pricing 852 00:42:27,010 --> 00:42:31,470 your product-- what's the value that you bring to the customer? 853 00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:38,240 And how is that value going to be split 854 00:42:38,240 --> 00:42:40,270 between you and the customer? 855 00:42:40,270 --> 00:42:41,730 I hear a lot of people say, well, 856 00:42:41,730 --> 00:42:46,980 we have a product that will save our customers $10,000. 857 00:42:46,980 --> 00:42:50,060 So we think we should charge them $10,000. 858 00:42:50,060 --> 00:42:52,380 Well, at $10,000, they're indifferent 859 00:42:52,380 --> 00:42:54,520 whether they do it manually or whether they do it 860 00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:56,640 with your new piece of equipment. 861 00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:59,260 So you've got to price that product 862 00:42:59,260 --> 00:43:04,040 to where it's compelling for the customer to take that risk 863 00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:05,600 and make that change. 864 00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:09,190 And if it's a $10,000 value to them, 865 00:43:09,190 --> 00:43:13,580 you've probably got to price that at $2,000 or $3,000, 866 00:43:13,580 --> 00:43:17,670 and let them capture the majority of that savings, 867 00:43:17,670 --> 00:43:19,890 because they're taking the risk. 868 00:43:19,890 --> 00:43:21,920 And so you've got to figure out how, 869 00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:24,050 at a $2,000 or $3,000 price, you're 870 00:43:24,050 --> 00:43:27,280 going to be able to sell that and capture enough value 871 00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,980 yourself, OK? 872 00:43:29,980 --> 00:43:33,140 Your distribution strategy. 873 00:43:33,140 --> 00:43:36,690 So think about the price, and then your cost of goods sold 874 00:43:36,690 --> 00:43:39,010 should be pretty straightforward. 875 00:43:39,010 --> 00:43:41,370 I mean, you know the material that goes in there. 876 00:43:41,370 --> 00:43:43,680 Again, it's not how long is it going to take 877 00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:45,140 to develop this product. 878 00:43:45,140 --> 00:43:48,660 That's part of your R&D, and that's a whole other exercise. 879 00:43:48,660 --> 00:43:54,010 But it's, if I sell a unit, how much material goes into it, how 880 00:43:54,010 --> 00:43:57,400 much labor goes into it, how much overhead 881 00:43:57,400 --> 00:44:00,310 in the manufacturing facility goes into it, 882 00:44:00,310 --> 00:44:02,570 how much support am I going to have to provide? 883 00:44:02,570 --> 00:44:06,110 These are all questions that, if you sit there and noodle away 884 00:44:06,110 --> 00:44:11,932 at it, you can come up with a pretty reasonable range, 885 00:44:11,932 --> 00:44:14,820 and come up with your cost of goods sold. 886 00:44:14,820 --> 00:44:16,966 When you think about your distribution strategy, 887 00:44:16,966 --> 00:44:18,590 how am I going to sell my product, that 888 00:44:18,590 --> 00:44:20,850 could have-- I have an example of that in here-- 889 00:44:20,850 --> 00:44:26,220 that could have a huge impact on everything involving 890 00:44:26,220 --> 00:44:30,130 your business, in both your revenue all the way down 891 00:44:30,130 --> 00:44:32,530 to your sales and marketing and your operating profit. 892 00:44:32,530 --> 00:44:35,100 So that's a huge decision you're going to have to make. 893 00:44:35,100 --> 00:44:38,110 R&D, I would argue, should end up at the 10% to 20% 894 00:44:38,110 --> 00:44:39,880 range generally. 895 00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:41,620 As we've looked at a lot of companies, 896 00:44:41,620 --> 00:44:42,920 that's where they end up. 897 00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:46,470 That doesn't mean you shouldn't be at 30%, like Zynga was, 898 00:44:46,470 --> 00:44:49,550 depending on where you are in your life cycle. 899 00:44:49,550 --> 00:44:52,060 But if you're a technology company, 900 00:44:52,060 --> 00:44:58,080 and you're not spending 10% of your revenue on R&D, 901 00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:01,210 you're yourself short for tomorrow's products, right? 902 00:45:01,210 --> 00:45:03,540 Because you've always got to be evolving. 903 00:45:03,540 --> 00:45:06,110 G&A is going to end up at 5% to 15%. 904 00:45:06,110 --> 00:45:09,950 The lower you can get that, the better. 905 00:45:09,950 --> 00:45:13,210 That's where the CFO is, so just squeeze that down. 906 00:45:13,210 --> 00:45:16,400 And make sure you build in an operating profit. 907 00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:21,770 Now, you're operating profit shouldn't be 40% to 50%. 908 00:45:21,770 --> 00:45:24,360 There's a few companies that can get away with that. 909 00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:26,910 But to think that your company is one of those 910 00:45:26,910 --> 00:45:30,360 is probably unrealistic. 911 00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:36,140 So if you're putting together your model, 912 00:45:36,140 --> 00:45:40,174 and you keep coming up with a 40% to 50% operating profit, 913 00:45:40,174 --> 00:45:42,340 you should really question some of your assumptions. 914 00:45:42,340 --> 00:45:45,390 Do I really, am I missing anything here? 915 00:45:45,390 --> 00:45:47,780 I'm not saying it's wrong. 916 00:45:47,780 --> 00:45:49,500 It might be doable. 917 00:45:49,500 --> 00:45:52,860 But you're going to get some pushback on that 918 00:45:52,860 --> 00:45:56,780 from people who've looked at a lot of business plans. 919 00:45:56,780 --> 00:46:00,520 So I talked about how your distribution strategy 920 00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:03,260 is going to impact your operating profit. 921 00:46:03,260 --> 00:46:04,970 So let's look at an example here where 922 00:46:04,970 --> 00:46:07,220 you're selling it through your own direct sales force. 923 00:46:07,220 --> 00:46:09,590 You have $100 million in revenue, your cost of goods 924 00:46:09,590 --> 00:46:11,880 is $40 million, leaving you with $60 million, 925 00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:13,900 or 60% gross margin. 926 00:46:13,900 --> 00:46:17,040 You have $23 million in sales and marketing, $12 million 927 00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:20,540 in R&D, and some G&A, bringing your total expenses 928 00:46:20,540 --> 00:46:24,475 to $40 million, and an operating profit of $20 million, or 20%. 929 00:46:24,475 --> 00:46:26,100 So let's say, instead of that, you say, 930 00:46:26,100 --> 00:46:28,290 I'm going to bring in a distributor, 931 00:46:28,290 --> 00:46:33,250 and give him a 20% discount off of our list price or selling 932 00:46:33,250 --> 00:46:34,090 price. 933 00:46:34,090 --> 00:46:37,814 And in return for that 20%, he's going to go out and sell it 934 00:46:37,814 --> 00:46:38,480 to the customer. 935 00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:41,630 He gets to keep the 20%, but he frees me up 936 00:46:41,630 --> 00:46:44,530 of all the sales and marketing activity. 937 00:46:44,530 --> 00:46:46,370 Well, not entirely. 938 00:46:46,370 --> 00:46:48,760 Because even the distribution channel 939 00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:50,360 needs some care and feeding. 940 00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:53,260 So you can't completely get rid of your sales force. 941 00:46:53,260 --> 00:46:56,020 You can't completely get rid of your marketing efforts. 942 00:46:56,020 --> 00:46:57,270 But you can cut those back. 943 00:46:57,270 --> 00:46:59,580 And in my example, I said, well, you could cut it back 944 00:46:59,580 --> 00:47:02,390 from $23 million to $8 million. 945 00:47:02,390 --> 00:47:05,050 Now, your R&D is still going to be 946 00:47:05,050 --> 00:47:06,810 the same, because you've got to keep 947 00:47:06,810 --> 00:47:10,230 feeding the machine with new products, right? 948 00:47:10,230 --> 00:47:12,630 And your cost of goods is going to be exactly the same, 949 00:47:12,630 --> 00:47:15,190 because you're shipping the same number of units. 950 00:47:15,190 --> 00:47:16,810 But because you have fewer employees, 951 00:47:16,810 --> 00:47:19,610 you probably don't need quite as many people in HR, 952 00:47:19,610 --> 00:47:21,380 you don't need as many bean counters. 953 00:47:21,380 --> 00:47:23,720 Your G&A is going to be a little bit less, 954 00:47:23,720 --> 00:47:25,500 and so that's going to be $4 million. 955 00:47:25,500 --> 00:47:30,920 So in this example, your revenue is reduced from $100 million 956 00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:33,090 to $80 million, and your operating profit 957 00:47:33,090 --> 00:47:35,560 is reduced from $20 million to $16 million, 958 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,030 but you're still getting a 20% profit. 959 00:47:38,030 --> 00:47:43,400 Now, I don't know whether one is right or wrong. 960 00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:45,900 I would say that the distributor model 961 00:47:45,900 --> 00:47:48,790 is going to be great if it can get you to market faster, 962 00:47:48,790 --> 00:47:52,390 or if it can take you from $80 million to $160 million 963 00:47:52,390 --> 00:47:56,030 faster than you could grow organically from $100 million 964 00:47:56,030 --> 00:47:57,750 to $160 million. 965 00:47:57,750 --> 00:47:59,490 You're still getting the same 20%. 966 00:47:59,490 --> 00:48:06,230 And whether that 20% came out at 15% or 25%, 967 00:48:06,230 --> 00:48:08,990 the more important number here is the $16 million 968 00:48:08,990 --> 00:48:12,300 in operating profit versus the $20 million 969 00:48:12,300 --> 00:48:15,600 in operating profit. 970 00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:17,470 So as you're building your model, 971 00:48:17,470 --> 00:48:19,560 there is some business planing software out there, 972 00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:20,560 kind of like a TurboTax. 973 00:48:20,560 --> 00:48:23,080 It asks you a bunch of questions. 974 00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:25,940 It asks you the questions, you answer the assumptions, 975 00:48:25,940 --> 00:48:28,630 and it spits out a plan. 976 00:48:28,630 --> 00:48:31,410 Do not use that software, because the beauty 977 00:48:31,410 --> 00:48:34,310 of this exercise, the benefit of this exercise, 978 00:48:34,310 --> 00:48:38,880 is understanding exactly what's going into your model, 979 00:48:38,880 --> 00:48:40,510 and building it yourself. 980 00:48:40,510 --> 00:48:47,530 And when something doesn't add up, figuring out what's broken. 981 00:48:47,530 --> 00:48:52,080 When you start getting 50% operating profits, 982 00:48:52,080 --> 00:48:58,200 start saying, let's look at my revenue per employee. 983 00:48:58,200 --> 00:49:02,190 Oh, my revenue per employee is $1 million per employee. 984 00:49:02,190 --> 00:49:05,659 Well, Google does that, and Apple does that, 985 00:49:05,659 --> 00:49:07,450 but there are not very many other companies 986 00:49:07,450 --> 00:49:10,200 that have $1 million in revenue per employee. 987 00:49:10,200 --> 00:49:15,910 So maybe I need to add more employees to my staffing plan. 988 00:49:15,910 --> 00:49:20,740 And where am I going to deploy those people in order 989 00:49:20,740 --> 00:49:23,790 to build up my organization? 990 00:49:23,790 --> 00:49:26,910 So it's doing it, it's working the exercise 991 00:49:26,910 --> 00:49:29,870 that is the real benefit. 992 00:49:29,870 --> 00:49:35,420 Build your sales projections from the bottom up. 993 00:49:35,420 --> 00:49:38,000 Anyone watch Shark Tank? 994 00:49:38,000 --> 00:49:38,880 OK. 995 00:49:38,880 --> 00:49:41,651 I gave this talk about two months ago, 996 00:49:41,651 --> 00:49:43,900 and everyone said, no, it's on Friday night, I go out. 997 00:49:43,900 --> 00:49:46,240 You know, I'm not waiting at home Friday night. 998 00:49:46,240 --> 00:49:48,210 So someone was on Shark Tank last week, 999 00:49:48,210 --> 00:49:50,580 and they said they're selling a product that 1000 00:49:50,580 --> 00:49:52,090 went into school lockers. 1001 00:49:52,090 --> 00:49:56,080 And they said, why are you valuing your company 1002 00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:57,040 at $5 million? 1003 00:49:57,040 --> 00:50:01,570 And he said, well, there's 50 million school lockers 1004 00:50:01,570 --> 00:50:05,170 in the country, and we only need to get 5% of them. 1005 00:50:05,170 --> 00:50:10,810 I mean, it's a crazy-- that's wrong on so many counts. 1006 00:50:10,810 --> 00:50:12,917 Because it doesn't talk about how 1007 00:50:12,917 --> 00:50:15,250 you're going to get into each school, how many are going 1008 00:50:15,250 --> 00:50:18,920 to sell into each school, what is your distribution strategy 1009 00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:20,090 to get there. 1010 00:50:20,090 --> 00:50:22,790 So instead of saying, the market is huge 1011 00:50:22,790 --> 00:50:24,650 and we're going to get a slice of it, 1012 00:50:24,650 --> 00:50:26,600 what you said need to say is, we're 1013 00:50:26,600 --> 00:50:28,590 going to have five sales guys. 1014 00:50:28,590 --> 00:50:30,330 And each sales guy is going to be 1015 00:50:30,330 --> 00:50:32,760 responsible for a territory in the country. 1016 00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:35,750 And each territory has-- I'm kind of making this up 1017 00:50:35,750 --> 00:50:37,780 about the school lockers as I go here-- 1018 00:50:37,780 --> 00:50:41,860 but each territory has 25,000 schools. 1019 00:50:41,860 --> 00:50:45,320 And I expect each sales guy to higher 10 reps. 1020 00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:48,460 And each rep is going to go to two schools a day. 1021 00:50:48,460 --> 00:50:55,040 And we expect a closure rate of 10% when they go to a school, 1022 00:50:55,040 --> 00:51:00,670 and each school that buys these is going to buy 50 lockers. 1023 00:51:00,670 --> 00:51:02,610 And you put that all in, and it'll 1024 00:51:02,610 --> 00:51:05,230 come up with a model for how many you're going to sell. 1025 00:51:05,230 --> 00:51:10,320 And that may not be-- it will not be accurate. 1026 00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:13,554 Because as you put this together, it's a crystal ball. 1027 00:51:13,554 --> 00:51:14,970 And when you get out there, you're 1028 00:51:14,970 --> 00:51:19,730 going to find out a sales guy can't go to two schools a day, 1029 00:51:19,730 --> 00:51:24,000 and he can't close 10%, and they don't buy 50. 1030 00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:27,540 But when you get a guy out there selling stuff, 1031 00:51:27,540 --> 00:51:29,710 he's going to be providing data, and you're 1032 00:51:29,710 --> 00:51:32,480 going to start getting feedback to say, 1033 00:51:32,480 --> 00:51:34,860 we can visit three schools a day, 1034 00:51:34,860 --> 00:51:37,270 but there's only a 5% closure rate, 1035 00:51:37,270 --> 00:51:40,210 but each school that does buy is going to buy 75. 1036 00:51:40,210 --> 00:51:43,130 And then, you can adjust your model. 1037 00:51:43,130 --> 00:51:45,040 But since you've built your model, 1038 00:51:45,040 --> 00:51:48,610 now you can adjust it, and figure out 1039 00:51:48,610 --> 00:51:50,490 where you're going to go next. 1040 00:51:50,490 --> 00:51:54,490 The last thing is that there's spreadsheet overload. 1041 00:51:54,490 --> 00:51:58,380 So never do a best case, worst case, 1042 00:51:58,380 --> 00:52:00,550 and present three different models, and say, 1043 00:52:00,550 --> 00:52:03,000 if everything goes right, here's what we need. 1044 00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:06,990 I'm not saying don't look at contingencies. 1045 00:52:06,990 --> 00:52:10,320 But just put your best foot forward. 1046 00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:12,289 Put your best estimate on the paper. 1047 00:52:12,289 --> 00:52:13,830 Say, here's what we think we're going 1048 00:52:13,830 --> 00:52:23,430 to do, and leave the best case, worst case for someone else. 1049 00:52:23,430 --> 00:52:26,110 I might give you some rules of thumb on the next spreadsheet. 1050 00:52:26,110 --> 00:52:29,730 These are focused on making your investment interest 1051 00:52:29,730 --> 00:52:30,870 attractive to investors. 1052 00:52:30,870 --> 00:52:33,410 Just like your $5 million business 1053 00:52:33,410 --> 00:52:35,021 might be a great business, it's not 1054 00:52:35,021 --> 00:52:36,520 going to be attractive to investors. 1055 00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:39,370 So I may say, don't put together a business plan that 1056 00:52:39,370 --> 00:52:41,189 only gets you to $5 million. 1057 00:52:41,189 --> 00:52:42,480 That could be a great business. 1058 00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:44,720 OK, so don't let me discourage you from that. 1059 00:52:44,720 --> 00:52:47,770 It's most relevant for technology companies. 1060 00:52:47,770 --> 00:52:52,050 So if you're going to start a fast food chain, 1061 00:52:52,050 --> 00:52:54,770 these metrics are not going to apply to you. 1062 00:52:54,770 --> 00:52:57,710 And like I said, it might not apply to your industry. 1063 00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:04,520 Staffing is what's going to drive your expenses, OK? 1064 00:53:04,520 --> 00:53:09,720 Most technology companies, staffing is 50% to 66% 1065 00:53:09,720 --> 00:53:11,100 of your expense. 1066 00:53:11,100 --> 00:53:12,680 And your average cost per employee 1067 00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:15,900 is going to be about $90,000. 1068 00:53:15,900 --> 00:53:18,590 I know it sounds crazy, sounds crazy high. 1069 00:53:18,590 --> 00:53:20,870 But the reality is, in Boston, first 1070 00:53:20,870 --> 00:53:24,740 off is, who has administrative assistants anymore? 1071 00:53:24,740 --> 00:53:28,130 Unless you have like a large manufacturing staff 1072 00:53:28,130 --> 00:53:31,950 that's doing kind of assembly and stuff like that. 1073 00:53:31,950 --> 00:53:34,820 But in most of the companies that you guys are going 1074 00:53:34,820 --> 00:53:38,360 to be starting, it's going to be a lot of technology workers, 1075 00:53:38,360 --> 00:53:40,240 it's going to be a lot of programmers, 1076 00:53:40,240 --> 00:53:43,270 it's going to be a lot of sales and marketing staff, 1077 00:53:43,270 --> 00:53:45,780 it's going to be a few finance people. 1078 00:53:45,780 --> 00:53:47,490 I mean, the finance and HR are probably 1079 00:53:47,490 --> 00:53:49,810 going to be the cheapest people in your company. 1080 00:53:49,810 --> 00:53:50,960 I mean, really. 1081 00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:52,770 A programmer these days, especially 1082 00:53:52,770 --> 00:53:54,850 if you want to get a algorithm engineer, 1083 00:53:54,850 --> 00:53:57,000 algorithm engineer is probably going to cost you 1084 00:53:57,000 --> 00:54:00,070 $125,000, $150,000 a year. 1085 00:54:00,070 --> 00:54:02,410 OK? 1086 00:54:02,410 --> 00:54:05,590 Just a programmer's going to cost you 1087 00:54:05,590 --> 00:54:07,370 $80,000, $90,000, $100,000. 1088 00:54:07,370 --> 00:54:10,310 And these folks are going to want raises every year. 1089 00:54:10,310 --> 00:54:17,890 So salaries are going to come in at about $90,000. 1090 00:54:17,890 --> 00:54:20,920 Employee benefits are going to add about 15% to that. 1091 00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:23,510 So I know you've all heard horror stories about General 1092 00:54:23,510 --> 00:54:26,530 Motors pays their guys $25 an hour, 1093 00:54:26,530 --> 00:54:29,190 but they're true cost is $50 an hour. 1094 00:54:29,190 --> 00:54:31,760 Ignore all that accounting mumbo-jumbo. 1095 00:54:31,760 --> 00:54:35,030 You can add in 15%, and that'll be a pretty good yardstick 1096 00:54:35,030 --> 00:54:37,440 to cover their FICA expenses, which 1097 00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:40,660 is Social Security tax, and their health insurance. 1098 00:54:40,660 --> 00:54:42,180 OK? 1099 00:54:42,180 --> 00:54:45,920 As I said, salaries are going to be about 2/3 of your expenses. 1100 00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:49,040 And sales staff is really industry dependent. 1101 00:54:49,040 --> 00:54:50,990 So I've got some yardsticks on here, 1102 00:54:50,990 --> 00:54:53,330 but it really depends on-- if you 1103 00:54:53,330 --> 00:54:55,930 got a guy who's selling lockers to a school system, 1104 00:54:55,930 --> 00:54:59,490 OK, you can probably get that guy for, I don't know, probably 1105 00:54:59,490 --> 00:55:02,459 $50,000 a year, and maybe give him a 10% commission 1106 00:55:02,459 --> 00:55:03,000 or something. 1107 00:55:03,000 --> 00:55:04,870 Or maybe $40,000 a year. 1108 00:55:04,870 --> 00:55:06,790 So you know, this is not a guy that's 1109 00:55:06,790 --> 00:55:10,360 selling complicated software sale, OK? 1110 00:55:10,360 --> 00:55:12,470 But someone who is selling something like that 1111 00:55:12,470 --> 00:55:18,900 is going to need $150,000 to $250,000 a year. 1112 00:55:18,900 --> 00:55:22,150 So I don't have time to go through a case study here, 1113 00:55:22,150 --> 00:55:29,980 but a couple years ago, I went in when OpenTable 1114 00:55:29,980 --> 00:55:32,400 went public, and just looked at some of their publicly 1115 00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:33,980 available information. 1116 00:55:33,980 --> 00:55:37,030 And this first page is all of the publicly available 1117 00:55:37,030 --> 00:55:37,980 information. 1118 00:55:37,980 --> 00:55:41,720 But I was able to really uncover a lot of things 1119 00:55:41,720 --> 00:55:43,540 about how they ran their business, 1120 00:55:43,540 --> 00:55:46,660 and how they were generating revenue. 1121 00:55:46,660 --> 00:55:49,750 And I would just urge you to look at these next few pages. 1122 00:55:49,750 --> 00:55:51,835 This presentation will be on the website. 1123 00:55:54,720 --> 00:55:58,270 In terms of cash flow, it's critical to understand it. 1124 00:55:58,270 --> 00:56:01,100 But producing a cash flow statement 1125 00:56:01,100 --> 00:56:04,260 is really complicated, and it's really prone to error. 1126 00:56:04,260 --> 00:56:06,090 And the reason is that you have to put 1127 00:56:06,090 --> 00:56:08,030 in all of these formulas, and then 1128 00:56:08,030 --> 00:56:12,460 the plug number that makes all the formulas work is cash. 1129 00:56:12,460 --> 00:56:18,100 So any error in any formula, or anything that you fat-fingered 1130 00:56:18,100 --> 00:56:22,280 wrong shows up as cash. 1131 00:56:22,280 --> 00:56:24,120 And sometimes it's to the negative, 1132 00:56:24,120 --> 00:56:26,840 sometimes it's to the positive. 1133 00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:28,480 Every time I do this, I say I'm going 1134 00:56:28,480 --> 00:56:32,140 to put together a cash flow just so people can look at one. 1135 00:56:32,140 --> 00:56:35,070 And maybe I'll chastise myself, and I'll go home and do this. 1136 00:56:35,070 --> 00:56:37,200 And if I do, I'll send it to Joe. 1137 00:56:37,200 --> 00:56:40,150 But a good proxy for cash flow is just 1138 00:56:40,150 --> 00:56:42,150 looking at your cumulative operating 1139 00:56:42,150 --> 00:56:46,150 losses over the period of time, and adding in any capital 1140 00:56:46,150 --> 00:56:47,780 expenses that you had. 1141 00:56:47,780 --> 00:56:50,030 And while that's not perfect, it's 1142 00:56:50,030 --> 00:56:52,870 a pretty good number for how much money 1143 00:56:52,870 --> 00:56:56,670 this business is going to need. 1144 00:56:56,670 --> 00:57:01,200 So a lot of people ask me, well, how much should I pay myself? 1145 00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:05,650 And venture catalysts, they don't want their entrepreneurs 1146 00:57:05,650 --> 00:57:09,790 to starve, but they want them to be hungry. 1147 00:57:09,790 --> 00:57:14,780 So what I would urge you to do is think about maybe 1148 00:57:14,780 --> 00:57:17,384 what you made before you came back to school. 1149 00:57:17,384 --> 00:57:19,550 I mean, I assume a lot of you are graduate students. 1150 00:57:19,550 --> 00:57:22,240 Or think about what your peers are 1151 00:57:22,240 --> 00:57:24,960 going to make as they're going out into industry. 1152 00:57:24,960 --> 00:57:31,330 Now, if you're in a very specific discipline, 1153 00:57:31,330 --> 00:57:35,010 and your peers are going out to work in that discipline, 1154 00:57:35,010 --> 00:57:37,565 and because-- let's say they're geological engineers, 1155 00:57:37,565 --> 00:57:39,315 and they're going to go up to North Dakota 1156 00:57:39,315 --> 00:57:44,020 and make $250,000 a year because they're helping drill for oil. 1157 00:57:44,020 --> 00:57:45,840 Well, you can't say, well, look, I 1158 00:57:45,840 --> 00:57:49,070 could be drilling for oil in North Dakota for $250,000 1159 00:57:49,070 --> 00:57:49,660 a year. 1160 00:57:49,660 --> 00:57:52,050 Therefore, that's what I need to pay myself. 1161 00:57:52,050 --> 00:57:54,550 So that's kind of an extreme case. 1162 00:57:54,550 --> 00:57:56,520 But think about what your peers are making, 1163 00:57:56,520 --> 00:57:58,590 and generally you can argue that that's 1164 00:57:58,590 --> 00:58:00,280 what you ought to be paid. 1165 00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:02,420 Or what you were getting paid in your prior life, 1166 00:58:02,420 --> 00:58:05,460 unless you were an investment banker in your prior life, 1167 00:58:05,460 --> 00:58:05,960 right? 1168 00:58:09,030 --> 00:58:11,030 Your investors want you to earn a living wage. 1169 00:58:11,030 --> 00:58:13,120 They don't want you to be worried about paying the bills, 1170 00:58:13,120 --> 00:58:14,203 or getting your car fixed. 1171 00:58:14,203 --> 00:58:16,850 They don't want you to work 23 hours a day 1172 00:58:16,850 --> 00:58:19,620 with as few distractions as possible. 1173 00:58:19,620 --> 00:58:21,880 But they want to make sure that you're still hungry, 1174 00:58:21,880 --> 00:58:27,840 and increasing shareholder value every day. 1175 00:58:27,840 --> 00:58:31,480 So here's what we want to get to is our profit and loss 1176 00:58:31,480 --> 00:58:34,250 statement for four years, OK? 1177 00:58:34,250 --> 00:58:37,070 And so I've got this color coded spreadsheet, 1178 00:58:37,070 --> 00:58:39,260 and here's the code here. 1179 00:58:39,260 --> 00:58:42,510 Anything that's in blue comes from another spreadsheet. 1180 00:58:42,510 --> 00:58:44,050 And I've got a little column here 1181 00:58:44,050 --> 00:58:46,550 that you would take out when you actually presented this 1182 00:58:46,550 --> 00:58:51,030 to anyone that says, here, this is coming from the P&L 1183 00:58:51,030 --> 00:58:52,780 by quarter spreadsheet. 1184 00:58:52,780 --> 00:58:56,940 And so this spreadsheet's got about 12 pages on it, right? 1185 00:58:56,940 --> 00:59:00,090 So here's your summary page here, and as you can see, 1186 00:59:00,090 --> 00:59:01,870 everything comes from another page. 1187 00:59:01,870 --> 00:59:04,490 So nothing shows up on this page. 1188 00:59:04,490 --> 00:59:06,714 But as you're putting together your spreadsheet, 1189 00:59:06,714 --> 00:59:08,380 you're going to keep coming back to this 1190 00:59:08,380 --> 00:59:10,040 and say, how does this look? 1191 00:59:10,040 --> 00:59:11,380 Does this make sense? 1192 00:59:11,380 --> 00:59:13,350 Do my sales go like this? 1193 00:59:13,350 --> 00:59:15,440 Or do my expenses go like this? 1194 00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:19,080 Or is everything kind of in a nice, smooth trend line? 1195 00:59:19,080 --> 00:59:21,080 Or if it's not, can I explain it? 1196 00:59:21,080 --> 00:59:24,540 So for example, I might have no marketing expenses in year one. 1197 00:59:24,540 --> 00:59:27,190 I might have a tremendous amount of marketing expenses in year 1198 00:59:27,190 --> 00:59:28,830 two as we launch our product. 1199 00:59:28,830 --> 00:59:31,780 And then those expenses, maybe not in absolute terms, 1200 00:59:31,780 --> 00:59:34,750 but in percentage terms, come down in year three, 1201 00:59:34,750 --> 00:59:40,210 because now we've already reached the market. 1202 00:59:40,210 --> 00:59:43,050 So the next spreadsheet, and this spreadsheet is actually-- 1203 00:59:43,050 --> 00:59:46,020 I would urge you to, at least to start with, 1204 00:59:46,020 --> 00:59:48,879 do for your projections on quarterly terms. 1205 00:59:48,879 --> 00:59:50,420 Because there's a lot of times you're 1206 00:59:50,420 --> 00:59:52,640 going to be fat-fingering stuff in here, 1207 00:59:52,640 --> 00:59:56,250 and when you have 48 cells that you 1208 00:59:56,250 --> 00:59:58,630 have to fat-finger something in, you're 1209 00:59:58,630 --> 01:00:00,670 going to make more errors than if you only 1210 01:00:00,670 --> 01:00:02,730 have 16 to put them in. 1211 01:00:02,730 --> 01:00:05,380 And so this spreadsheet goes out to about here, which 1212 01:00:05,380 --> 01:00:09,900 is year 4, Q4, right? 1213 01:00:09,900 --> 01:00:12,570 But as we can see, everything from our quarterly statement 1214 01:00:12,570 --> 01:00:14,560 also comes from another spreadsheet. 1215 01:00:14,560 --> 01:00:16,440 So let's look at the detailed spreadsheets. 1216 01:00:16,440 --> 01:00:18,680 And the first one is our sales spreadsheet. 1217 01:00:18,680 --> 01:00:21,020 So here, in the red, is input numbers. 1218 01:00:21,020 --> 01:00:24,970 So I've got my unit sales in units, 1219 01:00:24,970 --> 01:00:26,960 and I've just plugged in some numbers here. 1220 01:00:26,960 --> 01:00:29,360 Now, you're going to have to justify these 1221 01:00:29,360 --> 01:00:32,710 in the rest of your projections by what's my sales staff, 1222 01:00:32,710 --> 01:00:38,010 and how much units am I expecting a salesperson 1223 01:00:38,010 --> 01:00:40,040 to sell. 1224 01:00:40,040 --> 01:00:42,990 Here's my unit price, and I've got a couple different models. 1225 01:00:42,990 --> 01:00:46,730 And as you can see, when I launch model two, 1226 01:00:46,730 --> 01:00:49,460 I decrease the price on model one, 1227 01:00:49,460 --> 01:00:54,380 because now it's old technology. 1228 01:00:54,380 --> 01:00:58,830 And so our product revenue is simply a multi-- you know, 1229 01:00:58,830 --> 01:01:00,640 the black is a calculated figure-- 1230 01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:03,700 it's just a multiplication of those two. 1231 01:01:03,700 --> 01:01:05,560 And then the magenta number, that's 1232 01:01:05,560 --> 01:01:09,000 what goes to our other spreadsheet. 1233 01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:14,340 So our support revenue, here's our installed base, 1234 01:01:14,340 --> 01:01:16,690 and there's some retention on our installed base, 1235 01:01:16,690 --> 01:01:19,980 and then we charge 15% of what the value of that product 1236 01:01:19,980 --> 01:01:22,187 is to show what our support revenue would be. 1237 01:01:22,187 --> 01:01:24,020 But you're just going to have to play around 1238 01:01:24,020 --> 01:01:25,750 with these percentages, depending 1239 01:01:25,750 --> 01:01:27,540 on your product and your company. 1240 01:01:27,540 --> 01:01:30,590 But I just wanted to show that there was actually some support 1241 01:01:30,590 --> 01:01:33,250 revenue in it as well, and this support revenue 1242 01:01:33,250 --> 01:01:36,400 goes to the other spreadsheet. 1243 01:01:36,400 --> 01:01:38,500 So then we have our cost of goods sold. 1244 01:01:38,500 --> 01:01:42,240 So we have our units that are coming from our others 1245 01:01:42,240 --> 01:01:52,770 spreadsheet, and we've plugged in our unit cost down here. 1246 01:01:52,770 --> 01:01:55,450 And so this gives us our variable cost per unit. 1247 01:01:55,450 --> 01:01:58,850 We've got the 20 units at $1,500 per unit, comes down 1248 01:01:58,850 --> 01:02:02,390 to $30,000 in material cost. 1249 01:02:02,390 --> 01:02:03,960 But I've also got some staffing. 1250 01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:07,220 I've got a VP of manufacturing, I've got a supervisor, 1251 01:02:07,220 --> 01:02:08,650 I've got a technician. 1252 01:02:08,650 --> 01:02:10,710 He can build one unit a day. 1253 01:02:10,710 --> 01:02:13,220 And so I've got to think about how many technicians I 1254 01:02:13,220 --> 01:02:15,890 need as I ramp up that product volume. 1255 01:02:15,890 --> 01:02:16,390 OK? 1256 01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:26,670 So we'll talk about the staffing plan on another page, 1257 01:02:26,670 --> 01:02:29,050 but those staffing costs get added up 1258 01:02:29,050 --> 01:02:31,160 into salary and benefits. 1259 01:02:31,160 --> 01:02:33,170 We have our variable cost here. 1260 01:02:33,170 --> 01:02:36,910 We have a facilities cost that is really a step function, 1261 01:02:36,910 --> 01:02:39,890 because you can't ramp up facilities in line 1262 01:02:39,890 --> 01:02:43,240 with-- you can't add another 100 square feet, 1263 01:02:43,240 --> 01:02:47,130 you've got to rent 10,000 square feet, and then another 10,000 1264 01:02:47,130 --> 01:02:48,880 square feet if you need more. 1265 01:02:48,880 --> 01:02:50,830 So we just plugged in some numbers 1266 01:02:50,830 --> 01:02:54,550 on our facilities expense, and that gives us our total product 1267 01:02:54,550 --> 01:02:56,650 cost of goods sold here. 1268 01:02:56,650 --> 01:02:58,090 When we look at the staffing plan, 1269 01:02:58,090 --> 01:03:00,131 this is a spreadsheet you're going to keep coming 1270 01:03:00,131 --> 01:03:02,170 back to over and over again, because, as I said, 1271 01:03:02,170 --> 01:03:05,480 this is where 66% of your expenses are going to be. 1272 01:03:05,480 --> 01:03:07,710 So first is, you've got a spreadsheet that 1273 01:03:07,710 --> 01:03:10,950 goes down to about here with all of your departments. 1274 01:03:10,950 --> 01:03:14,200 And I would urge you, don't create too many lines in here. 1275 01:03:14,200 --> 01:03:16,920 Don't create a junior programmer, senior programmer, 1276 01:03:16,920 --> 01:03:18,620 programmer level three. 1277 01:03:18,620 --> 01:03:20,860 You know, kind of glom things together, 1278 01:03:20,860 --> 01:03:23,380 because you're going to be fat-fingering a lot of stuff 1279 01:03:23,380 --> 01:03:23,880 in. 1280 01:03:23,880 --> 01:03:26,690 And do the same thing with their salaries. 1281 01:03:26,690 --> 01:03:30,580 If a junior programmer makes $80,000, 1282 01:03:30,580 --> 01:03:33,340 and a programmer makes $100,000, and a senior programmer makes 1283 01:03:33,340 --> 01:03:36,550 $120,000, just put in programmer, 1284 01:03:36,550 --> 01:03:38,990 put them all in at $100,000. 1285 01:03:38,990 --> 01:03:46,070 You know, again, this is going to be your guideline, right? 1286 01:03:48,610 --> 01:03:51,040 So you've got this for all of your departments down here, 1287 01:03:51,040 --> 01:03:53,790 and again, this spreadsheet goes all the way out to here. 1288 01:03:53,790 --> 01:03:56,450 So the companion part to this spreadsheet 1289 01:03:56,450 --> 01:03:59,950 is actually over on the right side of this thing. 1290 01:03:59,950 --> 01:04:03,980 And now you plug in salaries for each of these staffing 1291 01:04:03,980 --> 01:04:05,030 positions. 1292 01:04:05,030 --> 01:04:11,000 And all this spreadsheet does is take your number of employees, 1293 01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:12,580 and remember, this is a quarterly, 1294 01:04:12,580 --> 01:04:15,200 so we're taking the annual salary, dividing it by 4, 1295 01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:18,100 multiplying it by the number of people in that position, 1296 01:04:18,100 --> 01:04:22,400 and then we're adding in our benefits at 15%. 1297 01:04:22,400 --> 01:04:24,390 So FICA is 7%. 1298 01:04:24,390 --> 01:04:29,150 And I've done the math, I've done the math dozens of times, 1299 01:04:29,150 --> 01:04:33,830 8% of your total payroll is usually 1300 01:04:33,830 --> 01:04:37,660 enough to cover health insurance for everyone, 1301 01:04:37,660 --> 01:04:41,130 at kind of a 75% to 25% ratio. 1302 01:04:41,130 --> 01:04:43,310 Because some people aren't going to take it. 1303 01:04:43,310 --> 01:04:45,907 Some people are going to be on their spouse's plan. 1304 01:04:45,907 --> 01:04:47,490 If you're a tech company, you're going 1305 01:04:47,490 --> 01:04:50,770 to have a lot of single people, so they cost about a third 1306 01:04:50,770 --> 01:04:52,610 as much as the married people. 1307 01:04:52,610 --> 01:04:55,990 And so 8% works out to be pretty good. 1308 01:04:55,990 --> 01:04:58,000 But your employees are still going 1309 01:04:58,000 --> 01:04:59,620 to want to get raises in year two. 1310 01:04:59,620 --> 01:05:01,670 Just because you're a start up, they still 1311 01:05:01,670 --> 01:05:03,070 want a little something extra. 1312 01:05:03,070 --> 01:05:05,290 And as I mentioned, a lot of companies 1313 01:05:05,290 --> 01:05:07,130 have problems getting those expenses up 1314 01:05:07,130 --> 01:05:10,697 in years three and four because they don't add people enough. 1315 01:05:10,697 --> 01:05:12,280 One of the things that people don't do 1316 01:05:12,280 --> 01:05:14,230 is they don't ramp up their salaries. 1317 01:05:14,230 --> 01:05:19,040 So add in 2% a quarter, that gives you 8% a year. 1318 01:05:19,040 --> 01:05:21,000 It's not an unreasonable number. 1319 01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:25,800 And again, while most payrolls are going up kind of 3% 1320 01:05:25,800 --> 01:05:30,772 these days, if you're trying to hold on to technology talent, 1321 01:05:30,772 --> 01:05:33,230 you're going to have to give them a little something extra. 1322 01:05:33,230 --> 01:05:36,000 So again, this goes out-- just add 2% a year out 1323 01:05:36,000 --> 01:05:37,160 until year four. 1324 01:05:37,160 --> 01:05:39,340 And so the math gets done, and these go 1325 01:05:39,340 --> 01:05:42,760 to the departmental expenses. 1326 01:05:42,760 --> 01:05:44,970 Non-salary expenses. 1327 01:05:44,970 --> 01:05:46,480 Well, we've got our salary expenses, 1328 01:05:46,480 --> 01:05:51,380 and then you've got tech supplies and miscellaneous. 1329 01:05:51,380 --> 01:05:54,820 I would urge you to put in as many formulas as you can. 1330 01:05:54,820 --> 01:05:59,520 So for like your programmers, put in $2,000 per person, 1331 01:05:59,520 --> 01:06:00,020 per month. 1332 01:06:00,020 --> 01:06:03,800 It sounds like a lot, but I've worked in a couple technology 1333 01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:07,780 companies, and it could be an oscilloscope, 1334 01:06:07,780 --> 01:06:11,090 it could be some cabling, it could be some CAD software. 1335 01:06:11,090 --> 01:06:13,940 Whatever it is, these guys can figure out a way to spin it. 1336 01:06:13,940 --> 01:06:16,870 If that sounds like too much to you, put in $1,000 a month. 1337 01:06:16,870 --> 01:06:19,710 But the beauty of that is that, as you change your staffing 1338 01:06:19,710 --> 01:06:23,679 plan, this number just ramps up and down in line with that. 1339 01:06:23,679 --> 01:06:25,970 So you can make dramatic changes to your staffing plan, 1340 01:06:25,970 --> 01:06:29,465 you don't have to come back here and fat-finger anything in. 1341 01:06:29,465 --> 01:06:31,590 But some of these things, you are going to have to, 1342 01:06:31,590 --> 01:06:33,030 especially in the marketing area. 1343 01:06:33,030 --> 01:06:36,310 You're going to have to decide, what trade shows do I go to, 1344 01:06:36,310 --> 01:06:42,040 and what am I going to do for sales expenses? 1345 01:06:45,520 --> 01:06:48,910 And then you could even put in commissions 1346 01:06:48,910 --> 01:06:52,300 in here, commissions as a percentage of sales, 1347 01:06:52,300 --> 01:06:53,980 if that seems to work. 1348 01:06:53,980 --> 01:06:56,350 And so therefore, as your cells ramp up, 1349 01:06:56,350 --> 01:07:00,550 your commissions ramp up in line with that. 1350 01:07:00,550 --> 01:07:04,230 And here's your travel per person per month for your sales 1351 01:07:04,230 --> 01:07:06,500 people is $3,000. 1352 01:07:06,500 --> 01:07:09,890 That seems to be pretty good number there. 1353 01:07:09,890 --> 01:07:12,480 I put in telephone and internet per person, 1354 01:07:12,480 --> 01:07:15,170 and that just ramps up as your company ramps up. 1355 01:07:15,170 --> 01:07:18,940 So use as many formulas in this as you can. 1356 01:07:18,940 --> 01:07:23,480 And so that brings us back to our quarterly P&L, 1357 01:07:23,480 --> 01:07:27,570 and where it all comes together. 1358 01:07:27,570 --> 01:07:30,500 I've got a quick example here on your CAPEX. 1359 01:07:30,500 --> 01:07:33,050 And so what I did was I took your total revenues, 1360 01:07:33,050 --> 01:07:36,220 but I offset revenues by a quarter, 1361 01:07:36,220 --> 01:07:38,590 figuring that customers are going 1362 01:07:38,590 --> 01:07:41,830 to take 60 to 90 days to pay. 1363 01:07:41,830 --> 01:07:44,520 So if you bill them now, assume that you're 1364 01:07:44,520 --> 01:07:47,320 going to get money 90 days from now, right? 1365 01:07:47,320 --> 01:07:50,860 And hopefully, you'll get it sooner. 1366 01:07:50,860 --> 01:07:52,589 But your other expense is your employees, 1367 01:07:52,589 --> 01:07:53,880 which are 2/3 of your expenses. 1368 01:07:53,880 --> 01:07:55,960 They want to get paid on payday, right? 1369 01:07:55,960 --> 01:07:57,970 They don't want to get paid 30 days from now. 1370 01:07:57,970 --> 01:07:59,550 So I just assumed-- you know, this 1371 01:07:59,550 --> 01:08:03,180 is a little bit of a conservative look at it-- 1372 01:08:03,180 --> 01:08:08,120 but I assume your other expenses come due in the current period. 1373 01:08:08,120 --> 01:08:13,170 And so based on that, you plug in a starting balance here, 1374 01:08:13,170 --> 01:08:17,140 and you say, where does this money get us to? 1375 01:08:17,140 --> 01:08:22,920 This money gets us to the end of Q3. 1376 01:08:22,920 --> 01:08:26,180 In that case, I'm going to need to raise additional money, 1377 01:08:26,180 --> 01:08:29,080 and how much money am I going to have to raise there to get us 1378 01:08:29,080 --> 01:08:30,710 to the next milestone? 1379 01:08:30,710 --> 01:08:32,460 So in this case, I said, well, maybe we've 1380 01:08:32,460 --> 01:08:34,830 hit a milestone here at the end of Q3, 1381 01:08:34,830 --> 01:08:36,760 and that's going to allow us to raise 1382 01:08:36,760 --> 01:08:38,189 our next round of funding. 1383 01:08:38,189 --> 01:08:38,689 OK? 1384 01:08:41,330 --> 01:08:42,890 I've talked about most of these. 1385 01:08:42,890 --> 01:08:47,020 Showing steady and consistent growth. 1386 01:08:47,020 --> 01:08:48,790 And here's some suggestions in here, 1387 01:08:48,790 --> 01:08:52,010 in terms of an executive summary versus a full blown business 1388 01:08:52,010 --> 01:08:52,510 plan. 1389 01:08:52,510 --> 01:08:56,046 In reality, the executive summary 1390 01:08:56,046 --> 01:08:58,045 is all most people are going to want to look at, 1391 01:08:58,045 --> 01:08:59,858 at the beginning, and then when they really 1392 01:08:59,858 --> 01:09:01,399 get into due diligence, they're going 1393 01:09:01,399 --> 01:09:04,390 to want to look at the rest. 1394 01:09:04,390 --> 01:09:07,979 So I think I can get through the rest of this in five minutes, 1395 01:09:07,979 --> 01:09:11,430 because I've gone over a lot of it. 1396 01:09:11,430 --> 01:09:14,069 What I would say, as you think about equity in your company-- 1397 01:09:14,069 --> 01:09:18,870 you're sitting around a conference table here at MIT, 1398 01:09:18,870 --> 01:09:21,220 and you're thinking about the company, 1399 01:09:21,220 --> 01:09:26,060 or maybe you've been working on the company for the last two 1400 01:09:26,060 --> 01:09:28,420 years and you're really ready to launch it-- 1401 01:09:28,420 --> 01:09:32,149 all I would urge you is that the work that is yet to be done 1402 01:09:32,149 --> 01:09:34,990 is far more than the work that has been done already. 1403 01:09:34,990 --> 01:09:38,240 Even though it feels like you've done a tremendous amount, 1404 01:09:38,240 --> 01:09:42,050 the work that it takes growing to a $1 million dollars 1405 01:09:42,050 --> 01:09:42,979 is hard. 1406 01:09:42,979 --> 01:09:45,770 But growing from $1 million to $10 million 1407 01:09:45,770 --> 01:09:48,490 is equally hard, if not harder. 1408 01:09:48,490 --> 01:09:52,750 And going from $10 million to $100 million is really hard. 1409 01:09:52,750 --> 01:09:56,870 So the fact that a lot has been accomplished, 1410 01:09:56,870 --> 01:09:59,050 there's still a lot left to do. 1411 01:09:59,050 --> 01:10:03,670 So you don't want to reward people for what's 1412 01:10:03,670 --> 01:10:04,860 been done in the past. 1413 01:10:04,860 --> 01:10:09,160 You want to incentivize them to do things in the future. 1414 01:10:09,160 --> 01:10:13,800 So I'm a big believer that everyone should vest. 1415 01:10:13,800 --> 01:10:15,690 I used to be adamantly against this 1416 01:10:15,690 --> 01:10:17,740 when I was a member of a founding team. 1417 01:10:17,740 --> 01:10:20,570 But I've heard horror stories where three or four people 1418 01:10:20,570 --> 01:10:24,430 get together, and one guy, or one person, 1419 01:10:24,430 --> 01:10:26,760 gets an opportunity that they can't pass up 1420 01:10:26,760 --> 01:10:29,880 and they leave with their 25% of the company. 1421 01:10:29,880 --> 01:10:32,280 And then the three people that are left 1422 01:10:32,280 --> 01:10:37,080 are now working for themselves, and not 1423 01:10:37,080 --> 01:10:41,560 taking a paycheck, for someone who's actually got a great job. 1424 01:10:41,560 --> 01:10:45,670 So I think everyone should vest over some kind of three or four 1425 01:10:45,670 --> 01:10:47,630 your period. 1426 01:10:47,630 --> 01:10:51,246 Typically, this is the ranges that you would see. 1427 01:10:51,246 --> 01:10:55,450 A CEO in the 5% range, 5% to maybe 10%. 1428 01:10:55,450 --> 01:10:57,590 VPs in the 1% to 2 and 1/2%. 1429 01:10:57,590 --> 01:11:00,160 This would be after dilution. 1430 01:11:00,160 --> 01:11:04,490 Senior managers about 0.25%, and a senior individual contributor 1431 01:11:04,490 --> 01:11:06,790 about 0.10%. 1432 01:11:06,790 --> 01:11:12,350 If you're on the founding management team, 1433 01:11:12,350 --> 01:11:16,560 you might get two to three times this amount, in part 1434 01:11:16,560 --> 01:11:18,596 because you're going to get diluted. 1435 01:11:18,596 --> 01:11:20,970 And if you're founding employee, you might get even more. 1436 01:11:20,970 --> 01:11:26,147 So if you have a senior individual contributor, 1437 01:11:26,147 --> 01:11:27,730 who's really important to the company, 1438 01:11:27,730 --> 01:11:31,300 and he's going to get 0.10%, that's the kind of person you 1439 01:11:31,300 --> 01:11:37,570 might give 0.25% or 0.50% up front. 1440 01:11:37,570 --> 01:11:39,920 So let's look at some examples here. 1441 01:11:39,920 --> 01:11:43,910 You get a sense I always like to look at the endpoint, 1442 01:11:43,910 --> 01:11:45,514 and then go back to the beginning 1443 01:11:45,514 --> 01:11:47,680 and figure out how I'm going to get to the endpoint. 1444 01:11:47,680 --> 01:11:50,620 So my endpoint here is looking at this whole dilution, 1445 01:11:50,620 --> 01:11:52,215 and here this is the same spreadsheet 1446 01:11:52,215 --> 01:11:54,060 that we had earlier, I've just add 1447 01:11:54,060 --> 01:11:56,430 a little more detail with some names here, 1448 01:11:56,430 --> 01:11:59,130 and some specifics about the people. 1449 01:11:59,130 --> 01:12:03,450 So looking at this point, this is where we're going to get to. 1450 01:12:03,450 --> 01:12:05,800 But at the beginning, we have four founders 1451 01:12:05,800 --> 01:12:08,520 that have split the equity $2 million, $1 million, 1452 01:12:08,520 --> 01:12:09,580 and $1 million. 1453 01:12:09,580 --> 01:12:12,240 OK, that all sounds well and good. 1454 01:12:12,240 --> 01:12:13,800 They have 100% here. 1455 01:12:13,800 --> 01:12:16,040 As we bring in our key employees-- here 1456 01:12:16,040 --> 01:12:18,410 we have a VP of R&D. He's critical. 1457 01:12:18,410 --> 01:12:22,580 Normally, you'd say a VP of R&D would get about 1%. 1458 01:12:22,580 --> 01:12:26,550 Well, in reality, by the time we get out to this, 1459 01:12:26,550 --> 01:12:29,590 after all of our dilution out here, this VP of R&D 1460 01:12:29,590 --> 01:12:31,290 is going to be at 1%. 1461 01:12:34,270 --> 01:12:36,270 And some other key employees here. 1462 01:12:36,270 --> 01:12:39,080 And maybe a board of advisors or board members, 1463 01:12:39,080 --> 01:12:40,680 who would get some equity. 1464 01:12:40,680 --> 01:12:43,670 We then bring in our angel investors, who get 10%, 1465 01:12:43,670 --> 01:12:45,790 and everyone up here gets diluted. 1466 01:12:45,790 --> 01:12:49,290 And we then bring in our VC round at 50%, 1467 01:12:49,290 --> 01:12:52,560 and, again, everyone up above gets diluted, 1468 01:12:52,560 --> 01:12:54,010 including the angels. 1469 01:12:54,010 --> 01:12:56,520 One of the things that got brought up-- you know, 1470 01:12:56,520 --> 01:13:00,020 Axel was talking about $50 for 10%. 1471 01:13:00,020 --> 01:13:04,360 And my initial reaction was that seems really onerous. 1472 01:13:04,360 --> 01:13:07,190 It doesn't seem like a great deal. 1473 01:13:07,190 --> 01:13:11,080 But when you realize that he's coming in at this stage, 1474 01:13:11,080 --> 01:13:15,300 he's coming in really as the angel investor, 1475 01:13:15,300 --> 01:13:19,340 and by the time this all gets done-- well, what's my example? 1476 01:13:19,340 --> 01:13:21,250 My example actually works out. 1477 01:13:21,250 --> 01:13:23,700 Just take a zero off of this. 1478 01:13:23,700 --> 01:13:28,600 His 10% is going to get diluted down to 2.3%. 1479 01:13:28,600 --> 01:13:35,310 So if you're getting all that other value, then that 2.3% 1480 01:13:35,310 --> 01:13:39,060 doesn't seem to be too much to give up. 1481 01:13:39,060 --> 01:13:42,590 I will say that angel investors are pretty keen on looking 1482 01:13:42,590 --> 01:13:44,450 at this spreadsheet, too. 1483 01:13:44,450 --> 01:13:48,530 And while a lot of people think that angel investors will not 1484 01:13:48,530 --> 01:13:53,210 be as tough negotiators as the VC investors, 1485 01:13:53,210 --> 01:13:56,820 I would argue they're investing their own money rather than 1486 01:13:56,820 --> 01:14:00,470 the firm's money, and they have seen this spreadsheet as well, 1487 01:14:00,470 --> 01:14:08,220 and the angel investors will be every bit as tough as the VC 1488 01:14:08,220 --> 01:14:09,350 negotiations. 1489 01:14:09,350 --> 01:14:12,280 Now, friends and family is a different story. 1490 01:14:12,280 --> 01:14:15,850 And I've had very good success with friends and family coming 1491 01:14:15,850 --> 01:14:18,060 in, but I mean they're your friends and family. 1492 01:14:18,060 --> 01:14:20,200 You're not going to try and screw them over. 1493 01:14:20,200 --> 01:14:23,990 So hopefully you're going to give them a fair deal 1494 01:14:23,990 --> 01:14:25,080 to begin with. 1495 01:14:25,080 --> 01:14:28,330 So it's 9 o'clock on the dot. 1496 01:14:28,330 --> 01:14:30,710 I can take one or two questions, but then I 1497 01:14:30,710 --> 01:14:34,440 know that Joe's going to shut me off. 1498 01:14:34,440 --> 01:14:37,460 Any-- OK, one here. 1499 01:14:37,460 --> 01:14:40,750 AUDIENCE: What are the usual terms on the vests 1500 01:14:40,750 --> 01:14:43,570 with the original founders? 1501 01:14:43,570 --> 01:14:45,690 CHARLIE TILLETT: I think over four years, 1502 01:14:45,690 --> 01:14:50,440 what you might say-- so four years with quarterly vesting. 1503 01:14:50,440 --> 01:14:52,640 I mean, you could do monthly, but I mean it really 1504 01:14:52,640 --> 01:14:54,330 doesn't matter at that point. 1505 01:14:54,330 --> 01:15:00,010 So four year vesting with 1/16 every quarter. 1506 01:15:00,010 --> 01:15:01,800 Or you what you could say is, let's say 1507 01:15:01,800 --> 01:15:06,210 you've been working together for a year, 1508 01:15:06,210 --> 01:15:09,520 you say, everyone starts with 20% vested, 1509 01:15:09,520 --> 01:15:13,280 and then the remaining 80% vests over four years, 1510 01:15:13,280 --> 01:15:14,200 or three years. 1511 01:15:14,200 --> 01:15:16,380 Something like that, just so that someone 1512 01:15:16,380 --> 01:15:19,020 doesn't get cold feet when they going 1513 01:15:19,020 --> 01:15:23,268 starts to get tough and bail on the rest the team. 1514 01:15:23,268 --> 01:15:27,100 AUDIENCE: So if they leave after two years, would they still get 1515 01:15:27,100 --> 01:15:29,834 the part they had before, or would they-- 1516 01:15:29,834 --> 01:15:30,750 CHARLIE TILLETT: Yeah. 1517 01:15:30,750 --> 01:15:33,010 So let's say you were going to get 1518 01:15:33,010 --> 01:15:35,730 160,000 shares over four years. 1519 01:15:35,730 --> 01:15:38,930 That would be $40,000 a year, or $10,000 a quarter. 1520 01:15:38,930 --> 01:15:41,600 Every quarter, you vest $10,000. 1521 01:15:41,600 --> 01:15:45,170 So if you leave after two years, you have your 80,000 shares, 1522 01:15:45,170 --> 01:15:48,600 and you go, and they're yours. 1523 01:15:48,600 --> 01:15:53,845 And the $80,000 that you didn't invest-- 1524 01:15:53,845 --> 01:15:55,970 look, if you thought it was going to be successful, 1525 01:15:55,970 --> 01:15:57,370 you shouldn't be leaving. 1526 01:15:57,370 --> 01:16:00,995 So you've left that, and those are gone. 1527 01:16:00,995 --> 01:16:02,578 AUDIENCE: I was wondering if you could 1528 01:16:02,578 --> 01:16:04,161 talk a little bit about the difference 1529 01:16:04,161 --> 01:16:06,554 between the CEOs and the CFOs? 1530 01:16:06,554 --> 01:16:09,701 First, the difference, B, whether a start-up needs 1531 01:16:09,701 --> 01:16:12,701 a CFO at a very early stage, and the last part 1532 01:16:12,701 --> 01:16:15,631 is, you know, who makes the decision? 1533 01:16:15,631 --> 01:16:18,130 CHARLIE TILLETT: Well, look the CEO makes all the decisions. 1534 01:16:18,130 --> 01:16:21,173 I serve at the pleasure of the CEO. 1535 01:16:21,173 --> 01:16:26,930 But the CFO-- I think by the time 1536 01:16:26,930 --> 01:16:30,580 you take your first venture money, 1537 01:16:30,580 --> 01:16:34,020 first off you have the money to pay a CFO, 1538 01:16:34,020 --> 01:16:36,470 and it will be money well spent. 1539 01:16:36,470 --> 01:16:39,600 Because as I showed you, all those rounds of financing 1540 01:16:39,600 --> 01:16:44,340 at Reveal, I can't tell you how much dilution 1541 01:16:44,340 --> 01:16:48,800 I saved my founders by thinking ahead 1542 01:16:48,800 --> 01:16:51,960 about what we needed to do. 1543 01:16:51,960 --> 01:16:58,300 So I saved my salary and equity for him, you know, 1544 01:16:58,300 --> 01:17:00,860 10 times over. 1545 01:17:00,860 --> 01:17:01,870 But we did have a deal. 1546 01:17:01,870 --> 01:17:04,520 For the very first year, I worked half time 1547 01:17:04,520 --> 01:17:06,060 for half salary. 1548 01:17:06,060 --> 01:17:11,840 And then, we agreed that as the company-- I was in a position 1549 01:17:11,840 --> 01:17:13,260 where I could work half time. 1550 01:17:13,260 --> 01:17:16,080 And so I think it's good to have-- maybe you 1551 01:17:16,080 --> 01:17:21,560 have a mentor advisor for that first year and a controller. 1552 01:17:21,560 --> 01:17:26,210 But the problem is, is that you really want someone, 1553 01:17:26,210 --> 01:17:28,260 especially when you start raising money, 1554 01:17:28,260 --> 01:17:31,710 you want someone who's been through the process before. 1555 01:17:31,710 --> 01:17:36,510 And they will save you-- you know, 1556 01:17:36,510 --> 01:17:41,080 an experienced person will save you a couple percent 1557 01:17:41,080 --> 01:17:43,100 of dilution right off the bat. 1558 01:17:43,100 --> 01:17:44,130 So what's that worth? 1559 01:17:44,130 --> 01:17:44,755 It all depends. 1560 01:17:44,755 --> 01:17:48,650 So you sell your company for $200 million, it's worth a lot. 1561 01:17:48,650 --> 01:17:51,227 OK, maybe one more. 1562 01:17:51,227 --> 01:17:52,810 Oh, looks like I've gotten everything. 1563 01:17:52,810 --> 01:17:53,900 So thank you very much. 1564 01:17:53,900 --> 01:17:55,069 [APPLAUSE]