1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,445 [MUSIC PLAYING] 2 00:00:10,077 --> 00:00:12,160 CARLOS DE LA TORRE: My name is Carlos de la Torre, 3 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:14,880 and I am a [? BCTN ?] scholar with the Malaysia Sustainable 4 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:19,020 Cities Program, a joint MIT-UTM initiative. 5 00:00:19,020 --> 00:00:21,640 I am a former revenue advisor with the State Government 6 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,140 of Madhya Pradesh, India and with the Ministries 7 00:00:24,140 --> 00:00:26,410 of Finance of Cambodia and Indonesia. 8 00:00:26,410 --> 00:00:29,170 During this video, I would like to talk to you about how 9 00:00:29,170 --> 00:00:31,450 a complimentary bottom-up approach may 10 00:00:31,450 --> 00:00:34,000 improve the rate of success in energy subsidy 11 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:35,500 reform in Malaysia. 12 00:00:35,500 --> 00:00:38,700 First, let me give you some background on energy subsidies 13 00:00:38,700 --> 00:00:41,490 and subsidy reform initiatives in Malaysia. 14 00:00:41,490 --> 00:00:45,260 Authorities have adopted fossil fuel energy subsidies 15 00:00:45,260 --> 00:00:47,730 to provide temporary or permanent buffer 16 00:00:47,730 --> 00:00:50,540 against changes in international oil prices, 17 00:00:50,540 --> 00:00:53,200 support a state-owned energy companies 18 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:55,620 as a component of industrial policy, 19 00:00:55,620 --> 00:00:59,500 and provide access to energy services to low income groups. 20 00:00:59,500 --> 00:01:01,620 Over time, authorities have realized 21 00:01:01,620 --> 00:01:05,140 that energy subsidies have several unintended consequences 22 00:01:05,140 --> 00:01:06,340 and costs. 23 00:01:06,340 --> 00:01:08,260 Energy subsidies have been associated 24 00:01:08,260 --> 00:01:11,600 with fiscal imbalances, displaced priority [INAUDIBLE] 25 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:15,310 spending, and overspending in road infrastructure, 26 00:01:15,310 --> 00:01:18,530 excessive energy consumption, and under-investment 27 00:01:18,530 --> 00:01:23,270 in existing electric utilities and in renewable energy, 28 00:01:23,270 --> 00:01:26,020 degradation of local air quality. 29 00:01:26,020 --> 00:01:28,360 An inequity of subsidies are captured 30 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,410 by higher income households. 31 00:01:30,410 --> 00:01:33,120 In Malaysia, the cost of energy subsidies 32 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:41,260 have been estimated at 6% of GDP, or $24.2 billion in 2015. 33 00:01:41,260 --> 00:01:43,080 The estimate would be conservative, 34 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:46,950 if it excludes, for example, tax incentives and government loan 35 00:01:46,950 --> 00:01:50,760 guarantees to the fossil fuel industry in Malaysia. 36 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:52,900 In order to reform energy subsidies, 37 00:01:52,900 --> 00:01:56,340 authorities have used executive orders alone, 38 00:01:56,340 --> 00:02:00,900 or executive orders followed by legislative budget approvals. 39 00:02:00,900 --> 00:02:04,640 This process in both a limited number of key stakeholders, 40 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:08,210 such as the Ministry of Finance and high-ranking executive 41 00:02:08,210 --> 00:02:09,509 branch officials. 42 00:02:09,509 --> 00:02:11,760 The measures were developed with the belief 43 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:15,130 that this approach was faster and the information at hand 44 00:02:15,130 --> 00:02:16,720 was reliable enough. 45 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:19,110 Unfortunately, the absence of support 46 00:02:19,110 --> 00:02:21,250 by key stakeholders for subsidy reform 47 00:02:21,250 --> 00:02:24,930 reflects a lack of confidence in the ability of governments 48 00:02:24,930 --> 00:02:27,710 to reallocate the resulting budgetary savings 49 00:02:27,710 --> 00:02:30,840 to the next best alternative for the overall benefit 50 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:34,090 of the population, concerns that vulnerable groups would not 51 00:02:34,090 --> 00:02:37,720 be protected, and an understanding that subsidies 52 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:39,990 are a mechanism to distribute the benefits 53 00:02:39,990 --> 00:02:42,900 of natural resource endowments to the population 54 00:02:42,900 --> 00:02:45,960 in the absence of targeted social programs. 55 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:47,940 Depending on the context, authorities 56 00:02:47,940 --> 00:02:50,400 can develop a series of simple steps 57 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,270 to incorporate a complimentary bottom-up approach 58 00:02:53,270 --> 00:02:55,710 to the prevailing top-down approach, 59 00:02:55,710 --> 00:02:58,110 so as to improve the likelihood of success 60 00:02:58,110 --> 00:03:00,160 in an energy subsidy reform. 61 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:02,160 In the first step, authorities need 62 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,770 to identify key stakeholders and how they relate to each other. 63 00:03:05,770 --> 00:03:09,020 Taking the case of electricity tariff reform in Malaysia, 64 00:03:09,020 --> 00:03:12,240 authorities can identify as key stakeholders 65 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,830 the state-owned oil and gas company providing gas inputs 66 00:03:15,830 --> 00:03:18,480 to the system, the Minister of Finance, 67 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:21,700 the Prime Minister's office, the consumers of electricity 68 00:03:21,700 --> 00:03:24,507 services, and the environment, represented 69 00:03:24,507 --> 00:03:25,965 by the Ministry of the Environment, 70 00:03:25,965 --> 00:03:28,160 and environmental groups, or both. 71 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:30,040 In the second step, authorities need 72 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,660 to assess the performance of the stakeholders 73 00:03:32,660 --> 00:03:34,350 and society as a whole. 74 00:03:34,350 --> 00:03:37,680 Taking the case of electricity tariff reform in Malaysia, 75 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,560 authorities realize that energy subsidies 76 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:43,750 have led to more energy consumption, lower government 77 00:03:43,750 --> 00:03:47,570 revenues, and potentially more local air pollution. 78 00:03:47,570 --> 00:03:50,750 In step three, once key issues are identified 79 00:03:50,750 --> 00:03:53,740 and rules for respectful exchange and problem solving 80 00:03:53,740 --> 00:03:57,000 are agreed upon, key stakeholders and authorities 81 00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:59,290 can begin to consider alternatives. 82 00:03:59,290 --> 00:04:02,810 Taking the case of electricity tariff reform in Malaysia, 83 00:04:02,810 --> 00:04:05,370 stakeholders and authorities can consider 84 00:04:05,370 --> 00:04:10,070 alternatives incorporating changes in tariff levels, 85 00:04:10,070 --> 00:04:12,390 changes in tax incentives that will affect 86 00:04:12,390 --> 00:04:16,120 the cost of capital, a cash transfer program for low income 87 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:18,740 families, or a combination. 88 00:04:18,740 --> 00:04:21,320 Each alternative will represent a different position 89 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:24,470 for each stakeholder and for the society as a whole. 90 00:04:24,470 --> 00:04:26,490 Two or three alternatives are then 91 00:04:26,490 --> 00:04:30,290 selected for a final evaluation against commonly agreed 92 00:04:30,290 --> 00:04:31,530 criteria. 93 00:04:31,530 --> 00:04:34,570 In the final step, authorities and key stakeholders 94 00:04:34,570 --> 00:04:37,630 select the alternative that accommodates their interest. 95 00:04:37,630 --> 00:04:40,640 Taking the case of electricity tariff reform in Malaysia, 96 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:43,000 authorities and stakeholders select 97 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:47,040 the package of tariff rate, tax incentive, and cash transfer 98 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:49,490 program measures that meet their interests, 99 00:04:49,490 --> 00:04:51,390 and the selection criteria. 100 00:04:51,390 --> 00:04:54,320 Now, the selected package can incorporate into the budget 101 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:56,280 process as a budget proposal. 102 00:04:56,280 --> 00:04:59,110 In summary, a complimentary bottom-up approach 103 00:04:59,110 --> 00:05:02,870 helps generate more information, capacity, and trust, 104 00:05:02,870 --> 00:05:04,860 to implement subsidy reforms. 105 00:05:04,860 --> 00:05:07,900 This approach, alongside a top-down one, 106 00:05:07,900 --> 00:05:10,920 should improve the rate of success of energy subsidy 107 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:11,840 reforms. 108 00:05:11,840 --> 00:05:13,580 In this presentation, we have used 109 00:05:13,580 --> 00:05:16,890 the case of electricity tariff reform in Malaysia 110 00:05:16,890 --> 00:05:20,140 to explain in detail the steps suggested. 111 00:05:20,140 --> 00:05:22,740 However, the same steps can be tailored 112 00:05:22,740 --> 00:05:25,270 to the different contexts faced by authorities 113 00:05:25,270 --> 00:05:26,870 in other countries. 114 00:05:26,870 --> 00:05:29,620 [MUSIC PLAYING]