1 00:00:10,380 --> 00:00:12,100 Today I want to talk about the importance 2 00:00:12,100 --> 00:00:15,150 of the basic education system, and the theme 3 00:00:15,150 --> 00:00:18,630 is going to be that it's a necessary, but not sufficient 4 00:00:18,630 --> 00:00:21,450 strategy, for education for the future. 5 00:00:21,450 --> 00:00:25,240 We're all familiar with the basic education model. 6 00:00:25,240 --> 00:00:28,730 We start in kindergarten and go through grade school 7 00:00:28,730 --> 00:00:29,870 through high school. 8 00:00:29,870 --> 00:00:32,560 Hopefully go on to a two- or a four-year college 9 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:34,240 and maybe even to graduate school. 10 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:37,930 Then we enter the labor force and we start our working career 11 00:00:37,930 --> 00:00:40,570 after we complete our education. 12 00:00:40,570 --> 00:00:43,330 Well that model no longer works. 13 00:00:43,330 --> 00:00:46,230 Today, we have to think about lifelong learning 14 00:00:46,230 --> 00:00:49,250 because technologies are changing, 15 00:00:49,250 --> 00:00:52,440 the job market is changing in unpredictable ways, 16 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:54,220 and new ways of working are going 17 00:00:54,220 --> 00:00:55,890 to continue to come along. 18 00:00:55,890 --> 00:00:59,220 They're going to require us to refresh our skills. 19 00:00:59,220 --> 00:01:01,860 As this graph shows, the evidence is clear. 20 00:01:01,860 --> 00:01:04,440 High school dropouts are really doomed 21 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,470 to a lifetime of poverty wages. 22 00:01:07,470 --> 00:01:11,220 On average they earn about $24,000 a year. 23 00:01:11,220 --> 00:01:15,850 High school graduates get to about $34,000 a year, 24 00:01:15,850 --> 00:01:19,210 and college graduates get to about $55,000 25 00:01:19,210 --> 00:01:20,880 a year average income. 26 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,940 So the key lesson of this graph is, by all means, 27 00:01:24,940 --> 00:01:27,180 every one must finish high school 28 00:01:27,180 --> 00:01:29,750 and hopefully go beyond that. 29 00:01:29,750 --> 00:01:34,080 But you could say the same thing for high school graduation. 30 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,030 College still pays off. 31 00:01:36,030 --> 00:01:39,640 This graph shows the difference in median earnings 32 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,120 of high school and college graduates, 33 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,690 and you'll see that it's been growing over time. 34 00:01:44,690 --> 00:01:47,310 That's both for men and for women. 35 00:01:47,310 --> 00:01:51,250 The gap between high school and the college degree earnings 36 00:01:51,250 --> 00:01:55,340 has grown, and so there's increasing returns to college 37 00:01:55,340 --> 00:01:58,430 even given the increased cost of college. 38 00:01:58,430 --> 00:02:02,470 This graph shows that adjusting for the increased cost, 39 00:02:02,470 --> 00:02:06,400 that gap is still growing and the increase in returns 40 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:09,280 to college, particularly since around 1980, 41 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,900 have been growing by very, very large numbers. 42 00:02:12,900 --> 00:02:17,650 And so the message here is that, yes, college is expensive, 43 00:02:17,650 --> 00:02:21,980 but we've got to be careful not to underestimate its value. 44 00:02:21,980 --> 00:02:24,970 At the same time, it's important to recognize 45 00:02:24,970 --> 00:02:28,300 that there's wide variation in the earnings of college 46 00:02:28,300 --> 00:02:29,040 graduates. 47 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,730 So it's very important to be careful to choose when, 48 00:02:32,730 --> 00:02:35,260 where, and what kind of organization, 49 00:02:35,260 --> 00:02:37,620 what kind of institution you choose 50 00:02:37,620 --> 00:02:39,970 to get your education at. 51 00:02:39,970 --> 00:02:43,080 Ending your education and then entering the workforce 52 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:45,030 was a model that worked in the past, 53 00:02:45,030 --> 00:02:47,140 but it's not going to work in the future. 54 00:02:47,140 --> 00:02:49,640 So let's look more carefully at how 55 00:02:49,640 --> 00:02:53,550 we're going to move through a model of lifelong learning 56 00:02:53,550 --> 00:02:55,350 in the future.