1 00:00:10,290 --> 00:00:12,980 The 1980s turned out to be a pivotal decade 2 00:00:12,980 --> 00:00:14,900 in the history of work. 3 00:00:14,900 --> 00:00:18,290 So let's take a look at what happened during that decade 4 00:00:18,290 --> 00:00:21,490 and why we should care about these developments 5 00:00:21,490 --> 00:00:26,680 because it will affect the future of work going forward. 6 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:29,140 The 1970s are going to go down in history 7 00:00:29,140 --> 00:00:32,280 as a decade of status quo. 8 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:36,960 The pressures were building, but managers and workers and unions 9 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:43,770 and the government behaved as if the 1960s and 1950s were still 10 00:00:43,770 --> 00:00:44,270 in vogue. 11 00:00:44,270 --> 00:00:45,440 Unions were declining. 12 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:49,280 New industries were coming along with new ways of introducing 13 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:51,130 flexible job designs. 14 00:00:51,130 --> 00:00:55,230 The economy was experiencing this high rate of inflation 15 00:00:55,230 --> 00:00:57,230 with no growth in wages. 16 00:00:57,230 --> 00:00:59,380 Labor law was getting outdated. 17 00:00:59,380 --> 00:01:01,670 But Congress couldn't do anything about it. 18 00:01:01,670 --> 00:01:06,370 So the pressures were building like this proverbial frog that 19 00:01:06,370 --> 00:01:08,630 was in warm water, stayed in the water 20 00:01:08,630 --> 00:01:10,810 too long until it started to boil. 21 00:01:10,810 --> 00:01:14,180 Never jumped out because the challenges were only 22 00:01:14,180 --> 00:01:18,630 being felt incrementally until it was too late. 23 00:01:18,630 --> 00:01:20,560 So what happened in the 1980s? 24 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,220 The President of the United States. 25 00:01:23,220 --> 00:01:26,850 Well, Ronald Reagan got elected president, 26 00:01:26,850 --> 00:01:30,140 a change from a Democrat to a conservative Republican 27 00:01:30,140 --> 00:01:33,700 with very strong ideas about how to run the economy. 28 00:01:33,700 --> 00:01:35,590 The second thing that happened is 29 00:01:35,590 --> 00:01:38,950 it coincided with the great recession of 1981 30 00:01:38,950 --> 00:01:41,830 to 1983, where the effort was to try 31 00:01:41,830 --> 00:01:45,560 to break the back of inflation by the Federal Reserve Board. 32 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,500 The third thing that came along in coincidence 33 00:01:48,500 --> 00:01:50,590 with these pressures was the growth 34 00:01:50,590 --> 00:01:53,300 of Japanese and other global competition. 35 00:01:53,300 --> 00:01:58,200 Now companies in Japan could build autos and other products 36 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:02,030 as productively at lower cost as the United States 37 00:02:02,030 --> 00:02:03,820 and build them in high qualities so 38 00:02:03,820 --> 00:02:07,180 that they were strong competitors to this country. 39 00:02:07,180 --> 00:02:09,190 So what did we see happen? 40 00:02:09,190 --> 00:02:12,800 Well, somewhere in this time period, 41 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:18,170 that great social contract from the 1940s through the 1960s 42 00:02:18,170 --> 00:02:19,200 broke down. 43 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:22,950 This nice coincidence of wages and productivity 44 00:02:22,950 --> 00:02:25,200 moving together during this time period, 45 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,940 you can see it began to fray in the 70s. 46 00:02:27,940 --> 00:02:32,660 And then after 1980, they depart, never to return again. 47 00:02:32,660 --> 00:02:34,530 So how did this happen? 48 00:02:34,530 --> 00:02:37,620 Well, again, it starts with Ronald Reagan. 49 00:02:37,620 --> 00:02:41,580 In the August of 1981, the air traffic controllers 50 00:02:41,580 --> 00:02:44,190 went on strike illegally. 51 00:02:44,190 --> 00:02:46,770 And Ronald Reagan said this is an illegal strike. 52 00:02:46,770 --> 00:02:48,510 I'm going to take decisive action. 53 00:02:48,510 --> 00:02:50,850 I'm going to fire them if they don't come back to work. 54 00:02:50,850 --> 00:02:52,770 He did so. 55 00:02:52,770 --> 00:02:55,720 He broke that strike and it fundamentally 56 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,360 changed the tenor of labor relations. 57 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,680 Companies in the private sector became much more aggressive, 58 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:06,360 building on the model of what Reagan did. 59 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:08,640 They demanded wage concessions to try 60 00:03:08,640 --> 00:03:10,140 to become more competitive. 61 00:03:10,140 --> 00:03:12,710 They put in what were called two-tier contracts. 62 00:03:12,710 --> 00:03:16,080 So new workers were starting that work at a lower wage 63 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,410 rate than more senior workers. 64 00:03:18,410 --> 00:03:21,190 That, in fact, continues today in many cases. 65 00:03:21,190 --> 00:03:23,320 Auto workers would understand this 66 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:27,010 because new hires come in about 30% less 67 00:03:27,010 --> 00:03:30,780 than workers who are doing the same work alongside of them. 68 00:03:30,780 --> 00:03:32,600 And so this persisted. 69 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,340 Basically, what happened is pattern bargaining, that engine 70 00:03:36,340 --> 00:03:39,060 that helped to spread wage increases across the economy, 71 00:03:39,060 --> 00:03:40,130 broke down. 72 00:03:40,130 --> 00:03:42,840 The bargaining power that workers got from strikes 73 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:44,160 was no longer there. 74 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:46,070 Strikes became defensive weapons. 75 00:03:46,070 --> 00:03:50,470 And companies like Greyhound Bus Lines or Eastern Airlines 76 00:03:50,470 --> 00:03:54,510 where strikes occurred, the companies either won the strike 77 00:03:54,510 --> 00:03:56,990 or in Eastern's case, the company went out of business. 78 00:03:56,990 --> 00:03:58,930 And all the jobs were lost. 79 00:03:58,930 --> 00:04:01,000 And so this has continued. 80 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:03,190 Workers lost their source of power. 81 00:04:03,190 --> 00:04:06,960 They don't have a new source of bargaining power in place yet. 82 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:11,020 And so this social contract continues to be broken. 83 00:04:11,020 --> 00:04:12,780 The challenge that we face today, 84 00:04:12,780 --> 00:04:16,029 the challenge as next generation workers you face, 85 00:04:16,029 --> 00:04:19,570 is to figure out what is a social contract that might work 86 00:04:19,570 --> 00:04:23,560 in the modern economy for you as a modern workforce 87 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:25,360 and for society? 88 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,220 We have not figured that out yet. 89 00:04:27,220 --> 00:04:29,880 That's going to be your challenge.