1 00:00:10,230 --> 00:00:13,150 Let's talk about the current opportunities and challenges 2 00:00:13,150 --> 00:00:16,230 that you'll face as you enter the labor market. 3 00:00:16,230 --> 00:00:18,880 My first question is, are these the best 4 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:22,670 of times, or the worst of times to be looking for a job 5 00:00:22,670 --> 00:00:24,000 and starting your career? 6 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,880 Well, let's take a look at some of the labor market realities 7 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:27,980 that you face. 8 00:00:27,980 --> 00:00:31,770 You all recall what we referred to as the Great Recession 9 00:00:31,770 --> 00:00:34,530 of 2007 and 2009? 10 00:00:34,530 --> 00:00:37,390 This chart shows just how many jobs we 11 00:00:37,390 --> 00:00:38,760 lost during that time period. 12 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:44,130 Well, the good news is that, in fact, 2015-- 13 00:00:44,130 --> 00:00:48,140 finally-- was a great year for job growth in the US. 14 00:00:48,140 --> 00:00:51,190 We made a big dent in closing the jobs deficit, 15 00:00:51,190 --> 00:00:54,030 by creating nearly 2 and 1/2 million jobs. 16 00:00:54,030 --> 00:00:57,230 So now we only need another 3 million more 17 00:00:57,230 --> 00:00:59,700 to close the full job deficit. 18 00:00:59,700 --> 00:01:03,010 Let's hope we keep making progress like we did last year. 19 00:01:03,010 --> 00:01:06,850 No guarantees, given the shaky world economy we're in. 20 00:01:06,850 --> 00:01:09,510 So we have to keep pressing government and business 21 00:01:09,510 --> 00:01:13,250 leaders to keep the job growth going strong. 22 00:01:13,250 --> 00:01:15,370 That's challenge number one. 23 00:01:15,370 --> 00:01:17,880 But that's only the beginning of the challenge. 24 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:20,440 Recall what the Occupy movement said, 25 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:24,970 that 1% of the top earners are getting all of the income? 26 00:01:24,970 --> 00:01:26,510 Well, they were right. 27 00:01:26,510 --> 00:01:30,530 Over 50% of income growth in the last decade 28 00:01:30,530 --> 00:01:32,790 has come to the top 1%. 29 00:01:32,790 --> 00:01:36,610 And we have to go way back here, to 1928, 30 00:01:36,610 --> 00:01:41,530 to have a situation where we get that much unequal distribution 31 00:01:41,530 --> 00:01:42,430 of income. 32 00:01:42,430 --> 00:01:44,790 So we do have an income problem. 33 00:01:44,790 --> 00:01:46,810 But it wasn't always this way. 34 00:01:46,810 --> 00:01:49,860 From the end of World War II-- 35 00:01:49,860 --> 00:01:55,270 down here about 1947, 1948-- all the way through 36 00:01:55,270 --> 00:01:59,310 till about 1980, we saw an economy 37 00:01:59,310 --> 00:02:03,380 where wages, and productivity, and profits moved together. 38 00:02:03,380 --> 00:02:05,260 Later on we're going to talk about this 39 00:02:05,260 --> 00:02:09,380 as the era of the post-World War II social contract. 40 00:02:09,380 --> 00:02:10,830 But something happened here. 41 00:02:10,830 --> 00:02:16,630 Note, after 1980s, productivity continued to grow by over 80%, 42 00:02:16,630 --> 00:02:20,030 but wages and compensation flat-lined. 43 00:02:20,030 --> 00:02:22,930 The average worker in the United States economy 44 00:02:22,930 --> 00:02:28,000 has only seen about a 9% wage increase since 1980. 45 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:30,550 And in fact, if you don't have a college degree 46 00:02:30,550 --> 00:02:33,950 your wages have gone down, relative to the cost of living 47 00:02:33,950 --> 00:02:35,580 during this time period. 48 00:02:35,580 --> 00:02:38,250 So while in the early stage, we had 49 00:02:38,250 --> 00:02:42,630 what President Kennedy said, "a rising tide lifts all boats." 50 00:02:42,630 --> 00:02:45,650 Everybody worked hard and shared in the gains. 51 00:02:45,650 --> 00:02:48,820 We have seen something happen since 1980 52 00:02:48,820 --> 00:02:50,730 that has changed that. 53 00:02:50,730 --> 00:02:53,680 Let's now focus a little bit more carefully on just 54 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:55,720 what happens if you are entering the labor 55 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:58,320 market after finishing high school or college 56 00:02:58,320 --> 00:02:59,810 at this point in time. 57 00:02:59,810 --> 00:03:02,970 Many of you will start off as unpaid interns, 58 00:03:02,970 --> 00:03:05,710 or in part time jobs, or in jobs that 59 00:03:05,710 --> 00:03:08,200 don't use the full education that you've 60 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:09,820 worked so hard to achieve. 61 00:03:09,820 --> 00:03:12,680 You'll be what we call underemployed. 62 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:16,850 And it's not surprising that given that, many of your cohort 63 00:03:16,850 --> 00:03:20,390 are experiencing very low levels of job satisfaction. 64 00:03:20,390 --> 00:03:23,620 In fact, the lowest levels that we have seen in many years. 65 00:03:23,620 --> 00:03:26,960 Back in the 1980s, this red line shows, 66 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:30,540 that people under the age of 25 were like others-- 67 00:03:30,540 --> 00:03:34,320 more than 50% were satisfied with their wages, 68 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:36,420 their hours of work, and their opportunities 69 00:03:36,420 --> 00:03:37,800 to learn on the job. 70 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:42,740 But now, these numbers have declined to a little over 35%. 71 00:03:42,740 --> 00:03:46,050 And so only about one third of young people 72 00:03:46,050 --> 00:03:48,330 are satisfied with their jobs. 73 00:03:48,330 --> 00:03:49,880 How does this really affect you? 74 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:52,940 Well, the economic evidence is very clear-- 75 00:03:52,940 --> 00:03:56,660 if you start off as many of you are experiencing now, 76 00:03:56,660 --> 00:04:00,670 in a low-income jobs that don't use your full skills that 77 00:04:00,670 --> 00:04:04,520 you've been educated for, or you start off as a paid or even 78 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:09,290 an unpaid intern, or you start off in part-time work in hotels 79 00:04:09,290 --> 00:04:13,270 or restaurants, or other retail areas, 80 00:04:13,270 --> 00:04:17,620 you're going to experience about 10 years-- or even more-- 81 00:04:17,620 --> 00:04:22,220 of suppressed income and lack of opportunities for growth. 82 00:04:22,220 --> 00:04:24,140 Does it have to be this way? 83 00:04:24,140 --> 00:04:26,230 I don't believe that for a moment. 84 00:04:26,230 --> 00:04:28,330 There is no iron law of economics 85 00:04:28,330 --> 00:04:29,980 that produce these results. 86 00:04:29,980 --> 00:04:32,250 It's the results of bad policies, 87 00:04:32,250 --> 00:04:34,880 of our institutions and the way in which we govern. 88 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,270 We're failing to catch up with the changing 89 00:04:37,270 --> 00:04:39,510 workforce, and the changing nature of work. 90 00:04:39,510 --> 00:04:41,540 And we can do better. 91 00:04:41,540 --> 00:04:44,150 And in fact, many firms are doing better. 92 00:04:44,150 --> 00:04:48,310 Some companies are way ahead in providing good jobs. 93 00:04:48,310 --> 00:04:51,650 A lot of innovation is happening at the local level 94 00:04:51,650 --> 00:04:55,060 in start-ups, in nonprofit organizations, 95 00:04:55,060 --> 00:04:56,611 in state and local governments. 96 00:04:56,611 --> 00:04:58,610 We're going to look at some of those innovations 97 00:04:58,610 --> 00:05:02,550 in our next video, and ask how you can join this process so 98 00:05:02,550 --> 00:05:08,700 that we can improve the work life of everyone going forward.