1 00:00:01,690 --> 00:00:04,890 As an example of a mean-variance calculation, we 2 00:00:04,890 --> 00:00:07,520 will now consider the continuous uniform random 3 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:10,610 variable which we have introduced a little earlier. 4 00:00:10,610 --> 00:00:13,600 This is the continuous analog of the discrete uniform, for 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:16,500 which we have already seen formulas for the corresponding 6 00:00:16,500 --> 00:00:17,800 mean and variance. 7 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,280 So let us now calculate the mean or expected value for the 8 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,090 continuous case. 9 00:00:23,090 --> 00:00:26,660 The mean is defined as an integral that ranges over the 10 00:00:26,660 --> 00:00:28,170 entire real line. 11 00:00:28,170 --> 00:00:31,100 On the other hand, we recognize that the density is 12 00:00:31,100 --> 00:00:36,210 equal to 0 outside the interval from a to b, and 13 00:00:36,210 --> 00:00:38,740 therefore, there is going to be no contribution to the 14 00:00:38,740 --> 00:00:42,940 integral from those x's outside that interval. 15 00:00:42,940 --> 00:00:46,460 This means that we can integrate just over the 16 00:00:46,460 --> 00:00:49,290 interval from a to b. 17 00:00:49,290 --> 00:00:52,890 And inside that interval, the value of the density is 1 18 00:00:52,890 --> 00:00:55,110 over b minus a. 19 00:00:55,110 --> 00:00:59,270 We can carry out this integration and find an answer 20 00:00:59,270 --> 00:01:04,360 equal to a plus b over 2, which, interestingly, also 21 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:07,080 happens to be the same as in the discrete case. 22 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:11,200 In fact, we could find this answer without having to run 23 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:12,789 this integration. 24 00:01:12,789 --> 00:01:17,060 We could just recognize that this PDF is symmetric around 25 00:01:17,060 --> 00:01:20,030 the midpoint of the interval, and the midpoint is 26 00:01:20,030 --> 00:01:23,630 a plus b over 2. 27 00:01:23,630 --> 00:01:28,340 We now continue with what is involved in the calculation of 28 00:01:28,340 --> 00:01:33,310 the expected value of the square of the random variable. 29 00:01:33,310 --> 00:01:37,620 Using the expected value rule, this is the integral of x 30 00:01:37,620 --> 00:01:44,720 squared times the density, but because of the same argument 31 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:49,490 as before, we only need to integrate from a to b. 32 00:01:49,490 --> 00:01:53,360 We can evaluate this integral, and the answer turns out to be 33 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:59,479 1 over (b minus a) times (b cube over 3 34 00:01:59,479 --> 00:02:03,010 minus a cube over 3). 35 00:02:03,010 --> 00:02:06,690 The reason why these cubic terms appear is that the 36 00:02:06,690 --> 00:02:10,440 integral of the x square function is x 37 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:13,440 cube divided by 3. 38 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,620 Now that we have this quantity available, we're ready to 39 00:02:16,620 --> 00:02:21,829 calculate the variance using this alternative formula, 40 00:02:21,829 --> 00:02:25,650 which, as we have often discussed, usually provides us 41 00:02:25,650 --> 00:02:29,880 a quicker way to carry out the calculation. 42 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,930 We take this term, insert it here. 43 00:02:32,930 --> 00:02:36,270 We take the square of this term, insert it here. 44 00:02:36,270 --> 00:02:40,610 Carry out some algebra, and eventually we find an answer 45 00:02:40,610 --> 00:02:46,490 which is equal to b minus a squared over 12. 46 00:02:46,490 --> 00:02:50,140 And this is the formula for the variance of a uniform 47 00:02:50,140 --> 00:02:52,650 random variable. 48 00:02:52,650 --> 00:02:56,550 We can take the square root of this expression to find the 49 00:02:56,550 --> 00:02:59,750 standard deviation, and the standard deviation is going to 50 00:02:59,750 --> 00:03:05,820 be b minus a divided by the square root of 12. 51 00:03:05,820 --> 00:03:07,830 A few observations. 52 00:03:07,830 --> 00:03:11,350 First, the formula looks quite similar to the formula for the 53 00:03:11,350 --> 00:03:14,040 variance that we had in the discrete case, except that in 54 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:16,579 the discrete case, we have this extra 55 00:03:16,579 --> 00:03:20,440 additive factor of 2. 56 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,500 More interestingly, and perhaps more important, is 57 00:03:23,500 --> 00:03:28,000 that the standard deviation is proportional to the width of 58 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:29,370 this uniform. 59 00:03:29,370 --> 00:03:32,420 The wider it is, the larger the standard 60 00:03:32,420 --> 00:03:33,860 deviation will be. 61 00:03:33,860 --> 00:03:37,100 And this conforms to our intuition that the standard 62 00:03:37,100 --> 00:03:41,660 deviation captures the width of a particular distribution. 63 00:03:41,660 --> 00:03:44,190 And the variance, of course, becomes larger when 64 00:03:44,190 --> 00:03:45,710 the width is larger. 65 00:03:45,710 --> 00:03:48,540 And as far as the variance is concerned, it increases with 66 00:03:48,540 --> 00:03:51,670 the square of the length of the interval over which we 67 00:03:51,670 --> 00:03:52,920 have our distribution.