1 00:00:02,660 --> 00:00:06,270 Let us now look at some examples of sample spaces. 2 00:00:06,270 --> 00:00:08,640 Sample spaces are sets. 3 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:12,430 And a set can be discrete, finite, infinite, 4 00:00:12,430 --> 00:00:13,880 continuous, and so on. 5 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,730 Let us start with a simpler case in which we have a sample 6 00:00:17,730 --> 00:00:20,620 space that is discrete and finite. 7 00:00:20,620 --> 00:00:22,930 The particular experiment we will be 8 00:00:22,930 --> 00:00:25,340 looking at is the following. 9 00:00:25,340 --> 00:00:29,300 We take a very special die, a tetrahedral die. 10 00:00:29,300 --> 00:00:34,590 So it's a die that has four faces numbered from 1 up 4. 11 00:00:34,590 --> 00:00:36,730 We roll it once. 12 00:00:36,730 --> 00:00:39,280 And then we roll it twice [again]. 13 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:42,090 Were not dealing here with two probabilistic experiments. 14 00:00:42,090 --> 00:00:45,430 We're dealing with a single probabilistic experiment that 15 00:00:45,430 --> 00:00:50,120 involves two rolls of the die within that experiment. 16 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:52,960 What is the sample space of that experiment? 17 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:54,170 Well, one possible 18 00:00:54,170 --> 00:00:56,770 representation is the following. 19 00:00:56,770 --> 00:01:00,480 We take note of the result of the first roll. 20 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:04,220 And then we take note of the result of the second roll. 21 00:01:04,220 --> 00:01:07,050 And this gives us a pair of numbers. 22 00:01:07,050 --> 00:01:10,950 Each one of the possible pairs of numbers corresponds to one 23 00:01:10,950 --> 00:01:13,450 of the little squares in this diagram. 24 00:01:13,450 --> 00:01:18,280 For example, if the first roll is 1 and the second is also 1, 25 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:21,990 then this particular outcome has occurred. 26 00:01:21,990 --> 00:01:27,060 If the first roll is it 2 and the second is a 3, then this 27 00:01:27,060 --> 00:01:29,780 particular outcome occurs. 28 00:01:29,780 --> 00:01:33,950 If the first roll is a 3 and then the next one is a 2, then 29 00:01:33,950 --> 00:01:36,580 this particular outcome occurs. 30 00:01:36,580 --> 00:01:40,250 Notice that these two outcomes are pretty closely related. 31 00:01:40,250 --> 00:01:43,840 In both cases, we observe a 2 and we observe a 3. 32 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:48,050 But we distinguish those two outcomes because in those two 33 00:01:48,050 --> 00:01:52,500 outcomes, the 2 and the 3 happen in different order. 34 00:01:52,500 --> 00:01:56,090 And the order in which they appear may be a detail which 35 00:01:56,090 --> 00:01:57,560 is of interest to us. 36 00:01:57,560 --> 00:01:59,620 And so we make this distinction 37 00:01:59,620 --> 00:02:01,010 in the sample space. 38 00:02:01,010 --> 00:02:08,940 So we keep the (3, 2) and the (2, 3) as separate outcomes. 39 00:02:08,940 --> 00:02:12,450 Now this is a case of a model in which the probabilistic 40 00:02:12,450 --> 00:02:17,170 experiment can be described in phases or stages. 41 00:02:17,170 --> 00:02:22,240 We could think about rolling the die once and then going 42 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:23,820 ahead with the second roll. 43 00:02:23,820 --> 00:02:25,720 So we have two stages. 44 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,890 A very useful way of describing the sample space of 45 00:02:28,890 --> 00:02:29,950 experiments-- 46 00:02:29,950 --> 00:02:35,390 whenever we have an experiment with several stages, either 47 00:02:35,390 --> 00:02:37,780 real stages or imagined stages. 48 00:02:37,780 --> 00:02:40,980 So a very useful way of describing it is by providing 49 00:02:40,980 --> 00:02:45,070 a sequential description in terms of a tree. 50 00:02:45,070 --> 00:02:49,240 So a diagram of this kind, we call it a tree. 51 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:51,770 You can think of this as the root of the tree 52 00:02:51,770 --> 00:02:53,290 from which you start. 53 00:02:53,290 --> 00:02:56,770 And the endpoints of the tree, we usually 54 00:02:56,770 --> 00:02:58,780 call them the leaves. 55 00:02:58,780 --> 00:03:00,560 So the experiment starts. 56 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,510 We carry out the first phase, which in this case is the 57 00:03:03,510 --> 00:03:04,620 first roll. 58 00:03:04,620 --> 00:03:05,910 And we see what happens. 59 00:03:05,910 --> 00:03:09,570 So maybe we get a 2 in the first roll. 60 00:03:09,570 --> 00:03:13,880 And then we take note of what happened in the second roll. 61 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,840 And maybe the result was a 3. 62 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:18,720 So we follow this branch here. 63 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:22,610 And we end up at this particular leaf, which is the 64 00:03:22,610 --> 00:03:26,030 leaf associated with the outcome 2, 3. 65 00:03:26,030 --> 00:03:29,760 Notice that in this tree we once more have a distinction. 66 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:33,740 The outcome 2 followed by a 3 is different from the outcome 67 00:03:33,740 --> 00:03:38,190 3 followed by a 2, which would correspond to this particular 68 00:03:38,190 --> 00:03:40,890 place in the diagram. 69 00:03:40,890 --> 00:03:44,510 In both cases, we have 16 possible outcomes. 70 00:03:44,510 --> 00:03:46,360 4 times 4 makes 16. 71 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:49,520 And similarly, if you count here, the number of leaves is 72 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:52,230 equal to 16. 73 00:03:52,230 --> 00:03:55,670 The previous example involves a sample space that was 74 00:03:55,670 --> 00:03:57,510 discrete and finite. 75 00:03:57,510 --> 00:04:00,440 There were only 16 possible outcomes. 76 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:03,650 But sample spaces can also be infinite. 77 00:04:03,650 --> 00:04:06,440 And they could also be continuous sets. 78 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,530 Here's an example of an experiment that involves a 79 00:04:09,530 --> 00:04:11,640 continuous sample space. 80 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,130 So we have a rectangular target 81 00:04:14,130 --> 00:04:17,040 which is the unit square. 82 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:20,339 And you throw a dart on that target. 83 00:04:20,339 --> 00:04:25,200 And suppose that you are so skilled that no matter what, 84 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:27,630 when you throw the dart, it always 85 00:04:27,630 --> 00:04:31,340 falls inside the target. 86 00:04:31,340 --> 00:04:37,970 Once the dart hits the target, you record the coordinates x 87 00:04:37,970 --> 00:04:41,930 and y of the particular point that resulted 88 00:04:41,930 --> 00:04:43,530 from your dart throw. 89 00:04:43,530 --> 00:04:48,380 And we record x and y with infinite precision. 90 00:04:48,380 --> 00:04:51,120 So x and y are real numbers. 91 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:55,020 So in this experiment, the sample space is just the set 92 00:04:55,020 --> 00:05:00,190 of x, y pairs that lie between 0 and 1.