1 00:00:01,670 --> 00:00:03,465 In this brief segment, we will discuss 2 00:00:03,465 --> 00:00:07,970 an important application of the convolution formula. 3 00:00:07,970 --> 00:00:11,360 Suppose that X is a normal random variable with a given 4 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:12,300 mean and variance. 5 00:00:12,300 --> 00:00:14,950 So that the PDF of X takes this form. 6 00:00:14,950 --> 00:00:18,140 And similarly, Y is normal with a given mean and variance. 7 00:00:18,140 --> 00:00:20,020 So its PDF takes this form. 8 00:00:20,020 --> 00:00:22,800 We assume that X and Y are independent. 9 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:26,740 And we're interested in the sum of the two random variables 10 00:00:26,740 --> 00:00:30,410 X and Y. And we wish to derive the PDF of Z. 11 00:00:30,410 --> 00:00:35,040 Of course, the PDF of Z is given by the convolution formula. 12 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:40,040 And now we plug in here, the form for the density of X. 13 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:43,250 And here, we plug the form of the density of Y. 14 00:00:43,250 --> 00:00:45,950 Except that instead of the argument Y, 15 00:00:45,950 --> 00:00:49,240 we need to put in the argument z minus x. 16 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:51,320 So we obtain this form, where here we 17 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:54,690 have a z minus x instead of y. 18 00:00:54,690 --> 00:00:58,460 Now this is an integral that looks pretty complicated. 19 00:00:58,460 --> 00:01:01,260 But it is not too hard to do. 20 00:01:01,260 --> 00:01:05,470 One just needs to be patient, rearrange terms, collect terms. 21 00:01:05,470 --> 00:01:07,620 And the details of the calculations 22 00:01:07,620 --> 00:01:09,720 are not as interesting. 23 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:12,240 So we will skip them for now. 24 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:14,590 And I will just tell you that the final answer 25 00:01:14,590 --> 00:01:16,310 takes this form. 26 00:01:16,310 --> 00:01:17,450 What is this form? 27 00:01:17,450 --> 00:01:20,130 Well, it's exponential of minus z 28 00:01:20,130 --> 00:01:23,870 minus something squared divided by a constant. 29 00:01:23,870 --> 00:01:25,610 And we recognize that this is the form 30 00:01:25,610 --> 00:01:28,240 of a normal random variable. 31 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,510 It's a normal random variable whose mean 32 00:01:31,510 --> 00:01:37,970 is given by this term here, it's mu x plus mu y. 33 00:01:37,970 --> 00:01:40,750 And the variance of that normal random variable 34 00:01:40,750 --> 00:01:43,520 is that constant that appears next to the factor of 2 35 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,130 in the denominator. 36 00:01:45,130 --> 00:01:48,320 So the sum of these two normal random variables, 37 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:50,850 these two independent normal random variables, 38 00:01:50,850 --> 00:01:52,166 is also normal. 39 00:01:52,166 --> 00:01:53,789 The fact that this is the mean and this 40 00:01:53,789 --> 00:01:57,190 is the variance of the sum, of course, is not a surprise. 41 00:01:57,190 --> 00:02:00,490 What is important in this result that we have here 42 00:02:00,490 --> 00:02:03,800 is that the sum is actually normal. 43 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:05,600 Now, we carried out this argument 44 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:09,590 for the case of the sum of two normal random variables. 45 00:02:09,590 --> 00:02:13,630 But suppose that we had the sum of three 46 00:02:13,630 --> 00:02:15,860 independent normal random variables, 47 00:02:15,860 --> 00:02:17,870 what can we say about it? 48 00:02:17,870 --> 00:02:22,640 By the result that we just discussed, this sum is normal. 49 00:02:22,640 --> 00:02:24,340 This is assumed to be normal. 50 00:02:24,340 --> 00:02:27,490 We assume that X, Y, and W are independent. 51 00:02:27,490 --> 00:02:31,560 Therefore, this sum is independent from W. 52 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:33,980 So we're dealing with the sum of two 53 00:02:33,980 --> 00:02:37,140 independent normal random variables again. 54 00:02:37,140 --> 00:02:40,430 So this sum here is going to be normal as well. 55 00:02:40,430 --> 00:02:43,070 And we continue this argument by induction, 56 00:02:43,070 --> 00:02:45,110 and conclude that more generally, 57 00:02:45,110 --> 00:02:48,329 the sum of any finite number of independent normal random 58 00:02:48,329 --> 00:02:50,160 variables is normal. 59 00:02:50,160 --> 00:02:52,850 This is a very important, but also useful fact. 60 00:02:52,850 --> 00:02:54,780 It means that when we start working 61 00:02:54,780 --> 00:02:57,050 with normal random variables, very often 62 00:02:57,050 --> 00:03:00,150 we stay within the realm of normal random variables. 63 00:03:00,150 --> 00:03:02,890 We can form linear functions of them, 64 00:03:02,890 --> 00:03:04,830 take linear combinations of them, 65 00:03:04,830 --> 00:03:10,480 and still remain in the world of normal random variables.