1 00:00:01,190 --> 00:00:04,520 In this lecture, we discuss the simplest nontrivial 2 00:00:04,520 --> 00:00:08,220 stochastic process, the Bernoulli process. 3 00:00:08,220 --> 00:00:10,670 Time is divided into slots. 4 00:00:10,670 --> 00:00:13,230 At each slot, we have an independent trial 5 00:00:13,230 --> 00:00:14,910 such as a coin flip. 6 00:00:14,910 --> 00:00:18,070 And each trial results in heads or tails. 7 00:00:18,070 --> 00:00:22,780 Or in different language, each trial may or may not result in 8 00:00:22,780 --> 00:00:26,020 an arrival or a success. 9 00:00:26,020 --> 00:00:28,830 Pretty much everything we will do will be a simple 10 00:00:28,830 --> 00:00:31,590 application of skills that we already have. 11 00:00:31,590 --> 00:00:35,270 For example, we already know that the number of arrivals in 12 00:00:35,270 --> 00:00:40,720 n time slots is described by the binomial PMF. 13 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,340 We will then discuss some consequences of the 14 00:00:43,340 --> 00:00:46,140 independence of the different trials. 15 00:00:46,140 --> 00:00:49,190 Basically, the process has no memory. 16 00:00:49,190 --> 00:00:52,630 Whatever happens in the future is not affected by whatever 17 00:00:52,630 --> 00:00:54,620 happened in the past. 18 00:00:54,620 --> 00:00:58,170 By exploiting this property, we will find the distribution 19 00:00:58,170 --> 00:01:01,725 of the time of the first arrival and more generally of 20 00:01:01,725 --> 00:01:04,739 the time of the kth arrival. 21 00:01:04,739 --> 00:01:07,150 We will also find the distribution of the time 22 00:01:07,150 --> 00:01:10,410 between consecutive arrivals. 23 00:01:10,410 --> 00:01:13,440 Next, we will take two independent Bernoulli 24 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:17,930 processes, let's say arrivals of men and arrivals of women, 25 00:01:17,930 --> 00:01:22,280 and merge them to get an overall arrival process. 26 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,690 We will see that the merged process is 27 00:01:24,690 --> 00:01:27,300 also a Bernoulli process. 28 00:01:27,300 --> 00:01:30,260 We will also look at the reverse operation, namely, 29 00:01:30,260 --> 00:01:35,539 splitting a Bernoulli process into two separate processes. 30 00:01:35,539 --> 00:01:39,590 Finally, we will look at a particular asymptotic regime 31 00:01:39,590 --> 00:01:43,729 in which we have a large number of time slots but a 32 00:01:43,729 --> 00:01:48,120 very small probability of an arrival during each time slot. 33 00:01:48,120 --> 00:01:50,950 We will carry out some algebraic manipulations. 34 00:01:50,950 --> 00:01:54,509 And we will see that the binomial PMF for the number of 35 00:01:54,509 --> 00:01:59,080 arrivals can be well approximated by the so-called 36 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:00,330 Poisson PMF.