SES # | TOPICS | READINGS |
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1 | Introduction |
Supplementary ReadingSilver, Nate. "Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage," New York Times, June 7, 2012. |
2 | Patterns in Political History |
Required Readings
Norpoth, Helmut, and Jerrold G. Rusk. "Electoral Myth and Reality: Realignments in American Politics." Electoral Studies 26, no. 2 (2007): 392–403. Mayhew, David R. "Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Presidential Elections: The Historical Record." Political Science Quarterly 123, no. 2 (2008): 201–28. Supplementary ReadingsKey, V. O., Jr. "A Theory of Critical Elections." The Journal of Politics 17, no. 1 (1955): 3–18. Merrill, Samuel III, Bernard Grofman, et al. "Cycles in American National Electoral Politics, 1854–2006: Statistical Evidence and An Explanatory Model." American Political Science Review 102, no. 1 (2008): 1–17.
Campbell, James E. "Party Systems and Realignments in the United States, 1868–2004." Social Science History 30, no. 3 (2006): 359–86. Stoker, Laura, and M. Kent Jennings. "Of Time and The Development of Partisan Polarization." American Journal of Political Science 52, no. 3 (2008): 619–35. |
3 | Political Geography |
Required ReadingsErikson, Robert S. "Sources of Partisan Bias in U.S. Congressional Elections: An Update Stimulated by Ron Johnston's Essay." Political Geography 21, no. 1 (2002): 49–54. Glaeser, Edward L., and Bryce A. Ward. "Myths and Realities of American Political Geography." Journal of Economic Perspectives 20, no. 2 (2006): 119–44. Gelman, Andrew, Boris Shor, et al. "Rich State, Poor State, Red State, Blue State: What's The Matter with Connecticut?" Quarterly Journal of Political Science 2, no. 4 (2008): 345–67. Supplementary ReadingRodden, Jonathan. "The Geographic Distribution of Political Preferences." Annual Review of Political Science 13, no. 1 (2010): 321–40. |
4 | Identities |
Required Readings
Campbell, David E., John C. Green, et al. "The Stained Glass Ceiling: Social Contact and Mitt Romney's "Religion Problem"." Political Behavior 34, no. 2 (2012): 277–99. Supplementary ReadingsValentino, Nicholas A., and David O. Sears. "Old Times There are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South." American Journal of Political Science 49, no. 3 (2005): 672–88.
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5 | Parties |
Required Readings
Supplementary ReadingsStanley, Harold W., and Richard G. Niemi. "Partisanship, Party Coalitions, and Group Support, 1952–2004." Presidential Studies Quarterly 36, no. 2 (2006): 172–88. Bawn, Kathleen, Marty Cohen, et al. "A Theory of Political Parties." Perspectives on Politics 10, no. 3 (2012): 571-597.
Bafumi, Joseph, and Robert Y. Shapiro. "A New Partisan Voter." Journal of Politics 71, no. 1 (2009): 1–24. |
6 | Structural Determinants of Elections |
Required Readings
Brady, David W., Morris P. Fiorina, et al. "The 2010 Elections: Why Did Political Science Forecasts Go Awry?" PS: Political Science & Politics 44, no. 2 (2011): 247–50. Teixeira, Ruy, and John Halpin. "The Path to 270: Demographics Versus Economics in the 2012 Presidential Election." Center for American Progress, November 2011. Supplementary ReadingFinal fivethirtyeight.com forecast of 2012 Presidential Election. |
7 | Campaigns |
Required Readings
Fenno, Richard F., Jr. "U.S. House Members in their Constituencies: An Exploration." American Political Science Review 71, no. 3 (1977): 883–917. Supplementary Readings
Gelman, Andrew, and Gary King. "Why are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls So Variable When Votes are So Predictable?" British Journal of Political Science 23, no. 1 (1993): 409–51. |
8 | Consequences of Elections |
Required Readings
Stanton, Steven J., Jacinta C. Beehner, et al. "Dominance, Politics, and Physiology: Voters' Testosterone Changes on the Night of the 2008 United States Presidential Election." PLoS ONE 4, no. 10 (2009): e7543. Supplementary Readings
Dahl, Robert. "Myth of the Presidential Mandate." Political Science Quarterly 105, no. 3 (1990): 355–72.
Eggers, Andrew C., and Jens Hainmueller. "MPs for Sale? Returns to Office in Postwar British Politics." American Political Science Review 103, no. 4 (2009): 513–33. |
9 | Money in Politics |
Required ReadingsBailey, Michael. "The Two Sides of Money in Politics: A Synthesis and Framework." Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy 3, no. 4 (2004): 653–69. Gimpel, James G., Frances E. Lee, et al. "The Political Geography of Campaign Contributions in American Politics." Journal of Politics 68, no. 3 (2006): 626–39. Jacobson, Gary C. "Campaign Spending Effects in U.S. Senate Elections: Evidence from the National Annenberg Election Survey." Electoral Studies 25, no. 2 (2006): 195–226. Supplementary ReadingsCoverage of the Supreme Court case Citizens United on scotusblog.com. Ansolabehere, Stephen, John M. de Figueiredo, et al. "Why is There So Little Money in U.S. Politics?" Journal of Economic Perspectives 17, no. 1 (2003): 105–30. |
10 | Vote Choice |
Required Readings
Jessee, Stephen A. "Spatial Voting in the 2004 Presidential Election." American Political Science Review 103, no. 1 (2009): 59–81. Lupia, Arthur. "Shortcuts Versus Encyclopedias: Information and Voting Behavior in California Insurance Reform Elections." American Political Science Review 88, no. 1 (1994): 63–76. Supplementary Readings
Ansolabehere, Stephen, Jonathan Rodden, et al. "The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability, Ideological Constraint, and Issue Voting." American Political Science Review 102, no. 2 (2008): 215–32.
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11 | Participation |
Required Readings
Brady, Henry E., Sidney Verba, et al. "Beyond SES: A Resource Model of Political Participation." American Political Science Review 89, no. 2 (1995): 271–94. Citrin, Jack, Eric Schickler, et al. "What If Everyone Voted? Simulating the Impact of Increased Turnout in Senate Elections." American Journal of Political Science 47, no. 1 (2003): 75–90. Supplementary Reading
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12 | Representation |
Required Readings
Stimson, James A., Michael B. MacKuen, et al. "Dynamic Representation." American Political Science Review 89, no. 3 (1995): 543–65. Supplementary ReadingsGilens, Martin. "Inequality and Democratic Responsiveness." The Public Opinion Quarterly 69, no. 5 (2005): 778–96. Canes-Wrone, Brandice, David W. Brady, et al. "Out of Step, Out of Office: Electoral Accountability and House Members' Voting." American Political Science Review 96, no. 1 (2002): 127–40. Bafumi, Joseph, and Michael C. Herron. "Leapfrog Representation and Extremism: A Study of American Voters and Their Members in Congress." American Political Science Review 104, no. 3 (2010): 519–42. |
13 | Critiques of American Democracy |
Required ReadingsBartels, Larry M. "Homer Gets a Tax Cut: Inequality and Public Policy in the American Mind." Perspectives on Politics 3, no. 1 (2005): 15–31. Caplan, Bryan. "The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies." Cato Institute, Policy Analysis #594, 2007. Hajnal, Zoltan L. "Who Loses in American Democracy? A Count of Votes Demonstrates the Limited Representation of African Americans." American Political Science Review 103, no. 1 (2009): 37–57.
Supplementary Readings
Black, Merle. "The Transformation of the Southern Democratic Party." Journal of Politics 66, no. 4 (2004): 1001–17. Hacker, Jacob S., and Paul Pierson. "Winner-take-all Politics: Public Policy, Political Organization, and The Precipitous Rise of Top Incomes in the United States." Politics & Society 38, no. 2 (2010): 152–204. Lupia, Arthur, Adam Seth Levine, et al. "Were Bush Tax Cut Supporters "Simply Ignorant?" A Second Look at Conservatives and Liberals in "Homer Gets a Tax Cut"." Perspectives on Politics 5, no. 4 (2007): 773–84. Bartels, Larry M. "Homer Gets a Warm Hug: A Note on Ignorance and Extenuation." Perspectives on Politics 5, no. 4 (2007): 785–90.
Bachrach, Peter, and Morton S. Baratz. "Two Faces of Power." American Political Science Review 56, no. 4 (1962): 947–52. |